Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - November 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (3/2/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/6)-(3/2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/6)-(3/2/1/6)-(3/2/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/1/6)-(1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1/6)-(1/2/4)-(3/10/5/8/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-2   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(3/10/5/8/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(3/10/5/8/6)-(6/5/2/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-3   WIN (3/10/5/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/10/5/8/6)-(3/10/5/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/10/5/8/6)-(3/10/5/8/6)-(3/10/5/8/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/10/5/8/6)-(6/5/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/10/5/8/6)-(6/5/2/7)-(2/7/1/3/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-4   WIN (6/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/2/7)-(6/5/2/11/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/5/2/7)-(6/5/2/11/7)-(6/5/2/11/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/5/2/7)-(2/7/1/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2/7)-(2/7/1/3/9)-(9/2/11/12) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (2/7/1/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/1/3/9)-(2/7/1/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/1/3/9)-(2/7/1/3/9)-(2/7/1/3/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/7/1/3/9)-(9/2/11/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1/3/9)-(9/2/11/12)-(10/5/8/6/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-6   WIN (9/2/11/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/11/12)-(9/2/11/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/11/12)-(9/2/11/12)-(9/2/11/12) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/2/11/12)-(10/5/8/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/2/11/12)-(10/5/8/6/1)-(10/3/9/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (10/5/8/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/5/8/6/1)-(10/5/8/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/5/8/6/1)-(10/5/8/6/1)-(10/5/8/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/5/8/6/1)-(10/3/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/5/8/6/1)-(10/3/9/7)-(5/1/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-8   WIN (10/3/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/3/9/7)-(10/3/9/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/3/9/7)-(10/3/9/8/7)-(10/3/9/8/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/3/9/7)-(5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-9   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/2/4)-(5/1/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   11/22/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT-12:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. LEFTY Sep06 Aug25 Jul27 Jun03   (munoz carlos)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  STYLE ME ROYAL Sep07         (arriagada juan)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.50 28% 2.60    
3  CODE ENFORCER Sep03 Aug06       (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.00 44% 1.30    
4  SMOOTH AN EASY Oct27 Oct15       (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 30.00    
5  LORD KNOWS Sep04         (dini mike)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 12.00    
6  MALIBU BRAD Oct19 Sep03       (robertson mcle)CEDENO CAROL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  ZHU DADDY Oct23 Sep23 Jul19     (engler jeff)MORALES PABLO 119 6.00    
8  CHASENTHEONE Oct20         (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 10.00    
9  BACHMAN Sep25 Sep05 Aug10 Jun20   (caramori caio)JARA FERNANDO 119 5.00    
 
TAM-2   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS MAC MAC Oct21 Sep13 Aug16 Jul19 May27 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 2.50 53% 0.90    
2  SHEZA RAJUN CAJUN Oct04 Sep21 Aug18 Jul07 May11 (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 120 8.00 15% 5.60    
3  TRULY A DREAM Oct18 Jul06 Jun21 May26 May06 (mendieta )MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 15.00    
4  CHILD PROOF Oct04 Sep02 Aug09 Jul14 Jun30 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 118 5.00 5% 18.80    
5  R LOVE ON THE RUN Oct19 Sep15 Aug19 Jun24 Jun02 (torres pa)RODRIGUEZ A 120 20.00    
6  FAST COREY Oct18 Oct07 Sep15 Jul16 Jun17 (avila )ROJAS EDUARDO 120 8.00    
SCR  DANCE STEP Nov15 Nov02 Oct19 Sep28 Sep15 (simone micha)ARROYO S 118 3.00    
8  COUNTLESS DREAMS Oct21 Jul30 Apr30 Dec14 Nov18 (o'connell kath)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.50    
 
TAM-3   11/22/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHIPWRECK Jun11 May13 Apr30 Mar03 Feb01 (knoll d)GIL CIPRIANO 121 30.00    
2  BOLD MEDICATION Oct28 Oct14 Dec09 Nov23 Nov02 (potts wayne)HIRALDO JOHN 123 2.50    
3  DIAL HIM UP Nov11 Oct06 Sep27 Sep13 Aug05 (mendieta aleja)CASTANON L 121 6.00 30% 2.30    
4  SUMMER ALL YEAR Aug12 Jul20 Jul09 Jun17 May28 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 6.00    
5  STEEL HAWK Oct03 Sep17 May26 Apr30 Dec09 (marioth brandon)ALLEN M 118 8.00 21% 3.90    
6  SIDNEY'S BID Nov04 Sep27 Aug30 Aug05 Jul21 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  SALTIN' THE RIM Oct11 Sep09 Aug27 Aug06 Jul23 (dini mike)CEDENO CAROL 121 3.00    
8  AMBUSHED Oct28 Oct08 Sep16 Aug26 Aug06 (guciardo ka)SPANABEL SKYLER 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  BAD HENRY Oct20 Aug18 Dec30 Oct23 Sep24 (wasiluk jr)ROSE J 118 20.00    
10  VILLAGE PREACHER Sep25 Sep07 Aug17 Jul20 Jun30 (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 121 10.00 23% 3.30    
 
TAM-4   11/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INSTIGATING Oct25 Oct12 Apr30 Apr14 Feb24 (spanabel ke)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 30.00    
2  GHOSTSTRYDER Mar31 Feb24 Dec02 Sep28 Aug28 (morey william)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50 5% 17.70    
3  CHOWMEIN Jun12 May21 Apr29 Apr16 Mar15 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 122 8.00    
4  VEGAS PLAYBOY Oct14 Sep29 Sep01 Aug16 Aug04 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 122 8.00    
5  RAY'S GONE ASTRAY Oct05 Sep20 Aug19 Jul06 Jun01 (smith robert )SOSA LAUREANO 115 4.50 27% 2.70    
6  WYNN TRIP Oct25 Oct05 Sep03 Aug16 Sep01 (robertson mcle)CEDENO CAROL 122 5.00 45% 1.20    
7  JAY'S DELIGHT Jul09 Jun11 May27 May07 Apr27 (richards ren)BATISTA A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  SPUNKY BOY Oct20         (dobber w)LOPEZ E 124 30.00    
9  HEAVY WEIGHT Aug25 Aug10 Jul14 Jun10 May06 (negrete javier)FERRER C 124 30.00    
10  SEAX Oct18 Sep13 Aug16 Aug04 Jun22 (ochoa gerard)FUENTES MARIO 122 20.00    
11  ETRETAT Oct28 Sep29 Aug11 Jul16 Feb24 (wasiluk jr)ROSE J 122 6.00 ★    
12  HOLLYWOOD CLOSEUP Oct18 Sep22 Sep02 Aug12 Feb03 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 122 6.00    
SCR  IM STILL BRAVE Oct16 Oct02 Aug13     (torres pa)VARGAS A 122 12.00    
SCR  STAR KANOO Feb04         (cascallares n)LUGO D 122 8.00    
 
TAM-5   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITIGANT Aug23 Aug04 Jul05 Jun15 May06 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 122 5.00 5% 17.50    
2  HE'S IN CHARGE Oct27 Sep22 Sep01 Aug04 Jul22 (maragh a)LOPEZ E 122 2.00 43% 1.30    
3  SNEAKINESS Nov02 Oct11 Aug26 Jul28 Jul08 (potts wayne)HIRALDO JOHN 122 3.50 5% 19.00    
4  DRINK Nov01 Sep10 Jul14 Jun16 Apr30 (clay pat)TARASENCO P 122 8.00    
5  OLD TOWN ROAD Jul22 Jun25 May19 Apr29 Apr21 (garcia rodol)MORELOS E 122 12.00    
6  CREATIVE CLOUD Nov04 Oct26 Oct13 Sep15 Aug26 (posadas ped)MARIN A 122 30.00    
7  FLY FLY AWAY Sep30 Aug24 Aug11 Jul21 Jul01 (cahill f)BUSH V 122 4.50 22% 3.60    
8  RULING FRONT Nov06 Jul31 Jul18 Jul11 Jun27 (rivera xavier )MENDEZ KEVIN 122 15.00    
9  ROARING RIVER Oct13 Sep30 Sep08 Aug17 Aug04 (smith robert )JIMENEZ MANNY 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  IMTAKINITTOTHEBANK Oct25 Oct09 Sep03 Aug06 Jul08 (torres pablo )ALICEA JEREMY 115 30.00    
 
TAM-6   11/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 2 F PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MACHO GIRL         (rini anthony)SPIETH S 119 15.00    
2  LADY PROSPECT Nov03 Oct07 Aug13     (ness jamie)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 2.50 18% 4.40    
3  PLATINUM DIVA Sep15         (dini mike)MARTIN MATTIE 112 12.00    
SCR  EXPECTING A WINNER         (bennett a)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.50    
5  RITZ ON BROADWAY Oct18 Sep29 Sep09 Aug26 Aug12 (potts wayne)HIRALDO JOHN 119 20.00    
6  COUNTRY ECONOMICS Oct28 Oct08 Sep10 Sep01   (negrete javier)CASTANON L 119 30.00    
7  TRENDY (ARG) Oct25 Sep28 Sep02 Aug17   (potts wayne)CENTENO E 119 8.00    
SCR  OBSTREPEROUS         (stewart chad)MENESES MARCOS 119 12.00    
9  COPPER BOUND Oct18 Aug31 Jul04     (sacco grego)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 4.00 50% 1.00    
10  CORINTH Sep30 Sep07 Aug11 Jul20 Jun10 (munoz carlos)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 10.00    
11  BLACK BULLET         (minguet ramon)CASTILLO A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
12  REPAYNT         (santillana)ALONSO LUIS 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-7   11/22/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROB THE TREASURE Sep15 Sep03 Aug27 Jul28 Jun30 (dini mike)VARGAS A 121 6.00 10% 9.40    
2  ENCHANTMENT (FR) Oct06 Sep15 Aug26 Jun03   (carrascojr )QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 20.00    
3  NEWTON'S STAR (IRE) Oct29 Oct06 Sep03 Aug19 Jul29 (dobles elizab)JARA FERNANDO 118 20.00    
4  NEVER SO LUCKY (IRE) Nov05 Oct06 Sep15 Sep09 Aug19 (delgado h)CAMACHO SAMY 118 8.00    
5  PEACE FIRE Oct29 Oct14 Sep29 Aug23 Aug06 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 118 3.00 16% 5.30    
6  BEASTIE GIRL Sep09 Aug17 Aug02 May18 Apr26 (rountree cathy)BUSH V 121 6.00 12% 7.20    
7  CALISUE Feb24 Feb12 Jan21 Jan11 Dec22 (sacco gregory )MARIN SAMUEL 118 10.00    
8  RITAAN Oct08 Sep18 Jul18 Jun19 May18 (dini mike)MORALES PABLO 118 10.00 13% 6.70    
9  PASTA SALAD RHONDA Oct19 Sep21 Jul22 Jun08 Mar25 (robertson mcle)CEDENO CAROL 118 8.00    
10  BABY LUCK Sep07 Aug31 Jul14 Apr19 Mar10 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 121 4.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  SYLLABUS Sep29 Sep08 Aug18 Jul26 Jun24 (dominguez lu)MENESES MARCOS 121 30.00    
12  CAPTURE THIS Oct14 Sep16 Sep09 Aug19 Aug04 (minguet ramo)MORELOS E 118 20.00    
SCR  SHEMIGHTDANCESALSA Nov04 Jun18 Apr26 Apr01 Mar15 (knoll d)GIL CIPRIANO 121 20.00    
SCR  LOOKIN AT KISSES Oct06 Sep08 Aug11 Aug02 Jul01 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 121 30.00    
 
TAM-8   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG LOUIE Oct12 Sep21 Sep06 Aug16 Jul27 (marino g)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 118 20.00    
2  MOONSTRIKE (GB) Oct02 Sep10 Aug05 Jul19 Jun24 (engler jeff)MORALES PABLO 118 20.00    
3  NEWYEARSBLOCKPARTY May18 Apr29 Mar24 Mar03 Feb01 (marioth brand)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 6.00 27% 2.70    
4  MR. PENNY PINCHER Sep15 Sep02 Aug13 Jul09 Jun11 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00    
5  SILVER STYLE Sep02 Aug02 Jul14 Jun18 Jan19 (arriagada juan)HIRALDO JOHN 118 5.00    
6  JOHN JAY Oct26 Sep30 Sep09 Nov02 Sep04 (mcburney patri)CEDENO CAROL 122 20.00    
7  CAMPTOWN RACES Oct02 Sep18 Aug26 Aug12 Jul29 (torres pa)VARGAS A 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  FEAST Sep03 Jul21 May29 Apr26 Feb18 (bennett s)FERRER C 120 3.00 ★    
9  BRING THEBAND HOME Feb23 Jul23 Jun18     (casse ma)GALLARDO A 118 4.50 12% 7.20    
10  YES I'M A BEAST Nov05 May27 Apr27 Mar16 Oct02 (crichton roh)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
 
TAM-9   11/22/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BENS MALICE Sep09 Aug17 Jul20 Dec07 Nov12 (vanwinkle d)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 6.00 8% 11.80    
2  KYGO (GER) Sep17 Sep02 Aug12 Jul22 Jul07 (dobles eliza)MORELOS E 121 4.00 ★    
3  LEO MONTE Oct13 Sep03 Aug04 Jul09 Jun10 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 123 3.00    
4  BUSTIN UP Jun06 May23 Apr12 Mar24 Mar03 (romero rafa)ORTIZ A 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  VELOCE Oct16 Sep26 Sep09 Aug18 Jul27 (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 121 10.00 8% 11.30    
6  AZURE SKY Oct13 Oct04 Sep08 Aug16 Jul27 (mendieta ale)BATISTA A 121 30.00    
7  CASTAGNO Oct27 Sep02 Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 (hayford jenn)MENESES MARCOS 121 20.00    
8  SWEEPING GIANT Oct20 Oct05 Jun16 May28 Mar09 (avila )ROJAS EDUARDO 121 10.00    
9  ALVY Nov03 Oct20 Aug19 Jun30 Jun21 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 118 15.00    
SCR  FLY NIGHTLY Aug27 Aug03 Jul20 Jun29 Mar04 (clay pat)CASTANON L 121 3.50 63% 0.60    
SCR  DAMIR Aug26 Jul27 Jun14 Apr08 Mar18 (galvan baltazar)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 15.00    
12  PRACTICAL WAY Oct27 Oct07 Sep16 Aug18 Jul28 (avila carl)CENTENO E 121 30.00    
SCR  GOLDEN TONE Oct23 Oct09 Sep13 Sep03 Aug13 (rivera xavier )COTTO L 123 10.00    
14  MR. SARCASTIC Oct14 Sep14 May06 Apr22 Apr08 (richards renaldo)LOPEZ E 121 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.