Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - March 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/7/1)-(4/6/7/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/6)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(4/6/1)-(5/6/1/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-2   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1/3/2)-(4/6/1/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(5/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(5/6/1/7)-(8/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-3   WIN (5/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/7)-(5/6/1/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/7)-(5/6/1/7/4)-(5/6/1/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/6/1/7)-(8/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1/7)-(8/4)-(6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-4   WIN (8/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/4)-(8/4/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (8/4)-(8/4/2)-(8/4/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (8/4)-(6/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (8/4)-(6/7)-(1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-5   WIN (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/7)-(6/3/7/4/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/7)-(6/3/7/4/5)-(6/3/7/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/7)-(1/6/4)-(6/5/9/8/4) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
AQU-6   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4/2)-(1/6/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(6/5/9/8/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(6/5/9/8/4)-(6/4/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
AQU-7   WIN (6/5/9/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/9/8/4)-(6/5/9/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/9/8/4)-(6/5/9/8/4)-(6/5/9/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/5/9/8/4)-(6/4/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/5/9/8/4)-(6/4/5)-(7/5/3/8/2) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
AQU-8   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5/1/7)-(6/4/5/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(7/5/3/8/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
AQU-9   WIN (7/5/3/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/8/2)-(7/5/3/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/8/2)-(7/5/3/8/2)-(7/5/3/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   03/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME WEAPON Feb17         (forde jason)RICHARDS G 118 30.00 ★    
2  TIZA BROWN Jan27 Jan21 Jan05 Dec17 Dec11 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 30.00    
3  CHASIN' YOU Feb25 Jan06 Dec17 Oct22 Sep23 (lynch natali)TORRES A 111 8.00    
4  SUPER QUALITY Jan29 Dec09 Nov10 Sep30 Aug28 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 125 0.40 54% 0.80    
SCR  SARATOGA STRONG Feb18 Feb02 Jan05 Dec11   (lynch na)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 ★    
6  BRASS MONKEY Feb12         (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 4.50 23% 3.40    
7  GRAND AGAIN Feb25 Jan19 Dec17 Nov25 Nov10 (shiv)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 6.00 ★    
 
AQU-2   03/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROMANOATSEE Feb12 Jan29 Dec31 Nov21 Nov09 (barrow p)DAVIS A 125 4.50 19% 4.40    
2  PAPI ON ICE Feb12 Jan29 Jan19 Jan08 Dec17 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 127 10.00 ★    
3  SALUTE TO AMERICA Feb19 Jan27 Dec16 Nov19 Oct15 (rodriguez gusta)DAVIS DYLAN 125 3.50 ★    
4  DEE'S SPEEDSTRE Jan29 Nov27 Oct22 Jul29 Jun24 (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 34% 1.90    
5  B C GLORY DAYS Feb19 Feb12 Jan21 Jan01 Dec09 (barrera osca)TORRES A 118 6.00    
6  BOURBON'S HOPE Feb19 Feb12 Jan01 Dec09 Nov10 (rice adam)LEZCANO JOSE 125 1.80 19% 4.30    
 
AQU-3   03/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIDING ON A WINNER Feb11 Dec09 Nov22 Oct31 Oct11 (noda orlando)TORRES A 117 15.00 9% 9.90    
2  PREDETERMINED Feb24 Feb11 Jan21 Dec29 Dec01 (scia)HUAYAS (JASON) 117 15.00    
SCR  PRETTY MISS KEENS Feb17 Jan20 Dec16 Dec03 Oct01 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00    
4  OUR ROSIE DIAMONDS Jan26 Jan06 Dec02 Nov26 Oct23 (jacobson)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00 ★    
5  NEW YORK SUPREME Feb19 Jan20 Dec29 Dec08 Nov12 (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 126 3.00 38% 1.60    
6  TRY IT AGAIN Jan28 Jan05       (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 126 1.60 19% 4.20    
7  WICKED LADY Jan20 Dec29 Nov27 Oct28 Sep16 (barker edwa)MARTINEZ R 124 8.00 6% 14.70    
8  CRYSTAL ORB Feb11 Feb05 Jan20 Dec29 Dec01 (pringl)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 30.00    
 
AQU-4   03/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAYMYNAME Nov06 Oct06 Sep28 Aug07 Jul20 (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 118 15.00    
2  GERMANY JAYVO Jan22 Jan12 Dec04 Nov27   (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00 ★    
SCR  COOKIE CRUMBS Jan22 Dec11 Nov06 Oct15 Aug21 (rice adam)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50 13% 6.60    
4  AFILADA Jan26 Jan01 Nov21 Sep22 Aug06 (rice adam)DAVIS DYLAN 126 4.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  WELCOMETOMYWORLD Dec18 Nov25 Nov06 Sep15   (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 ★    
6  EXTESSA Nov02 Oct16 Sep01 Aug05   (chichakly ami)OLVER MADISON 111 30.00    
7  MEAN MONGOL Jan22 Nov04       (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00    
8  WISHING ON A STAR Jan18 Sep25 Aug20 Jul10 Jun17 (morey willi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 1.40 35% 1.80    
 
AQU-5   03/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUCHO SUNSHINE May07 Apr14 Mar31 Feb20 Jan27 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00    
2  KUMAR Feb19 Jan29 Jan07 Nov18 Oct21 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 116 12.00    
3  JUMPSTER Feb19 Feb10 Jan15 Dec06 Nov15 (sells rachel)HARKIE K 123 6.00 ★    
4  WARRIOR IN CHIEF Feb19 Feb05 Dec29 Nov17 Oct21 (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 ★    
5  GOLDINI Feb10 Jan07 Dec10 Dec04 Nov17 (rodr)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 10.00 ★    
6  LIL COMMISSIONER Feb25 Jan29 Dec29 Nov18 Sep17 (arriaga anto)TORRES A 113 0.60 65% 0.50    
7  SUPPLY CHAIN Feb10 Jan15 Jan07 Dec04 Nov18 (chichakly amir)RICHARDS G 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-6   03/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CEES GET DEGREES Feb10 Jan27 Jan11 Dec16 Nov16 (jacobson david)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.40 ★    
1A  AMUNDSON Jan22 Jan01 Dec09 Nov12 Oct21 (rice adam)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.40 32% 2.10    
2  MONDAY MORNING QB Feb18 Jan21 Dec17 Dec03 Nov25 (cash norman )TORRES A 113 12.00 ★    
SCR  REGGAE MUSIC MAN Feb05 Jan08 Nov26 Nov05 Aug12 (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 ★    
4  SCILLY CAY Feb17 Feb10 Jan07 Dec30 Dec17 (rice)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 4.50 13% 6.70    
SCR  A DANGEROUS GUY Jan11 Dec07 Nov16 Oct20 Oct04 (lake a)ADORNO ABNER 120 15.00    
6  HAPPY FARM Jan22 Dec30 Nov26 Sep30 Sep04 (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 118 1.60 31% 2.20    
 
AQU-7   03/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAMM' DUKE Feb11 Jan21 Dec17 Nov27 Oct21 (ryerson james )ADORNO ABNER 120 15.00    
SCR  PLAYINGWITHMATCHES Jan14 Dec17 Nov17 Oct27   (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00    
3  PAROS Feb12 Jan28 Nov19 Oct22 Sep24 (rice adam)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
4  EAST COAST GIRL Jan27 Jan06 Nov26     (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  MAMA'S GOLD Jan21 Nov26 Aug11     (summers chad)OLVER MADISON 113 1.80 18% 4.50    
6  TOXIC GRAY Feb11 Dec30       (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 122 1.60 31% 2.30    
7  SOUNDS SPOOKY Feb17 Dec30 Nov27 Oct16 Sep05 (jone)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 50.00    
8  VALENZAN DAY Jan07 Dec04 Nov19 Oct27 Sep22 (rice adam)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00 10% 9.40    
9  SWIFTY DEVIL Feb12 Jan01 Dec11 Nov19 Oct29 (gorham michae)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 14% 5.90    
 
AQU-8   03/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEMPERMENTAL Feb09 Jan06 Dec09 Nov27 Nov06 (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 113 2.50 ★    
2  BETTY'S SMILE Feb18 Jan13 Nov08 Oct17 Sep28 (grusmark)DAVIS A 123 20.00    
3  MERAVIGLIOSO Feb18 Feb10 Jan20 Dec29 Dec03 (ferraro jame)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 12.00    
4  BAVARIAN CREME Feb10 Nov26 Oct29 Sep30 Aug11 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.50 21% 3.80    
5  LEFT LEANING LUCY Feb18 Jan12 Dec18 Nov16 Nov02 (follett )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00 10% 9.40    
6  BANKERS DAUGHTER Feb20 Jan28 Jan15 Dec15 Nov16 (d'alessandro )FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 41% 1.40    
7  MY FIRST LOVE Jan22 Jan13 Dec10 Nov13 Nov01 (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 120 1.60 ★    
 
AQU-9   03/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SEANAN Feb18 Jan07 Dec10 Nov16 Oct31 (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 115 4.50    
2  VOLIERO Feb10 Jan14 Dec10 Dec01 Nov05 (pers)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  DONTBELATE Feb18 Jan14 Dec18 Dec01 Oct28 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 14% 6.20    
SCR  EL MAYOR Jan26 Jan12 Dec18 Oct28 Oct13 (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00    
5  PRINCE OF JOY Feb10 Jan26 Jan01 Dec18 Nov19 (legall r)DAVIS A 122 3.50 15% 5.70    
6  SIGHT UNSEEN Jan29 Dec31 Nov05 Oct14 Aug11 (hennig mark)HARKIE K 120 8.00    
7  BINGO JOHN Feb18 Feb05 Jan22 Jan12 Oct27 (pregman john )PANAIJO JORGE 120 5.00 42% 1.40    
8  EXXTOP Feb10 Jan26 Jan12 Dec16 Nov20 (tho)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  CENTAVO Feb12 Jan27 Jan21 Jan15 Dec29 (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.