Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Thursday - March 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CNL-1   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(1/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(1/3/2)-(2/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CNL-2   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(2/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(2/4/1)-(7/4/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CNL-3   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(7/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(7/4/2)-(1/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CNL-4   WIN (7/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/2)-(7/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/2)-(7/4/2)-(7/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/2)-(1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2)-(1/3/4)-(4/1/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CNL-5   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(4/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(4/1/5)-(8/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CNL-6   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5/8)-(4/1/5/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(8/1)-(1/6/2/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CNL-7   WIN (8/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/1)-(8/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (8/1)-(1/6/2/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
CNL-8   WIN (1/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/4)-(1/6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/4)-(1/6/2/4)-(1/6/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   03/13/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TETHERED SOUL Sep19         (gutierrez fa)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 2.50    
2  NEVER TILL NOW Sep26 Sep14       (ashby lynn)CEDENO CAROL 122 10.00    
3  ECUMENICAL Feb14 Jan25 Oct27 Sep28   (mcmahon hug)HAMILTON WESTON 122 6.00 22% 3.50    
4  FORTY LOVE Feb08         (eurton pet)SANCHEZ J 122 2.00 25% 2.90    
5  FREE DANCE Feb14 Jan11 Dec08 Nov02 Oct06 (handal raymon)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 1.40 27% 2.70    
 
CNL-2   03/13/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($38K) 3 F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN PHILLY Feb22 Feb01 Jan13 Dec20 Oct23 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 120 1.00 59% 0.70    
2  THE FEISTY ONE Feb23 Jan17 Nov28 Jun16 May27 (lawrence jame)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  BLESSED CANDY Feb26 Jan26 Dec01 Nov16 Aug31 (machado anto)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 2.00 14% 6.00    
4  VANAKA Jan13 Oct30 Oct11 Sep25 Sep14 (ashby lynn)DEL SARA 111 15.00    
5  MY DEAR ANTONIA Feb22 Feb02 Jan17 Nov16 Oct25 (mancilla carlo)TORREALBA JG 118 2.50    
 
CNL-3   03/13/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RAY OF SUNSHINE Feb22         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00 6% 16.40    
2  CRAB DADDY Feb22 Jan25 Dec30 Nov27 Nov09 (albert l)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 120 1.40 54% 0.80    
3  SCHRADER Feb16 Dec27 Dec14 Nov28 Oct20 (mcmahon hug)HAMILTON WESTON 120 15.00    
4  BALLAD OF WARRIOR Mar06 Dec30 Nov27 Oct21 Oct07 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 2.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  SUPER PUNCHER Feb28 Feb01 Jan03 Dec07   (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00    
6  WHO SAYS SO Oct18 Sep29 Aug31     (allen ferr)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 15.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT MESA Feb01         (contreras )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT KOA Feb22 Jan15 Dec11 Nov27 Oct26 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 20.00    
 
CNL-4   03/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPITAL CONQUEST Feb26 Jan13 Dec09 Nov27 Oct14 (lake a)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 10.00    
2  MOWINS Dec27 Nov24 Oct02 Sep06 Aug27 (lauer michael)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STOP THE SPREAD Jan26 Jan11 Nov20 Oct30 Oct07 (caramori)DAVIS A 120 15.00    
4  SHAPE NOTE Feb21 Feb01 Jan09 Dec20 Nov17 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  QUICK TEMPO Feb28 Feb06 Jan18 Dec10 May06 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 1.40    
6  BATTLE OF BASTOGNE Feb06 Jan24 Jan17 Dec12 Nov14 (ovando melvi)DIAZ JR 120 20.00    
7  NANCY MADE MY DAY Feb21 Feb01 Jan18 Dec28 Nov29 (farrior anth)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 2.00 53% 0.90    
 
CNL-5   03/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($93.75K) 3 ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORMIN SAMMY Mar01 Jan24 Dec08 Nov18 Oct28 (sells rachel)DAVIS KATIE 122 2.00 30% 2.30    
  (by IRONICUS out of ALPHA STORM by ALPHA)
2  HYDRUS         (ryan s)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 4.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of ELUSIVELY by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
3  SUMMERINTHECOUNTRY Feb02 Sep15 Aug25 Aug03 Jul20 (mcmahon)BRICENO GREGOR 122 2.50 18% 4.60    
  (by UPSTART out of SUMMER KISS by SUMMER FRONT)
4  KALADIN Dec22 Nov15 Oct11 Sep26   (ashby lynn)VEGA L 122 15.00 14% 6.00    
  (by STREET MAGICIAN out of FLIRT ALERT by PARISIANPROSPECTOR)
5  FALCON BLUE Feb14         (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 122 3.50    
  (by BARBADOS (IRE) out of FLIRTATION WALK by OUTFLANKER)
SCR  CANDY MAN MARTIN Feb22 Jan24 Jan04 Dec05 Oct26 (lucas anthon)DIAZ JR 122 30.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of ELLIE MARTIN by OLMODAVOR)
SCR  DEMBE ZUMA Feb22 Jan31 Jan03 Dec07   (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of TAKE A VOW by PULPIT)
8  LATIN REBEL Feb08 Jan18 Dec13 Dec01 Oct31 (shuman mark)HAMILTON WESTON 122 20.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of MISSSAVANNAH'SBABE by OFFLEE WILD)
 
CNL-6   03/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUZ UR PRETTY Feb14 Dec28 Oct09 Sep17 Jul22 (sanchez-sal)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 2.50 26% 2.90    
2  POETICA Nov20 Sep29 Sep01 Aug05 Nov12 (eurton peter)CRUZ ANGEL 122 6.00    
3  SUMMER ODDS Dec21 Oct11 Sep22 Aug31 Sep30 (mcclure dia)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 30.00    
4  MENDYS HONEY Dec06 Nov09 Oct12 Sep13 Aug30 (farrior anth)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 4.50 33% 2.10    
5  MY FLICKER Feb14 May25 May12 Apr07 Mar16 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.00 16% 5.20    
6  MATTITUDE Feb14 Jan10 Dec28 Dec15 Nov29 (magana jose)HAMILTON WESTON 122 20.00    
7  GOLDEN ROCKET Feb14 Jan19 Dec27 Nov23 Oct27 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 5.00    
8  BEST CUPCAKE Dec19 Nov28 Oct04 Aug21 Jul31 (lauer michael)DAVIS KATIE 122 5.00 ★    
 
CNL-7   03/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRSTLADY ROSALYNN Feb19 Nov27 Jun23 May15   (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 6.00 6% 16.90    
2  THREE COATS Oct15 Oct02 Sep10 Aug21 Jul31 (lauer michael)DAVIS KATIE 122 3.50    
3  FUHGEDDABOUDIT Jul20 Jun28 May16 Apr28 Apr12 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 20.00    
SCR  HAPPY CLOUDS Jan18 Nov23 Oct17 Aug23 Jul28 (gillespie a)ACOSTA D 122 15.00    
SCR  SUSAN'S MULE Dec06 Oct17 Aug22 Jul19 Jun23 (mancilla )CARRASCO R 122 4.50    
SCR  DI'S SURPRISE Jan24 Dec28 Oct10 Sep19 Aug29 (mcmahon)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 5.00    
SCR  APPEAL FACTOR Jul14 Jun15 Aug06 Jul09   (stidham michae)TORREALBA JG 122 8.00    
8  ALANI Jan13 Dec18 Nov16 Oct21 Aug24 (moore michael )PENNINGTON F 122 2.00 56% 0.80    
 
CNL-8   03/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($93.75K) 3 ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZIO LINO Feb21         (dilodovico dam)TORREALBA JG 122 2.50 46% 1.20    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of PICNIC PARTY by BELLAMY ROAD)
2  WISH ON JUBA Feb22 Feb01       (lucas anthon)DIAZ JR 122 8.00 8% 12.30    
  (by JUBA out of WINDSOR'S WISH by WINDSOR CASTLE)
SCR  CHUCKY OUR LAW Feb19         (galligan ge)HAMILTON WESTON 122 30.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of IT'S A TREND by BELLAMY ROAD)
4  BOUNDFORABRUISIN         (craig armonte)CRUZ ANGEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUBA out of BOUND TO by BOUNDARY)
5  GUCCI VISION Feb02         (lawrence jame)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 4.50    
  (by VIOLENCE out of FRIPPERY by CITY ZIP)
6  VILLAGE PERSON         (klesaris ste)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of CLASSIC MELODY by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
7  THE COLDEST ONE Feb22 Feb06 Jan31 Jan10 Dec07 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 30.00    
  (by KOBE'S BACK out of DELIGHTFUL ERIN by ROCK HARD TEN)
SCR  ROCK OF AGES Feb21 Jan31 Jan11     (contreras )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of CLEFT IN THE ROCK by ARCH)
9  ENDURING GOLD Feb14         (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 122 6.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of TIMELESS TREASURE by DROSSELMEYER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.