Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - May 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-1   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(6/5/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(2/5/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-2   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(2/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(2/5/1)-(6/4/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-3   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(6/4/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(6/4/3)-(2/4/7/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-4   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(2/4/7/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(2/4/7/3)-(1/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-5   WIN (2/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/7/3)-(2/4/7/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/4/7/3)-(2/4/7/3)-(2/4/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/7/3)-(1/6/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7/3)-(1/6/3)-(3/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-6   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(3/5/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(3/5/4)-(10/3/9/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-7   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(10/3/9/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
PID-8   WIN (10/3/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/3/9/4)-(10/3/9/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (10/3/9/4)-(10/3/9/4)-(10/3/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PID-1   05/31/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXTRA MEDIUM May15 Sep20 Aug31 Aug15 Jul14 (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 1.40 50% 1.00    
PAPA JIMMY May24 Mar31 Feb24 Feb01 Jan20 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 8.00    
EXPLOSIVE HUMOUR Dec01 Nov14 Sep05 Aug17 Aug01 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 6.00    
CAPTAIN MAD JACK May24 Mar30 Jan18 Dec17 Oct26 (radosevi)MARTINEZ A 122 3.50 12% 7.00    
ORAZIO May23 Mar23 Mar09 Feb22 Feb10 (radosevich sh)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 2.00 14% 6.10    
 
PID-2   05/31/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE KENNY         (potts g)WALKER M 120 3.50    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of PHYLLIS ANN by PUT IT BACK)
ANOTHERDAYOFWORK May23         (brooks g)MARTINEZ A 117 5.00    
  (by V. E. DAY out of PTARMIGAN by UNBRIDLED JET)
LATE NIGHT LIVING         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 4.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of MIDNIGHTRENDEZVOUS by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
GRUMPY BROOKSIE         (brooks e)STANLEY O 120 8.00 7% 13.50    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of CALI'S FINALE by SCIPION)
A BIT OF CAPTAIN         (hamm timothy)RIQUELME J 120 3.00 18% 4.60    
  (by COAL FRONT out of DISCREET STAR by DISCREET CAT)
GOING UP         (potts g)ALLEN D 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
  (by MINESHAFT out of SHUSH UP by SILENT NAME (JPN))
 
PID-3   05/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXPECT LUCKY May16 Apr29 Apr01 Mar10 Mar04 (girten t)GALLARDO A 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
KENJI'S EMPIRE May16 Apr19       (connelly tere)WALKER M 124 2.50 65% 0.50    
SCR  STARSTREET May06 Mar19 Feb26     (stidham micha)MORALES PABLO 118 2.00    
GOVERNOR ATWOOD May16 Oct26 Oct10 Aug29 Aug22 (russell ra)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 4.50    
SUPER GREMLIN Apr29 Mar29 Feb26 Feb01 Aug06 (rice kevin)ALLEN D 124 3.50 12% 7.20    
TWELVETWO May16 Jul23 Jun25     (herrington cally)RIQUELME J 118 8.00    
 
PID-4   05/31/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UP FOR THE CHANCE Oct25 Oct17 Oct05 Sep21 Aug20 (fennessy john)WALES GARY 122 1.80    
GOLDEN OAK May08 Feb16 Jan23 Jan12 Dec14 (schneide)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00    
RAPA NUI May16 Aug16 Jul04 Jun11   (buhrow d)STANLEY O 122 6.00 15% 5.90    
GYPSY KITTEN May22 Mar08 Feb11 Jan25 Jan05 (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 4.50 15% 5.60    
NICE STAR Oct12 Sep27 Sep20 Aug23 Aug08 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 10.00    
LUCA AT THE SPA Apr14 Feb15 Dec31 Nov14 Oct17 (rojas e)FLORES E 122 2.00 46% 1.20    
 
PID-5   05/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THISAINTJUMPSTREET Oct26 Oct12 Sep28 Sep12 Aug29 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 5.00    
ABBEY'S SNOW WHITE May16 Oct13 Oct04 Sep22 May23 (buhrow jamie)ALENCAR WALBER 122 3.50 51% 1.00    
LIGHT HEARTED Dec13 Nov30 Nov02 Oct18 Oct03 (herrington cally )FOX CHRIS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
DON'T MAKE ME BEG May16 May02 Apr08 Sep22 Aug24 (brooks g)MARTINEZ A 122 3.00 19% 4.40    
TIZ PROMISING RVF May22 Nov08 Nov02 Oct20 Oct12 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00    
SWEET MOOCHIE Mar12 Feb19 Feb05 Jan25 Nov26 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 2.50    
KEYPIT May22 Mar01 Feb14 Jan30 Dec29 (pappada mi)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-6   05/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHUT IT CALI May03 Apr14 Mar17 Mar01   (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 1.80 39% 1.50    
SWEET AMY Oct17 Oct06 Sep26 Aug30 Aug17 (wismer glenn)ALENCAR WALBER 122 2.00    
WILL OR WON'T May12 Apr14 Mar23 Aug18   (stites w)MARTINEZ W 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
CAN I GET AN AMEN May16 Feb16 Jan28 Dec09 Oct20 (rogers r)GALLARDO A 122 8.00    
LA PANDA Feb10 Jan01 Dec17 Nov19 Oct12 (cooper t)MARTINEZ A 116 6.00    
MISS EASY Nov01 Oct13       (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 116 4.00 37% 1.70    
 
PID-7   05/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY BEE Apr13 Mar15 Feb06 Dec28 Nov19 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 3.00    
LADY LANA Apr24 Mar15 Feb20 Jan11 Nov26 (vitali mar)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 5.00    
YANKEE DOLLAR Mar26 Mar11 Feb11 Jan09 Dec13 (vitali marcus)MORALES PABLO 122 1.60 62% 0.60    
RICHIES NOBLE GIRL Apr19 Mar17 Mar04 Feb16 Jan25 (rojas e)FLORES E 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
LENTEN ROSE Apr23 Feb25 Feb11 Jan25 Dec31 (potts ro)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 10% 8.80    
SCR  MACHTENHAIRONFIRE Apr23 Feb23 Jan26 Dec28 Dec07 (bayeh edgar)ALENCAR WALBER 122 6.00    
 
PID-8   05/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($8K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HALF BIRTHDAY Oct18 Oct10 Sep27 Sep08 Aug22 (kintz matth)DELGADO DAVID 117 10.00    
MASTEROFTHEHOUNDS May15 Dec20 Nov28 Nov10 Oct10 (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 15.00    
GREAT BLAKE May15 Apr19 Sep12 Aug29 Jul13 (hoffman )GALLARDO A 122 8.00 10% 8.70    
ALL FOOLS DAY Apr28 Apr07 Mar25 Mar05 Feb12 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BIG THORN Dec30 Nov13 Oct13 Sep26 Sep09 (judd cassa)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 3.00    
FUEL THE BERN May15 Nov20 Oct26 Oct03 Sep19 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 122 2.50    
KICKS ON SIXTY SIX Oct13 Oct06 Sep22 Aug29 Jun27 (russell rand)AYALA J 122 12.00    
GUACO Jan07 Dec09 Nov23 Oct06 Sep12 (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 122 10.00    
SAMURAI LEGACY May15 Oct06 Sep26 Sep06 Aug22 (markgraf davi)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 5.00 8% 11.60    
10  JUNE GLOOM May04 Apr14 Feb15 Jan04 Dec18 (cline robert )MORALES PABLO 122 4.50 57% 0.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.