Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Colonial Downs
Thursday - March 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CNL-2   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $8.80 $2.80 47%
CNL-3   DD (1/3/2)-(2/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00  3-4 $17.00 $8.00 89%
CNL-4   TRI (7/4/2)-(7/4/2)-(7/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00  4-7-2 $6.50 $3.50 117%
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(2/4/1)-(7/4/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00  3-4-4 $54.50 $27.50 102%
CNL-5   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $12.20 $6.20 103%
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-1 $12.60 $6.60 110%
    DD (7/4/2)-(1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00  4-3 $16.20 $7.20 80%
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(7/4/2)-(1/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00  4-4-3 $49.60 $22.60 84%
    PK4 (1/3/2)-(2/4/1)-(7/4/2)-(1/3/4) 81 $0.50 $40.50  3-4-4-3 $100.25 $59.75 148%
CNL-6   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $12.20 $6.20 103%
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00  4-5 $21.20 $12.20 136%
    DD (1/3/4)-(4/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  3-4 $39.10 $30.10 334%
    PK3 (7/4/2)-(1/3/4)-(4/1/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00  4-3-4 $85.30 $58.30 216%
CNL-7   WIN (8/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $7.60 $3.60 90%
    EXA (8/1)-(8/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00  1-8 $7.40 $5.40 270%
    DD (4/1/5)-(8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-1 $38.80 $32.80 547%
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(4/1/5)-(8/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00  3-4-1 $148.80 $130.80 727%
CNL-8   DD (8/1)-(1/6/2/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00  1-6 $19.60 $11.60 145%
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(8/1)-(1/6/2/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00  4-1-6 $151.50 $127.50 531%
    PK4 (1/3/4)-(4/1/5)-(8/1)-(1/6/2/4) 72 $0.50 $36.00  3-4-1-6 $327.90 $291.90 811%
    PK5 (7/4/2)-(1/3/4)-(4/1/5)-(8/1)-(1/6/2/4) 216 $0.50 $108  4-3-4-1-6 $1222 $1114 1032%
    PK6 (2/4/1)-(7/4/2)-(1/3/4)-(4/1/5)-(8/1)-(1/6/2/4) 648 $1.00 $648  4-4-3-4-1-6 $970.20 $322.20 50%
Simulator Race results
 
CNL-1   03/13/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:221 :444 1:102     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TETHERED SOUL 1 2 1nk 2nk   1½ 11 (gutierrez fa)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 2.50    
4  FORTY LOVE 4 3 32 31   2½ 21 (eurton pet)SANCHEZ J 122 2.00 25% 2.90   P
2  NEVER TILL NOW 2 4 42½ 41½   41 31¼ (ashby lynn)CEDENO CAROL 122 10.00    
5  FREE DANCE 5 5 55 53   51¼ 41¾ (handal raymon)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 1.40 27% 2.70    
3  ECUMENICAL 3 1 2nk 1nk   3½ 55¾ (mcmahon hug)HAMILTON WESTON 122 6.00 22% 3.50    
 
CNL-2   03/13/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($38K) 3 F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:11     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BLESSED CANDY 3 2 21½ 41¼   11 13¾ (machado anto)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 2.00 14% 6.00 3.40 W
5  MY DEAR ANTONIA 5 1 42 31   32½ 23¾ (mancilla carlo)TORREALBA JG 118 2.50 2.20  
1  GOLDEN PHILLY 1 3 32 2nk   21 34¼ (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 120 1.00 59% 0.70 0.90 S
2  THE FEISTY ONE 2 5 54 52¾   55½ 410¾ (lawrence jame)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00 7.70  
4  VANAKA 4 4 11½ 1nk   44½ 516¾ (ashby lynn)DEL SARA 111 15.00 14.50  
 
CNL-3   03/13/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:232 :453 :57     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BALLAD OF WARRIOR 3 2 11½ 11½   13 11¾ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 2.00 20% 4.10 1.90 W
2  CRAB DADDY 1 3 31½ 31½   23 21¾ (albert l)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 120 1.40 54% 0.80 0.50 P
3  SCHRADER 2 1 43 44   47½ 37 (mcmahon hug)HAMILTON WESTON 120 15.00 12.60  
6  WHO SAYS SO 4 4 21½ 21½   37 413 (allen ferr)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 15.00 4.60  
SCR  MIDNIGHT KOA               (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 20.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT MESA               (contreras )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.00    
SCR  RAY OF SUNSHINE               (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00 6% 16.40    
SCR  SUPER PUNCHER               (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00    
 
CNL-4   03/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:05
See original race card.
:223 :45 :564     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SHAPE NOTE 3 2 2½ 3½   2nk 1¾ (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 26% 2.90 1.50 W
7  NANCY MADE MY DAY 5 4 1½ 1½   1nk 2¾ (farrior anth)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 2.00 53% 0.90 0.80 P
2  MOWINS 2 1 42½ 43½   44¼ 35½ (lauer michael)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00 5% 19.00 4.20 S
1  CAPITAL CONQUEST 1 5 56½ 55½   55¾ 49½ (lake a)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 10.00 11.40  
6  BATTLE OF BASTOGNE 4 3 3½ 2½   34 514½ (ovando melvi)DIAZ JR 120 20.00 53.80  
SCR  QUICK TEMPO               (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 1.40    
SCR  STOP THE SPREAD               (caramori)DAVIS A 120 15.00    
 
CNL-5   03/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($93.75K) 3 ALL PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:223 :452 :572     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SUMMERINTHECOUNTRY 3 2 2½ 21   21½ 1hd (mcmahon)BRICENO GREGOR 122 2.50 18% 4.60 5.10 W
  (by UPSTART out of SUMMER KISS by SUMMER FRONT)
1  STORMIN SAMMY 1 3 1½ 11   11½ 2hd (sells rachel)DAVIS KATIE 122 2.00 30% 2.30 2.00 P
  (by IRONICUS out of ALPHA STORM by ALPHA)
2  HYDRUS 2 5 31½ 33½   34 31¼ (ryan s)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 4.00 1.00  
  (by VEKOMA out of ELUSIVELY by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
4  KALADIN 4 6 53 44½   45½ 41¾ (ashby lynn)VEGA L 122 15.00 14% 6.00 24.10  
  (by STREET MAGICIAN out of FLIRT ALERT by PARISIANPROSPECTOR)
8  LATIN REBEL 6 1 41½ 55½   56 51¾ (shuman mark)HAMILTON WESTON 122 20.00 68.20  
  (by HOLY BOSS out of MISSSAVANNAH'SBABE by OFFLEE WILD)
5  FALCON BLUE 5 4 64 67½   67 62¾ (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 122 3.50 4.60  
  (by BARBADOS (IRE) out of FLIRTATION WALK by OUTFLANKER)
SCR  CANDY MAN MARTIN               (lucas anthon)DIAZ JR 122 30.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of ELLIE MARTIN by OLMODAVOR)
SCR  DEMBE ZUMA               (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of TAKE A VOW by PULPIT)
 
CNL-6   03/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:221 :451 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MENDYS HONEY 4 3 3.2 2½   2nk 11 (farrior anth)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 4.50 33% 2.10 5.10 W
5  MY FLICKER 5 4 63¼ 72¾   31½ 21 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.00 16% 5.20 2.40 P
7  GOLDEN ROCKET 7 2 42¾ 51¾   52¼ 32¼ (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 5.00 9.60  
2  POETICA 2 6 1nk 1½   1nk 42¼ (eurton peter)CRUZ ANGEL 122 6.00 3.60  
6  MATTITUDE 6 5 75¼ 41½   42 54¼ (magana jose)HAMILTON WESTON 122 20.00 27.50  
3  SUMMER ODDS 3 7 85¾ 62¾   72¾ 67¼ (mcclure diana )BOYCE FOREST 122 30.00 43.10  
1  CUZ UR PRETTY 1 1 2nk 83¼   84¾ 77½ (sanchez-sal)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 2.50 26% 2.90 1.90  
8  BEST CUPCAKE 8 8 53¼ 31½   62¾ 810¾ (lauer michael)DAVIS KATIE 122 5.00 ★ 15.80  
 
CNL-7   03/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
See original race card.
:221 :451 :564     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRSTLADY ROSALYNN 1 2 12 11½   14 15 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 6.00 6% 16.90 2.80 W
8  ALANI 4 3 22 21½   24 25 (moore michael )PENNINGTON F 122 2.00 56% 0.80 0.40 P
2  THREE COATS 2 1 48 46½   47 37¼ (lauer michael)DAVIS KATIE 122 3.50 4.10  
3  FUHGEDDABOUDIT 3 4 33 33   35½ 49½ (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 20.00 9.60  
SCR  APPEAL FACTOR               (stidham michae)TORREALBA JG 122 8.00    
SCR  DI'S SURPRISE               (mcmahon)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 5.00    
SCR  HAPPY CLOUDS               (gillespie a)ACOSTA D 122 15.00    
SCR  SUSAN'S MULE               (mancilla )CARRASCO R 122 4.50    
 
CNL-8   03/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($93.75K) 3 ALL PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:223 :453 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  VILLAGE PERSON 5 4 2½ 2nk   11 11¼ (klesaris ste)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.50 25% 3.00 2.60 W
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of CLASSIC MELODY by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
9  ENDURING GOLD 7 5 31 3½   21 21¼ (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 122 6.00 4.40  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of TIMELESS TREASURE by DROSSELMEYER)
1  ZIO LINO 1 3 1½ 1nk   31½ 34¾ (dilodovico dam)TORREALBA JG 122 2.50 46% 1.20 2.70 S
  (by UNCLE LINO out of PICNIC PARTY by BELLAMY ROAD)
4  BOUNDFORABRUISIN 3 2 41½ 44½   46½ 46¼ (craig armonte)CRUZ ANGEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00 17.20  
  (by JUBA out of BOUND TO by BOUNDARY)
2  WISH ON JUBA 2 1 65 55   57½ 57½ (lucas anthon)DIAZ JR 122 8.00 8% 12.30 16.10  
  (by JUBA out of WINDSOR'S WISH by WINDSOR CASTLE)
5  GUCCI VISION 4 6 52½ 65½   67½ 610½ (lawrence jame)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 4.50 1.70  
  (by VIOLENCE out of FRIPPERY by CITY ZIP)
7  THE COLDEST ONE 6 7 79 710½   713 714¾ (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 30.00 82.60  
  (by KOBE'S BACK out of DELIGHTFUL ERIN by ROCK HARD TEN)
SCR  CHUCKY OUR LAW               (galligan ge)HAMILTON WESTON 122 30.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of IT'S A TREND by BELLAMY ROAD)
SCR  ROCK OF AGES               (contreras )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of CLEFT IN THE ROCK by ARCH)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.