Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Sunday - January 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
OP-1   WIN (8/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/7)-(8/3/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/3/7)-(8/3/7/4)-(8/3/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/3/7)-(2/11/7/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
OP-2   WIN (2/11/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/11/7/10)-(2/11/7/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/11/7/10)-(2/11/7/10)-(2/11/7/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/11/7/10)-(6/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/11/7/10)-(6/3)-(1/9/5/6) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
OP-3   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/11/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/11/2/3)-(6/11/2/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/3)-(1/9/5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(1/9/5/6)-(7/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
OP-4   WIN (1/9/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/5/6)-(1/9/5/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/9/5/6)-(1/9/5/6/7)-(1/9/5/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/9/5/6)-(7/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/9/5/6)-(7/9/1)-(5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
OP-5   WIN (7/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/9/1)-(7/9/1/8/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/9/1)-(7/9/1/8/10)-(7/9/1/8/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/9/1)-(5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/9/1)-(5/4)-(7/10/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
OP-6   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4/6/8/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/4/6/8/9)-(5/4/6/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4)-(7/10/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(7/10/2)-(7/3/1/5/8) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
OP-7   WIN (7/10/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/10/2)-(7/10/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/10/2)-(7/10/2/3/6)-(7/10/2/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/10/2)-(7/3/1/5/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/10/2)-(7/3/1/5/8)-(3/11/8) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
OP-8   WIN (7/3/1/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/1/5/8)-(7/3/1/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/1/5/8)-(7/3/1/5/8)-(7/3/1/5/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/3/1/5/8)-(3/11/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
OP-9   WIN (3/11/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/11/8)-(3/11/8/12) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/11/8)-(3/11/8/12)-(3/11/8/12) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   01/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ESSENTIAL BELLA Jan06 Dec16 Jul11 Jun26 Jun09 (mcbride burl )BAILEY CHEL-C 124 3.00 23% 3.30    
2  FLAG TO FLAG Aug10 Jul16       (haran john)COURT J 116 20.00    
3  DREAM STREAK Jan05 Nov23 Nov08 Sep29 Sep12 (shirer a)BEJARANO R 124 1.60 13% 6.70    
4  AIN'TNOSWEETIE Jan01 Dec16 Nov22 Oct14   (litfin nevada)CABRERA DAVID 124 10.00 ★    
5  MRS. NUSHI Jan05 Nov27 Nov18 Oct20 Oct08 (garcia genaro)MOJICA O 124 6.00    
6  DIAL DISH         (von hemel)TRIANA JR 124 10.00    
7  CRYSTAL CRESCENT Jan06 Nov26 Nov10 Aug25 Jul15 (mcknight nor)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 15.00 10% 9.40    
8  BAD OUTLOOK Dec16 May29 May06 Feb27   (diodoro r)TORRES A 124 4.00 27% 2.70    
 
OP-2   01/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWINKLING IRISH         (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 30.00    
2  SWEET HOLINESS Dec30 Nov22 Nov08 Oct20 Sep29 (loy dew)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 2.00 40% 1.50    
3  SWEET BABY KATE Dec30 Dec09 Sep05     (soto fermin)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 50.00    
4  ASEEL Dec31 Jun25       (deville )SANTANA JR 119 10.00    
5  DR. WOODS MIRACLE         (hornsby tammy)BOREL H 125 20.00    
6  BOOTLEGGING GIRL Dec30 Dec09 Aug20 Aug07 Jul18 (jacquot gene)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 5.00    
7  LITTLE ROCKER Dec30 Dec09 Mar25     (morse l)BEJARANO R 125 4.50 6% 16.20    
8  VALENTINE ANGEL Dec30 Jan07       (hollendorfer)JORDAN R 125 8.00    
9  AUNT CARI Jan08 Dec09       (petalino )DE CRUZ 119 15.00    
10  ALLELUIA ANGEL Dec30 May06 Apr24 Apr07 Mar19 (gonzalez )TRIANA JR 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
11  LORI'S EYES Dec30 Apr24 Apr07 Mar19 Feb18 (martin willia)CABRERA DAVID 125 15.00 15% 5.60    
12  FORTIBUG Jan07 Dec09       (moysey chelsey )BOWEN ROCCO 119 20.00    
SCR  COROMANDEL Jan08 Dec09       (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
SCR  RELENTLESS ROCKET Jan14         (prather h)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 8% 11.80    
 
OP-3   01/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELIEVEINHOLIDAYS Dec17 Oct11 Sep20 Sep06 Aug16 (martin willia)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 30.00    
2  POP'S BISCUIT Jan06 Dec17 Dec08 Nov25 Nov15 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 118 10.00 ★    
3  NATE'S WAY Jan20 Dec09 Nov18 Oct13 Sep28 (deatherage corey)HARR KELSI 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  COOL RUNNINGS Jan06 Dec16 Nov09 Oct22 Oct04 (vance d)COURT K 118 15.00    
5  LIVINGONTULSATIME Jan22 Dec21 Dec08 Nov16 Oct25 (litfin nevada)CABRERA DAVID 118 15.00    
6  BRAVO BRAVO Jan15 Nov06 Oct28 Oct08 Sep24 (broberg k)TORRES A 121 4.00 30% 2.40    
7  NORTH SIDE Jan06 Dec16 Jul17 Jun24 May24 (broberg karl)BOWEN ROCCO 118 10.00    
8  EAGLE PASS Dec17 Nov18 Oct27 Oct02 Sep15 (vance r)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00    
SCR  FULL IMPACT Jan14 Dec30 Nov13 Sep20 Jun17 (hewitt micha)JORDAN R 118 2.00 36% 1.80    
10  SHANGHAI POINT Jan06 Dec09 Nov26 Sep20 Aug23 (rosin w)MEDELLIN ERICK 113 20.00    
11  DR. FORMAN Jan15 Dec10 Nov12 Oct14 Oct07 (combs bentley)JUAREZ NIK 124 3.00 ★    
 
OP-4   01/29/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CITY LEGEND Jan01 Nov18 Oct20 Sep25 Aug28 (van berg )DE CRUZ 118 2.50 41% 1.50    
SCR  JACKS FIRE BALLS Jan08 Nov27 Nov06 Oct26 Aug31 (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 2.50    
2  BILLHILL Aug21 Jul26 Jul12 Jun21 Apr30 (prather h)BOWEN ROCCO 116 15.00    
SCR  NAMESAKE Jan13 Dec10 Oct05 Sep15 Jun16 (swearingen to)BAILEY CHEL-C 121 12.00    
4  RISKY SITUATION Jan08 Dec18 Dec09 Jun04 May07 (cline n)HARR KELSI 116 20.00    
5  LIARS CLUB Dec09 Nov11 Aug25 Jul31 Jul07 (mcknight norm)CABRERA DAVID 118 10.00 9% 9.90    
6  MARK THE MOOSE Jan01 Nov27 Nov10 Oct25 Oct20 (litfin nevada)ZIMMERMAN R 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  ONE MORE BABY Jan07 Nov27 Oct12 Sep03 Aug04 (asmussen )TORRES A 121 5.00 ★    
8  SEASIDE BOY Jan01 Oct25 Oct06 Sep12 Mar20 (martin wi)TRIANA JR 121 3.50    
9  JIM AND JIM Jan01 Dec17 Nov06 Sep25 Aug09 (haran john)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 4.00 23% 3.40    
10  GALACTIC EMPIRE Jan01 May29 May20 May08 Apr10 (martin timot)JORDAN R 121 20.00    
11  SUPER GEEK Jan21 Dec18 Dec09 Apr22 Apr02 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 113 15.00    
 
OP-5   01/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3 F PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PIVOSKY Jul17 Jun09 May19     (vance d)COURT K 121 15.00 20% 4.00    
  (by CONNECT out of PRINCESSE RAFAELA by SKY MESA)
SCR  SACRED WISH         (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 121 15.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of INDIAN WISH by INDIAN CHARLIE)
3  DAWNY         (jones larry)HARR KELSI 121 15.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of MONIQUE'S CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
4  MARY'S BOON         (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 12.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of GLAZE by FLATTER)
5  MISS ANALYZED         (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 15.00    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of MISS CURLIN by CURLIN)
6  RATIFIED         (moquett ronal)CABRERA DAVID 121 20.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of TOUCH THE SKY by AVENUE OF FLAGS)
7  EFFORTLESSLYELGANT Nov23         (casse no)SANTANA JR 121 1.80 32% 2.10    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of COUNTY CLARE by UNCLE MO)
8  WAR SAVER Jan07 Dec23       (silva mig)TORRES A 121 4.50 ★    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of NAMAKA by DECLARATION OF WAR)
9  FLYIN BESSIE Dec11 Nov16 Sep06     (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 2.00 27% 2.70    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of FORTUNE PLAY by FIVE STAR DAY)
10  SWEET CONNECTION         (moquett e)BEJARANO R 121 12.00 ★    
  (by CONNECT out of WELL by WELL DECORATED)
 
OP-6   01/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IDRATHERBEBLESSED Dec18 Nov23 Oct23 Sep25 Sep16 (hartman chris)JUAREZ NIK 117 5.00    
2  AIRTIME Nov14 Sep25 Aug21     (ortiz alexa)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
3  RICH GOLD Dec02 Nov12 Oct10 Sep17 Aug21 (miller p)SANTANA JR 119 3.00    
4  HAROLD'S CLOUD Dec23 Nov23 Oct23     (stidham m)TORRES A 122 15.00 27% 2.80    
5  DIXIE FURY Dec31 Nov11 Sep24 Sep18   (casse w)CABRERA DAVID 114 2.00 48% 1.10    
6  RIVER BOY Dec19 Nov25 Oct23 Oct05 Sep11 (sharp joe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 117 3.50 ★    
7  ROCKING ROCKET Jan08 Dec10 Aug21     (lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 20.00    
8  LORD GRANTHAM Dec31 Nov26 Nov02 Sep24 Aug27 (hartman chris)ZIMMERMAN R 114 10.00 ★    
9  SUITABLE Nov26 Nov19 Oct14 Aug27   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 114 15.00 ★    
 
OP-7   01/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($45K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RELIANT Jan15 Dec14 Dec01 Nov19 Nov04 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 122 15.00    
2  ITALIAN JUSTICE Jan01 Nov30 Nov15 Sep29 Sep11 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 122 15.00 8% 11.00    
3  STORMING LADY Dec02 Oct21 Sep04 Aug14 Jun11 (miller p)SANTANA JR 122 2.50 ★    
SCR  CANT BE TOUCHED Jan01 Nov25 Nov03 Oct02 Sep18 (garcia genaro)CABRERA DAVID 122 30.00    
5  LA MORENA Jan01 Dec18 Dec09 Nov22 Nov15 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 119 20.00    
6  A REAL JEWEL Jan01 Aug24 Jul27 Jul08 Jun23 (compton greg)JUAREZ NIK 122 6.00 ★    
7  EMPIRE PASS Dec09 Oct08 Sep17 Sep02 Aug04 (diodoro r)TORRES A 122 1.80 43% 1.30    
SCR  COST A FORTUNE Jan15 Nov21 Nov02 Oct12 Sep17 (dixon tim)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 20.00    
9  EMERALD PRINCESS Oct08 Aug27 Jul17 Jun19 May28 (robertson mc)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 10.00    
10  JETS A GINNIN Dec10 Oct30 Oct08 Sep17 Sep03 (becker sc)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 4.50 25% 3.00    
 
OP-8   01/29/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($106K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINTERWOOD Jan08 Dec17 Nov02 Sep17 Jul15 (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 124 6.00 8% 11.10    
2  KUPUNA Dec31 Nov25 Mar26 Feb19 Jan15 (calhoun william )JUAREZ NIK 124 3.50    
3  DISC JOCKEY Dec17 Nov08 Oct14 Sep23 Sep03 (diodoro r)TORRES A 124 2.50 14% 6.20    
4  PRESIDENTIAL May30 Apr16 Mar19 Jan22   (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 5.00    
5  TIZ RYE TIME Jan07 Nov12 Oct22 Oct01 Aug01 (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00 8% 11.50    
6  FULL CHARGE Dec11 Nov24 Nov02 Oct09 Aug15 (west eth)SANTANA JR 121 12.00    
7  NUMBER ONE DUDE Dec17 Nov21 Oct21 Sep23 Jun11 (stewart dalla)CABRERA DAVID 118 4.00 31% 2.30    
8  CALIBRATE Jan07 Nov20 Oct28 Aug25 Jul27 (rosin w)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 20.00 7% 13.30    
9  MOWINS Dec11 Nov12 Oct05 Sep13 Aug24 (lauer michael)COURT K 118 30.00    
 
OP-9   01/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($104K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PISTOL Nov16 Oct12 Sep25 Sep08 Jul29 (van thom)CABRERA DAVID 118 10.00    
2  PIPELINE GIRL Jan01 Oct25 Sep21 Aug02 Jun28 (amoss m)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
3  LADY GOLDSTART Dec09 Nov10 Oct19 Aug21 Jun25 (cano jua)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 34% 1.90    
4  SUE ELLEN MISHKIN Jan01 Nov25 Nov06 Oct15 Jul27 (shirer ma)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 10.00    
SCR  GUNNING Sep24 Aug14 Jul02 Jun04   (mcpeek kennet)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.00 ★    
6  SUPER WONDER GIRL Jan01 Dec01 Nov21 Oct19 Sep29 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 8.00    
7  LOFTHOUSE Dec09 Nov06 Oct04 Aug03 Jun23 (martin wil)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 30.00    
8  SECRET FIX Dec30 Nov26 Oct23 Sep02 Jul24 (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 3.00 19% 4.40    
9  OFF RAMP Dec30 Nov15 Oct16 Sep08 Aug14 (rosin w)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 30.00    
10  SAND AND SEA May15 Apr22 Mar27     (mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00    
11  SUMMER SHOES Dec30 Mar27 Mar06     (swearingen to)BAILEY CHEL-C 119 3.50 21% 3.80    
12  BLACK KAT TAPS Jan01 Oct14 Sep18 Sep05 Aug15 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 118 30.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.