Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - July 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (2/6/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/1/8)-(2/6/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/1/8)-(2/6/1/8)-(2/6/1/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/6/1/8)-(5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1/8)-(5/1/2)-(3/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(3/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(3/4/5)-(6/3/7/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-3   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(6/3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(6/3/7/5)-(6/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-4   WIN (6/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/3/7/5)-(6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7/5)-(6/2/4)-(3/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-5   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(3/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(3/2/1)-(8/6/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-6   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(8/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(8/6/5/2)-(1/8/5/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-7   WIN (8/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/5/2)-(8/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/5/2)-(8/6/5/2)-(8/6/5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (8/6/5/2)-(1/8/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TDN-8   WIN (1/8/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/5/7)-(1/8/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/5/7)-(1/8/5/7)-(1/8/5/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   07/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR LAOBAN Jun08 May18 Apr24 Feb15 Feb05 (szczepanski emil)AVILES YAN 123 4.50 6% 14.60    
2  FRANCO (MEX) Jun13 May23 Apr30 Mar25 Mar07 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 2.00 59% 0.70    
3  EXALTED JOY Apr09 Mar07 Feb28 Feb15 Dec27 (v)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 3.50    
4  ROYAL AIR FORCE Jun08 May23 Apr30 Apr13 Mar25 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00    
5  STREET MAX Jun13 May23 Apr30 Mar26 Feb05 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 119 10.00    
6  APACHE Jun13 May06 Apr25 Apr13 Apr01 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 8.00 9% 10.20    
7  SAY HEY KID Jun08 May18 Apr30 Feb05 Dec27 (szczepanski emil)BAEZ M 119 15.00    
8  ORO DE MORO MORO Jun22 May30 May14 Apr30 Apr13 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-2   07/02/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOKEMEISTER Jun04 May20 Apr25 Apr11 Mar20 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 3.50 18% 4.60    
2  SAHM TEQUILA Jun11 May22 Apr13 Mar06 Feb17 (lopez enriqu)HALDAR J 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  SMOKIN' HOT Jun03 May14 Apr27 Apr13 Feb17 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 6.00    
4  AUGER Jun22 May29 Apr17 Feb14 Jan15 (rivera nestor)FELICIANO R 119 4.50    
5  I'LL FIGURE IT OUT Jun11 May20 Apr22 Feb24 Jan31 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 49% 1.00    
6  MAKING ME CRAZY Mar19 Mar06 Feb19 Feb05 Jan03 (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 2.50    
 
TDN-3   07/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO PAY NO HAY Jun11 May20 Apr28 Mar28 Feb25 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 1.60    
  (by AUDIBLE out of BIDE A WEE ISLAND by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
2  ELKO Apr04         (vecchio caryn)FELICIANO R 123 3.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of PRINCESS ASPEN by BIRDSTONE)
3  GETAWAY BAY Jun11 Mar07       (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.40 51% 1.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of ELUSIVE GETAWAY by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
4  HERO PANTHER         (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 119 12.00 20% 4.10    
  (by HERO OF ORDER out of COOL RECEPTION by DEPUTY MINISTER)
5  NOT OVER YET Jun11 May09 Apr25 Apr04   (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FAR FROM OVER out of ELECTRO PEG by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
 
TDN-4   07/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAISE THE PURSES Jun18 Jun10 May29 May18 Oct28 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50    
2  GIFT OF OAK Jun12 May22 May06 Mar13 Feb29 (bookman donald)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00    
3  MO DONT NO Jun13 May15 Oct28 Oct04 Aug08 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 2.50 26% 2.90    
4  RED HOT POWER Jun25 Jun12 Jun04 May22 Apr24 (gonzalez don)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 114 20.00    
5  UNBRIDLED CAUSE Jun22 May18 Oct28 Oct10 Sep19 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  GOLD N SILVER Jun10 May06 Feb04 Jan03 Dec16 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 3.00 36% 1.80    
7  VISUAL MISSION Jun10 May08 Apr22 Apr04 Mar14 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00 9% 9.60    
8  SURROUNDER Jun12 Apr04 Mar18 Mar11 Feb19 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 6.00    
 
TDN-5   07/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRIKING LAD Jun12 May28 May07 Nov15 Oct28 (flores israe)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 5.00    
  (by DRILL out of STRIKING LASS by CANADIAN FRONTIER)
2  ZVONIMIR         (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 123 8.00 27% 2.70    
  (by INDY WIND out of CHANSON D'AMOUR by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
3  EL SORDO Jun12 May30 Apr10 Mar25 Mar14 (romero a)CEDILLO MAURO 123 3.50    
  (by RACE DAY out of DESIGNING BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
4  SYNERGISTIC May06 Aug09 Jul24 May29 May11 (lopez j)PILARES P 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of LIMPOPO by LION HEART)
5  A VAN ON THE RUN May30 Mar28 Mar05 Feb22 Feb06 (huffman canda)TOLEDO S 119 2.50    
  (by RACE DAY out of BRIGHT REPLY by YONAGUSKA)
6  SPECTACULAR D'ORO         (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 119 2.00 42% 1.40    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of AGRESSIVE ELEGANCE by MACHO UNO)
 
TDN-6   07/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUGSY MALONE May20 Jan10 Dec18 Nov15 Oct23 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  STAGE NAME May20 Apr23 Jul29 Jun27 Jun02 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 9% 10.40    
3  FLIPPING FISH Jun22 May29 May08 Mar06 Feb18 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 121 1.80 60% 0.70    
4  MISTER MOBIL Jun22 May27 May15 May04 Apr11 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 121 6.00    
5  AFJAN Apr30 Apr09 Mar07 Feb08 Jan25 (meyers shan)PETERSON FERRIN 119 2.00    
 
TDN-7   07/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ INDEPENDENCE Jun11 May22 May01 Feb28 Jan31 (skerrett jeff)BRACHO A 119 12.00    
2  PASSIONFORTREASURE May22 Apr19 Mar24 Mar13 Feb18 (lopez enriqu)HALDAR J 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  TWILIGHT VISION May01 Oct01 Sep13 Aug10 Jun21 (jackson jame)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 4.50    
SCR  KINGDOM QUEEN Jun12 May26 May10 Feb12 Jan23 (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00    
5  LIONISTIC May22 Apr29 Dec26 Nov20 Oct31 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 8.00 17% 4.90    
6  BLUSHING BETTY Jun11 Sep20 Aug29 Aug02 Jul11 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00 25% 2.90    
7  LOFTHOUSE May23 Apr27 Mar17 Feb10 Sep28 (huffman candace)BOWEN ROCCO 123 4.00    
8  LADY LOTTIE Jun07 May18 Apr24 Apr13 Feb28 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 3.00 27% 2.70    
9  SHEWEARSMYRING May21 Apr25 Apr13 Mar13 Mar04 (dacosta jas)PETERSON FERRIN 121 12.00    
 
TDN-8   07/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROLLIN FREEDOM         (zielinski richa)REYES FRANK 119 8.00 20% 3.90    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of FLIGHT ELEVEN by MIDAS EYES)
2  J. P INDY Dec21 Dec11 Nov22 Oct23 Oct05 (cline )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of JANNES PAUL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  BEAUTIFUL CHARADE Jun17 May09 Jan30     (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of PEYTONA by MR. GREELEY)
4  CLOUD PRINCESS Jan09 Dec21       (szczepanski emil)AVILES YAN 123 15.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of GOLD INK by INVISIBLE INK)
5  MANDAVILLA         (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 123 10.00 17% 4.80    
  (by ALTERNATION out of MANDABULL by NEWFOUNDLAND)
6  FLAME FOR REAL May28 Oct11 Sep25     (fernandez edwar)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SCARLETTS FOR REAL by PROUD CITIZEN)
7  RUNAWAY ATLANTIC May28 May09       (cline robert )CEDILLO MAURO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STORMY ATLANTIC out of RUNAWAY'S VISION by POLLARD'S VISION)
8  DOMINUS O'S ME Jun17 May28 Dec21 Dec11 Nov22 (urieta j)FERNANDEZ R 123 2.50 20% 3.90    
  (by DOMINUS out of NEIGH O ME by HALF OURS)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.