Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Wednesday - June 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (3/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/5)-(3/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/8/5)-(3/8/5)-(3/8/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/8/5)-(3/8/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/8/5)-(3/8/5/2)-(10/2/9/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-2   WIN (3/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/5/2)-(3/8/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/5/2)-(3/8/5/2)-(3/8/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/5/2)-(10/2/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/8/5/2)-(10/2/9/4)-(1/5/7/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CD-3   WIN (10/2/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/2/9/4)-(10/2/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/2/9/4)-(10/2/9/4)-(10/2/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/2/9/4)-(1/5/7/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/2/9/4)-(1/5/7/9)-(8/6/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-4   WIN (1/5/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/9)-(1/5/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/9)-(1/5/7/9)-(1/5/7/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/7/9)-(8/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7/9)-(8/6/2)-(3/9/1/7/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-5   WIN (8/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/2)-(8/4/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/2)-(8/4/6/2/3)-(8/4/6/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/6/2)-(3/9/1/7/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/6/2)-(3/9/1/7/8)-(7/4/6/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-6   WIN (3/9/1/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/9/1/7/8)-(3/9/1/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/9/1/7/8)-(3/9/1/7/8)-(3/9/1/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/9/1/7/8)-(7/4/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/9/1/7/8)-(7/4/6/2)-(6/9/10/4/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
CD-7   WIN (7/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/6/2)-(7/4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/6/2)-(7/4/6/2)-(7/4/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/6/2)-(6/9/10/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/4/6/2)-(6/9/10/4/8)-(8/10/5/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-8   WIN (6/9/10/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/9/10/4/8)-(6/9/10/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/10/4/8)-(6/9/10/4/8)-(6/9/10/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/9/10/4/8)-(8/10/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CD-9   WIN (8/10/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/10/5/3)-(8/10/4/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/10/5/3)-(8/10/4/5/3)-(8/10/4/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   06/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WATCH ME NOW May25         (desormeaux kei)CURTIS BEN 118 12.00    
2  EERIE'S SONG Apr16         (hols)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 10.00    
3  KEEPING THE FAITH May10         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 48% 1.10    
4  LIVEHAPPY May08 Apr13 Mar01 Feb13 Jan01 (radosevich)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00    
5  BRIGHT LIGHTS JOE Apr30 Apr04 Mar15     (walsh brendan)SHEEHY DANIEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SKYLER Mar07 Feb15 Jan16 Jan01 Nov23 (foster eric)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 4.00    
7  BEEZER Apr30 May11 Apr13     (williamson b)BARBOSA CARLOS 124 12.00    
8  BOTE May17 Apr13 Mar23 Feb23 Jan25 (pomier chasey)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  PHENOMENAL DREAM May17 May03 Mar28 Mar01 Feb02 (shorter aaron)GRAHAM J 124 4.50    
 
CD-2   06/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MERLOTTI May17 Apr29 Jan02 Nov22 Nov01 (wainwright )ARRIETA REYNIER 125 15.00    
2  PLAY THE TRUMPET Jan13 Dec15 Sep25 Sep05 Jun08 (jacobson dav)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  NO NO JOE May20 May03 Apr10 Feb28 Feb01 (pino v)LANERIE J 123 3.00 54% 0.90    
4  SPANISH WELLS May01 Mar14 Jul18 Jun29 Jun09 (forster gr)HERNANDEZ J 123 8.00    
5  LEND IT TEWMEY May02 Mar14 Feb17 Jan26 Nov20 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 123 8.00 7% 14.00    
SCR  COMMITTEE OF ONE May16 Apr30 Mar07 Jan03 Dec20 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 123 4.50    
SCR  RIVALRY May25 Apr29 Mar28 Mar02 Mar14 (d'angelo jos)TORRES A 123 4.00    
8  VITEMENT May01 Feb22 Feb10 Dec22 Nov25 (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 123 6.00 15% 5.70    
9  MR. MELO May09 Feb15 Dec20 Oct31 Oct11 (hernandez re)MONCADA IRVING 120 6.00    
 
CD-3   06/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($57K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JUSTTAKETHECANNOLI May11 Feb15 Oct27     (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
2  RUSH TO GLORY May11 Mar30 Jan19 Oct26 Oct06 (hartman chris)CURTIS BEN 125 4.00 11% 8.20    
3  MORINGA May11 Apr16 Mar28 Mar07 Feb21 (chavez manu)GUTIERREZ MARIO 125 6.00    
4  EVERMORE May11 Apr11 Feb21 Jan17 Dec11 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FAB GIRL Apr11 Mar09 Feb02     (medina rob)HUSBANDS J 113 8.00    
6  B. SWIFTY Apr24 Mar21       (bahena i)RODRIGUEZ A 118 15.00    
7  READING TIME Apr16 Dec28       (eurton peter)BEJARANO R 118 6.00    
8  REIGN CHAMPAGNE May11 Nov06 Sep19 Aug31 Jul29 (scherer maria)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00    
9  VIOLENCES OHR May26 Apr16 Mar03     (sweezey ke)MONCADA IRVING 113 8.00 11% 8.40    
10  RIDE THE BROOM May01 Mar30 Feb08     (damato ph)TORRES A 118 2.50 43% 1.30    
 
CD-4   06/04/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($62K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL BREEZZY Apr18 Feb17 Dec29 Nov28 Oct19 (molloy thomas)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 3.50 39% 1.50    
2  POUR A LITTLE MORE Apr29 Dec12 Nov09     (drury jr)CURTIS BEN 124 5.00    
3  TEGWAR May13 Apr18 Nov20 Oct23 Sep26 (wainwright )ARRIETA REYNIER 118 30.00    
SCR  SHEILA Apr17 Mar16       (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
5  GIVE HER ANOTHER May03 Mar06 Dec19 Nov23 Jun26 (walsh brenda)MONCADA IRVING 113 2.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  WELL AWARE Apr29 Mar26 Aug04 Jun24   (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 5.00    
7  MIGHTY RISKY Apr24 Mar20 Feb20     (forster t)LANERIE J 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  INSOLENTA May10 Mar29 Mar01     (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 124 6.00    
9  ROMANAYA Apr24 Mar22 Nov30     (gutierrez fa)GEROUX FLORENT 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-5   06/04/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MARIPOSA DE PISTA Apr17 Mar29 Mar13 Feb21 Jan17 (foster eric)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
2  PRINCESS POM POM May15 Mar19 Feb27 Feb02 Jan16 (forster t)LANERIE J 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  STORM BAY May08 Mar28 Feb27 Feb13 Jan15 (wismer glenn )MORALES EDGAR 123 20.00 ★    
4  BEELIEVE HER Apr10 Feb27 Jul20 Jun28 Jun08 (hartman chris)CURTIS BEN 123 3.00 ★    
SCR  JACKIE'S LOVE May08 Aug21 May09 Apr11 Feb01 (butcher james)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 123 12.00    
6  TROUBLE FREE Apr18 Feb20 Jan27 Dec27 Feb23 (williamson b)BARBOSA CARLOS 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  TRAVAILLE Mar07 Aug18 Jul14 Jun08 Apr27 (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 6.00    
8  POETICA May05 Mar13 Nov20 Sep29 Sep01 (eurton peter)DOYLE SOPHIE 123 2.00 74% 0.40    
9  STREET PAINTER May01 Apr24 Mar15 Feb14 Dec15 (shorter a)TORRES A 125 8.00    
10  TOO FAST FOR YOU Dec29 Nov17 Oct11 Sep14 Aug02 (west w)TORRES A 123 15.00    
11  DIVINE GAL May01 Mar30 Mar09 Jan23 Dec27 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 123 12.00    
 
CD-6   06/04/2025 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KIMBER SPICE Apr24 Mar21 Jun15 May17 Apr18 (lovell michell)DOYLE SOPHIE 125 8.00 7% 14.20    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SWEET PROMISES by BERNARDINI)
2  MISS AUTHENTIC May19 Apr06 Feb20 Dec29 Nov24 (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 118 3.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of VERTICAL VISION by POLLARD'S VISION)
3  CUE THE DUCKBOATS May02 Mar29       (mott william)TORRES A 118 2.50 44% 1.30    
  (by BERNARDINI out of CONQUEST CITY GIRL by CITY ZIP)
4  SUN LIGHTNING May02 Apr11       (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 20.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of GREENFIELD D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  LOBBY RENDEZVOUS Feb08 Dec29 Nov23 Nov02   (shirer matt)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 15.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of LUCKY MOVE by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
6  WIN FOR SPEIGHT Mar30 Feb20 Dec28 Mar23   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 125 5.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of NOTTE D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
7  ROYAL SUITE May01 Feb09       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of PRINCESS MARIAH by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
8  TOOLBELT May11         (caramori caio)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RAISON D'ETAT out of CABLEKNIT by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
9  ORAIA May02 Mar22       (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.50 27% 2.60    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TEXAS SPECIAL by LAABITY)
 
CD-7   06/04/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOBLE GENTLEMAN May10 Mar05 Feb08 Jan25 Jan05 (labra rogelio)MORALES EDGAR 123 10.00    
2  GOOD LORD Apr25 Apr04 Mar01 Jan31 Dec22 (santamaria car)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  GOOGOL JOKE May26 May01 Jan19 Dec14 Oct10 (medina robert)LANERIE J 123 4.50    
4  HANDSOME HERB Apr06 Mar02 Jan24 Jun30 Apr26 (hartman ch)HERNANDEZ J 123 3.00 13% 6.90    
5  STASHU May16 Mar27 Nov08 Oct17 Sep11 (wainwright )ARRIETA REYNIER 118 20.00    
6  AIRBORNE ELITE May01 Feb16 Jan26 Dec14 Nov06 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 123 2.50 8% 11.00    
7  REMI'S MOON Sep28         (waltz brian)MACHADO LUAN 123 4.00 51% 1.00    
8  SUMMONYOURCOURAGE May11 Apr16 Mar22 Jan29 Dec20 (esquivel jes)TORRES A 123 5.00    
 
CD-8   06/04/2025 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SURF CITY Apr17 Nov08 Oct11 Sep11 Jul20 (oliver victoria)CURTIS BEN 123 8.00    
SCR  LET IT RIDE Apr30 Apr09 Jul26 May10 Mar02 (weaver geor)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00    
3  EDGE TO EDGE Apr30 Apr11 Jan25 Dec20 Jun08 (hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00    
4  SCRIPT Mar26 Feb23 Jan04 Nov15 Oct17 (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BAD BEAT BRIAN Apr30 Dec13 Nov15 Oct25 Jun08 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 10.00    
6  THAT'S RIGHT Apr18 Jan25 Dec21 Oct23 Sep07 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 3.00 26% 2.80    
7  LET MY PEOPLE GO Mar15 Feb23 Dec20 Nov24 Oct05 (sharp joe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 8.00    
8  B D VALESKI Apr30 Mar15 Feb23 Dec21 Nov15 (foley greg)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  TEST FACTOR Apr30 Mar28 Feb22 Jan19 Dec05 (crichton roh)TORRES A 121 6.00 25% 2.90    
10  DHABAB (IRE) Apr30 Mar15 Feb15 Nov24 Oct05 (vaughan edward)LANERIE J 121 5.00 25% 3.00    
11  TODDCHERO May01 Apr10 Feb22 Feb08 Jan18 (danner kelse)TORRES A 121 20.00    
SCR  STEP FORWARD Sep28 Sep01 Aug10 Jul28 Jun29 (casse mar)TORRES A 121 10.00    
SCR  FUNTASTIC VOW May12 Apr24 Oct28 Oct08 Sep03 (west m)MORALES EDGAR 123 10.00    
SCR  HILARIOUS AFFAIR Apr09 Mar22 Jan29 Dec20 Nov16 (maker michael )MACHADO LUAN 121 8.00    
 
CD-9   06/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($83K) 3 F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TENTACION Mar26         (joseph saf)HUSBANDS J 115 10.00    
2  MISS ELLE Apr26 Mar30 Jul15 Jun07 May02 (medina ro)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00    
3  MASCARA May14 Apr17 Mar21 Nov06 Jul31 (troiani n)TORRES A 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  DAISY DUKE Apr25 Mar14 Feb28 Jan23 Oct26 (moquett r)LEPAROUX R 120 4.00 ★    
5  SCYTHIA May16 Apr25       (king l)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  MOM'S CHEESECAKE May08 Apr07 Mar06 Feb14 Dec26 (kerrick l)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 30.00    
7  MEZCALIFORNIA May22 Apr07 Mar06 Feb14 Dec20 (baker james)MONCADA IRVING 117 5.00    
8  STRONG STATE Sep14 Aug31 Jul11 Jun16   (stall m)GRAHAM J 120 3.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  KENTUCKY SMOKESHOW Apr25 Mar22 Mar01 Jan31 Nov06 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 120 15.00    
10  TRUE PASSION May11 Apr18 Mar30     (briley lonnie)LANERIE J 122 2.50 26% 2.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.