Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - March 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/7/2/1/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/7)-(5/7/2/1/3)-(5/7/2/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/7)-(4/3/1)-(3/1/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-2   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1/2/6)-(4/3/1/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(3/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(3/1/4)-(3/2/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-3   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/2/4/5)-(3/1/2/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(3/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(3/2/1)-(3/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-4   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1/4/6)-(3/2/1/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(3/7)-(6/7/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-5   WIN (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/7)-(3/7/5/2/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/7)-(3/7/5/2/6)-(3/7/5/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7)-(6/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/7)-(6/7/1)-(2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-6   WIN (6/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/1)-(6/7/1/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/1)-(6/7/1/9)-(6/7/1/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/7/1)-(2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1)-(2/1)-(8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
AQU-7   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/3/6)-(2/1/3/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/1)-(8) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(8)-(2/5/7/11) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
AQU-8   WIN (8) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (8)-(8/1/2/7) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (8)-(8/1/2/7)-(8/1/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8)-(2/5/7/11) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
AQU-9   WIN (2/5/7/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/7/11)-(2/5/7/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/7/11)-(2/5/7/11)-(2/5/7/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   03/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARAH'S PRIDE Jan26 Jan20 Sep12     (persa)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 15.00 ★    
2  FROSTY INVASION Feb26 Feb02 Jan13 Dec08 Nov12 (schettino d)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 2.00 ★    
3  DASHING DELLA Feb12 Jan14 Nov19 Oct30   (rodriguez gusta)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 ★    
4  LA CHANCE Feb18 Oct23 Sep23 Sep01 Aug08 (romero rafael)BOWMAN ADAM 118 20.00    
5  K D KAKES Feb18 Jan20 Dec30 Nov19   (falcone robe)TORRES A 111 1.20 58% 0.70    
6  DELIGHTFUL RITA Feb17         (donk david)LUZZI J 118 15.00    
7  SPATIAL REALITY         (ryer)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 6.00 16% 5.40    
 
AQU-2   03/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARLIE FIVE O Mar04 Feb26       (jones eduardo)OLVER MADISON 113 10.00    
1A  ALCOOLS Feb26 Feb05 Jan22 Sep17 Aug18 (jones eduardo)PANAIJO JORGE 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  GLORY ROAD Feb09 Jan01 May27 Apr30 Mar27 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.00 ★    
3  RISK PROFILE Feb09 Jan14 Dec04 Oct07 Aug24 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 10% 8.80    
4  SEVIER Feb11 Jan14 Dec17 Nov27 Oct01 (ness jamie)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.60 63% 0.60    
5  BLAKE B. Feb10 Jan15 Dec18 Nov19 Oct22 (romero jesus)TORRES A 116 15.00    
6  FUNNY JOKE Feb05 Dec16 Dec01 Oct08 Sep24 (rice)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 6.00 ★    
 
AQU-3   03/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Biogio's Rose Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIA BEA STAR Feb10 Jan19 Dec30 Dec17 Dec04 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 3.50 10% 8.80    
  (by RACE DAY out of CONTINETTA by BERNSTEIN)
2  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY Feb12 Jan19 Dec17 Nov04 Oct27 (barrera oscar)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.60 ★    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of KNOW IT ALL ANNA by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
3  TIMELESS JOURNEY Jan26 Dec30 Nov27 Oct29 Apr09 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.40 54% 0.80    
  (by VERRAZANO out of MATCHMADEINHEAVEN by UTOPIA (JPN))
4  IMPAZIBLE DONNA Feb24 Dec04 Sep02 Aug06 Apr23 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 5% 18.30    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of PINK LOLLIPOPS by SILVER DEPUTY)
5  CAPTAINSDAUGHTER Feb25 Jan29 Jan07 Dec11 Nov10 (cash j)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 ★    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of JOAN'S ROSE by SERVICE STRIPE)
 
AQU-4   03/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET AS SUGAR Feb12 Jan12 Sep23 Aug15 Jul13 (shiv)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 8.00 10% 9.10    
2  FANTAIL (GB) Jan29 Nov18 Oct27 Sep29 Sep13 (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 3.50 15% 5.50    
3  ICY STARE DOWN Feb20 Jan01 Dec09 Oct29 Sep15 (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.60 46% 1.20    
4  CAPTIVATING CARA Feb11 Jan06 Oct01 Aug26 Jun25 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.50 ★    
5  LONDON GOLD Feb12 Jan29 Jan12 Dec18 Dec01 (persaud rand)TORRES A 113 10.00    
6  BRISKY FROLIC Feb24 Jan13 Dec10 Oct14 Apr09 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.50 ★    
 
AQU-5   03/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TONIGHT WE LOVE Feb26 Feb02 Jan13 Jan05 Dec08 (mart)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 10.00    
2  DIVINE WINE Jan28 Dec31 Dec08 Nov17 Oct21 (rodriguez gus)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 ★    
3  TIMED OUT Feb19 Apr09 Feb25 Jan20   (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 70% 0.40    
4  JUST A NYQUIST Feb24 Feb02 Jan22 Jun16 May21 (barrera osca)TORRES A 115 10.00    
5  ANILEATE Jan01 Dec03 Nov19 Oct16   (russell brittan)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50 ★    
6  PREPOSTEROUS Feb09 Jan13 Sep22 Aug11 Jul27 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 ★    
7  DESERT DALLIANCE Feb13 Dec09 Nov13 Oct12 Mar13 (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.50 5% 19.00    
8  YOGI Dec29 Nov26 Aug31 Aug03   (bond jam)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
 
AQU-6   03/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WARRIOR RICHARD Feb09 Jan13 Dec29 Dec02   (falcone rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 11% 7.90    
2  LET FREEDOM SPRING Feb27 May21 May08 Mar20 Feb23 (pring)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 20.00    
3  STEADY PROGRESS Feb17 Feb02 Jan19 Jan13   (chatte)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00    
4  LEFTY'S WAR Feb12 Feb02 Dec17 Oct06 Aug04 (lee jose)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 20.00    
SCR  THERE BE DRAGONS Feb18 Dec24 Nov19     (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.60 18% 4.50    
6  OLD POINT Feb25 Jan19 Nov13 Oct08   (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 125 3.00 35% 1.90    
7  PROVEN HOPE Feb12 Jan19 Dec29 Oct20 Aug24 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 125 4.00 15% 5.90    
8  STORMANDY Feb17 Feb09 Jan13 Oct22   (park)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 12.00    
9  DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR Feb25 Jan08 Feb19 Jan22   (morley thoma)TORRES A 118 10.00 ★    
 
AQU-7   03/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOOLISH GHOST Feb11 Jan07 Nov17 Sep23 Sep03 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 8% 11.30    
2  WARRIORS REVENGE Feb10 Jan08 Dec11 Nov22 Oct11 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50 56% 0.80    
3  WRITER'S REGRET Feb17 Feb05 Jan08 Jul25 Jun27 (d'alessandr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50 ★    
4  QUICKFLASH Feb05 Jan12 Dec07 Sep22 Aug26 (johnson )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00    
SCR  SCILLY CAY Mar05 Feb17 Feb10 Jan07 Dec30 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.00 ★    
6  EXCELLENT TIMING Feb17 Jan21 Dec10 Sep23 Aug26 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 ★    
7  FIRST DEPUTY Feb11 Jan05 Dec16 Nov16 Nov07 (shiv)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 15.00    
 
AQU-8   03/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 F PT- 4:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGGIE T Feb02 Jan06 Nov19 Oct23 Sep02 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 ★    
2  SHASI Feb02 Jan12       (donk davi)VARGAS A 120 12.00 ★    
3  JOEY THE FISH Jan27 Jan06 Nov18 Oct08 Sep25 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00    
4  HYPNOCURRENCY Feb12 Dec30 Dec11 Oct23 Sep17 (begg j)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00    
5  BELLA MICHELLE Feb02 Jan06 Dec11 Nov27 Oct08 (make)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 8.00    
SCR  FRIGID LADY Feb03 Jan12 Nov19 Oct22 Sep18 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 0.80 51% 1.00    
7  AMANDA'S FOLLY Feb18 Jan06 Nov26 Oct23 Sep15 (martin carl)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 ★    
8  PEBBLE LANE Feb02 Dec04 Oct23 Sep22 Aug10 (duggan david )FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 23% 3.30    
 
AQU-9   03/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEENS OVER THREES Feb11 Jan12 Nov27 Oct30   (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
2  DON'T QUIT JACKIE         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 125 6.00 41% 1.40    
3  GLOCCA MORRA Sep04 Jul31 Jun25     (walder peter)TORRES A 118 15.00    
4  PHINNEYS HARBOR         (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00    
5  LAOCHI Feb10 Jan22 Aug26 Mar11 Jan22 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 3.50 18% 4.70    
6  PRINCESS SONYA Dec29 Nov17       (parker joseph)DAVIS DYLAN 125 10.00    
7  RED JASMINE         (ferrar)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  SPOOKY LADY Feb02 Jan22 Dec16 Nov17 Sep25 (rodriguez rud)OLVER MADISON 118 12.00    
9  FOREVER AMY Jan20 Dec16 Oct30     (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00    
10  PAUCILOQUENT Jan12         (bond)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 8.00    
11  SUPER PRINCESS         (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
12  GEORGIE'S LADIES Jan08         (barker edwa)MARTINEZ R 125 20.00    
SCR  SWEET FURY Jan31 Dec20 Nov09 Oct12 Aug30 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 125 10.00 7% 13.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.