Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Thursday - February 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (7/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/6/2)-(7/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/6/2)-(7/5/6/2)-(7/5/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/6/2)-(1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6/2)-(1/6/4)-(4/2/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-2   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4/10/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4/10/9)-(1/6/4/10/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(4/2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(4/2/6/3)-(8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TP-3   WIN (4/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/6/3)-(4/2/6/10/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/2/6/3)-(4/2/6/10/3)-(4/2/6/10/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/2/6/3)-(8/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6/3)-(8/1)-(1/9/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TP-4   WIN (8/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/1)-(8/1/5/10/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/1)-(8/1/5/10/6)-(8/1/5/10/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1)-(1/9/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/1)-(1/9/10)-(5/1/8/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TP-5   WIN (1/9/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/9/10)-(1/9/10/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/9/10)-(1/9/10/2)-(1/9/10/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/9/10)-(5/1/8/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/9/10)-(5/1/8/10)-(4/5/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-6   WIN (5/1/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/8/10)-(5/1/8/10/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/1/8/10)-(5/1/8/10/6)-(5/1/8/10/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/8/10)-(4/5/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/8/10)-(4/5/2/3)-(3/8/4/11) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TP-7   WIN (4/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/2/3)-(4/5/2/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/5/2/3)-(4/5/2/3/6)-(4/5/2/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/5/2/3)-(3/8/4/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TP-8   WIN (3/8/4/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/4/11)-(3/8/4/11/14) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/8/4/11)-(3/8/4/11/14)-(3/8/4/11/14) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   02/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AGAVE KID Jan05 Dec17 Dec03 Nov18 Oct16 (mer)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 8.00    
2  K W CAPTAIN HOOK Jan04 Nov07 Sep30 Sep14 Aug23 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BOA NOVA (IRE) Jan04 Dec08 Sep09 Jul21 Jun21 (sherman justin)MUSARRO JOE 123 8.00 41% 1.50    
4  PLATINUM MAC Dec17 Oct07 Aug26 Aug02 Jul15 (helmbrech)BETANCOURT RONNEY 123 12.00    
5  REMEMBER THE MAINE Jan11 Nov26 Nov13 Oct21 Sep30 (campbell joel)SANJUR SANTO 123 10.00 9% 10.40    
6  ESTILO VARONIL Jan11 Oct11 Sep14 Aug05 Jul06 (kordenbrock matt)FELIX E 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  D'ARCHER Jan11 Dec09 Nov18 Sep23 Sep09 (delong ben)HALDAR J 123 15.00 15% 5.80    
8  RAMPAGE Jan07 Dec14 Nov16 Oct27 Sep29 (matthews ran)RAMOS D 123 12.00    
9  ALFIE SOLOMONS Jan19 Dec27 Nov23 Oct07 Aug11 (cline rober)CHIRINOS ROIMES 123 3.00    
10  VICE COP Nov22 Nov02 May30 May12   (matthews randy)ACHARD ALEX 123 10.00    
11  STRETCH RUNNER Jan11 Oct26 Oct12 Sep27 Sep14 (shetron)DE CRUZ 123 12.00    
 
TP-2   02/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POET OF LIFE (IRE) Jan06 Dec14 Jul02     (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 124 3.00 47% 1.10    
2  CARMEL BAY Jan19 Dec28 Dec02 Nov10 Oct20 (grubbs l)FELIX E 124 12.00    
3  CENTER STAGE Dec21 Oct27 Sep17 Aug13 Jul02 (delacour arna)CANNON DECLAN 119 6.00    
4  SNOWSCAPE Jan05 Dec20 Nov10 Aug22 Jul19 (wal)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  ARTIE'S LADY Jan06 Dec17 Dec03 Nov10 Jun11 (schwarm lou)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 15.00    
6  HAIG POINT Jan21 Dec28 Sep28 Sep01 Jul15 (maker m)DE CRUZ 124 2.50 23% 3.40    
7  NOMADIC FIGHTER Jan07 Dec08 Nov17 Oct26 Oct11 (delacruz )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 15.00    
SCR  MUGSY MALONE Dec30 Nov18 Nov10 Oct15 Sep18 (contreras ci)HALDAR J 124 12.00    
9  MY BOY PADDY Jan21 Jan01 Nov14 Oct22 Sep09 (rivera justin)MUSARRO JOE 124 20.00 ★    
10  FORTY STRIPES Aug07 Jul09 Jun19 May08 Mar25 (zook w)BECKMAN ALICE 117 8.00 ★    
 
TP-3   02/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY ROSIE Jan13 Dec11 Oct25 Oct04 Sep01 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 123 8.00    
2  WHERETHEMONEYWENT Jan20 Nov21 Nov09 May26 Mar25 (klopp randy)MOJICA O 120 8.00 17% 4.90    
3  MISS SUPER SAINT Jan14 Dec30 Dec02 Oct21 Sep10 (barrett roddi)CANNON DECLAN 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
4  JUSTA SIMPLE GIRL Jan19 Nov22 Nov08 Oct29 Oct18 (davis j)DE CRUZ 123 3.50 34% 1.90    
5  TOP HAT BOSS Jan14 Dec30 Oct10 Sep21 Aug23 (adams l)MUSARRO JOE 120 20.00    
6  POQUITO ROSE Jan19 Dec30 Oct04 Sep22 Aug17 (radosevich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.50 15% 5.90    
7  SHANNON'S GIRL Jan19 Dec11 Nov30 Nov15 Nov02 (andrade hugo)BECKMAN ALICE 113 15.00    
8  HIGH MEADOWS Jan13 Dec07 Nov17 Nov01 Oct06 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 30.00    
9  MIDNIGHT FROST Jan19 Dec30 Dec08 Sep29 Sep13 (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 120 3.00    
10  DAIGLE Jan20 Dec30 Dec17 Dec04 Nov13 (andrade hugo)HALDAR J 123 5.00 ★    
 
TP-4   02/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HILL OF TARA Jan15 Nov27 Oct28 Aug06 Jul02 (ennis john)CANNON DECLAN 120 3.50 5% 19.00    
2  CRACK THE MOON Jan19 Jan07 Dec09 Oct20 Sep22 (davis jos)BERMUDEZ E 120 15.00    
3  JOHNNY'S MOMENT Dec18 Nov12       (war)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 20.00    
4  DREAMFACTOR Jan13 Jul30 Jul16     (stinson)DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
5  SAN MARCO CITY Jan07 Dec22       (cano muno)SANJUR SANTO 120 8.00 ★    
6  MYTHOMANIA Jan11 Dec11 Oct05     (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 ★    
SCR  TEMPO CRESCENDO Jan12 Dec07       (reed r)MCKEE J 120 10.00    
8  IN LIEU Jan19         (wojczynski ju)LEBRON VICTOR 120 4.00 68% 0.50    
9  LET IT RIDE CLYDE Jan19 Jan07 Dec11 Dec02 Oct23 (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 113 15.00    
10  BLANTON Jan21 Jan07 Dec03 Nov06   (ortiz john)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 ★    
 
TP-5   02/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3 F PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRICKENBERGER Jan01 Nov11 Nov01 Oct11   (maker m)DE CRUZ 120 4.00 58% 0.70    
2  SHEAR Dec21         (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 120 5.00 ★    
3  NAUTICAL MILE Dec14 Sep27       (lobo h)RAMOS D 120 6.00    
4  REINA BELLA Jan18 Dec29 Sep29 Aug26   (brownfield claude)FELIX E 120 15.00    
5  NAVY FLEET Jan01 Dec03 Oct26 Sep14 Aug14 (cano muno)SANJUR SANTO 120 4.50    
6  RECOGNIZE ME Sep28         (blair jordan)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 20.00    
7  MISS GOODBAR Jan11         (davis jos)BERMUDEZ E 118 20.00    
8  STORY CHANNEL Jan18 Dec11 Nov16     (pinzon maria)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 20.00    
9  OH POLLYANNA Dec31 Nov10 Sep14 Jul31   (shirer mat)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.50 7% 12.50    
10  RUDIMENTARY DRINK         (mcpeek kenneth )ACHARD ALEX 120 15.00 7% 12.50    
11  IGUAZU FALLS Jan13 Dec15 Nov30 Nov02   (huffman pat)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 6.00    
12  GRAY FROST Dec03 Nov02 Oct01 Aug14   (reed r)MCKEE J 120 4.50    
SCR  ALLINTHECALL         (murphy conor)ELLIOTT JANE 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TP-6   02/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROSSTOWN SHOOTOUT Jan18 Dec08 Oct06 Sep12 Jul13 (sherman justin)FELIX E 120 3.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  LITTLE ALEX Jan14 Dec30 Dec08 Nov19 Sep29 (torres a)AYALA ISAIAS 120 15.00    
3  CUT GLASS Jan18 Jan04 Dec17 Nov02 Sep14 (howard john)PETERSON FERRIN 118 3.50    
4  SUGGESTED Jan18 Dec31 Dec08 Nov02 Oct05 (johnston re)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 12.00    
5  JOKER ON JACK Jan11 Dec03 Oct07 Aug08   (wong jonatha)RAMOS D 120 2.00 44% 1.30    
6  J W RUCKUS Dec29 Dec14 Dec01 Nov09 Sep28 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 12.00 ★    
7  SAMURAI SAINT Jan19 Jan04 Dec08 Nov15 Oct22 (short t)DE CRUZ 120 12.00    
8  FOLLOW THE SIGNS Dec30 Dec04 Nov13 Oct21 Sep30 (vanden berg )LANDEROS CHRIS 120 10.00 15% 5.70    
9  KITTENS ADAIR Jan19 Nov10 Oct13 Aug24 Aug04 (egbert james)CANUTO THIAGO 120 20.00    
10  POWELL Jan19 Dec16 Nov17 Sep27 Sep02 (sherman justin)MUSARRO JOE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TP-7   02/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($76K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAMWORKER Jan13 Sep13 Jun22 May18 Mar12 (sha)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 5.00    
2  DRESSED Dec31         (catalano way)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 5.00 12% 7.30    
3  CRYSTAL SHIP Dec07 Oct23 Oct05 Sep22 Aug30 (danner doug)CANNON DECLAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  BALI BELLE Jan05 Dec07 Oct17 Oct07 May27 (rodrigu)DE CRUZ 124 3.00 46% 1.20    
5  VEZPA (BRZ) Dec22 Dec08 Oct23 Sep22 May19 (lobo h)RAMOS D 124 3.50 15% 5.60    
6  BE UP Jan13 Oct13       (camejo jos)CORRALES GERARDO 124 6.00 ★    
7  BEL ARIA Jan11 Dec16 Oct24 Sep08 Jul30 (foster eric)BECKMAN ALICE 117 30.00    
8  COMMANDERS PALACE Jan05 Dec01 Sep21 Jun04 May15 (rider m)MACHADO LUAN 124 4.00    
SCR  COMMANDANDCONTROL Jan14 Dec28 Dec01 Oct31 Oct11 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 124 30.00    
 
TP-8   02/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENGLISH TIDE Jan07 Dec14 Jun29 Apr28 Mar26 (hester haley)BECKMAN ALICE 116 12.00    
2  DAY IN THE COUNTRY Jan05 Nov14 Oct31 Oct10 Jul30 (meredith ch)CHIRINOS ROIMES 123 20.00    
3  WEST WARPATH Jan07 Dec14 Nov17 Oct14 Oct01 (cano muno)SANJUR SANTO 123 2.00 38% 1.60    
4  MY BOY BLUE Oct25 Oct11 Oct03 Sep20 Aug22 (bogle fergus)HEARD TYLER 123 8.00 10% 8.60    
5  THING Dec01 Nov14 Oct31 Oct05 Sep20 (howard john)PETERSON FERRIN 123 6.00    
6  SHOTGUN JOE Jan05 Nov15 Oct26 Oct06 Sep27 (matthews randy)ACHARD ALEX 123 10.00    
7  EAST OF INDIA Dec14 Oct19 Jul09 Jun18 May26 (howard mary)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 10.00    
8  LAND REMEMBERED Jan11 Dec29 Dec07 Sep12 Aug22 (cannon steve)OUZTS W 123 4.00 23% 3.30    
9  READY PURSUIT Jan07 Dec22 Dec08 Nov10 Oct23 (antonuik jer)HALDAR J 123 15.00    
SCR  DENY Dec22 Feb05 Jan16 Jan08   (blair jordan)MACHADO LUAN 123 20.00    
11  CORNBREAD HILL Jan12 Dec14 Feb19 Jan16 Jan01 (locker )DE CRUZ 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
12  GOTTSACKER Oct20 Oct09 Aug16 Jul11 May11 (bailey jo)BERMUDEZ E 123 20.00    
SCR  MISTER MAN Jan06 Dec08 Nov22 Oct31 Sep13 (blevins billy)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 123 20.00    
14  PULL ME BACK Jan05 Sep08 Jul28 Jul08 Mar31 (hale jr)LEBRON VICTOR 123 20.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.