Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Friday - August 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/1/3)-(6/4/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(4/1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(4/1/7/2)-(5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-2   WIN (4/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/2)-(4/1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/7/2)-(4/1/7/2)-(4/1/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7/2)-(5)-(4/8/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-3   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (5)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    PK3 (5)-(4/8/6)-(10/8/5/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-4   WIN (4/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/6)-(4/8/6/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/6)-(4/8/6/1/9)-(4/8/6/1/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/8/6)-(10/8/5/3)-(3/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-5   WIN (10/8/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/8/5/3)-(10/8/5/11/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/8/5/3)-(10/8/5/11/3)-(10/8/5/11/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (10/8/5/3)-(3/2/4)-(13/8/1/4/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
BTP-6   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(13/8/1/4/12)-(8/3/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
BTP-7   WIN (13/8/1/4/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (13/8/1/4/12)-(13/8/1/4/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (13/8/1/4/12)-(13/8/1/4/12)-(13/8/1/4/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (13/8/1/4/12)-(8/3/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
BTP-8   WIN (8/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/7)-(8/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/3/7)-(8/3/7)-(8/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   08/30/2024 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Tomboy Purse ($75K) 3 F PT-11:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NUBLADA Aug12 Jul08 Jun17 May13 Mar12 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 116 4.00    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of CAPE FOG by CAPE TOWN)
1A  MIZ KEETA Jun28 Jun19 May28 May06 Mar25 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 4.00 ★    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of WAKEETA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
1X  WORK'N ON A BUZZ Jul22 Jun07 May28 May09 Apr08 (gorham robert)JIMENEZ ALBIN 116 4.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of BUZZ HOME by BELLAMY ROAD)
2  RAVEN'S HONOR Aug21 Jul31       (holton rebecc)CANUTO THIAGO 116 12.00    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of REBECCA'S RAVEN by GRINDSTONE)
3  MIESHA Aug12 Jul22 Jul04 Jun17 May28 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of CUPCAKE TATE by THE FACTOR)
4  HERE'S THE SPIDER Aug26 Aug10 Jun29 Jun07 May22 (fernandez e)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 3.50 10% 9.40    
  (by TAPITURE out of RICHMOND SPIDER by UNION RAGS)
5  CALI CRUISER Aug12 Jul04 Jun18 May30 May20 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 118 6.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of FLY INTO MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
6  PRACTICALLYELUSIVE Aug10 Jul11 Jun17 Apr24 Oct28 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 120 1.80 66% 0.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TO BE DETERMINED by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
7  FANCIFUL Aug21 Jul25 Feb01 Jan27 Nov14 (caramor)DE CRUZ 116 10.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of FANCY FEELIN by JIMMY CREED)
 
BTP-2   08/30/2024 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP M/F PT-11:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPUTADORA (ARG) Aug19 Jul28 Jun19 May24 Apr27 (brownfield clau)MOJICA JR 118 4.50 14% 6.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of PALMILLA MOON by MALIBU MOON)
2  STAKEMAKER Jul11 Jun19 Jun04 May01 Apr06 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of AVAROOSKIE by CONGRATS)
3  OUR AMERICAN GIRL Aug02         (peach a)OUZTS W 118 5.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of SILVER LANTANA by BADGE OF SILVER)
4  COLORMECAIRO Aug02 Jul11 Jun08 May08 Mar28 (morey william)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 2.50 55% 0.80    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of WATERCOLORS by THEATRICAL (IRE))
5  BENET Jun06 May09       (hiles a)MCKEE J 118 6.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of ITS A FORD by SHACKLEFORD)
6  MO HAPPY Aug05 Jun08 May22 May05 Mar31 (thompson bo)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.50    
  (by TRAPPE SHOT out of GENUINE HAPPINESS by UNCLE MO)
7  RYBAKINA Aug05 Jun25 May27 Apr27 Mar21 (greenhill jef)SOSA LAUREANO 118 4.00 6% 16.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of PORT CHARLOTTE by BLAME)
 
BTP-3   08/30/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 2 ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGIC MOTOWN Aug14         (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 3.50 ★    
  (by COLLECTED out of OHIO GOLD by WILBURN)
2  QUALITY KISS Aug14         (cline robert )ZONETT KEYNER 120 4.50    
  (by KLIMT out of JANNES PAUL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  GONE WILD Jul27 Jul08       (cline robert )BRACHO A 120 3.00 ★    
  (by KLIMT out of THE PINK WILDCAT by WILDCAT HEIR)
4  DRILL'S BOY Aug22 Aug10 Jul22     (romero a)VIGIL NOEL 120 4.00    
  (by DRILL out of CANDYS GIRL by BERTOLINI)
5  HOLIDAYS ARMY BRAT Aug10         (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 117 1.80 67% 0.50    
  (by ARMY MULE out of HOLIDAY STORM by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
 
BTP-4   08/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICKED ECSTASY Aug07 Jul13 Jun27 Jun10 May24 (medina tomas)LEBRON VICTOR 122 6.00 ★    
2  TOURIST LIKE ME Jul06 Jun21 May25 Mar29 Mar15 (schuette sher)CANUTO THIAGO 122 15.00    
3  ANN KOR Aug09 Jul27 Jul13 Jun22 Jun06 (manning john )SOSA LAUREANO 124 5.00    
4  SASSY AND BOLD Aug03 Jul13 Mar28 Feb15 Dec28 (knippenber)VILLARREAL OSCAR 117 2.50 53% 0.90    
5  LITTLE MUSIC Jun21 Jun06 May18 May11 Feb21 (cross r)MCKEE J 118 3.50    
6  MESMERIZING ME Aug18 Jul25 Jul04 Jun22 May31 (orantes yoni )JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  YEHAWMEMAW Aug16 Jul26 Jul12 Jun15 May30 (short thoma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 12.00    
8  MS. THE LAW Aug07 Jul06 Jun15 May16 Apr23 (estvanko richard)AVILES YAN 122 4.50 22% 3.60    
9  SHOT GIRL Aug07 Jul20 Jun15 Jun06 Sep25 (corrigan jim)ELLIOTT JANE 118 8.00 ★    
 
BTP-5   08/30/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAM TRAVELER Jul24 Jul11 Jun08 May21 Apr23 (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 123 15.00    
SCR  BOAT HOUSE Aug17 Jul13 Jul06 Jun19 Jun06 (galindo-tor)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 12.00    
3  HECHICERO Aug19 Jun30 May18 Apr20 Apr06 (romero a)VIGIL NOEL 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WORKINFROMHOME May31 May06 Apr13 Mar17 Feb17 (guerrero sa)ROMERO M 116 12.00    
5  LEGAL TITAN Aug17 Jul24 Jul17 Jun06 May04 (ewing mich)VILLARREAL OSCAR 113 3.50 7% 12.70    
SCR  MIDNIGHT CHANNEL Aug07 Jul29 Jun12 May21 Jan24 (meah m)MURGIA A 123 6.00    
7  FASTER Aug10 Jul05 Apr27 Mar02 Dec21 (tooley jenn)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 20.00    
8  STEP ON IT Jul29 Jul17 Jul02 Jun12 Apr27 (bush s)LEBRON VICTOR 121 5.00 16% 5.30    
9  FAVORITE HAUNT Aug07 Jul17 Jun12 May15 Mar21 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
10  HASKELLED Aug22 Jul28 Jul20 May25 May14 (van th)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 8.00 51% 0.90    
11  POLAR BEAR PLUNGE Jul28 Jul04 Jun18 May17 Jan12 (hiles a)MCKEE J 118 2.50 ★    
12  LANEHAYA Jul17 Jun05 May03 Mar25 Mar07 (cline robert )CANUTO THIAGO 123 10.00    
SCR  CELESTIAL JOY (GB) Aug12 Jul19 Jul02 Jun12 May21 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 118 4.50    
 
BTP-6   08/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAN'S CHOICE Aug09 Jul29 Jul11 Jun19 May31 (fernandez e)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 4.00    
2  MISSION CONTROL Aug09 Jul11 Jun27 May22 May04 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 119 3.00 22% 3.60    
3  RUFFIN Aug08 Jul06 Jun19 May31 Jul22 (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 1.80 56% 0.80    
4  THE PINK Z Aug17 Jun26 May25 Apr11 Mar25 (silva ferna)JIMENEZ J 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  RED HEAD KID Jul30 Jun22 May23 May09 Nov30 (fe)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.50    
 
BTP-7   08/30/2024 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Buckeye Native Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KELLEHER Jul19 Jul04 May30 May01 Apr11 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 9% 10.00    
  (by CORFU out of HOOSIER HONEY by KEY TO THE KINGDOM)
2  CHECK THE FACTS Aug09 Jun28 Jun12 May31 May18 (kerr n)MOJICA JR 120 12.00    
  (by FACTUM out of MILLIE K by TEJANO RUN)
SCR  BIG TRUCK Aug08 Jul17 Jun07 Jan24 Dec28 (smith larry)OUZTS W 124 8.00    
  (by BIRDRUN out of SMALL SECRET by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
4  OKLAHOMA JOE Aug06 Jul16 Jun17 May04 Apr09 (radosevic)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 7% 12.80    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of BE MIND PHIL by PHILANTHROPIST)
5  LITTLE TOY GUNS Jul10 Jun22 May23 Apr03 Dec14 (tooley )PILARES P 120 12.00    
  (by AWESOME PATRIOT out of FORMAL PLAN by FORMAL GOLD)
SCR  SCHOOL'S OUT Aug09 Jul19 Jun19 May31 May15 (navarrete ann)LEBRON VICTOR 115 5.00    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of SCHOOL LASS by PRIVATE SCHOOL)
7  DR. ZARNETT Aug20 Jul30 Jul10 Jun22 May27 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 124 15.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of ENGLATERRA by JOHANNESBURG)
8  THAT'S THE WAY Aug12 Jul15 Jun22 May27 May04 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50 20% 3.90    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of CAPE FOG by CAPE TOWN)
9  FIRST SONG Jul30 Jun22 Jun10 May15 May04 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 6.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of MINI MOSTEST by ATTICUS)
10  VILLIAN Aug12 Jul19 Jun05 May21 Dec21 (hamm timothy)JIMENEZ ALBIN 115 3.50    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of CALLISTO by MALIBU MOON)
11  CLEVELAND POWER Aug09 Jul18 Jun26 Jun12 May09 (lopez e)SERPA ANGEL 118 20.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of CLEVELAND by EMPIRE MAKER)
12  MANGA MAN Jul30 Jul09 Jun22 Jun07 May27 (rivera nestor)TOLEDO S 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KINGSHIP out of SLIGO KNOWS by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
13  EXCITEMENT Aug10 Jul16 Jun22 Jun07 May18 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of ELATED by BLUSHING JOHN)
14  MAY MAYHEM Jul19 Jun22 May18 Apr24 Apr11 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 115 12.00    
  (by MOBIL out of MENDASSITY by TOUCH GOLD)
 
BTP-8   08/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PALACE TEMPTATION Aug16 Aug02 Jul18 Feb28 Feb14 (chain pearl)LEZCANO ABEL 123 5.00    
2  HONOR THE D Aug01 Jul04 Jun12 May30 Apr08 (bates l)MURGIA A 123 8.00    
3  YIPPEE KI YAY Aug20 Jul16 May28 May07 Mar28 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 123 4.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  WILLIE JONES Aug01 Jul04 Jun12 Sep08 Jul08 (greenhill jef)SOSA LAUREANO 123 8.00    
5  AINT NO BANDLEADER Aug02 Jul26 Jul13 Jun12 May17 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 125 2.50    
SCR  LA LA ANGEL Aug15 Jul25 May31 May18 Sep30 (tomlinson )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 118 10.00    
7  RIDING IN THE WIND Jul19 Jul04 Jun19 Jun06 May23 (dalton michel)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  OAKEN Aug12 Jul18 Jul04 Dec12 Nov27 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.50 50% 1.00    
9  STREAKY Aug19 Aug01 Jun21 Apr29 Mar20 (bennett rober)CANUTO THIAGO 123 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.