Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - October 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(7/2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(7/2/6/4)-(1/7/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-2   WIN (7/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/6/4)-(7/2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/6/4)-(7/2/6/4)-(7/2/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/6/4)-(1/7/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6/4)-(1/7/2/3)-(5/6/8/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-3   WIN (1/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/3)-(1/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/3)-(1/7/2/3)-(1/7/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/2/3)-(5/6/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2/3)-(5/6/8/4)-(9/6/10/1/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-4   WIN (5/6/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/8/4)-(5/6/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/8/4)-(5/6/8/4)-(5/6/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/8/4)-(9/6/10/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/6/8/4)-(9/6/10/1/7)-(1/4/6/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-5   WIN (9/6/10/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/6/10/1/7)-(9/6/10/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/6/10/1/7)-(9/6/10/1/7)-(9/6/10/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/6/10/1/7)-(1/4/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/6/10/1/7)-(1/4/6/8)-(5/9/10/3/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
MVR-6   WIN (1/4/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/8)-(1/4/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/8)-(1/4/6/8)-(1/4/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/6/8)-(5/9/10/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6/8)-(5/9/10/3/8)-(4/7/9/2/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
MVR-7   WIN (5/9/10/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/10/3/8)-(5/9/10/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/10/3/8)-(5/9/10/3/8)-(5/9/10/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/9/10/3/8)-(4/7/9/2/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
MVR-8   WIN (4/7/9/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/9/2/8)-(4/7/9/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/9/2/8)-(4/7/9/2/8)-(4/7/9/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   10/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OTIS OTIS OTIS Oct09 Sep24 Sep10 Aug26 Aug06 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 126 2.50    
2  MORE THAN GOOD Oct02 Sep19 Sep10 Aug15 Jun24 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 124 5.00    
3  O ROMEO Oct09 Aug29 Aug05 Jul09 Jun24 (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 124 4.00 12% 7.30    
4  THE RED MAN Sep30 Sep12 Aug22 Aug07 Jul17 (m)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  GAME BOY BENNY Oct19 Sep30 Sep10 Jun23 Jun02 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 59% 0.70    
6  GILLIGAN Oct09 Sep24 Sep12 Aug29 Jul15 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 3.50    
 
MVR-2   10/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPTURE MI Oct01 Sep18 Sep05 Aug13 Jul23 (vlaun )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00    
2  CONSIDER ME Oct01 Sep18 Aug19 Aug06 Mar26 (tumblin andre)TOLEDO S 124 4.00 24% 3.20    
3  SALTA Oct07 Sep16 Mar25 Mar12 Feb03 (radosevich jus)DIAZ I 126 2.50    
4  FIRST CROWNED Oct15 Sep19 Aug20 Aug07 Jul15 (donjuan serg)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  ON HIS TOES Oct03 Aug27 Jul17 May15 Apr24 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 124 10.00    
6  KOLTEN'S PRIDE Oct02 Sep07 Aug24 Aug10 Aug01 (estvanko richar)FELICIANO R 123 6.00 14% 6.10    
7  FLAWLESS CAT Sep18 Sep05 Aug19 Aug05 Jun08 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 2.00 36% 1.80    
8  EL BANDIDO Oct01 Sep18 Aug27 Aug07 Jul25 (tumblin andrew)PEREZ A 124 20.00    
 
MVR-3   10/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SO THAT'S THAT         (poole m)BRACHO A 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
  (by EVENT DRIVEN out of FAIRWAY SALLY by STRONG MANDATE)
2  NATIONAL PUNCHLINE         (jensen justin )GILBERT KYLE 122 20.00 8% 12.20    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of PUNCHLINE STORY by TWO PUNCH)
3  BOBBY ROB         (szczepanski )GONZALEZ KEVIN 122 20.00 8% 12.20    
  (by DRILL out of KAREN'S WILDCAT by WILDCAT HEIR)
SCR  HE IS DYNAMIC Sep19         (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 122 4.50    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of AMERIBELLE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  BOSS HOG Oct09 Sep25 Sep16     (langley josh)TERRAZA GERMAN 122 20.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of MIDNIGHT CUTE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
6  JOHN FITZGERALD Oct09 Sep25       (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 6.00    
  (by KENNEDY out of SMILE AND A WINK by ARCHARCHARCH)
7  KOZY K         (smith larry)DIAZ I 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by TENKOZ out of MERRIE'S PRIDE by GRINDSTONE)
8  DRILL'S BOY Oct09 Sep25 Sep16 Aug30 Aug22 (romero a)VIGIL NOEL 122 8.00    
  (by DRILL out of CANDYS GIRL by BERTOLINI)
9  DRILL CITY         (meyers shane)BOWEN ROCCO 122 5.00    
  (by DRILL out of CITY BEAUTIFUL by STORM CAT)
 
MVR-4   10/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE BLOOD COWBOY Sep25 Sep16       (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 15.00    
  (by ONE SIDED out of COWBOY'S PRINCESS by COWBOY CAL)
2  DUO Sep25         (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 122 6.00    
  (by DRILL out of DOTTHEI by HAYNESFIELD)
3  R C IRONSIDE Oct04         (donjuan sergi)CANUTO THIAGO 122 12.00    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of MERRIE GOGO by MUSIC CITY)
4  DUSTY BILLY         (bird danny)WEATHERLY BAILEY 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BIRDRUN out of DUSTY LILY by DESERT WARRIOR)
5  EL FAITE Oct09         (mahan jos)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 122 2.50 33% 2.10    
  (by FORT LARNED out of JUSTICEINACTION by FLASHBACK)
6  PROFESSOR NICK Oct09 Sep16 Aug26 Jul22 Jul03 (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 122 1.60 31% 2.20    
  (by AIR STRIKE out of STARSHIP MADE IT by CONCERTO)
7  WHY KITTEN WHY         (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 122 10.00    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
8  SADIE'S GHOST         (rettele richard)PEREZ A 122 5.00 9% 9.60    
  (by KISS THE GHOST out of SILVER SADIE by MEADOW PRAYER)
 
MVR-5   10/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO CO GOLD Oct01 Aug04 Jul24 Jul01 Jun17 (cady khalil)WHITACRE B 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ROCK ROSE Sep27 Aug30 Aug02 Jul03 Jun21 (farrior anthony)BOWEN ROCCO 124 10.00    
3  FANCY PRINCESS Oct02 Sep14 Aug15 Aug02 Jul13 (nazario pedro)NEGRON LUIS 124 15.00    
4  ELIKA Sep30 Sep17 Sep04 Aug19 Jul18 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00    
5  TWEET AWAY ROBIN Oct02 Sep14 Aug24 Aug14 Aug02 (nazario pedro)CEDILLO MAURO 126 3.00    
6  EPICUREAN Jul03 Jun03 May22 May04 Apr23 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50 25% 3.00    
7  BANNED FROM MIDWAY Oct19 Oct04 Sep12 Aug14 Aug01 (caramori edua)JIMENEZ ALBIN 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ALTER THE STARS Oct22 Oct07 Sep25 Sep12 Aug14 (suarez javier)DIAZ I 124 30.00    
9  LOADED ONCE MORE Oct07 Sep29 Aug25 Aug11 Jun25 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
10  INCESSANT Oct02 Sep04 Aug14 Jul22 Oct01 (galloway )POTTINGER MICHAEL 119 12.00 10% 9.20    
11  FULL TIME STRUTIN Oct19 Sep19 Sep04 Aug27 Aug14 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 126 15.00    
SCR  MISS FUSSY PANTS Oct18 Sep01 Jun26 May04 Apr10 (farrior )MARTINEZ A 126 8.00    
 
MVR-6   10/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($30.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOHN'S ROCK Sep30 Aug24 Aug01 Jul11 Jun27 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 2.00 53% 0.90    
2  WICKED WARRIOR Aug13 Jul15 Jun13 May15 Oct28 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 124 3.00    
3  HITE Oct10 Sep26 Sep03 Aug20 Aug12 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 20.00    
4  TIME TO SHOOT Oct08 Sep11 Jul24 Jul03 Jun12 (rettele richard)PEREZ A 124 10.00 12% 7.70    
5  ONE TEN Oct11 Sep18 Aug27 Aug06 Jul24 (vecchio caryn)VIGIL NOEL 124 3.50    
6  CARILLO Oct11 Sep18 Aug27 Aug01 Jun25 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00 8% 11.00    
7  NIKOLAOU Oct08 Sep10 Aug13 Jun16 May04 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 126 6.00    
8  RAISON KARTER Oct02 Sep04 Jul26 Jul10 Jun01 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-7   10/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALI CRUISER Aug30 Aug12 Jul04 Jun18 May30 (calderon iv)NUNEZ Y 121 6.00    
2  NATIONAL DIAMOND Oct02 Sep11 Aug31 Aug22 Jul12 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 20.00    
3  DANZANITEAWAY Sep20 Aug17 Aug03 Jul12 Jun28 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  CHICA CHULA Sep28 Sep18 Aug15 Jul27 Jul17 (calvo kelsie)DIAZ R 124 8.00    
5  OUR LAST SONG Sep20 Sep02 Jul31 Jun19 May28 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 124 3.50 34% 1.90    
6  SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS Aug26 Jul25 Jul03 Jun03 May14 (skerrett jef)TERRAZA GERMAN 124 10.00    
7  DERBY DAY KISS Sep03 Aug12 Jul08 Jun07 May18 (cl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 4.00    
8  IMA MOM Sep18 Jul31 Jul10 Jun22 May28 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  EMERSON JONES Aug26 Aug01 Jul11 Jun24 Jun03 (skerrett jeff)BRACHO A 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
10  RATATAT Sep20 Aug31 Nov06 Oct21 Sep21 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 10.00 7% 12.60    
 
MVR-8   10/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONVERT Oct03         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 8.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of COLLIDE by SMART STRIKE)
2  LEGENDARY STAR Oct07 Sep24 Sep11 Aug15   (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOBIL out of GIRLIANO by PAULIANO)
3  KLIMTSTER Oct08 Oct02 Sep18 Sep04 Aug15 (aguirre r)YARANGA Y 123 20.00    
  (by KLIMT out of KELLEY MARIE by BERNSTEIN)
4  OATHBREAKER Sep26 Aug15 Jul24 Jun28 Jun06 (anderson susa)SOSA LAUREANO 123 3.00 43% 1.30    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of GOOD TO KNOW by CANDY RIDE)
5  ROUNDBALL ROCK Oct08 Sep24 Sep08 Aug06 Jul22 (caramori )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 6.00    
  (by MASTERY out of CAUSIN COMMOTION by MINESHAFT)
SCR  TEN BITS Aug31 Aug22 Jul20 Jun22 Apr25 (wilson david )ZONETT KEYNER 123 20.00    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of NOT JAVA by NOT BOURBON)
7  RACHMAN Oct03 Sep07 Aug22 Jul26   (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 2.00 17% 4.90    
  (by SQUADRON A out of HARD BOW by OXBOW)
8  AVAILABILITY Oct01 Sep10 Aug19 Jul06 Jun26 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of INDIAN PRINCESS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
9  MIDNIGHT COUNCIL Sep24 Aug20 Jul31 Jul13 Jun09 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 123 5.00 10% 9.10    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SMOOTH PERFORMER by BENCHMARK)
10  ONORE Sep26 Aug15 Oct25 Sep23 Aug18 (estvanko richar)FELICIANO R 123 20.00    
  (by TONALIST out of ETHYL ETHER by SCAT DADDY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.