Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Saturday - February 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
OP-1   WIN (1/3/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/4)-(1/3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/4)-(1/3/6/4)-(1/3/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/6/4)-(5/1/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
OP-2   WIN (5/1/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/8)-(5/1/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/3/8)-(5/1/3/8)-(5/1/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/3/8)-(7/3/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3/8)-(7/3/1/4)-(6/4/3/5/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
OP-3   WIN (7/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/1/4)-(7/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/1/4)-(7/3/1/4)-(7/3/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/1/4)-(6/4/3/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/3/1/4)-(6/4/3/5/9)-(2/6/1/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
OP-4   WIN (6/4/3/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/3/5/9)-(6/4/3/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/3/5/9)-(6/4/3/5/9)-(6/4/3/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/4/3/5/9)-(2/6/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3/5/9)-(2/6/1/5)-(6/7/4/5/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
OP-5   WIN (2/6/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/1/5)-(2/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/1/5)-(2/6/1/5)-(2/6/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/1/5)-(6/7/4/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1/5)-(6/7/4/5/8)-(8/1/7/5/9) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
OP-6   WIN (6/7/4/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/5/8)-(6/7/4/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/5/8)-(6/7/4/5/8)-(6/7/4/5/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/7/4/5/8)-(8/1/7/5/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4/5/8)-(8/1/7/5/9)-(1/7/4/10/3) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
OP-7   WIN (8/1/7/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/5/9)-(8/1/7/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/5/9)-(8/1/7/5/9)-(8/1/7/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/1/7/5/9)-(1/7/4/10/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/1/7/5/9)-(1/7/4/10/3)-(6/3/2) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
OP-8   WIN (1/7/4/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/4/10/3)-(1/7/4/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/4/10/3)-(1/7/4/10/3)-(1/7/4/10/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/7/4/10/3)-(6/3/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4/10/3)-(6/3/2)-(1/10/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
OP-9   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(1/10/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
OP-10   WIN (1/10/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/10/2/3)-(1/10/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/10/2/3)-(1/10/2/3)-(1/10/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   02/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIFEY Dec14 Nov20 Sep23 Jul30 Jul21 (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 1.80 26% 2.90    
2  RARE STRIPE Jan05 Nov20 Nov02 Sep29 Sep09 (hewitt mi)BEALMEAR C 114 20.00    
3  RAYMOND Jan05 Nov10 Oct19 Sep13 Aug30 (diodoro robe)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 5.00 24% 3.10    
4  OTIS OTIS OTIS Jan28 Jan05 Oct10 Sep28 Sep07 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 20.00 6% 15.20    
5  STAND FOR FREEDOM Jan26 Nov26 Nov05 Oct14 Sep16 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 3.00    
6  CLASSIC KING Dec29 Oct12 Sep15 Aug31 Jun24 (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 8.00 15% 5.60    
7  CIBOLO Jan06 Nov17 Oct26 Sep21 Aug05 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 4.50    
8  DRIFTER Feb02 Jan05 Nov11 Nov02 Oct06 (williams mat)FUENTES A 124 6.00    
 
OP-2   02/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LATIFAH Feb02 Dec08       (ortiz alex)VAZQUEZ A 113 4.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  LASTCHANCESALOON Jan01 Nov11       (ward dan)BEALMEAR C 111 3.00    
3  ZONGS IRISH FROST May04 Apr28 Apr15     (cline robe)GALLARDO EDUARDO 120 3.50 18% 4.60    
4  BOOGIE ON Feb02 Dec31       (milligan allen)QUINONEZ S 118 6.00    
5  GETOUTOFMYKITCHEN Feb04 Jan07 Oct06 Sep04 Aug24 (swearingen to)BAILEY CHEL-C 125 4.00 27% 2.70    
6  CHOCTAW BLESSINGS Feb04         (witt ernie )HERNANDEZ HARRY 125 8.00    
7  LIL' BIT OF CHROME May16 May03 Feb12 Dec30 Nov22 (cravens r)DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
SCR  RITA'S REVENGE         (martin timothy )ZIMMERMAN R 118 20.00 8% 11.30    
9  WILD CHEROKEE Jan27         (martin timot)BARBOSA CARLOS 111 15.00    
 
OP-3   02/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($38K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNDECODED Jan06 Jul01 Jun05 May13 Mar25 (martin ti)TORRES A 117 8.00 6% 15.50    
2  START SINGING Dec30 Dec06 Sep03 Aug12 Jul15 (gibson jo)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 10.00    
3  INVALUABLE Jan06 Dec02 Oct13 Sep17 Jul20 (sharp joe)LANDEROS CHRIS 125 4.50 13% 6.80    
4  HISSY MISSY Feb04 Jan13 Dec30 Dec08 Jul29 (hornsby t)DE CRUZ 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  MISS DISTINCTIVE Feb04 Nov29 Oct28 Sep27 Jun11 (shirer matt )BARBOSA CARLOS 107 12.00    
6  PRIDDIS Dec30 Oct20 Sep15 Aug12 Jul31 (ortiz a)FUENTES A 121 2.50    
7  STOIC LUNA Feb04 Jan01 Dec10 Nov03 Oct07 (hewitt mi)BEALMEAR C 118 1.80 50% 1.00    
8  BEACHGRASS Oct30 Oct09 Sep10 Aug28 Aug10 (martin kevi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 117 10.00    
 
OP-4   02/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($45K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARTYINTHESTREETS Jan28 Dec29 Aug06 Jun26 Jun04 (martin ti)TORRES A 121 3.50    
2  PEPPERONIKID Jan28 Aug07 Jun12 May06 Apr07 (prather j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 15.00    
3  YAQUI VALLEY Feb09 Jan12 Aug04 Jul29 Jul03 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 118 4.50 14% 6.30    
4  THIRD WATCH (GB) Feb04 Feb17 Jan13     (shirer matt )BARBOSA CARLOS 118 8.00 16% 5.20    
5  CHOCTAW ZIP Feb03 Dec17 Apr08 Jan20 Dec31 (witt ernie )HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00 12% 7.50    
6  CHUPAPI MUNYAYO Jan28 May06 Apr08 Mar11 Feb17 (moquett ro)ASMUSSEN J 121 3.00 34% 2.00    
7  CYBERTOWN Aug15 Jul21 Jul08 Jun17 Apr22 (martin william )BOWEN ROCCO 123 10.00    
8  RUDIANO Sep25 Jun23 Jun02 May20 May06 (loy dew)DE CRUZ 121 12.00    
9  I'M AN OAK Dec29 Sep11       (loy dewaine)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  SHAKE UP Feb03 Oct01 Jul22 Mar25 Feb25 (westermann)GALLARDO EDUARDO 123 15.00    
 
OP-5   02/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OH MY GAWD Jan27 Dec17 Oct12     (haran joh)DE CRUZ 117 8.00 11% 7.90    
2  LAURA BRANIGAN Jan14 Dec26 Nov10 Oct22 Oct02 (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 2.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  SO JORDAN Jan27 Dec08 Nov24 Nov02 Oct14 (rarick wade)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 12.00    
4  WEATHER MAP Dec13 Nov01 Sep23     (casse w)VAZQUEZ A 121 3.50    
5  FLOATING Dec07 Sep29       (asmussen ste)FUENTES A 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  GREEK HEIRESS Jan27 Dec30 Aug07 Jul02 Jun12 (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 8.00 24% 3.20    
7  BERTIE'S CAUSE Feb02 Feb12       (broberg k)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 6.00    
8  LIL TOWN SIS Feb04 Nov22 Nov04 Aug27 Jun16 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 4.00    
 
OP-6   02/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($33K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KHOZY MY BOY Dec15 Oct14 Sep27 Aug30 Aug02 (broberg k)TORRES A 124 10.00    
1A  TURN ON THE MAGIC Nov23 Nov03 Aug04 Jul23 May21 (broberg ka)ASMUSSEN J 117 10.00    
SCR  WYFIRE Feb09 Jan06 Dec05 Nov24 Sep09 (rufino eu)DE CRUZ 114 15.00    
3  MAKE NOISE Jan26 Dec08 Oct19 Sep04 Jul27 (cline n)QUINONEZ S 120 10.00    
4  MAN ON THE MOON Feb02 Dec15 Nov16 Aug19 Jul27 (rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 117 4.00 20% 3.90    
5  RIVER BOY Dec15 Nov26 Nov10 Oct18 Oct03 (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 117 12.00 15% 5.80    
6  ROYAL ACT Jan01 Nov14 May06 Mar31 Mar03 (gibson jo)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 117 2.00 23% 3.40    
7  LEADER OF MEN Nov03 Oct13 Jan27 Jan13 Dec17 (moquett ronald )VAZQUEZ A 117 3.00 20% 3.90    
8  DEVOTED TO YOU Jan05 Nov22 Nov03 Oct04 Sep20 (vance tho)BEALMEAR C 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  SMOKIN' HOT Dec29 Nov16 Oct24 Oct11 Jul14 (ward dan)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 117 8.00    
10  BABA'S BOY Feb09 Dec08 Nov18 Nov07 Jun20 (bahena fer)GALLARDO EDUARDO 117 30.00    
 
OP-7   02/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POPPERINA Dec17         (moquett ro)ASMUSSEN J 125 4.50 21% 3.80    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of BLOOMING by GRAYDAR)
2  ALICIT INTENTION         (medina robert)VAZQUEZ A 118 20.00    
  (by MITOLE out of COUNT TO ELEVEN by GRAND SLAM)
SCR  FLIGHT ON RACE DAY         (west henr)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 30.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of CORBINA by MORE THAN READY)
4  CHURCH SERVICE Jun23 May18 Mar26 Mar03 Jan14 (cline robert )BAILEY CHEL-C 125 20.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of ROBI JO by LEMON DROP KID)
5  VICKI ROSE Jan04 Nov16 Mar11 Jun03 May13 (matejka p)TORRES A 125 10.00 12% 7.50    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of PLANAR by EMPIRE MAKER)
6  BOLD APPEAL Dec31         (cox brad )LEPAROUX R 118 1.60    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of PURSE STRINGS by EL AMANTE)
7  LADY MOSCATO Nov23 Oct29 Sep30 Sep03 Aug06 (lukas wayne)JUAREZ NIK 118 5.00 14% 6.10    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of THEYCALLMELADYLUCK by DIXIE UNION)
8  BELLAJU         (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 125 2.50 24% 3.30    
  (by SKY MESA out of PRETTY VALENTINE by MACHO UNO)
9  HURRICANE FIRE Jan26 Apr21       (martin william )ZIMMERMAN R 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAN THE MAN out of FOREVER CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
OP-8   02/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($140K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOZINGO Jan13 Mar10 Feb18 Jan27 Jul08 (diodoro r)TORRES A 122 2.00 64% 0.60    
2  LASSIE MY GIRL Jan06 Dec16 Jul08 Apr30 Apr08 (wilson melto)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 10.00    
3  MS CARROLL COUNTY Jun18 Apr30 Apr08 Mar10 Feb19 (dixon tim)VAZQUEZ A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  UNBRIDLED TWISTER Feb04 Jan13 Jul19 Jun28 Jun07 (cates al)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  PATTERN BET Jan12 Jun23 May04 Apr01 Mar10 (moquett ro)ASMUSSEN J 122 8.00    
6  SASSY LASS Jan06 Dec16 Apr30 Apr08 Apr01 (mcbride bur)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 15.00    
7  MUSIC MISTRESS Dec30 Dec16 Aug07 May29 Apr30 (mckellar joe)FUENTES A 125 4.50 5% 19.00    
8  BENNYKAYANDSUZYTOO Jan13 Dec08 Jun24 May04 Apr08 (vance d)BOWEN ROCCO 122 5.00    
9  CHAI TEA Jan06 Sep22 Sep04 Aug10 Jun21 (anderson )DE CRUZ 122 12.00    
10  HEATED ARGUMENT Jan05 Sep10 Jun09 May13 Apr30 (gonzalez )BEALMEAR C 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  RUN FEARLESS Jan13 May04 Mar31 Mar04 Feb20 (fires william)BAILEY CHEL-C 122 30.00    
 
OP-9   02/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Dixie Belle Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PINOTSLILGIRL Jan26 Dec23 Nov25 Oct08 Sep09 (ennis joh)LEPAROUX R 115 20.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of PINOT by INTO MISCHIEF)
2  XTREME SMOKE SHOW Jan13 Oct27 Oct06 Aug12   (robertson)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FROSTED out of IMPOSING GRACE by EMPIRE MAKER)
3  SHARP TUNE Jan13 Nov25 Oct29 May26   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 5.00 24% 3.10    
  (by FROSTED out of CLASSY TUNE by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
SCR  HAPPY N SMILING Jan26 Dec31 Dec09     (ortiz alex)VAZQUEZ A 115 20.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SILENT SONET by SILENT NAME)
SCR  GHALIA PRINCESS Jan20         (cox brad )TORRES A 115 2.50    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of GHALIA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  BLUE SQUALL Jan26 Dec31 Oct29 Sep27   (morse ran)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 115 4.50 30% 2.30    
  (by TAPWRIT out of SKY O' BLUE by HENNY HUGHES)
7  TANYA SHOWERS Jan13 Dec31 Nov24 Oct29 Oct06 (hartman chri)LANDEROS CHRIS 115 3.50    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of MISS MARY PAT by SERVICE STRIPE)
8  XTREME DIVA Feb02 Dec17 Oct27 Sep09 Aug09 (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 3.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of SILLY LITTLE MAMA by OLD TOPPER)
 
OP-10   02/17/2024 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INDIAN GULCH Nov16 Oct10 Jul18 Jun29 Jun08 (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.50 37% 1.70    
2  NEPAL UP Oct20 Sep27 Aug18 Jun17 May06 (van thomas)VAZQUEZ A 119 4.00 12% 7.10    
3  COACH ADAMS Jan27 Dec02 Nov04 Sep03 Aug18 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GUN RUSH Jan04 Dec16 Aug06 Jul12 Jun21 (watkins jam)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 5.00    
5  CITY LEGEND Jan26 Dec08 Oct19 Sep30 Sep04 (altamirano ele)CHUAN MARTIN 119 10.00    
6  SEASIDE BOY Jan13 Sep15 Aug14 Jul16 Jun02 (martin william )ZIMMERMAN R 119 20.00    
7  R DOC Nov08 Oct19 Sep30 Sep02 Aug19 (durham danel)FUENTES A 119 12.00    
8  NAMESAKE Dec17 Oct17 Jul09 Jun19 Apr08 (swearingen to)BAILEY CHEL-C 119 15.00    
SCR  BANDERA AZTECA Feb02 Jan06 Nov23 Nov03 Sep25 (broberg k)TORRES A 119 6.00    
10  T BONES TRICK Jan27 Nov29 Nov08 Sep15 Jun25 (rarick wade)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 3.50 25% 3.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.