Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - November 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   11/18/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT-11:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CONVERSING Oct02 Aug20       (mcgaughey claud)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.50 35% 1.90    
2  AMERICAN RAIDER Oct16         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 10.00    
3  MONSTER DREAMS         (handal ra)VARGAS A 119 20.00    
SCR  WAR OFFICER         (jerkens james )LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00    
5  SCAT TU TAP Oct23 Oct02 Aug27     (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
6  BREAK THE ICE Sep18         (hennig mark)HARKIE K 119 50.00    
7  C'EST MAGNIFIQUE Oct16 Jul30       (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 30% 2.30    
8  DECANTED Oct16 Sep14 Sep01     (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 8.00 11% 7.70    
9  BINGOOD TO KNOWYA Oct27         (baker charlton)ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
10  KELTIC KNIGHT         (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00    
SCR  FIGHTERTOWN Oct23 Sep03       (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.00 ★    
12  GOOD RAPPORT Sep25 Jul30       (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 30.00    
13  NANGA PARBAT (GB)         (saville niall)LEZCANO JOSE 119 20.00    
SCR  YORKSHIRE PRINCE Oct22         (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 119 5.00 ★    
 
AQU-2   11/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON CALLING Nov07 Oct07 Sep28 Aug19 Jul03 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 121 3.00 25% 3.10    
2  GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS Sep30 Sep05 Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 121 8.00 ★    
3  EBBEN Oct15 Aug14 Jun18 May28 Apr16 (summers chad)ADORNO ABNER 123 2.50 15% 5.60    
4  PRINCE OF PHAROAHS Aug06 Jun26 May14 Apr16 Mar19 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00    
5  AMERICAN POWER Sep25 Aug14 Jul17     (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.50 ★    
6  WINTER POOL Sep30 Aug11 Jun04 Apr13 Mar04 (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00 30% 2.30    
 
AQU-3   11/18/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT-12:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHARP SENSATION Oct22 Oct07 Sep11 Jul31 Jul14 (kirby jo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 15.00 ★    
SCR  BUILT TO LAST (BRZ) Aug24 Jul30 Jun10 May21 Apr28 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 122 2.50 ★    
3  BRENNAN'S WAR Oct07 Jul31 Jul08 Jun19 May28 (gyarmati leah)LUZZI J 124 15.00    
4  CAPLETON Oct29 Jul28 Jul17     (richards m)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 20.00    
5  RIPE FOR MISCHIEF Sep25 Aug27 Jul30 Jul09 May21 (bond harold )HARKIE K 122 10.00    
6  ROUGH DRAFT         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00    
7  FUOCO Aug27 Jul30 Jun10     (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00    
8  DREAMPOINT Oct21 Sep24 Sep02 Aug06 Jul09 (sciacca gary)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.00 ★    
9  EMPIRE SKY Sep25 Aug27 Aug07 Jul17   (crook-demasi ka)CARMOUCHE K 122 5.00 ★    
SCR  TODAY'S FLAVOR Sep23         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.20 70% 0.40    
SCR  STONECOLDWARRIOR         (forde jason)CASTELLANO J 124 12.00    
SCR  CLASH A. J. Oct29 Feb24 Feb13 Jan22 Jan09 (jones )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 15.00    
 
AQU-4   11/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WIN FOR GOLD Nov12 Oct08 Aug20 Jul08 Jun11 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 12% 7.40    
2  GASLIGHT Aug27 Aug13 Jul01 Jun05 May19 (quick patric)HARKIE K 122 15.00 8% 11.10    
SCR  JOEY LOOSE LIPS Oct16 Sep24 Aug19     (rodriguez rudy)ORTIZ L 122 4.00 ★    
4  DRINK THE WIND Sep24 Sep03 Aug10 Jul21 Jul03 (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00    
5  KHAFRE Sep25 Aug12 Jul02 Jun02 May06 (antonacci phi)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 ★    
6  HATCH (GB) Oct22 Sep03 Aug14 Jul21 May29 (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 6.00    
7  OUTASITE Feb20         (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 51% 0.90    
 
AQU-5   11/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOEY THE FISH Oct08 Sep25 Aug10     (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00    
2  STARTS NOW Oct28         (kantarmaci )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 6% 16.70    
3  QUEENPIN Sep15         (gargan da)VARGAS A 119 10.00    
4  MISS FASHIONISTA Oct01         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 13% 6.40    
5  KARA PARA Nov04 Oct06 Sep05     (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.00 49% 1.00    
6  SWEETEST PRINCESS Oct08 Sep15 Aug03     (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 119 3.00 9% 10.50    
7  SWEET BLUSH Oct08 Sep15 Aug24     (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 ★    
 
AQU-6   11/18/2022 7260ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENSEMBLE (IRE) Oct23 Sep30 Sep02 Jul30 Apr23 (walsh brenda)CASTELLANO J 123 4.00    
2  CAIRONI Oct29 Sep30 Aug19 Jul24 Jun16 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
3  LADY THORNHILL Oct20 Sep25 Aug14 Jul17 May06 (donk davi)VARGAS A 123 20.00    
4  RHOMBIQUE Oct23 Sep30 Aug27 Jul22 Jun17 (ribaudo robe)SAMUEL L 121 15.00    
5  PERSONAL BEST Oct27 Sep08 Aug16 Jun17 Apr15 (mcgaughey cla)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
6  UNRULY JULIE Oct23 Sep30 Sep07 Aug09 Jul18 (mott i)ORTIZ L 123 5.00    
7  MY LIPS ARE SEALED Oct20 Sep25 Aug14     (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 15.00    
8  EVER SUMMER Oct23 Sep30 Aug24     (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00    
9  RUN UP THE SCORE Oct20 Sep22 Aug12 Jul17 Jun11 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00 ★    
10  HOME FOR CHRISTMAS Sep25 Aug14 Jul20 Jun25 Apr10 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 123 10.00 ★    
SCR  DIANE'S COMET Oct07 Aug31 Aug02 Jul13 Jun13 (pino michael)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 30.00    
SCR  WASP Oct28 Oct02 Aug26 Jul10 Jun12 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 123 1.20 32% 2.10    
SCR  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN Oct28 Jul23 Jun02 May08 Apr23 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-7   11/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHUCKA MOON Oct29 Sep29 Aug28 Jan06   (hennig mark)ORTIZ JR 121 8.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  SAFE BET         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 12.00    
3  VODKA MARDINI         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 6.00 ★    
4  SOUTHERN FLAG Oct09 Aug13 Jun26     (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.80 31% 2.20    
5  GOLDEN PURCHASE Oct29 Oct15 Oct03     (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 30.00    
6  AMERICAN LAW Apr21 Mar20       (gargan danny)ORTIZ L 124 2.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  SMOKE AND HEAT Sep29 Jul24 Jun24 May01 Apr01 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 ★    
 
AQU-8   11/18/2022 3960ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KLICKITAT Oct22 Oct13 Sep17 May15   (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 2.50 10% 8.60    
1A  GHOST GIANT Oct22 Sep15 Aug11 Jul15 Jun16 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.50    
2  BAR FOURTEEN Oct10 Sep24 Aug03 Jul15 Jun19 (sciac)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 20.00    
3  FRANK'S ART Oct30 Sep04 Aug10 Jul09   (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.50 40% 1.50    
4  GONGHEIFATCHOY Nov05 Jan28       (richards m)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 30.00    
5  DEEP COVER Oct22 Aug21 Jun26 May21 Apr23 (morley thomas)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00    
6  PHANTOM SMOKE Oct22 Sep17 Aug21 Jul24 Jun26 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00    
7  NOT PHAR NOW Oct22 Oct07 Sep22 Aug31 Aug11 (noda orlando)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
8  BATTLE STATION Oct27 Sep22 Aug27 Jul24 Jul04 (abreu fernando)ORTIZ L 122 10.00    
9  NEURO Oct22 Aug13 Jul17     (ribaudo robe)CASTELLANO J 122 6.00    
10  RUNNINGWSCISSORS Oct27 Sep29 Aug23 Jul29 Jun26 (kirby t)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  SCILLY CAY Nov10 Oct27 Sep16 Aug06 Jun10 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  JEMOGRAPHY Oct15 Sep17 Aug05 Jul10 Jun23 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-9   11/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOC DOC ROCK Oct23 Jul06 Jun22 Jun06 May07 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00    
2  LIBERTY FLAME Oct22 Jun19 May28 Apr23 Apr02 (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 10.00    
SCR  PEAK OF CHIC Oct17 Aug30 Aug03 Jun25 May24 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  KANT HURRY LOVE Oct22 Oct01 Aug26     (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 9% 10.00    
5  NORMAN QUEEN Mar04 Feb04 Jan13     (wil)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.50 33% 2.00    
6  FANCY FELINE Oct22 Sep05 Jul22 Apr30 Mar25 (bond harold)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.50    
7  RIBOT'S VALENTINE Oct01 Sep05 Jan08     (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 9% 10.20    
8  BUNTY WINDERMERE Oct09 Sep03 Aug20 Jul09 Jun12 (ryan der)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 20.00    
9  CARBON Oct01 Mar20       (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
AQU-10   11/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DURKIN'S CALL Oct08 Aug31 Jun18 Mar31 Feb20 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 121 2.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  GREAT WORKOUT Nov11 Oct02 Sep18 Aug27 Jul28 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00 ★    
2  BUSTIN THE RULES Jul04         (baker )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 5.00 10% 8.80    
3  SCOTTY Oct06 Aug31 May07 Apr14 Mar25 (diprima gre)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 15.00    
4  O SHEA CAN U SEE Oct21 Sep17 Aug05 Jun24 May21 (laxme)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 12.00    
5  LIL COMMISSIONER Sep17 Aug24 Jul09 May07 Apr02 (arriaga anton)OLVER MADISON 111 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  JACK THE CAT Nov11 Oct23 Sep18 Jul30 Jun25 (weaver g)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00    
7  SUPPLY CHAIN Oct31 Aug21 Jul30 Jun16 May06 (wil)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 8.00    
8  KUMAR Oct21 Sep17 Aug25 Jul21 Jun03 (barrera oscar)ORTIZ JR 123 5.00 ★    
9  MONARCHS GLEN (GB) Oct23 Sep18 Aug21 Jun23 May05 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 121 6.00 23% 3.40    
10  SUPER WICKED CHARM Nov12 Oct21 Sep23 Sep02 Aug10 (jones eduardo)PANAIJO JORGE 121 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.