Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Friday - January 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
OP-1   WIN (8/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/5/4)-(8/2/5/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/2/5/4)-(8/2/5/3/4)-(8/2/5/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/2/5/4)-(3/8/2/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
OP-2   WIN (3/8/2/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/2/6/5)-(3/8/2/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/2/6/5)-(3/8/2/6/5)-(3/8/2/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/8/2/6/5)-(3/4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (3/8/2/6/5)-(3/4)-(5/7) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
OP-3   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/4/2/8)-(3/4/2/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/4)-(5/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(5/7)-(6/9/7/1) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
OP-4   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/7/6/11) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7)-(5/7/6/11)-(5/7/6/11) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/7)-(6/9/7/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/7)-(6/9/7/1)-(8/5/3/7) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
OP-5   WIN (6/9/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/7/1)-(6/9/7/1/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/9/7/1)-(6/9/7/1/11)-(6/9/7/1/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/9/7/1)-(8/5/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/9/7/1)-(8/5/3/7)-(3/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
OP-6   WIN (8/5/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/3/7)-(8/5/3/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/5/3/7)-(8/5/3/7/2)-(8/5/3/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/5/3/7)-(3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/5/3/7)-(3/2/5)-(7/1/9/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
OP-7   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5/1)-(3/2/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(7/1/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(7/1/9/5)-(5/2/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
OP-8   WIN (7/1/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/9/5)-(7/1/9/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/1/9/5)-(7/1/9/5/6)-(7/1/9/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/1/9/5)-(5/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
OP-9   WIN (5/2/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/9)-(5/2/9/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/9)-(5/2/9/6)-(5/2/9/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   01/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TURFY Dec30 Nov13 Oct20 Oct02 Sep11 (amoss m)BEJARANO R 117 15.00    
2  MYSTERY MO Oct22 Sep28 Aug26 Aug05 Jul08 (hollendor)RODRIGUEZ A 122 3.00 29% 2.40    
3  MO'S MOJO Dec30 Nov02 Oct13 Sep23 Jul01 (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 8.00 ★    
4  PRINCIPE GUILHERME Dec11 Nov08 Sep24 Jul17 Jul02 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  LORD DRAGON Jan08 Nov06 Sep11 Aug18 Jun18 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 120 3.50 8% 11.80    
6  AMERICAN TATTOO (ARG) Dec30 Nov02 Sep30 Sep05 Apr29 (mott rile)TORRES A 120 6.00    
7  DIAL IN FOR LUTE Jan08 Nov07 Oct15 Sep29 Sep07 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00    
8  THUNDERSHOOK Sep09 Aug20 Jul19 Jun05 Apr21 (gibson j)SANTANA JR 120 2.00 31% 2.20    
9  PEEKACHO Jan08 Nov12 Oct21 Sep30 Aug20 (vance r)COURT K 120 20.00    
 
OP-2   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($31K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THETRUTHISTHETRUTH Nov18 Aug20 Jul11 Jun27 Jun07 (cogburn o)TRIANA JR 118 12.00    
2  TAP N SWAY Nov21 Sep28 Sep01 Aug08 Jul11 (shirer a)BEJARANO R 118 3.50 11% 7.80    
3  LI'L GRAZEN Nov15 Oct14 Sep05 Aug04 May13 (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 1.80 47% 1.10    
4  CADEAU DE PAIX Oct14 Sep24 Aug14 Jul15 Jul03 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 12.00    
5  HOPING FOR A RING Dec18 Oct02 Sep04 Aug19 Jul24 (schleis case)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  SILVIA Nov01 Jul27 Jun27 Jun09   (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  EVERYOTHERWON Dec15 Nov24 Oct27 Sep29 Aug03 (lauer michael)JUAREZ NIK 115 15.00    
8  VIOLENT POINT Nov30 Nov15 Sep21 Aug11 Jul03 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 121 2.50 11% 7.80    
9  A GIRL LIKE ME Jan01 Nov06 Sep04 Jun20 Jun10 (hollendorfer )GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00    
 
OP-3   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($48K) 3 F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  I'M BETH DUTTON Jun25         (puhich mike)BAZE C 121 8.00 15% 5.80    
2  JUMPIN JUDY         (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 116 8.00 ★    
3  MIDSUMMER SOIREE Nov20 Oct30       (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 2.50 44% 1.20    
4  NAUGHTY MADAM         (moquett e)BEJARANO R 121 6.00 14% 5.90    
5  HER NAME WAS LOLA Dec30 Dec16 Nov03     (jordan todd )JORDAN R 117 20.00    
6  STAY FABULOUS Nov04 Oct08       (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 2.00    
7  MOR HAPPY HOURS Dec11 Nov10 Sep22     (vance r)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 20.00    
8  I GOT A NAME         (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 121 10.00 ★    
SCR  SWEET SHUGS Dec11 Sep03       (cline n)HARR KELSI 121 10.00    
 
OP-4   01/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($104K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAHOMEY Dec10 Oct02 Jun04 Apr23 Apr09 (morse randy )GONZALEZ ELVIN 115 10.00 14% 6.30    
2  SMOKIN BOOTS Dec11 Oct26 Sep30 Sep18 Aug27 (petalino )TRIANA JR 118 8.00    
3  BUDDY REAUX Dec10 Nov19 Nov04 Oct06 Sep21 (dixon tim)CABRERA DAVID 121 20.00    
4  JACKS SPRING BREAK Dec10 Nov20 Nov13 Sep14 Aug31 (dixon tim)BAILEY CHEL-C 124 15.00    
5  TOPF ROAD RULES May07 Apr22 Apr03 Mar20 Feb27 (prather j)TORRES A 118 3.50 46% 1.20    
6  BELLAMYS ROAN Jan07 Dec10 Jun22 May25 May07 (westermann r)CASTILLO ISAAC 115 4.00 ★    
7  HAMAZING WISDOM Nov18 Nov02 Oct01 Sep16 Sep08 (broberg karl)MOJICA O 118 2.50 17% 4.70    
8  ALLO ENRY Dec16 Nov06 Oct02 Apr30 Apr03 (deville )SANTANA JR 115 12.00    
9  AFLEET SKY Dec10 Mar18 Feb26 Jan01   (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 110 12.00    
10  GHOST STRATEGY Sep23 Aug27 Aug13 Jul22 Jul10 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 118 20.00    
11  THE HEAT IS ON Oct19 Sep16 May08 Apr27 Apr05 (pish danny)BAZE C 118 10.00 ★    
12  MORNING DRIVE Jan08 Dec18 Sep13 Sep01 Aug10 (lauer mich)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 50.00    
 
OP-5   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CABOT Nov12 Oct14 Sep16 Aug16 Jun26 (hewitt micha)JORDAN R 124 10.00 6% 15.60    
1A  FIRST LINE May23 Apr23 Mar27 Mar20 Feb26 (hewitt michael)QUINONEZ S 121 10.00    
2  GENERATOR Jan01 Dec16 Nov16 Oct10 Sep25 (vance d)COURT K 121 12.00    
3  WIPE THE SLATE Jan07 Dec09 May08 Apr24 Jan28 (haran john)BAILEY CHEL-C 121 30.00    
4  CARL G Dec16 Dec03 Nov21 Nov02 Oct07 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 117 10.00    
5  DRILL'S LI'L MAN Dec10 Oct02 Sep04 Jul18 Jun19 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 15.00    
6  HOME BASE Dec09 Aug02 Jun30 Jun04 May08 (gibson jonas)BEJARANO R 124 3.00 35% 1.90    
7  SIDETOWN Feb21 Jan14       (prather j)TORRES A 121 4.00 8% 11.30    
8  NATE'S WAY Dec09 Nov18 Oct13 Sep28 Sep17 (deatherage corey)HARR KELSI 117 30.00    
9  GAME DAY PLAY Nov03 Oct13 Aug30 Mar18 Feb25 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 3.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  WESLEYAN Dec09 Oct19 Oct09 Sep11 Jun12 (martin timoth)CABRERA DAVID 124 20.00    
11  CALIFORNIA STREET Nov27 Oct27 Sep25 Aug21 Jun11 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 5.00 ★    
SCR  LIVINGONTULSATIME Dec21 Dec08 Nov16 Oct25 Oct04 (litfin ne)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00    
 
OP-6   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($104K) 3 ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COFFEE CALIENTE Nov26 Oct22 Sep17 Aug21 Jul16 (rosin w)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 8.00    
2  WILD MULE Dec09 Nov05 Aug27 Jul02   (hollendorfer jer)BEJARANO R 118 2.50 ★    
3  STRAIGHT LUCK Jul17 Jun25 May20     (pish danny)BAZE C 118 10.00 13% 6.80    
4  MO'S TREASURE Nov26 Oct12 Sep22 Sep03 Aug07 (lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 12.00    
5  WESTHEIMER STREET Dec11         (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 117 4.50 23% 3.30    
6  CHOCTAW ZIP Dec31 Dec10 Sep13     (witt ii)JUAREZ NIK 117 20.00    
7  ELI'S PROMISE Sep30 Aug14 Jul08 Jun19   (divito p)BOWEN ROCCO 118 15.00 12% 7.10    
8  JOKING WAY Nov26 Oct30 Sep22     (asmussen)SANTANA JR 120 1.60 26% 2.90    
 
OP-7   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($103K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SINNER'S SIN Dec17 May28 Apr23 Mar17 Feb21 (moquett r)TORRES A 124 8.00 ★    
2  OSBOURNE Oct08 Aug06 Jun19 May07 Apr08 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 1.80 29% 2.40    
3  SKELLY Dec10 Nov17 Oct02 Jul31   (asmussen)SANTANA JR 121 2.00 31% 2.30    
4  IGNITIS Jan06 Dec10 Nov16 Oct14 Sep17 (lukas wayne)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00    
5  EFFICIENCY Sep11 Jul22 May07 Mar20   (hollendor)RODRIGUEZ A 118 4.50 16% 5.30    
6  SPARTY SENSE Nov17 Oct14 Apr08 Mar17 Feb12 (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 15.00    
7  DEUS EX MACHINA Dec16 Nov10       (garcia genaro)CABRERA DAVID 121 15.00    
SCR  EMPERADOR Jan06 Oct14 Jan22     (hiles rick)JUAREZ NIK 118 12.00 ★    
 
OP-8   01/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($104K) 3 F PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOWHEAD Nov26 Oct30 Oct07 Sep03 Aug14 (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 5.00 30% 2.40    
2  BOSS LADY BAILEY Nov27 Oct07 Sep17 Jul23   (ortiz joh)TORRES A 114 8.00    
SCR  FABULOUS CANDY Dec31 Nov02 Oct14 Sep02 Aug10 (moysey chels)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 15.00    
4  GOLDBLOODED Dec31 Nov16 Oct04 Sep10   (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 114 20.00    
5  DEMI Dec17 Nov19       (stuart c)BEJARANO R 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  JET SETTING Nov20 Sep17 Aug06     (cox h)GARCIA MARTIN 117 3.00 ★    
7  DEAR LADY Dec31 Nov26       (mcpeek kennet)CABRERA DAVID 114 1.80 31% 2.20    
SCR  KEY TO SUCCESS Dec31 Nov18 Oct16 Sep17 Aug14 (puhich mike)BAZE C 117 15.00    
9  UNIFYING Dec31 Nov10 Sep15     (mott ril)SANTANA JR 114 6.00 11% 7.90    
 
OP-9   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($28K) 3 ALL PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THINKINGNDRINKING Jan06         (martin timothy )BOWEN ROCCO 121 20.00    
2  BRILLIANT COLORS Jan06 Dec02 Nov17 Oct02 Jul17 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 6.00 10% 8.60    
3  SANTINO'S FANTASY Jan06 Dec11 Oct27 Sep24   (shorter aaro)JORDAN R 121 8.00    
SCR  LIEUTENANT JACK         (asmussen)SANTANA JR 121 4.50 11% 8.20    
5  YACHT ROCK (IRE) Dec11 Nov19 Oct23 Sep30   (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 1.40 47% 1.10    
6  EL MONGO Dec11 Sep25       (garcia genaro)CABRERA DAVID 121 5.00 ★    
7  MATTFOLEYVANMAN Dec07 Nov05       (moquett e)BEJARANO R 121 15.00    
8  MALORIE'S BIG BOY Jan06 Dec11       (pish danny)QUINONEZ S 121 30.00    
9  CHOWMEIN         (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 121 20.00 7% 12.60    
10  RANSAM PAYNTER Dec18 Nov25 Sep18     (morse l)ZIMMERMAN R 121 30.00    
11  ETERNALLY GRATEFUL Oct23 Sep24       (jones larry)HARR KELSI 121 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.