Handicappers' Racing Form
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Aqueduct
Friday - February 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
AQU-1   Win (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-2   Win (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-3   Win (2/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-4   Win (8/2/5/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
AQU-5   Win (3/7/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-6   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-7   Win (4/8/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-8   Win (1/9/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
AQU-1   02/14/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($82K) 3 ALL PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAWKSTONE Jan25 Dec27 Nov08 Oct17 Oct02 (lynch cathal)SILVERA RUBEN 122 6.00 15% 5.50    
2  RUN OF THE HOUSE Jan03 Dec08 Aug31     (handal ra)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 15.00    
3  T KRAFT Jan11 Nov16 Oct11 Aug29 Jul27 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.00 35% 1.80    
4  ICAN Jan04 Dec06 Oct15 Sep12   (dutrow richard )FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.20 28% 2.60    
5  GEORGIA MAGIC Jan04 Nov29       (handal r)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 8.00    
 
AQU-2   02/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 1:37
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIANT'S AUDIBLE Jan25 Nov30 Oct26 Sep02   (kantarmaci ilka)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 34% 2.00    
2  DEAR JOHN Jan19 Dec29 Nov24 Nov09   (terranova p)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00    
SCR  AH CA IRA Feb01 Jan01 Nov23     (abreu r)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50    
4  LAGUARDIA Feb04 Nov30 Nov04 Oct16 Oct03 (sanchez-pinero )SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00    
5  DIVORCED OF COURSE Jan19 Nov19 Nov06 Oct07 Sep13 (martin car)VILLA FAVINHO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  RODEO STAR Jan19 Jan01 Nov23 Nov03 Oct17 (abreu r)COA J 120 1.20 41% 1.40    
 
AQU-3   02/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($15K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CLUBHOUSE Oct12 Apr28 Apr20 Mar24 Jan13 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 3.00    
2  CHARGING AERO Jan30 Jan19 Dec14 Oct12 Aug29 (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 121 1.80 49% 1.00    
3  DADS GOOD RUNNER Jan12 Dec13 Nov24 Nov08 Jun22 (bhigroog chetr)HARKIE K 121 30.00    
SCR  POWERFULLY BUILT Jan30 May08 Mar01 Jan31 Dec07 (abrams ja)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 6.00    
SCR  MUST BE LOVE Jan24 Jan13 Dec13 Nov30 Nov02 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50    
6  GUN MAESTRO Feb02 Aug04 Jun30 Jun16 May18 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 20.00    
7  COLLECTED SPECIAL Jan11 Dec15 Nov08 Jun22 May12 (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 121 10.00 11% 7.70    
8  HONORARY DEGREE Jan30 Jan19 Jan02 Dec14 Nov14 (jones e)CEDENO CAROL 121 5.00 13% 7.00    
 
AQU-4   02/14/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($74K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWIRLING VINE Jul27 Apr26 Mar21 Feb23 Jan28 (lugovich)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  VAN VOLLENHOVEN Jan05 Dec01 Oct25     (duggan david)RIVERA R 122 6.00 15% 5.70    
3  VITALIZE Jan05 Dec29 Dec01 Nov07 Oct27 (donk david)LUZZI J 122 8.00    
4  FERRIS MULER Dec29 Oct27 Aug15 Jul26 May26 (hosang p)BROWN DALTON 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  LEO'S REWARD Jan05 Dec29 Jul27     (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00 5% 18.20    
6  FINDANAME Jan16 Nov18 Nov04 Oct15 Oct01 (sells rachel)DIAZ J 122 30.00    
7  PALACE BOSS May11 Apr13 Jan18 Dec16   (de horacio)DAVIS KATIE 122 4.00    
8  SCHLOMO May18 Apr20 Mar24     (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.20 56% 0.80    
9  RIDOLFI Nov26         (bond kevin)COA J 122 20.00    
 
AQU-5   02/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INDIANQUEST Jan18 Jan01 Dec12 Nov24 Oct19 (ibrahim emron)HARKIE K 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WINTER'S GHOST Jan18 Jan02 Dec06 Nov23 Nov14 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 2.50    
3  ICE ROAD Jan18 Jan01 Dec12 Nov10 Oct25 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.50 59% 0.70    
4  STEADY PROGRESS Jan26 Jan18 Jan01 Dec12 Nov24 (chatterpaul n)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 123 30.00    
5  WINE RESPONSIBLY Jan18 Dec29 Dec14 Nov10 Oct13 (bhigroog )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 10.00 6% 14.80    
6  ACTIVE DUTY (FR) Feb02 Jan19 Dec14 Oct16 Sep12 (atras rob)OLVER MADISON 123 4.50    
7  BROOKLYN STRONG Jan19 Dec20 Nov25 Nov13 Jul03 (velazquez daniel)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00 7% 12.90    
8  ICE TIME Jan31 Jan16 Dec12 Nov15 Oct19 (ferraro w)LUZZI J 123 6.00    
9  MASTERWORK Jan26 Jan11 Dec28 Dec01 Nov17 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 123 15.00    
 
AQU-6   02/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 3:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY MITOLE Nov07 Jun15 May27     (martin carlo)RIVERA R 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
2  I'M SOLO N IN LOVE Jan26 Jan10 Nov29 Oct11 Sep22 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00    
3  AKINMUSIRE Jan17 Dec27 Nov29 Nov01 Jun19 (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  MILLIBAR Jan09 Nov17 Oct16 Sep26 Sep04 (lawrence )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 30.00    
5  BRAVE BEAR Jan17 Jan03 Dec06 Nov07 Oct24 (friedman mitchel)LUZZI J 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  ARCADIAN Jan17 Jan10 Dec06 Oct24   (potts wayne)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50    
SCR  SARATOGA WARRIOR Dec15 Oct05 Jul19     (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00    
SCR  MCAFEE Nov24 Nov01       (dutrow richard )FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.20    
 
AQU-7   02/14/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:06
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACOUSTIC AVE Jan16 Dec15 Nov30 Oct18 Sep01 (potts wayne)LEZCANO JOSE 121 5.00    
SCR  MARIACHI Nov09 Aug23 Jul27 Jun07 Nov24 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.60    
3  FORWARD MOVE (IRE) Jan30 Dec06 Nov24 Nov01 Oct12 (rice lind)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 10.00    
4  AGGELOS THE GREAT Jan16 Nov30 Oct18 Aug25 Jul15 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 34% 1.90    
5  HE'S GOT IT Jan16 Dec15 Dec01 Nov08 Oct13 (abreu r)CANCEL ERIC 123 10.00    
6  FACTUALLY CORRECT Dec14 Oct27 Sep19 Aug08 Jul26 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 121 10.00 12% 7.00    
7  ICY FLAVOR Nov10 Oct05 Apr21 Feb24 Jan27 (kimmel john )RIVERA R 121 12.00 7% 12.40    
8  CALDO CANDY Jan16 Nov30 Aug01 Jun06 Mar24 (bond jame)COA J 121 6.00 15% 5.60    
 
AQU-8   02/14/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($42K) 3 ALL PT- 4:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INTELLECTUAL         (clement christoph)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  TOTAL SILENCE Jan11 Dec07 Nov02     (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00    
2  FREE DANCE Jan11 Dec08 Nov02 Oct06 Sep02 (handal r)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 5.00 ★    
3  RUM CAY         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
4  ROCK STAR REBEL Jan11 Oct31 Oct06 Sep02 Aug15 (baker charlton)COA J 120 15.00 5% 17.60    
5  NINE N FOUR Jan17         (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.50 ★    
SCR  TWOHONESTMISCHIEF Jan05 Dec14 Nov23 Nov03 Oct19 (englehart chris)VIVES SOFIA 120 6.00    
7  E Z BOURBON Jan11         (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 120 15.00    
8  CELTIC PRINCE Jan17         (brion keri)FRANCO MANUEL 120 15.00    
9  RUN WITH HONOR Dec27 Nov23       (englehart je)RIVERA R 120 6.00 31% 2.20    
10  KING SOLOMON         (d'alessan)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.