Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Sunday - June 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (5/8/4/1/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/4/1/10)-(5/8/4/1/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/8/4/1/10)-(5/8/4/1/10)-(5/8/4/1/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-2   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-3   WIN (5/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/6)-(5/4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2/6)-(5/4/2/6)-(5/4/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-4   WIN (7/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/8)-(7/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/8)-(7/3/8)-(7/3/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-5   WIN (4/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/1/3)-(4/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/1/3)-(4/6/1/3)-(4/6/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-6   WIN (2/5/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/3/4)-(2/5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/3/4)-(2/5/3/4)-(2/5/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-7   WIN (6/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/2/4)-(6/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/2/4)-(6/1/2/4)-(6/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-8   WIN (11/10/9/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/10/9/3/8)-(11/10/9/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/10/9/3/8)-(11/10/9/3/8)-(11/10/9/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-9   WIN (2/8/4/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/4/5/3)-(2/8/4/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/4/5/3)-(2/8/4/5/3)-(2/8/4/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-10   WIN (6/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/4)-(6/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/1/4)-(6/7/1/4)-(6/7/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-11   WIN (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/7)-(6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   06/18/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($71.875K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HERE COMES BILLY Oct21 Sep30 Sep10 Aug22 Aug07 (nunn do)GONZALEZ LUIS 120 5.00 9% 10.00    
2  PAL May28 Sep30 Sep10 Aug22 Aug07 (frangella jam)SOSA LAUREANO 113 20.00    
3  FOREVER CHOCOLATE Jun03 May21 Aug28 Aug12 Jul10 (huston ro)VARGAS A 120 20.00    
4  KRATOS May28 May14 Oct21 Oct08 Aug22 (sweezey ke)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.00 17% 4.70    
5  DUQUESNE Sep14 Aug28 Aug12 Jul24 Jun29 (carango a)RODRIGUEZ A 120 5.00 25% 3.00    
6  STARSTRUCK NOTION Jun03 May14 Mar15 Aug13 Jul22 (mcburney pat)LOPEZ PASCACIO 115 6.00    
7  COUNTRY MILES May28 May14 Oct17 Sep30 Sep02 (huston k)MARIN SAMUEL 120 10.00    
8  ONE TIME WILLARD May14 Aug28 Jul23 Jul15 Jun19 (stephens john)RENDON JAIRO 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
9  SALTIN' THE RIM Jun04 Dec13 Nov14 Oct19 Sep23 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 120 12.00    
10  IRISH RILL Jun04 May14 Mar10 Feb19   (lynch cathal)ARROYO S 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  ROYAL COUP May28 Feb22 Jan24 Nov30 Nov09 (servis tyler)BOWMAN ADAM 120 5.00    
 
MTH-2   06/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KASIMBA May21 Apr27       (david a)JUAREZ NIK 118 1.50 61% 0.60    
2  KEEP DEM TALKING Jun04 May27 May14 Apr26 Mar20 (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  RAW POWER Sep10 Aug21 Aug13 Jul16   (spina charles)LUZZI J 113 8.00    
4  FATIH Jun11 Mar01 Feb10 Dec30   (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 2.00    
5  CRACK THE CODE May14 Nov20 Oct30 Sep18 Aug15 (duarte j)RENDON JAIRO 123 3.00 16% 5.30    
6  COWBOY JIM Oct18 Sep18       (hills )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 6.00    
 
MTH-3   06/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOIN'ITTHERIGHTWAY May27 Apr28 Apr14 Mar11 Feb25 (avila c)BATISTA A 124 4.00    
2  LIL COMMISSIONER May27 Apr14 Mar05 Feb25 Jan29 (abrams jack)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 5.00 15% 5.90    
3  MAJOR KONG May27 May05 Apr14 Mar24 Mar05 (hollendor)RODRIGUEZ A 124 5.00    
4  SALTO DE TIGRE Jun09 May27 May17 May04 Apr20 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 1.60 30% 2.30    
5  COACH ADAMS May27 Apr08 Feb19 Jan13 Dec01 (hollendorfer jer)JUAREZ NIK 122 2.00 32% 2.10    
6  DARK STORM May04 Apr14 Mar19 Feb05 Jan21 (skelto)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  CANDY KINGDOM May27 May13 Jan05 Dec20 Dec03 (foglia anthony)LUZZI J 120 30.00    
 
MTH-4   06/18/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLY CITY Jun04 May29 Mar11 Jan27 Dec08 (camejo m)SOSA LAUREANO 112 8.00    
2  WILLWORKFORFOOD Jun04 Mar05 Feb09 Mar26 Mar16 (crook-dem)RODRIGUEZ A 124 15.00    
3  RECKLESS PLACE May29 Apr09 Aug22 Jul04 May29 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 121 2.00 27% 2.60    
4  DESTIN'S MISSION May01 Mar29 Jan03 Nov12 Oct18 (servis john )LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 4.50    
SCR  LORD UHTRED May27 May07 Apr15 Mar25 Mar05 (ness jamie)TORRES JOMAR 117 6.00    
SCR  AZTEC LEGEND Apr08 Mar15 Feb24 Jan04 Oct17 (wilson tony)BATISTA A 117 8.00    
7  DRAMA'S PRAYER Apr21 Jan29 Nov23 Oct06   (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.00 51% 1.00    
8  ON OUR WAY BOYZ May26 Oct20 Sep30 Sep06 Aug10 (kirby t)RENDON JAIRO 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DART Jun10 May27 May05 Apr15 Mar25 (nunn doug)RODRIGUEZ A 117 4.00    
 
MTH-5   06/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMODA Sep11 Jul31 Jul01 Jun17   (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  DANCE STEP Apr15 Mar18 Jan22 Dec17 Aug21 (wilson)MARAGH RAMSAY 117 4.00    
3  REDHAIREDCOLLEEN May29 Mar17 Nov02 Oct05 Sep14 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  WHEELINGNDEALING Feb08 Jan18 Dec10 Nov04 Oct16 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 2.50 57% 0.80    
5  FAST MULE May27 Nov07 Oct13 Sep19 Sep05 (farrior anthon)TORRES JOMAR 117 6.00    
6  BELMAR SUMMER May20 Apr22 Mar22 Mar01 Feb10 (rodriguez dari)CAMACHO SAMY 117 3.00 16% 5.40    
7  ONE TOUGH DAME May03 Apr01 Mar17 Feb26 Feb12 (bennett s)FERRER C 117 4.50    
8  BUSTIN DOWN DOORS May27 Sep11 Aug27 Aug12 Jul22 (spina cha)VARGAS A 117 12.00    
 
MTH-6   06/18/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRAD'S BET Jun04 May21 Jan07 Dec11 Nov17 (cash russell )SOSA LAUREANO 111 15.00    
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of ANGELS WAY by MASTER PHONE)
2  CAPTAIN QUICK May28 Dec09 Nov10 Oct29 Sep29 (milne )ROJAS EDUARDO 123 2.50 34% 1.90    
  (by VANCOUVER out of SPUN SILVER by GRAND SLAM)
3  SILVER STYLE Jan19 Dec24 Dec02 Oct28 Oct13 (arriagada ju)ARROYO S 118 6.00 9% 9.50    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of ROSIE RED by EXCHANGE RATE)
4  LITERUN May21         (camejo jose )BATISTA A 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of MIL MIL by PARADING)
5  EMPIRE SKY Mar17 Jan12 Nov18 Sep25 Aug27 (crook-demasi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 2.00 31% 2.20    
  (by KLIMT out of ILLUSIONAL SKY by SKY MESA)
SCR  PURE MAYHEM         (stephens john)LUZZI J 118 6.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of THANK YOU NOTE by UNCLE MO)
7  THE COMPAS MAN (IRE) May14 Apr07       (falcone n)JUAREZ NIK 118 3.50    
  (by KUROSHIO out of COOLSPIN by TEOFILO (PER))
8  PAUL P Oct30         (graci kim)VARGAS A 123 8.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of MARY'S FOLLIES by MORE THAN READY)
 
MTH-7   06/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIVING WATER May18 Apr09 Mar16 Mar03 Jan21 (dobles elizabe)RENDON JAIRO 120 6.00 28% 2.60    
2  TRUMPENCE May27 May13 Apr14 Mar26 Feb20 (hollendorfer jer)JUAREZ NIK 120 4.00 13% 6.60    
3  SNEAKINESS May21 May13 Apr19 Mar15 Feb28 (flores-co)VARGAS A 120 10.00    
4  CONTINENTAL DIVIDE May05 Apr02 Mar05 Feb04 Jul30 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 3.00 5% 18.00    
5  MARVIN Jun04 May13 Apr15 Mar30 Mar11 (hollendor)RODRIGUEZ A 124 8.00    
6  LADNEEDSAHANDLER May11 Apr16 Mar26 Mar05 Feb20 (salzman e)CENTENO E 122 3.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  NEWS BOX May13 Apr14 Mar30 Feb26 Jan07 (schultz lind)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.50    
8  IMTAKINITTOTHEBANK May13 Apr15 Mar15 Feb19 Feb08 (torres r)MARIN SAMUEL 120 20.00    
 
MTH-8   06/18/2023 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BINGO STAR May27 May13 Apr15     (delgado jose)BATISTA A 118 6.00    
2  FAIR AND TRUE May29 Oct08 Sep23 Sep11 Aug27 (spina cha)VARGAS A 118 10.00    
3  ONLY GIRL Jun05 May20 May03 Apr17 Apr05 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  JAMS TOP SHELF May27 Nov17 Oct29     (jennings jose)SOSA LAUREANO 116 30.00    
5  SONNY AND MAX May28 May13       (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 6.00    
6  SECRET TEMPTATION Jun04 Oct14 Sep23     (navarro marcial)FERRER C 118 5.00    
7  DELIGHTFUL AVA Jun09 May20 Oct08 Sep23   (sweeze)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 6.00    
8  YELOMA May25 May03 Mar07 Oct08 Aug28 (hogan william )LUZZI J 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  STONE IN LOVE Oct11 Aug20 Aug01     (crook-dem)RODRIGUEZ A 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  LONDON LADY May28 May05 Apr21 Apr10 Feb24 (lucas bonnie)RENDON JAIRO 123 5.00 18% 4.70    
11  SPOILS OF WAR Apr22 Sep23 Sep05     (handal raymon)OLVER MADISON 111 2.00 58% 0.70    
SCR  FANCY LIKE Jun17 May27 Jun10     (stephens joh)BATISTA A 123 6.00    
 
MTH-9   06/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPANIKOPITA Jun04 May15 Apr26 Mar27 Feb27 (cole-davis)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 20.00    
2  PRACTICALITY May28 Dec21 Nov23     (arriagada ju)ARROYO S 120 4.00 34% 2.00    
3  KINGDOM QUEEN Jun04 Mar25 Feb24 Jan18 Dec21 (mc joh)BATISTA A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  LI'L MISS CAMILLE May28 Apr14 Feb24 Jan14 Dec31 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00 16% 5.30    
5  YOUR INHERITANCE Jun04 Apr23 Mar24 Mar05 Feb05 (gonzalez )RODRIGUEZ A 120 4.50 8% 11.50    
6  SHESASUPERFREAK May22 Apr12 Mar21 Nov29 Oct26 (ness jamie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.00    
7  TRIPLE P Jun02 May07 Apr13 Mar25 Mar10 (jones )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 30.00    
8  BOWL OF CHERRIES Jun02 May12 Apr21 Mar26 Mar12 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 3.50 20% 4.00    
9  HAZARDOUS HUMOR May20 Apr06 Feb17 Jan11 Nov18 (russo fra)VARGAS A 120 4.00    
 
MTH-10   06/18/2023 3300ft TURF RC11 FIRM Get Serious Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULL DISCLOSURE May27 Apr29 Mar18 Feb18 Dec22 (dobles elizabe)RENDON JAIRO 118 10.00 5% 18.00    
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of THELADYSAIDNO by CONCERTO)
2  GROOMS ALL BIZNESS May28 May04 Oct23 Sep24 Aug13 (duarte jo)RODRIGUEZ A 120 4.50    
  (by FED BIZ out of BRIDE TO BE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
3  ALOGON May25 Jan20 Dec30 Nov20 Oct22 (allard t)CENTENO E 118 8.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of SCAMPER by SCAT DADDY)
4  JUST JEREMY May28 Dec13 Nov20 Oct23 Aug26 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of LOOKSGOODFROMHERE by FREUD)
SCR  CEES GET DEGREES May19 Apr28 Mar18 Mar05 Feb10 (jacobson dav)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 8.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of INDIAN CEE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6  OUR SHOT Apr26 Mar03 Jan19 May20 Mar29 (terranova john)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00 48% 1.10    
  (by KANTHAROS out of FLEETHEART by NORTHERN AFLEET)
7  BELGRANO Mar18 Feb11 Dec24 Sep05 Aug14 (russo fra)VARGAS A 118 4.00 19% 4.10    
  (by WAR FRONT out of ASK THE MOON by MALIBU MOON)
8  THAT'S RIGHT May20 Oct23 Sep24 Aug14 Jul17 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 3.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of CAT TEN by GREATNESS)
SCR  SPUN AND WON Jun06 May02 Feb25 Sep04 Jul10 (duarte j)RENDON JAIRO 118 4.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of CRIMSON MAPLE by RAHY)
 
MTH-11   06/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOCIAL LADY Apr19 Mar22 Jan04 Nov23 Sep07 (avila jua)VARGAS A 120 3.50    
2  MIRANDA'S ROCKY Apr30 Feb02 Jan08     (orseno joseph )RENDON JAIRO 120 6.00    
3  BODIL May27 Apr10 Feb15 Dec30 Oct24 (avila c)BATISTA A 117 5.00    
SCR  GUN OF GOLD Dec16 Oct21 Sep23 Aug20 Jul24 (hollendor)RODRIGUEZ A 117 8.00    
5  BLUEBERRY INDYGO May13 Mar04 Feb03 Dec16 Jul21 (perkins ben )CASTILLO ISAAC 121 3.00 19% 4.30    
6  CUPIDS PAYDAY May29 May13 Apr08 Feb23 Feb08 (delgado jose)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 2.50 41% 1.40    
7  LUV U MARY JANE Nov25 Nov06 Oct13 Sep18 Aug20 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 115 8.00 14% 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.