Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Friday - February 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
AQU-2   Win (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $2.90 $2.90  
AQU-3   Win (2/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $9.30 $9.30 3.30
AQU-4   Win (8/2/5/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $13.00 $13.00 3.00
AQU-5   Win (3/7/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $7.30 $7.30  
AQU-6   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.90 $3.90  
AQU-7   Win (4/8/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $5.10 $5.10  
AQU-8   Win (1/9/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $30.60  

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   02/14/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($82K) 3 ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:123     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
T KRAFT 3 5 4 41   1nk 1 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.00 35% 1.80 1.50 W
ICAN 4 4 1nk 2nk   2nk 2 (dutrow richard )FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.20 28% 2.60 0.85 P
RUN OF THE HOUSE 2 1 2nk 1nk   32 37 (handal ra)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 15.00 27.50  
GEORGIA MAGIC 5 3 3½ 3½   43 4 (handal r)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 8.00 10.50  
HAWKSTONE 1 2 5 5   56 510¾ (lynch cathal)SILVERA RUBEN 122 6.00 15% 5.50 6.60  
 
AQU-2   02/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 1:37
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:154 1:292   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RODEO STAR 5 1 31 31 1 16 111 (abreu r)COA J 120 1.20 41% 1.40 0.45 W
DEAR JOHN 2 4 5 4 2 26 211 (terranova p)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00 4.60  
DIVORCED OF COURSE 4 3 4 5 4 416 320¼ (martin car)VILLA FAVINHO 120 15.00 5% 19.00 30.25 S
GIANT'S AUDIBLE 1 5 2nk 1nk 3 311½ 424 (kantarmaci ilka)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 34% 2.00 2.85  
LAGUARDIA 3 2 1nk 2nk 511 519 526 (sanchez-pinero )SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00 17.80  
SCR  AH CA IRA               (abreu r)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50    
 
AQU-3   02/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:003     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONORARY DEGREE 5 5 5 42   11 1 (jones e)CEDENO CAROL 121 5.00 13% 7.00 3.65 W
CHARGING AERO 1 4 43 5   4 2 (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 121 1.80 49% 1.00 1.10 P
DADS GOOD RUNNER 2 2 2½ 1nk   31 3 (bhigroog chetr)HARKIE K 121 30.00 21.70  
GUN MAESTRO 3 3 3½ 2nk   21 4 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 20.00 16.30  
COLLECTED SPECIAL 4 1 1½ 3½   5 514¼ (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 121 10.00 11% 7.70 1.40  
SCR  CLUBHOUSE               (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 3.00    
SCR  MUST BE LOVE               (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50    
SCR  POWERFULLY BUILT               (abrams ja)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 6.00    
 
AQU-4   02/14/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($74K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:33
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:14     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEO'S REWARD 5 5 5 41   1nk 1 (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00 5% 18.20 5.50 W
VITALIZE 3 8 7 6   3.2 2 (donk david)LUZZI J 122 8.00 10.20  
PALACE BOSS 7 3 3½ 3½   2nk 33 (de horacio)DAVIS KATIE 122 4.00 8.70  
FERRIS MULER 4 4 2nk 2nk   5 4 (hosang p)BROWN DALTON 122 12.00 5% 19.00 15.20  
SCHLOMO 8 1 41 52   6 5 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.20 56% 0.80 0.70  
VAN VOLLENHOVEN 2 6 1nk 1nk   4 69 (duggan david)RIVERA R 122 6.00 15% 5.70 6.00  
FINDANAME 6 7 88 8   7 714¼ (sells rachel)DIAZ J 122 30.00 78.25  
RIDOLFI 9 2 6 7   8 817¾ (bond kevin)COA J 122 20.00 39.00  
TWIRLING VINE 1 9 911 911¾   912¼ 924½ (lugovich)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00 5% 19.00 50.50  
 
AQU-5   02/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:134 1:271   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICE ROAD 2 3 7 7 53 1nk 1¼ (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.50 59% 0.70 2.65 W
BROOKLYN STRONG 6 6 1nk 3½ 3 4 2¼ (velazquez daniel)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00 7% 12.90 3.85 P
ICE TIME 7 8 8 8 43 2nk 3¼ (ferraro w)LUZZI J 123 6.00 6.90  
ACTIVE DUTY (FR) 5 1 2nk 2nk 21 31 4 (atras rob)OLVER MADISON 123 4.50 1.90  
MASTERWORK 8 7 3.2 1nk 11 5 510 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 123 15.00 26.75  
INDIANQUEST 1 2 5 4¾ 6 7 616½ (ibrahim emron)HARKIE K 123 15.00 5% 19.00 10.80  
STEADY PROGRESS 3 4 6 6 7 6 716¾ (chatterpaul n)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 123 30.00 36.00  
WINE RESPONSIBLY 4 5 4¾ 5 8 811¼ 820½ (bhigroog )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 10.00 6% 14.80 9.30  
SCR  WINTER'S GHOST               (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 2.50    
 
AQU-6   02/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 3:34
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:141 1:264   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY MITOLE 1 2 2 2 1½ 14 1 (martin carlo)RIVERA R 122 3.00 37% 1.70 0.95 W
I'M SOLO N IN LOVE 2 5 57 58 4 3 2 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00 16.40  
AKINMUSIRE 3 4 42 3 32 24 37 (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00 29% 2.40 3.20 S
BRAVE BEAR 4 1 1 1 2½ 4 417¾ (friedman mitchel)LUZZI J 122 15.00 5% 19.00 22.90  
ARCADIAN 5 3 32 4 511½ 514 522½ (potts wayne)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50 1.85  
SCR  MCAFEE               (dutrow richard )FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.20    
SCR  MILLIBAR               (lawrence )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 30.00    
SCR  SARATOGA WARRIOR               (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00    
 
AQU-7   02/14/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:06
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:12     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGGELOS THE GREAT 3 6 53 31   11 1 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 34% 1.90 1.55 W
CALDO CANDY 7 7 31 21   21 2 (bond jame)COA J 121 6.00 15% 5.60 2.20 P
ACOUSTIC AVE 1 2 4 4   4 34 (potts wayne)LEZCANO JOSE 121 5.00 4.10  
HE'S GOT IT 4 5 7 54   5 4 (abreu r)CANCEL ERIC 123 10.00 15.70  
FACTUALLY CORRECT 5 1 11 11   3 5 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 121 10.00 12% 7.00 8.50  
FORWARD MOVE (IRE) 2 4 64 7   6 613 (rice lind)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 10.00 9.20  
ICY FLAVOR 6 3 21 6   717½ 731 (kimmel john )RIVERA R 121 12.00 7% 12.40 26.25  
SCR  MARIACHI               (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.60    
 
AQU-8   02/14/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($42K) 3 ALL PT- 4:38
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:133     1:21   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CELTIC PRINCE 7 3 3 2nk   2½ 11 (brion keri)FRANCO MANUEL 120 15.00 14.30  
FREE DANCE 1 7 78 610¼   66 21 (handal r)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 5.00 3.90 P
RUM CAY 2 5 11 1nk   1½ 3 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 7.70  
NINE N FOUR 4 6 4 46   34 42 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.50 2.65  
ROCK STAR REBEL 3 8 5 5   56 5 (baker charlton)COA J 120 15.00 5% 17.60 22.50  
RUN WITH HONOR 8 1 21 3   4 6 (englehart je)RIVERA R 120 6.00 31% 2.20 3.45  
E Z BOURBON 6 2 68 717¼   718 715½ (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 120 15.00 17.90  
INTELLECTUAL 5 4 915½ 924¾   921 818½ (clement christoph)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.00 32% 2.10 4.30  
10  KING SOLOMON 9 9 812½ 819¾   820½ 920 (d'alessan)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 30.00 32.00  
SCR  TOTAL SILENCE               (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00    
SCR  TWOHONESTMISCHIEF               (englehart chris)VIVES SOFIA 120 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.