Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Friday - May 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-2   Win (5/2/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-3   Win (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PEN-4   Win (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-5   Win (3/1/9/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
PEN-6   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PEN-7   Win (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   05/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHANGHAI CANDY May04 Mar29 Mar01 Feb11 Jan25 (rathman elish)INIRIO J 120 6.00 19% 4.20    
OUCH OUCH OUCH May01 Apr17 Apr05 Mar15 Feb01 (flores-coba fel)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00    
EGOT A POKER FACE Apr26 Mar31 Mar10 Feb17 Apr11 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.00    
ONCE A GIANT Apr27 Mar15 Feb17 Jan13 Dec20 (davis jr)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 24% 3.10    
UNCLE YUDI May10 Apr26 Mar03 Feb10 Jan19 (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 19% 4.40    
FIFTY SHEAS OFGREY May04 Apr21 Mar16 Feb24 Feb15 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50    
 
PEN-2   05/19/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARP CATCH Mar10 Jan20 Dec14     (maymo j)AGUILAR M 117 5.00    
GOOD SOURCE Sep26 Aug22       (noble james)RODRIGUEZ R 117 4.50 24% 3.10    
SCR  EARLY FROST May06 Mar31 Mar23 Feb24 Dec14 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.00    
COLOR FORCE Jun30 May26 Apr06 Mar09 Mar02 (johnston rob)CORA D 120 2.50 8% 11.20    
SURPRISINGLY SWEET Dec28 Dec14       (bennett juanita)CEDENO CAROL 120 6.00 36% 1.80    
LAUGH IT OFF Apr19 Mar22 Feb22 Feb02 Jan12 (johnston rob)ROJAS MARTINA 110 8.00    
GLOSSY MADRINA Apr27 Mar24 Feb15 Jan25 Dec20 (ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00    
MY LADY'S AUNT MA Apr20 Jun16 May20 May06   (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 10% 8.60    
LOIS'S CAUSE Apr26 Mar30 Mar10 Feb24 Feb09 (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00    
 
PEN-3   05/19/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY DAY DIVA Oct24 Sep23 Sep16 Sep01 Aug11 (salvaggio michae)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
SCR  WILL TAKE ROSES May06 Mar31 Feb23 Feb02 Dec28 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00    
SHOSHANAH Nov05 Sep28 Jul28 Jul18 Jun28 (horlacher k)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 65% 0.50    
CHLOE ROSE Mar24 Mar10 Jan20 Dec16 Nov17 (dunham bernar)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 8.00    
SCR  IMNOTONETOCOMPLAIN May18 Nov22 Oct27 Sep25 Sep09 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00    
BEA BEA KAZ Jan20 Nov30       (synnefias dimitr)TORRES JOMAR 117 10.00 7% 14.00    
SCR  THE BIGGEST ONE May08 Mar28 Feb22 Jan24 Dec20 (fields kevin)ROJAS MARTINA 110 15.00    
PROSPECTIVE CANDY Mar15 Feb20 Feb01 Jan04 Dec20 (bedard alan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 20.00    
TRUE QUEEN Mar17 Feb18 Aug31 Aug13 Jul01 (rose orlando)CORUJO LEONARDO 117 10.00    
SCR  TRANSLATE Nov20 Oct29 Sep05 Aug03 Mar19 (allen f)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 2.00    
 
PEN-4   05/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANNA ROCKS May01 Apr01 Feb22 Jan18 Nov30 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 26% 2.90    
SCR  BAMBOO GARDEN Aug06 Jul02 Jun12     (farro patrici)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 4.00    
FAVORITE DOLL Apr28 Mar31 Mar23 Mar03 Jan26 (ferreira fernando)CORA D 120 10.00    
SALAGADOOLA Apr30 Dec31 Dec09 Nov18 Oct07 (samaniego jose)CONNER TYLER 124 2.00 15% 5.50    
TIMELY TRADITION Mar24 Mar02 Jan13 Dec14 Nov15 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
DANCE A LITTLE JIG Apr28 Mar31 Mar10 Feb24 Jan12 (ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00    
 
PEN-5   05/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIUSEPPE Mar31 Feb24       (rubley kelly)CEDENO CAROL 121 5.00 16% 5.40    
GOLDEN TREASURE Mar29 Feb28 Jan24 Dec02 Nov09 (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00    
RIPKEN Sep24 Aug19 Aug06 Jul16 Jun25 (stites flint )INIRIO J 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
LUCKILY LEYTON Mar21 Jan24       (noble james)RODRIGUEZ R 121 12.00    
BOB'S OUR UNCLE         (shea lydee)CORA D 122 12.00 7% 14.00    
NECCO Apr21 Mar24 Feb08 Dec21 Dec06 (murtough stephen )RODRIGUEZ E 124 6.00    
IOLA'S BLACK May04         (stites w)ROJAS MARTINA 114 15.00    
AFLEET AIRO Apr01 Mar17 Feb25     (salinas jose)CHIAPPE R 121 12.00    
IF WE GET LUCKY May03         (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 4.00 16% 5.40    
10  RUNAWAYTOTHEMOON         (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 121 10.00 6% 15.50    
 
PEN-6   05/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMUNICATION FAIL Mar08 Feb02 Jan20 Dec30 Dec14 (moreno tito)ROJAS MARTINA 112 2.50 14% 6.10    
BAILEY COFFEE Apr19 Feb23 Feb15 Dec09 Nov08 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 6.00    
LIONESQUE May04 Feb23 Jan20 Dec13 Oct23 (cooper stacey)CORA D 122 2.00 60% 0.70    
ABHAR Mar08 Feb23 Jan20 Dec14 Jun18 (bobadilla f)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 8.00    
NOTORIOUS REY Feb23 Jan13 Dec07 Nov18 Oct14 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00    
SHADOW CHASER Apr19 Mar24 Mar01 Feb14 Jan23 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 119 3.00    
 
PEN-7   05/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 F PT- 8:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISCREETLIN JONES Apr26 Mar30 Mar10 Jan17   (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 3.00 38% 1.60    
LITTLE MOOJI Apr27 Mar29 Mar08 Jan10 Dec12 (fields kevi)VARGAS L 123 4.50    
MISS MIA LIA May05 Apr20 Mar08 Jan12 Oct16 (kulp l)ROJAS MARTINA 113 5.00 7% 13.00    
HOP TO A DECISION Apr27 Oct05 Sep15     (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 3.50 27% 2.80    
WAHINE MEANIE May06 Apr04       (hendriks mclane)CEDENO CAROL 123 2.50    
RACE N RETURN May10 Apr20 Apr06 Nov16 Oct29 (harigeorgiou konsta)AGUILAR M 123 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.