Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Aqueduct
Friday - February 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-3   WIN (2/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $9.30 $3.30 55%
AQU-4   WIN (8/2/5/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $13.00 $3.00 30%
    DD (2/8/7)-(8/2/5/4/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00  8-5 $20.60 $5.60 37%
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(2/8/7)-(8/2/5/4/1) 45 $1.00 $45.00  6-8-5 $49.75 $4.75 11%
AQU-5   EXA (3/7/5/1)-(3/7/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-7 $24.50 $12.50 104%
    DD (8/2/5/4/1)-(3/7/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00  5-3 $27.50 $7.50 38%
    PK3 (2/8/7)-(8/2/5/4/1)-(3/7/5/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00  8-5-3 $102.75 $42.75 71%
    PK5 (3/4/1)-(6/1/5)-(2/8/7)-(8/2/5/4/1)-(3/7/5/1) 540 $0.50 $270  3-3/6-8-5-3 $395.75 $125.75 47%
AQU-6   PK3 (8/2/5/4/1)-(3/7/5/1)-(1/3/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00  5-3-1 $72.50 $12.50 21%
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   02/14/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($82K) 3 ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:123     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  T KRAFT 3 5 41½ 41   1nk 11¼ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.00 35% 1.80 1.50 W
4  ICAN 4 4 1nk 2nk   2nk 21¼ (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.20 28% 2.60 0.85 P
2  RUN OF THE HOUSE 2 1 2nk 1nk   32 37 (handal )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 15.00 27.50  
5  GEORGIA MAGIC 5 3 3½ 3½   43 48½ (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 8.00 10.50  
1  HAWKSTONE 1 2 51¾ 53½   56 510¾ (lynch cathal)SILVERA RUBEN 122 6.00 15% 5.50 6.60  
 
AQU-2   02/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 1:37
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:154 1:292   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  RODEO STAR 5 1 31 31 13½ 16 111 (abreu r)COA J 120 1.20 41% 1.40 0.45 W
2  DEAR JOHN 2 4 52¼ 41¼ 23½ 26 211 (terranova john )DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00 4.60  
5  DIVORCED OF COURSE 4 3 41¼ 53¾ 49½ 416 320¼ (martin c)VILLA FAVINHO 120 15.00 5% 19.00 30.25 S
1  GIANT'S AUDIBLE 1 5 2nk 1nk 33½ 311½ 424 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 34% 2.00 2.85  
4  LAGUARDIA 3 2 1nk 2nk 511 519 526 (sanchez-piner)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00 17.80  
SCR  AH CA IRA               (abreu r)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50    
 
AQU-3   02/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:003     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  HONORARY DEGREE 5 5 54½ 42   11 11¼ (jones eduardo )CEDENO CAROL 121 5.00 13% 7.00 3.65 W
2  CHARGING AERO 1 4 43 52¼   41¼ 21¼ (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 121 1.80 49% 1.00 1.10 P
3  DADS GOOD RUNNER 2 2 2½ 1nk   31 34½ (bhigroog che)HARKIE K 121 30.00 21.70  
6  GUN MAESTRO 3 3 3½ 2nk   21 45¼ (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 20.00 16.30  
7  COLLECTED SPECIAL 4 1 1½ 3½   53¼ 514¼ (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 121 10.00 11% 7.70 1.40  
SCR  CLUBHOUSE               (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 3.00    
SCR  MUST BE LOVE               (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50    
SCR  POWERFULLY BUILT               (abrams )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 6.00    
 
AQU-4   02/14/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($74K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:33
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:14     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LEO'S REWARD 5 5 51½ 41   1nk 11½ (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00 5% 18.20 5.50 W
  (by LEOFRIC out of FUTURE REWARD by EMPIRE MAKER)
3  VITALIZE 3 8 73½ 62¼   3.2 21½ (donk david)LUZZI J 122 8.00 10.20  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of TAKE IT ALL BACK by FLASHBACK)
7  PALACE BOSS 7 3 3½ 3½   2nk 33 (de horacio)DAVIS KATIE 122 4.00 8.70  
  (by LAOBAN out of QUEEN VICTORIA by BOLD LACHEE)
4  FERRIS MULER 4 4 2nk 2nk   51¼ 47¼ (hosang oliver )BROWN DALTON 122 12.00 5% 19.00 15.20  
  (by ARMY MULE out of CURIOUS LUCK by TRUST N LUCK)
8  SCHLOMO 8 1 41 52   61¾ 57¼ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.20 56% 0.80 0.70  
  (by FREUD out of IDIDN'TTELLAIMEE by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
2  VAN VOLLENHOVEN 2 6 1nk 1nk   41¼ 69 (duggan dav)RIVERA R 122 6.00 15% 5.70 6.00  
  (by BIG BROWN out of DUCASA by DISCREET CAT)
6  FINDANAME 6 7 88 88¼   77¼ 714¼ (sells rachel)DIAZ J 122 30.00 78.25  
  (by FORCE THE PASS out of SHALL TRY by ORIENTATE (GB))
9  RIDOLFI 9 2 62½ 72¾   87¾ 817¾ (bond kevin)COA J 122 20.00 39.00  
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of BEE NOTEWORTHY by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
1  TWIRLING VINE 1 9 911 911¾   912¼ 924½ (lugovi)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00 5% 19.00 50.50  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of OENOPHILE by PULPIT)
 
AQU-5   02/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:134 1:271   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ICE ROAD 2 3 75¾ 73¾ 53 1nk 1¼ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.50 59% 0.70 2.65 W
7  BROOKLYN STRONG 6 6 1nk 3½ 32½ 41¼ 2¼ (velazquez dani)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00 7% 12.90 3.85 P
8  ICE TIME 7 8 85¾ 84¾ 43 2nk 3¼ (ferraro james )LUZZI J 123 6.00 6.90  
6  ACTIVE DUTY (FR) 5 1 2nk 2nk 21 31 44¼ (atras rob)OLVER MADISON 123 4.50 1.90  
9  MASTERWORK 8 7 3.2 1nk 11 51¾ 510 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 123 15.00 26.75  
1  INDIANQUEST 1 2 51¼ 4¾ 66½ 78¾ 616½ (ibrahim emro)HARKIE K 123 15.00 5% 19.00 10.80  
4  STEADY PROGRESS 3 4 62¼ 62¼ 77½ 68¾ 716¾ (chatterpaul)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 123 30.00 36.00  
5  WINE RESPONSIBLY 4 5 4¾ 51¾ 89½ 811¼ 820½ (bhigroo)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 10.00 6% 14.80 9.30  
SCR  WINTER'S GHOST               (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 2.50    
 
AQU-6   02/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 3:34
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:141 1:264   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY MITOLE 1 2 21½ 21½ 1½ 14 15¼ (martin car)RIVERA R 122 3.00 37% 1.70 0.95 W
2  I'M SOLO N IN LOVE 2 5 57 58 45½ 35½ 25¼ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00 16.40  
3  AKINMUSIRE 3 4 42 32½ 32 24 37 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00 29% 2.40 3.20 S
5  BRAVE BEAR 4 1 11½ 11½ 2½ 47½ 417¾ (friedman mitch)LUZZI J 122 15.00 5% 19.00 22.90  
6  ARCADIAN 5 3 32 43½ 511½ 514 522½ (potts wayne)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50 1.85  
SCR  MCAFEE               (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.20    
SCR  MILLIBAR               (lawrenc)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 30.00    
SCR  SARATOGA WARRIOR               (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00    
 
AQU-7   02/14/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:06
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:12     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  AGGELOS THE GREAT 3 6 53 31   11 12¼ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 34% 1.90 1.55 W
8  CALDO CANDY 7 7 31 21   21 22¼ (bond ja)COA J 121 6.00 15% 5.60 2.20 P
1  ACOUSTIC AVE 1 2 42½ 41½   41½ 34 (potts wayne)LEZCANO JOSE 121 5.00 4.10  
5  HE'S GOT IT 4 5 76½ 54   54½ 44¾ (abreu r)CANCEL ERIC 123 10.00 15.70  
6  FACTUALLY CORRECT 5 1 11 11   31½ 55¼ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 121 10.00 12% 7.00 8.50  
3  FORWARD MOVE (IRE) 2 4 64 76½   69½ 613 (rice li)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 10.00 9.20  
7  ICY FLAVOR 6 3 21 64½   717½ 731 (kimmel joh)RIVERA R 121 12.00 7% 12.40 26.25  
SCR  MARIACHI               (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.60    
 
AQU-8   02/14/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($42K) 3 ALL PT- 4:38
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:133     1:21   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CELTIC PRINCE 7 3 31½ 2nk   2½ 11 (brion keri)FRANCO MANUEL 120 15.00 14.30  
2  FREE DANCE 1 7 78 610¼   66 21 (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 5.00 ★ 3.90 P
3  RUM CAY 2 5 11 1nk   1½ 31½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 7.70  
5  NINE N FOUR 4 6 46½ 46   34 42 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.50 ★ 2.65  
4  ROCK STAR REBEL 3 8 57½ 56¼   56 53¼ (baker charlton)COA J 120 15.00 5% 17.60 22.50  
9  RUN WITH HONOR 8 1 21 32½   44½ 64½ (englehart )RIVERA R 120 6.00 31% 2.20 3.45  
7  E Z BOURBON 6 2 68 717¼   718 715½ (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 120 15.00 17.90  
1  INTELLECTUAL 5 4 915½ 924¾   921 818½ (clement christo)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.00 32% 2.10 4.30  
10  KING SOLOMON 9 9 812½ 819¾   820½ 920 (d'aless)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 30.00 32.00  
SCR  TOTAL SILENCE               (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00    
SCR  TWOHONESTMISCHIEF               (englehart chris)VIVES SOFIA 120 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.