Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - January 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(1/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(1/6/3)-(3/7/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(3/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(3/7/5)-(4/1/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-3   WIN (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/5)-(3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/5)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5)-(4/1/3)-(8/1/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(8/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(8/1/6/3)-(3/2/1/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-5   WIN (8/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/6/3)-(8/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/6/3)-(8/1/6/3)-(8/1/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/6/3)-(3/2/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/1/6/3)-(3/2/1/7)-(3/1/8/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-6   WIN (3/2/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/7)-(3/2/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/7)-(3/2/1/7)-(3/2/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/1/7)-(3/1/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1/7)-(3/1/8/5)-(5/6/1/3/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-7   WIN (3/1/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/8/5)-(3/1/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/8/5)-(3/1/8/5)-(3/1/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/8/5)-(5/6/1/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
AQU-8   WIN (5/6/1/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/3/10)-(5/6/1/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/3/10)-(5/6/1/3/10)-(5/6/1/3/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   01/19/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRESIDENT Z Nov20 Nov02 Feb09 Jan13 Jan04 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50    
SCR  MAGNIFICENT MILE Dec28 Dec07 Nov09 Nov01 Oct13 (potts wa)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 2.50    
2B  DANGEROUS RIDE Dec14 Sep27 Aug28 Aug08 Jun09 (kantarmaci ilk)CIVACI SAHIN 121 3.00 9% 10.40    
SCR  MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT Dec13 Nov23 Nov08 Aug21 Jul25 (kantarmaci il)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.00    
3  COLD AS HELL Dec14 Nov23 Nov01 Oct19 Aug28 (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.00 59% 0.70    
4  VINSANITY Jan11 Dec28 Dec07 Nov09 Oct25 (arriag)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 6.00    
5  ROYAL TRYST Feb16 Jan26 Jan06 Dec29 Nov30 (falcone robert )VIVES SOFIA 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  BACKSIDE BUZZ Nov15 Oct19 Aug05 Jun29 May16 (catalan)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 6.00    
 
AQU-2   01/19/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEARY FUNNY Dec13 Dec01 Oct25 Oct12 Sep21 (morey william)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 42% 1.40    
2  SUPER CHIEF Nov23 Nov01 Oct18 Oct05 Sep14 (bernardini jua)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00    
3  JAKE ROCKS Jan12 Dec13 Nov11 Oct18 Sep21 (kantarmaci i)HARKIE K 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  HONORARY DEGREE Jan02 Dec14 Nov14 Nov01 Oct05 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 10.00    
SCR  RETURN THE RING Mar01 Feb04 Jan04 Dec16 Nov24 (barker edward )LUZZI J 121 8.00    
6  KHAFRE Dec14 Nov24 Oct10 Sep19 Jul26 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50 19% 4.20    
7  CHARGING AERO Dec14 Oct12 Aug29 Aug11 Aug01 (giangiu)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 4.00    
 
AQU-3   01/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALPHA SONNY Dec15 Nov29 Nov11 Oct28 Oct15 (ferraro james )BROWN DALTON 123 10.00    
2  NOBLE HUNTSMAN Jan03 Nov29 Nov03 Oct04 Aug31 (friedman mi)MARTINEZ R 123 8.00    
3  CAMM' DUKE Dec27 Nov01 Oct04 Aug09 Jul06 (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 2.00 30% 2.30    
4  CONCORDE SPIRIT Jan11 Dec28 Nov15 Sep26 Aug28 (delauro edward )CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00    
5  DAVID'S TUITION Feb23 Jan25 Jan12 Dec14 Nov23 (grusmark karl)DAVIS KATIE 123 8.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  BETTA GO GO GO Dec27 Dec14 Nov15 Nov01 Oct11 (gonzal)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 1.60    
7  RHUM PRESSURE Oct30 Aug20 Jul22 Jun24 Jun03 (barrow paul)VIVES SOFIA 123 5.00 17% 4.70    
 
AQU-4   01/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  PISTOL LIZ ABLAZEN Dec22 Dec06 Nov09 Oct04 Sep15 (ness jam)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 3.50 26% 2.90    
SCR  PRINCIPIA Dec04 Nov19 Oct17 Sep26 Sep02 (ness jam)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 3.50    
2  HALO CITY Jan03 Nov08 Oct20 Aug16 Aug03 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 121 12.00    
2B  JOLLY MISS JILL Jan05 Dec14 Nov08 Oct10 Sep15 (rod)VAZQUEZ GIAN 111 12.00    
3  SHEZANARCTICQUEEN Dec15 Oct21 Sep09 Aug05 Jul17 (ferraro anth)COA J 123 8.00 7% 13.50    
4  SPRING MAGIC Dec12 Nov09 Oct12 Sep22 Jul11 (potts wa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 5.00 37% 1.70    
5  VEGAS WEEKEND Jan12 Nov21 Nov07 Jun29 Jun15 (arriaga anton)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.50    
SCR  WAITWAITDONTTELLME Jan03 Nov13 Oct21 Oct14 Sep17 (ferraro antho)VIVES SOFIA 121 15.00    
7  APRIL ANTICS Jan05 Nov22 Oct10 Sep13 Aug16 (barrer)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 15.00    
SCR  BUSTIN BAY Nov07 Aug07 Jul11 Jun09 Mar30 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 1.60    
 
AQU-5   01/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($42K) 3 F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENDLESS VOW Dec13 Nov03 Oct05 Aug08   (de hor)RIVERA R 120 4.00 13% 6.70    
2  DIVORCED OF COURSE Nov19 Nov06 Oct07 Sep13 Aug14 (martin carlos)OLVER MADISON 120 20.00    
3  ESTHER'S SALAD Dec29 Nov29       (jimenez l)VIVES SOFIA 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  OUR PREFERRED PAL Dec14 Nov16 Oct26     (englehart chri)LUZZI J 120 6.00    
5  POCKET QUEENS Dec13 Nov02       (clement christo)CANCEL ERIC 120 1.60    
6  RODEO STAR Jan01 Nov23 Nov03 Oct17   (abreu r)COA J 120 8.00 7% 12.60    
7  DEAR JOHN Dec29 Nov24 Nov09     (terranova john )DAVIS KATIE 120 10.00    
8  SYL'S PLEASURE Jan01         (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 53% 0.90    
 
AQU-6   01/19/2025 6600ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEACHWALKER Dec15 Dec08 Nov24 Oct17 Sep14 (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS KATIE 121 3.00 ★    
1A  HIGH TIDE Nov14 Oct13 Sep21 Aug23 Jul24 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 12% 7.60    
2  GREENER PASTURES Dec31 Dec06 Nov06 Oct29 Oct07 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 1.80 20% 4.00    
3  WINNIN'ONWEEKENDS Dec31 Nov14 Oct26 Sep23 Sep02 (abrams j)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 3.50 32% 2.10    
4  BROOKLYN STRONG Dec20 Nov25 Nov13 Jul03 Jun10 (velazquez dani)LEZCANO JOSE 121 15.00    
5  HIGHER QUALITY Jan02 Dec08 Nov14 Oct19 Sep13 (potts wayn)RIVERA R 121 30.00    
6  COMMANDPERFORMANCE Dec15 Nov26 Nov16 Nov02 Oct13 (barrer)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 30.00    
7  CUMBERLAND BLUES Jan03 Dec13 Nov23 Nov16 Nov02 (quick p)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 8.00 6% 15.90    
8  VALENZAN DAY Dec08 Nov16 Nov02 Jul26 Jun29 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.00    
 
AQU-7   01/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST MUSIC Dec06 Oct19 Aug23 Jul21 Jul11 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00 21% 3.80    
1A  SUE ELLEN MISHKIN Jan10 Nov21 Mar30 Jan19 Dec31 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 121 6.00 ★    
2  MISS LAO Jan10 Dec12 Nov07 Oct17 Aug30 (lalman )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 20.00    
3  WEIGH THE RISKS Nov16 Oct10 Jul07 Jun06 May03 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 0.60 40% 1.50    
4  SWEETEST PRINCESS Dec27 Dec01 Nov10 Aug22 Jul11 (abreu fern)RIVERA R 121 12.00    
5  MIDTOWN LIGHTS Dec27 Nov10 Oct21 Oct06 Aug14 (david a)VIVES SOFIA 123 15.00 8% 11.30    
6  I'M BUZZY Dec12 Nov16 Sep22 Aug03 Jul17 (baker ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 20.00    
7  COURBE Jan05 Dec01 Oct12 Aug24 Jul12 (pletcher todd )CIVACI SAHIN 121 4.00    
8  GOLDEN ROCKET Dec27 Nov23 Oct27 Oct10 Sep02 (kantarmaci il)SILVERA RUBEN 123 12.00 8% 10.80    
 
AQU-8   01/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAKIN THE BELLE Dec14 Nov21 Nov01 Oct03 Sep09 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 8.00 7% 14.30    
2  TAPARINO Dec14 Oct25 Sep28 Aug30 Aug02 (antonucci jena)COA J 122 8.00    
3  PRAIRIE DUNES Jan05 Nov24 Nov01 Sep28 Aug24 (sciacca)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 12.00 6% 15.30    
4  NILRUC Jan05 Nov21 Nov01 Sep26   (brown r)CIVACI SAHIN 122 6.00    
5  ACTIVE DUTY (FR) Dec14 Oct16 Sep12 Jun28 May18 (atras rob)OLVER MADISON 122 4.50 52% 0.90    
6  LUCA ON POINT Dec13 Oct05       (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 122 2.50 14% 6.40    
SCR  LIMITS OF POWER Jan05 Nov24 Oct01     (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00    
8  LCGOLUCKY Jan05 Dec14 Nov07 Sep28 Sep19 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 122 20.00    
9  MIGHTY GLORY Nov21 Oct25 Sep28 Aug04 Jun06 (schettino domi)CEDENO CAROL 122 30.00    
10  MANO E MANO Dec14 Nov07 Sep14 May19 Apr20 (potts wa)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.