Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - December 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (3/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/7)-(3/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/7)-(3/5/7)-(3/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/7)-(2/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/7)-(2/5/3)-(3/4/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(3/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(3/4/6/7)-(1/6/2/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-3   WIN (3/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/6/7)-(3/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/6/7)-(3/4/6/7)-(3/4/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/6/7)-(1/6/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6/7)-(1/6/2/7)-(1/7/10/6/12) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-4   WIN (1/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/7)-(1/6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/7)-(1/6/2/7)-(1/6/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/2/7)-(1/7/10/6/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2/7)-(1/7/10/6/12)-(1/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-5   WIN (1/7/10/6/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/10/6/12)-(1/7/10/6/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/10/6/12)-(1/7/10/6/12)-(1/7/10/6/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/7/10/6/12)-(1/5/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/7/10/6/12)-(1/5/6)-(5/7/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-6   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6/3)-(1/5/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(5/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(5/7/4/6)-(4/9/6/5/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-7   WIN (5/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/6)-(5/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/6)-(5/7/4/6)-(5/7/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/4/6)-(4/9/6/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
MVR-8   WIN (4/9/6/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/9/6/5/10)-(4/9/6/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/9/6/5/10)-(4/9/6/5/10)-(4/9/6/5/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   12/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C S EXPRESS Nov18 Nov02 Oct21 Aug05 Jun08 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 125 15.00    
SCR  GET ME ONE TOO Oct24 Aug20 Jul11 Jun08 May21 (west m)BRACHO A 125 5.00    
3  MIDNITESTATEOFMIND Aug26 Aug05 Jun25 May27 Apr17 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 125 2.00 53% 0.90    
4  INTO THE BLACK Sep10 Aug15 Jul24 Jun12   (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 126 3.00    
5  AVAILABILITY Nov18 Oct28 Oct01 Sep10 Aug19 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 125 2.50 17% 4.90    
6  EAST BY WEST Nov18 Nov02 Sep18 Sep06 Aug22 (winters mich)HALDAR J 126 20.00    
7  CHAPS KNIGHT Nov18 Oct24 Oct09 Sep30 May28 (pappada jul)SEVERINO VICTOR 125 8.00 9% 10.20    
 
MVR-2   12/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TUBTIMSIAM Dec04 Nov15 Oct20 Aug17 Jul26 (farrior )MARTINEZ A 123 10.00    
2  OILER Nov26 Nov06 Oct21 Oct01 Sep03 (faulkner c)STOKES J 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
3  SMALL SAILOR Nov21 Oct23 Oct10 Sep24 Sep05 (tumblin an)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  DELTA RIDGE Nov18 Oct21 Oct08 Sep17 Aug27 (pappada julie)CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.00    
5  BIG POPPER Nov02 Oct22 Oct11 Sep05 Aug19 (romero a)PEREZ A 124 3.50 22% 3.50    
6  THE EQUINEST Nov18 Nov07 Oct22 Oct01 Sep18 (bailey ri)POTTINGER MICHAEL 121 15.00    
7  MONEY ROOM Oct22 Sep27 Sep02 Jul29 Jul12 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.80    
 
MVR-3   12/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YEHAWMEMAW Nov11 Oct22 Oct04 Sep13 Aug30 (short thomas)STOKES J 123 20.00    
SCR  ROYAL ITCH Nov20 Nov04 Oct04 Sep20 Sep12 (wilson jr)YARANGA Y 123 20.00    
3  PRINCESSOFTHENORTH Nov01 Oct06 Sep21 Jul01 Jun09 (farrior )MARTINEZ A 124 1.60 46% 1.20    
4  FOREVER NOTED Nov04 Jul25 Jun24 Apr16 Oct28 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 18% 4.50    
5  LIVING IN STYLE Nov20 Nov04 Oct21 Sep05 Aug22 (morales m)REYES FRANK 123 6.00    
6  GOTHAM GRAY Nov10 Oct15 Oct01 Sep17 Sep02 (ccamaque marco)DIAZ I 124 3.50 12% 7.10    
7  EILAT Nov20 Nov10 Oct29 Oct06 Sep24 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  OFFTHEROADAGAIN Nov20 Nov10 Oct22 Oct14 Sep11 (poole c)AVILES YAN 124 20.00    
 
MVR-4   12/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  E KRACKER Aug07         (smith larry)HOUGHTON D 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of PELEADORA FUERTE by STRONG CONTENDER)
2  DRILL BLITZ Nov21         (radosevi)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00 14% 6.30    
  (by DRILL out of GOLD INK by INVISIBLE INK)
3  DESTINY'S TOT Oct23         (rone mike)AVILES YAN 122 10.00    
  (by KENNEDY out of DESTINY OVER FATE by DRILL)
4  DARK N DIRTY         (rubert)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 4.00    
  (by DARK KESTREL out of BUCKLER by CONCERTO)
5  LIL BIT Nov21         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.50    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of CAVALLERIA by LANGFUHR)
6  MOBIL ENSIGN Nov21 Nov07 Oct23 Oct08 Sep24 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
  (by MOBIL out of PERSONAL NOTEBOOK by MINER'S MARK)
7  UNEMPLOYED ACTRESS         (bogart robert )HISBY RONALD 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BIONDETTI out of MANY FACES by FORESTRY)
 
MVR-5   12/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAUTIFUL CHARADE Nov21 Nov05 Sep17 Aug28 Aug10 (rivera nest)PETERSON FERRIN 123 3.50 40% 1.50    
2  COWGIRLS HUMOR Nov20 Oct30 Oct01 Sep05 Aug15 (schuster robi)ZONETT KEYNER 123 15.00    
3  WILD MARIAH Nov20 Oct23 Sep18 Sep04 Aug14 (johnson gar)BLANCHE RISHAWN 118 20.00    
4  DEE'S KY WILDCAT Nov05 Oct19 May29 May18 Apr11 (flores christian)PEREZ E 124 20.00    
5  HALO EFFECT Nov20 Oct19 Sep30 Jun19 May29 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00    
6  IAMGOINGTOMAKEIT Nov21 Sep27 Sep13 Aug21 Aug02 (cline c)HERMAN NOEL 118 6.00 7% 14.10    
SCR  SHE'S A SOLDIER Oct08 Sep02 Aug10 Jul22 Jun18 (galloway khadeem)STOKES J 124 4.50 25% 3.10    
SCR  EMERALD EYES Nov21 Nov05 Aug29 Aug14 Jul25 (salcedo ramon)REYES FRANK 124 20.00    
9  PENNY'S TREASURE Nov20 Oct19 Sep12 Jul31 Jul15 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00    
10  PARLAY CHARLIE Nov26 Nov06 Feb28 Feb07 Jan24 (radosevich jus)DIAZ I 125 3.00 7% 12.70    
11  WINDY VALLEY Nov05 Oct03 Sep12 Jul22 Jul04 (winters mich)HALDAR J 124 10.00    
12  MOST ADORABLE Nov20 Oct19 Sep30 Sep04 Aug14 (yo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-6   12/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCEHALL JUSTICE Jul04 Jun07       (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 122 2.50 27% 2.80    
  (by BIRDRUN out of CROSS COUNTRY by DIVINE PARK)
2  WAVES OF LIBERTY Nov07 Sep06 Aug22 Aug07 Jul04 (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 4.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of SPUN FROM GOLD by HARD SPUN)
3  HEAVENS EUREKA Nov21         (tumblin andrew)REYES FRANK 122 4.50 ★    
  (by CORFU out of CAMP FAIRFAX R N by FOREST CAMP)
4  BIONIC SAINT Nov21 Nov07 Oct23 Oct08   (faulkner c)STOKES J 122 30.00    
  (by BIONDETTI out of DENIRO'S SAINT by SAINTS N' SINNERS)
5  WATCH ME DADDY Nov21 Nov07       (radosevich je)BRACHO A 122 3.00 20% 4.00    
  (by FLAGSHIP out of PLEASE DADDY by THE DADDY)
6  ONE EYED JASMINE         (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 122 6.00 17% 4.80    
  (by DANZA out of LIMPOPO by LION HEART)
7  GABADOST Nov07 Oct08 Sep24     (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 122 5.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of THIRST FOR TRUTH by STAY THIRSTY)
 
MVR-7   12/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASTER OF THE NITE Nov21 Nov04 Oct22 Sep30 Aug19 (juarez-mendoza r)AVILES YAN 123 20.00    
2  TAP VALLEY Oct22 Oct07 Sep16 Aug12 Jul24 (radosevich jus)DIAZ I 123 4.00    
3  PLAIN AND SIMPLE Nov21 Oct22 Sep30 Sep09 Aug28 (skerrett)MARTINEZ A 123 6.00    
4  STREAMSONG Nov04 Oct08 Sep20 Sep02 Aug14 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 123 8.00 11% 8.40    
5  ANDY CANT Nov04 Oct20 Aug16 Jul06 Jun28 (meyers shane)BRACHO A 124 1.80 36% 1.80    
6  TIMESATAPPIN Nov04 Oct22 May06 Apr23 Feb20 (loudin-smith )TOLEDO S 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  EPIC KNIGHT Nov04 Oct08 Jul30 Jun18 May19 (garcia amali)KEISER CHELSEY 123 2.00 16% 5.20    
 
MVR-8   12/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAMINGABOUTTIME Nov25 Nov06 Oct08 Sep16 Aug23 (galloway)MARTINEZ A 123 20.00    
2  LONE BOY Nov06 Sep16 Aug26 Aug23 Aug10 (haehn ter)POTTINGER MICHAEL 119 30.00    
SCR  IRONCLAD ALIBI Nov21 Nov06 Oct11 Aug19 Aug05 (zielinski ri)AYALA J 123 6.00    
4  LUST FOR LIFE Nov06 Sep04 Dec21 Nov30 Nov15 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 123 3.50 36% 1.80    
5  MAMAS HOME COOKING Nov21 Oct23 Oct08 Sep19 Aug31 (cline robert )BRACHO A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  PLAYING FOR KEEPS Nov06 Jul25 Jul04 Jun05 Apr27 (rubert)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 15% 5.80    
7  COLOR BEARER Nov06 Oct08 Sep16 Aug26 Aug01 (skerrett je)NUNEZ Y 124 8.00    
SCR  PRESSLEY RIDGE May30 Apr24 Mar18 Feb29 Feb08 (pappada a)STOKES J 124 10.00    
9  ROMANIAN PRINCE Nov13 Sep23 May04 Mar28 Mar05 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 125 2.50 24% 3.20    
10  MAN'S CHOICE Nov06 Oct23 Sep14 Aug30 Aug09 (castillo jabdi)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.