Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Thursday - April 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/5)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(4/6/3)-(2/3/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-2   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(2/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(2/3/4)-(3/5/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-3   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(3/5/6)-(6/7/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-4   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(6/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(6/7/1)-(7/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-5   WIN (6/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/1)-(6/7/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/1)-(6/7/1/5)-(6/7/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/7/1)-(7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1)-(7/1)-(1/5/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-6   WIN (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/1)-(7/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/1)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/1)-(1/5/2)-(5/8/4/1/7) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
AQU-7   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(5/8/4/1/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
AQU-8   WIN (5/8/4/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/4/1/7)-(1/5/8/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/8/4/1/7)-(1/5/8/4/7)-(1/5/8/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   04/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT ROSIE Mar24 Jan12 Dec03     (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00 ★    
2  GLOCCA MORRA Mar12 Sep04 Jul31 Jun25   (walder pete)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 15.00    
3  SARAH'S PRIDE Mar12 Jan26 Jan20 Sep12   (persa)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 20.00    
4  FRANCA Sep15         (atras rob)OLVER MADISON 111 8.00    
5  SPATIAL REALITY Mar12         (ryer)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 4.50 8% 10.90    
6  K D KAKES Mar12 Feb18 Jan20 Dec30 Nov19 (falcone robe)TORRES A 113 0.60 61% 0.70    
 
AQU-2   04/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IDAKA Mar17 Jan12 Nov17 Oct08 Aug13 (barker edwa)MARTINEZ R 122 8.00    
2  DARN THAT SONG Feb11 Jan21 Dec30 Dec09 Nov22 (sells rachel)HARKIE K 122 6.00    
3  LONDON GOLD Mar12 Feb12 Jan29 Jan12 Dec18 (persaud rand)TORRES A 115 3.50 11% 8.10    
4  SWEET AS SUGAR Mar12 Feb12 Jan12 Sep23 Aug15 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
5  BASTET Mar17 Sep23 Aug28 Jul27 Jun03 (rodr)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 1.80    
6  ICE COLD GOLD Feb09 Jan20 Nov17 Nov10 Oct30 (jacobson)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 4.50 17% 5.00    
 
AQU-3   04/06/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MON PETIT CHOU Feb24 Jan27 Dec16 Nov26 Sep02 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
2  MELTING SNOW Mar25 Jan27 Jan05 Dec09 Nov05 (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.00 37% 1.70    
3  CUSTOMEREXPERIENCE Mar18 Feb10 Jan08 Dec11 Nov26 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50 21% 3.80    
4  ALPINE QUEEN Mar10 Feb09 Jan13 Dec17 Oct14 (tosc)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 8.00 13% 6.80    
5  BABA Feb25 Feb10 Jan29 Jan08 Nov26 (barrera osca)TORRES A 118 6.00    
6  DAME CINCO Mar25 Mar10 Feb24 Jan28 Jan07 (barrera oscar )ORTIZ L 123 4.50    
 
AQU-4   04/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LOHENGRIN TWO Mar25 Feb25 Jan22 Jan12 Nov02 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 113 3.00 11% 8.50    
2  CHARLIE FIVE O Mar25 Mar12 Mar04 Feb26   (jones eduardo)PANAIJO JORGE 120 15.00    
3  GLORY ROAD Mar25 Mar12 Feb09 Jan01 May27 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.40 45% 1.20    
SCR  GASLIGHT Feb18 Jan27 Jan01 Dec03 Nov18 (quick patric)HARKIE K 123 8.00    
5  REED KAN Mar30 Feb02 Jan01 Oct27 Sep06 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 11% 8.00    
6  HERO TIGER Feb13 Jan19 Dec30 Dec03 Nov12 (thompson)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 4.50 6% 17.00    
7  GOLDEN JUAN Mar15 Jan10 Dec13 Nov23 Oct27 (avil)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 12.00    
 
AQU-5   04/06/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAZ SUGAR BANK Mar03 Feb10 Jan18 Dec16 Nov23 (synnefia)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00 8% 11.80    
SCR  CUMBERLAND BLUES Mar18 Feb19 Dec29 Nov13 Oct07 (noda orlando)TORRES A 115 30.00    
SCR  JUMPSTER Apr01 Mar05 Feb19 Feb10 Jan15 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00    
4  OLYMPIC DREAMS Mar26 Feb17 Jan19 Jun30   (quick patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 10.00    
5  GOLDEN CODE Mar10 Feb05 Apr09 Mar05 Feb05 (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 120 3.50 ★    
6  SPIRIT OF ST LOUIS Feb17         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 0.60 33% 2.10    
7  MASON MANIA Mar10 Jan26 Jan05 Dec09 Nov02 (englehart jerem)CANCEL ERIC 122 4.50 31% 2.30    
 
AQU-6   04/06/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CARIBBEAN (AUS) Mar10 Feb25 Feb12 Jan01 Dec04 (barrera oscar )ORTIZ L 120 4.00 6% 16.50    
SCR  KUMAR Mar26 Mar18 Mar05 Feb19 Jan29 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 116 4.00    
2  SAILOR SPEED Mar25 Mar15 Feb22 Jan18 Dec20 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00    
SCR  VINTAGE HOLLYWOOD Mar18 Feb26 Jan22 Dec18 Oct27 (noda)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 8.00    
SCR  HAMMERIN AAMER Mar25 Feb25 Jan29 Jan07 Dec08 (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  TRUCULENT Mar26 Feb26 Jan22 Dec08 Nov06 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 10% 9.20    
6  WARRIOR IN CHIEF Mar05 Feb19 Feb05 Dec29 Nov17 (chichakly amira)DAVIS DYLAN 123 5.00    
7  WINTER POOL Jan07 Dec29 Nov18 Sep30 Aug11 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 1.80 43% 1.40    
 
AQU-7   04/06/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TONAL IMPACT Mar25 Feb19 Jan29 Jan05 Dec18 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 46% 1.20    
2  COMMANDPERFORMANCE Aug07 Jul10 Jun10 Apr09 Mar12 (pletcher a)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00 10% 9.20    
3  ANEJO Feb11 Jan05 Dec01 Oct22 Sep24 (o'neill doug)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00    
4  CELESTIAL MOON Mar11 Dec15 Nov10 Oct15   (mott i)ORTIZ L 123 2.50    
5  KUCHAR Jul02 May22 Apr23 Mar13 Feb12 (pletcher todd )LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50 15% 5.80    
6  TREASURE TROVE Mar25 Mar07 Feb18 Feb02 Jan15 (cash norman)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00    
 
AQU-8   04/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAM ON CARA Mar18 Jan19 Dec17 Nov20 Oct30 (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 118 4.50 6% 14.90    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of DREAMING OF CARA by NORTH LIGHT)
1A  FOXY CARA         (friedman mi)MARTINEZ R 118 4.50 ★    
  (by MASTERY out of THEYPLAYINGOURSONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
SCR  RED JASMINE Mar12         (ferrar)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 15.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of ZIGGY FREUD by FREUD)
3  SWEETIE         (sciacca gary)OLVER MADISON 118 20.00    
  (by EFFINEX out of MARGIES SMILE by WHEELAWAY)
4  SHAMAN PRINCESS Mar11 Jan28       (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 113 6.00 18% 4.70    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of STORIED LADY by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
5  DANSEUR D'ORO Mar11 Jul27 Jun03     (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50 32% 2.10    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of MISS CENTERFOLD by TIZNOW)
6  RUN CHATA Jan21         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of DIAMOND DONA by BERNARDINI)
7  MIDNITE CONFESSION         (mart)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of HONEST TO BETSY by YONAGUSKA)
8  SPLASHY Nov19         (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 20% 3.90    
  (by FLATTER out of SAVVY SASSY by STREET SENSE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.