Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Saturday - March 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-1   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(5/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(5/4/2)-(2/1/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-2   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/1/2/6)-(5/4/1/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(2/1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(2/1/5/6)-(7/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-3   WIN (2/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/6)-(2/1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/6)-(2/1/5/6)-(2/1/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/5/6)-(7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5/6)-(7/6/5)-(3/7/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-4   WIN (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/5)-(7/6/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/5)-(7/6/5/1/4)-(7/6/5/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/6/5)-(3/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5)-(3/7/2)-(3/7/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TUP-5   WIN (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/2)-(3/7/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/2)-(3/7/2/4/5)-(3/7/2/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/7/2)-(3/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2)-(3/7/1)-(7/3/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-6   WIN (3/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/1)-(3/7/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/7/1)-(3/7/1/4)-(3/7/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/7/1)-(7/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1)-(7/3/5/6)-(3/7/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-7   WIN (7/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/6)-(7/3/5/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/6)-(7/3/5/6/4)-(7/3/5/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/3/5/6)-(3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TUP-8   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   03/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Arizona Stallion Purse ($45K) 3 ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARIZONA KALEI Feb18 Jan28 Jan07 Dec10 Oct04 (eikleberry k)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 3.50 9% 10.30    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of JACKSONVILLE by BENTON CREEK)
SCR  CHARLIE'S MAN Mar06 Feb14 Jan28 Dec10 Nov12 (alvarez s)VALENZUELA A 124 12.00 ★    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  BEYOND AWESOME Mar11 Feb26 Jan28 Jan07 Dec21 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 120 1.60 52% 0.90    
  (by BOOS out of CAMILLE by ROCKY BAR)
4  ARIZONA ANDREW Mar11 Feb18 Jan28 Dec10 Oct04 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 124 1.80 15% 5.80    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of TOPPISME by SAINT BALLADO)
5  SCOPELLO Feb26         (mcfarlane l)LEON A 124 20.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of BOLD AND WONDERFUL by OLYMPIO)
SCR  ARIZONA STEPHEN Nov15 Oct04 Aug30     (eikleberry )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00 ★    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of SMARTY B by SMARTY JONES)
 
TUP-2   03/25/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($25.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIRD WHEEL Feb26 Apr04 Mar02 Jan20   (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 3.00 ★    
2  UNMACHABLE Mar07 Feb07 Jan23 Jan10 Aug14 (mccartney)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 7% 14.20    
3  BAROSSA Mar11 Feb20 Feb11 Jan23 Jan09 (hernandez migue)LEON A 122 4.00    
4  SHINNY Feb27 Feb07 Jan12 Dec27 Dec08 (chambers mike)CORBETT W 122 3.50 21% 3.80    
5  BIGFOOT CITY Mar11 Feb08 Jan09 Dec27 Nov21 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 2.00 40% 1.50    
6  MYOPIC Feb07 Jan23 Nov19 Nov08 Sep13 (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 6.00 ★    
 
TUP-3   03/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CURIOUS INJI Mar05 Feb16 Jan30 Jan14 Dec13 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 2.50 26% 2.90    
2  WARREN'S MEMORABLE Mar14 Mar05 Feb25 Feb13 Jan24 (valerio ray)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 30% 2.30    
3  KID CAT Mar05 Feb16 Jan30 Jan04 Dec19 (whitehous)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00    
SCR  A WHOLE LOTTA HULA Feb06 Jan04 Dec21 Dec01 Nov19 (toye joe)VALDES ALEXIS 122 6.00 ★    
5  LATER DAYS Feb25 Feb06 Jan04 Dec19 Nov26 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 4.00 10% 9.40    
6  YELLEN Feb25 Feb16 Feb06 Jan18 Aug24 (toye joe)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 9% 10.40    
7  QUEENS RANSOM Mar14 Feb25 Feb11 Jan26 Jan11 (johnston ki)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 5.00    
 
TUP-4   03/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STONUS MAXIMUS Feb26 Feb19 Feb05 Jan10 Dec27 (wheeler travi)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 4.50 ★    
2  STYLISH ELEGANCE Mar01 Feb21 Feb02 Jan17 Jan02 (villamar candel)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00    
3  MANY ROSES Feb26 Feb13 Feb01 Jan12 Dec26 (axmaker w)VERGARA P 124 6.00    
4  WEAR THE CROWN Feb04 Dec20 Dec08 Nov16 Sep10 (toye joe)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 8.00 ★    
5  GOLDEN COWBOY Mar08 Feb20 Feb06 Jan23 Jan10 (bullene micha)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00 22% 3.60    
6  THAT'S BIND BABE Feb25 Feb12 Jan27 Jan16 Dec26 (christian b)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 4.00 25% 3.10    
7  DEVIL'S TEETH Feb26 Feb13 Jan30 Dec10 Nov26 (matt wendel)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
 
TUP-5   03/25/2023 4950ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3 F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKEDADDLE'S LEGACY Mar14         (martinez es)MARTI ALEXANDER 121 8.00    
2  M G BIG MARIA Mar07 Feb14       (hone bart)ZUNINO L 121 4.00 13% 6.50    
3  LUNAR UNIT Feb21         (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 49% 1.00    
4  SENT BY ANGELS         (belvoi)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 5.00 ★    
5  THRILL TOWN         (mccartney)VALENZUELA A 121 10.00 ★    
6  STELLAR POINT Feb21         (mcfarlane l)LEON A 121 12.00    
7  GEEJAYTEE Mar05 Jan25       (rarick wade)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 2.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  FOREST ACCLAMATION Mar05 Feb13 Jan16 Dec04 Sep22 (fearon )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 121 15.00    
 
TUP-6   03/25/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOT EVEN SMARTER Feb26 Feb04 Jan12 Dec01 Sep10 (fulmer drew)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00 7% 12.70    
2  DIAMOND WILLOW Mar08 Feb20 Jan24 Jan12 Jan05 (silva-marti)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 12.00    
3  CAPTAIN N. BARRON Mar01 Feb09 Sep25 Aug28 Feb20 (crotts ja)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 48% 1.10    
4  D K'S CROWN Mar01 Feb18 Feb09 Jan18 Jan05 (villamar ca)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 ★    
5  SOLEROCKER Feb06 Jan14 Dec22 Nov29 Nov09 (breashear bill)CORBETT W 124 10.00    
6  AWESOME BID Feb21 Jan19 Nov07 Oct12 Aug08 (belvoi)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 5.00    
7  NEVADAN Feb02 Jan18 Dec26 Apr25 Mar15 (asprino alfre)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  JUST PICK IT UP Mar04 Feb02 Jan19 Jan03 Dec19 (metz jeffrey)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 ★    
 
TUP-7   03/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEENEYE GEORGE Feb28 Dec18 Nov24 Aug27 Aug06 (ba)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00    
2  SYZSLAK Feb21 Feb06 Jan23 Jan17 Dec19 (rumsey cory)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 4.00    
3  BALI STAR Feb28 Feb11 Jan05 Nov14 Sep23 (breashear b)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 20% 4.00    
4  DESTINY ONE Mar05 Feb06       (silva j)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 3.00 ★    
5  TRUTH TO POWER Feb01 Jan05 Dec13 Nov14 Sep12 (kenney dan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 7% 12.90    
6  KOVACS Jan23 Jan05 Nov30 Nov08 Sep08 (silva rodri)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 15.00 6% 16.40    
7  RAVINA LANE Feb21 Jan23 Jan05 Sep30 Sep23 (woolley bennie )CORBETT W 124 6.00 47% 1.10    
8  RIGHT TO SUE Mar06 Feb26 Feb06 Aug29 Jul23 (villamar cand)VALDES ALEXIS 124 10.00    
9  NAVY PIER Feb28 Feb11 Aug10 Jul25 Jul05 (chamberlin ti)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00    
 
TUP-8   03/25/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE Feb22 Feb13 Feb01 Jan12 Dec15 (elston brent)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 6.00    
2  RIVER ROSE Mar01 Feb16 Feb02 Jan17 Jan09 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00    
3  ARIZONA JEREMY Feb13 Feb01 Apr25 Apr11   (laufenberg joyce)ZUNINO L 122 5.00 23% 3.30    
4  LOYALTY SPIRIT Feb22 Feb01 Nov16 Oct11 Sep18 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 10.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  HEY SEQUOIA Feb22 Feb06 Jan18 Dec19 Dec08 (nunnally je)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 8.00 6% 14.90    
6  PISTOL POWER Feb22 Feb13 Jan30 Jan12 Dec15 (baze lisa)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00    
7  CHEST CANDY Feb01 Aug21 Aug10 Jul09 Apr01 (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 19% 4.40    
8  OSTINI Feb22 Feb01 Jan12 Dec15 Nov16 (weaver gordon)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 20.00    
9  MY CALL Feb22 Feb01 Sep08 Jul19 Jun26 (moreno ca)VALENZUELA A 122 15.00    
10  MO GEE Mar01 Feb11 Jan18 Dec26 Dec13 (matt l)CORBETT W 122 20.00    
11  WILLTOBELUCKY Feb27 Jan14 Dec21 Nov29 Nov05 (eikleberry k)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 12.00    
SCR  SIR DEPUTY Mar04 Feb19 Jan31 Jan07 Dec20 (hernandez mig)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 8.00 9% 9.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.