Handicappers' Racing Form

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Colonial Downs
Thursday - March 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CNL-1   Win (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CNL-2   Win (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CNL-3   Win (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CNL-4   Win (7/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CNL-5   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CNL-6   Win (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CNL-7   Win (8/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CNL-8   Win (1/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CNL-1   03/13/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT-12:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TETHERED SOUL Sep19         (gutierrez faus)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 2.50    
NEVER TILL NOW Sep26 Sep14       (ashby lynn)CEDENO CAROL 122 10.00    
ECUMENICAL Feb14 Jan25 Oct27 Sep28   (mcmahon hugh )HAMILTON WESTON 122 6.00 22% 3.50    
FORTY LOVE Feb08         (eurton peter)SANCHEZ J 122 2.00 25% 2.90    
FREE DANCE Feb14 Jan11 Dec08 Nov02 Oct06 (handal raymond)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 1.40 27% 2.70    
 
CNL-2   03/13/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($38K) 3 F PT- 1:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN PHILLY Feb22 Feb01 Jan13 Dec20 Oct23 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 120 1.00 59% 0.70    
THE FEISTY ONE Feb23 Jan17 Nov28 Jun16 May27 (lawrence james )TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
BLESSED CANDY Feb26 Jan26 Dec01 Nov16 Aug31 (machado antoni)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 2.00 14% 6.00    
VANAKA Jan13 Oct30 Oct11 Sep25 Sep14 (ashby lynn)DEL SARA 111 15.00    
MY DEAR ANTONIA Feb22 Feb02 Jan17 Nov16 Oct25 (mancilla carlos )TORREALBA JG 118 2.50    
 
CNL-3   03/13/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 1:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAY OF SUNSHINE Feb22         (contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00 6% 16.40    
CRAB DADDY Feb22 Jan25 Dec30 Nov27 Nov09 (albert lin)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 120 1.40 54% 0.80    
SCHRADER Feb16 Dec27 Dec14 Nov28 Oct20 (mcmahon hugh )HAMILTON WESTON 120 15.00    
BALLAD OF WARRIOR Mar06 Dec30 Nov27 Oct21 Oct07 (kulp brandon )RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 2.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  SUPER PUNCHER Feb28 Feb01 Jan03 Dec07   (carlisle john)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00    
WHO SAYS SO Oct18 Sep29 Aug31     (allen ferris)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 15.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT MESA Feb01         (contreras ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.00    
MIDNIGHT KOA Feb22 Jan15 Dec11 Nov27 Oct26 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 20.00    
 
CNL-4   03/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPITAL CONQUEST Feb26 Jan13 Dec09 Nov27 Oct14 (lake a)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 10.00    
MOWINS Dec27 Nov24 Oct02 Sep06 Aug27 (lauer michael)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STOP THE SPREAD Jan26 Jan11 Nov20 Oct30 Oct07 (caramori e)DAVIS A 120 15.00    
SHAPE NOTE Feb21 Feb01 Jan09 Dec20 Nov17 (farrior antho)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  QUICK TEMPO Feb28 Feb06 Jan18 Dec10 May06 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 1.40    
BATTLE OF BASTOGNE Feb06 Jan24 Jan17 Dec12 Nov14 (ovando melvin )DIAZ JR 120 20.00    
NANCY MADE MY DAY Feb21 Feb01 Jan18 Dec28 Nov29 (farrior anthon)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 2.00 53% 0.90    
 
CNL-5   03/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($93.75K) 3 ALL PT- 2:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORMIN SAMMY Mar01 Jan24 Dec08 Nov18 Oct28 (sells rachel)DAVIS KATIE 122 2.00 30% 2.30    
HYDRUS         (ryan s)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 4.00    
SUMMERINTHECOUNTRY Feb02 Sep15 Aug25 Aug03 Jul20 (mcmahon h)BRICENO GREGOR 122 2.50 18% 4.60    
KALADIN Dec22 Nov15 Oct11 Sep26   (ashby lynn)VEGA L 122 15.00 14% 6.00    
FALCON BLUE Feb14         (keefe l)BOYCE FOREST 122 3.50    
SCR  CANDY MAN MARTIN Feb22 Jan24 Jan04 Dec05 Oct26 (lucas anthony)DIAZ JR 122 30.00    
SCR  DEMBE ZUMA Feb22 Jan31 Jan03 Dec07   (carlisle john)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00    
LATIN REBEL Feb08 Jan18 Dec13 Dec01 Oct31 (shuman mark)HAMILTON WESTON 122 20.00    
 
CNL-6   03/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUZ UR PRETTY Feb14 Dec28 Oct09 Sep17 Jul22 (sanchez-salom)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 2.50 26% 2.90    
POETICA Nov20 Sep29 Sep01 Aug05 Nov12 (eurton peter)CRUZ ANGEL 122 6.00    
SUMMER ODDS Dec21 Oct11 Sep22 Aug31 Sep30 (mcclure diana)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 30.00    
MENDYS HONEY Dec06 Nov09 Oct12 Sep13 Aug30 (farrior anthon)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 4.50 33% 2.10    
MY FLICKER Feb14 May25 May12 Apr07 Mar16 (russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.00 16% 5.20    
MATTITUDE Feb14 Jan10 Dec28 Dec15 Nov29 (magana j)HAMILTON WESTON 122 20.00    
GOLDEN ROCKET Feb14 Jan19 Dec27 Nov23 Oct27 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 5.00    
BEST CUPCAKE Dec19 Nov28 Oct04 Aug21 Jul31 (lauer michael)DAVIS KATIE 122 5.00    
 
CNL-7   03/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRSTLADY ROSALYNN Feb19 Nov27 Jun23 May15   (russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 6.00 6% 16.90    
THREE COATS Oct15 Oct02 Sep10 Aug21 Jul31 (lauer michael)DAVIS KATIE 122 3.50    
FUHGEDDABOUDIT Jul20 Jun28 May16 Apr28 Apr12 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 20.00    
SCR  HAPPY CLOUDS Jan18 Nov23 Oct17 Aug23 Jul28 (gillespie a)ACOSTA D 122 15.00    
SCR  SUSAN'S MULE Dec06 Oct17 Aug22 Jul19 Jun23 (mancilla ca)CARRASCO R 122 4.50    
SCR  DI'S SURPRISE Jan24 Dec28 Oct10 Sep19 Aug29 (mcmahon h)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 5.00    
SCR  APPEAL FACTOR Jul14 Jun15 Aug06 Jul09   (stidham michael)TORREALBA JG 122 8.00    
ALANI Jan13 Dec18 Nov16 Oct21 Aug24 (moore m)PENNINGTON F 122 2.00 56% 0.80    
 
CNL-8   03/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($93.75K) 3 ALL PT- 4:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZIO LINO Feb21         (dilodovico damon)TORREALBA JG 122 2.50 46% 1.20    
WISH ON JUBA Feb22 Feb01       (lucas anthony)DIAZ JR 122 8.00 8% 12.30    
SCR  CHUCKY OUR LAW Feb19         (galligan gera)HAMILTON WESTON 122 30.00    
BOUNDFORABRUISIN         (craig armonte)CRUZ ANGEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
GUCCI VISION Feb02         (lawrence james )TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 4.50    
VILLAGE PERSON         (klesaris steve)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
THE COLDEST ONE Feb22 Feb06 Jan31 Jan10 Dec07 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 30.00    
SCR  ROCK OF AGES Feb21 Jan31 Jan11     (contreras ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00    
ENDURING GOLD Feb14         (trombetta mi)SANCHEZ J 122 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.