Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - July 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (7/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/1)-(7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (7/2/1)-(4/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1)-(4/1/5)-(5/3/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-2   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(5/3/2)-(4/6/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-3   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(4/6/1)-(5/6/2/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-4   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(5/6/2/8)-(6/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-5   WIN (5/6/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/2/8)-(5/6/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/2/8)-(5/6/2/8)-(5/6/2/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2/8)-(6/4/2)-(2/5/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-6   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(2/5/1/3)-(2/3/6/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-7   WIN (2/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/1/3)-(2/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1/3)-(2/5/1/3)-(2/5/1/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/5/1/3)-(2/3/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TDN-8   WIN (2/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/6/7)-(2/3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/7)-(2/3/6/7)-(2/3/6/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   07/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEAM GOLD DIGGER Jul04 Jun10 May23 Apr26 Mar14 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  YEARS AGO Jul03 Jun10 May10 Apr10 Mar28 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 5.00 8% 11.30    
3  JOYFUL NOISE Jul04 Jun12 May13 Apr28 Apr15 (cline robert)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 6.00    
SCR  INDY PRINCESS KOKO Jun21 May30 Feb15 Jan28 Dec30 (tumblin andre)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00    
5  MISS OVER THERE Jun21 Jun01 May06 Apr11 Mar22 (manning richar)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50    
6  GRAY ROYALITY Jun24 May22 May10 Apr06 Mar14 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 119 2.50    
7  CAROL'S ROYALTY Dec08 Nov17 Oct25 Oct04 Sep19 (romero a)QUEVEDO JOSE 114 4.00 67% 0.50    
 
TDN-2   07/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVA POWER Jun15 May20 Apr27 Mar08 Feb16 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 17% 4.80    
2  CONGRATS JENSEN Jun24 Jun13 May26 May17 Apr13 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 119 3.50    
3  CHECK OUT LINE Jun26 Jun13 May09 Apr04 Mar16 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 6.00    
4  CLIFTONS BALLERINA Jun13 Feb15 Feb07 Jan16 Jan05 (shanyfelt val)TOLEDO S 121 3.00 24% 3.20    
5  NORTHERN JOURNEY May23 May09 Apr12 Mar27 Mar16 (calderon ivan)TORREALBA JG 114 6.00 15% 5.70    
6  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE Jun13 May23 May10 Mar08 Jan28 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00    
 
TDN-3   07/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STREET TRAFFIC Jun27 Jun20 May23 May06 Apr25 (jackson r)PAUCAR E 119 8.00    
2  ACESKINGSANQUEENS Jun20 Jun06 Oct14 Oct05 Sep21 (ott l)TOLEDO S 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  INSACIABLE PRINCE Jun19 Jun06 May23 May06 Feb16 (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50 27% 2.70    
4  MIGHTY FROSTED Apr30 Nov05 Oct22 Oct08 Sep02 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.50    
5  MINDSHIP Q Jun27 Jun02 May21 Apr30 Apr09 (londono o)BRICENO M 118 2.00 51% 0.90    
SCR  PAPA DEL CIELO May20 May06 Apr20 Mar12 Jan14 (gotera c)GUERERE ANGEL 119 3.00    
 
TDN-4   07/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY TAKEOVER May20 Apr27 Mar29 Feb27 Jan26 (campbell antho)DIAZ I 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HEIDI FIVE Jul04 Jun24 May25     (cline robert)ROSARIO L 117 3.50    
3  ORLEANS STORM Jul04 Jun14 Jun07 May24 Jan26 (tumblin andrew)TORREALBA JG 114 2.50    
4  STRIKE ONE Jun20 Jun06 May20     (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 1.80 56% 0.80    
5  BIG STOCK WINNER May03 Sep08 Aug23 Aug09 Jul06 (inirio carlos)GUERERE ANGEL 119 15.00    
6  AFLEET O ME Jun20 Jun06 May20 Sep27 Sep20 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 4.50 11% 8.10    
7  BILLY BEACOUP May20 Aug23 Aug08 Jul20 Jul04 (patton luk)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00    
 
TDN-5   07/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHLOES ANGEL Jun12 May20 Apr27 Mar06 Feb23 (romero o)FERNANDEZ R 119 15.00    
2  OUT MY DEAR Jun26 Dec30 Dec13 Nov19 Oct25 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  SALUTE THE KID Jun27 Jun14 May11 Nov30 Nov12 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 117 6.00    
4  LADY JASPER Jun05 May24 Apr24 Mar21 Oct29 (hamm timothy)TORREALBA JG 112 2.00    
5  BROWNIE Jun24 May24 May06 Apr10 Mar02 (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 3.00 48% 1.10    
6  SONNET Jun12 May22 Apr12 Mar15 Oct18 (rotunno sydney)DIAZ I 119 6.00 29% 2.40    
7  CROSSED UP Jun12 May10 Apr13 Mar29 Mar15 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50    
8  SURE FIRE READY Jun27 May23 May06 Sep26 Sep07 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-6   07/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORMIN'UNCLEJACK Jun21 Jun05 Apr27 Mar29 Mar08 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00    
2  AYE AYE SIR Jun26 May30 Nov19 Oct22 Oct10 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 123 4.50 10% 9.30    
3  WHISTLEWHILEYOUMOW Jul07 Jun05 Apr16 Mar26 Mar17 (salcedo ramon)BRACHO A 119 10.00    
4  LAKE RADIO Jun05 May23 Apr23 Mar10 Feb18 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 2.00 19% 4.30    
5  CHANNEL FURY Jun11 May30 May08 Oct14 Oct04 (jackson r)RIVERA R 121 4.00    
6  WILLISTON WAY Jun11 May16 Apr30 Nov29 Nov13 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 2.50 44% 1.30    
 
TDN-7   07/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOX STEP Jun01 May20 Feb14 Jan28 Dec30 (yoder d)TORREALBA JG 114 3.00 12% 7.40    
2  GONNABEGOOD Dec20 Nov22 Oct05 Jun22 May30 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.50 28% 2.50    
3  CAT'S RHYTHM Jun15 Jun01 May10 Apr26 Mar06 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 4.50 11% 8.20    
4  SOLE FACTOR Dec30 Nov17 Oct26 Oct03 Sep01 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
5  PANAMANIAC Jun23 Jun01 May10 Oct05 Sep13 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 21% 3.80    
6  POWER BANKER May26 May11 Apr11 Mar15 Feb14 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 121 6.00    
7  LEXY ANNA Jun15 Jun01 May03 Apr13 Feb23 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 121 8.00    
 
TDN-8   07/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUT FOR FUN Jun07 May17 Oct10 Sep23 Aug30 (gorham m)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00    
2  MIDNIGHT IN OHIO May10 Apr24 Jul05     (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 2.00 43% 1.30    
3  ANCHORWOMAN Jun27 Jun02 May06 Apr10 Mar21 (hamm timothy)TORREALBA JG 114 2.50 17% 4.80    
4  NICEASAKITTENSEYES Jul06 Jun15 May30 May17 Apr27 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
5  MISSION GIRL Jun15 May17 Dec20 Nov21 Oct31 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50    
6  DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS Jun30 Jun02 May10 Dec03 Oct06 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 117 5.00 11% 8.30    
7  RAINBOW SHIP Jun15 May20 Apr26 Apr10 Mar08 (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 15.00 8% 11.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.