Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Saturday - March 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (7/4/6/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/6/3/8)-(7/4/6/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/6/3/8)-(7/4/6/3/8)-(7/4/6/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/4/6/3/8)-(10/6/11/8/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/4/6/3/8)-(10/6/11/8/7)-(7/9/3/1) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TP-2   WIN (10/6/11/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/6/11/8/7)-(10/6/11/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/6/11/8/7)-(10/6/11/8/7)-(10/6/11/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/6/11/8/7)-(7/9/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/6/11/8/7)-(7/9/3/1)-(9/1/2/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-3   WIN (7/9/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/3/1)-(7/9/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/9/3/1)-(7/9/3/1)-(7/9/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/9/3/1)-(9/1/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/9/3/1)-(9/1/2/6)-(9/7/5/3/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-4   WIN (9/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/2/6)-(9/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/2/6)-(9/1/2/6)-(9/1/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/1/2/6)-(9/7/5/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/1/2/6)-(9/7/5/3/1)-(8/4/6/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-5   WIN (9/7/5/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/7/5/3/1)-(9/7/5/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/7/5/3/1)-(9/7/5/3/1)-(9/7/5/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/7/5/3/1)-(8/4/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/7/5/3/1)-(8/4/6/2)-(2/11/9/8/1) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TP-6   WIN (8/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/6/2)-(8/4/3/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/4/6/2)-(8/4/3/6/2)-(8/4/3/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/4/6/2)-(2/11/9/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/4/6/2)-(2/11/9/8/1)-(2/3/7/1/4) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TP-7   WIN (2/11/9/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/11/9/8/1)-(2/11/9/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/11/9/8/1)-(2/11/9/8/1)-(2/11/9/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/11/9/8/1)-(2/3/7/1/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TP-8   WIN (2/3/7/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/1/4)-(2/3/7/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/1/4)-(2/3/7/1/4)-(2/3/7/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   03/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BENCH Mar09 Feb03       (vaccarezza )CONCEPCION AXEL 126 2.50    
2  NAK NAK BOLT Feb17 Jun09 Aug18 Jul02 Jun23 (ruis sr)GARCIA MARTIN 124 8.00    
3  REMEMBER HYMN Oct24 Sep22 Aug18 Jul14 Jun30 (graci kimberly)CONNER TYLER 124 10.00 12% 7.00    
4  KID MARVELOUS Feb23 Feb09 Jan26 Jan10 Dec16 (esquivel )CORREA L 124 3.50 18% 4.60    
5  AINT NO BANDLEADER Mar14 Feb06 Jan15 Dec14 Mar29 (estvanko richa)MACHADO LUAN 124 10.00    
6  FAST BOAT TO SKYE Feb22 Feb09 Jan12 Dec14 Oct26 (maker michael )CEDILLO ABEL 124 4.00 16% 5.10    
7  HOLIDAY HOUSE Feb22 Feb09 Jan13 Dec13 Aug26 (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 5.00 23% 3.30    
8  MAGNA RULER Mar07 Feb17 Jan24 Jan06 Dec29 (fernandez e)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  ENGLISH TIDE Mar21 Feb22 Jan04 Dec13 Jul11 (hester haley)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 20.00    
10  RATE CONFIRMATION Feb28 Feb09 Jan12 Dec20 Nov03 (cano mu)CALLEJA ANDRES 117 10.00    
 
TP-2   03/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELLIOTT MOON Feb22 Oct04       (kerric)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 113 20.00    
2  BEAUTIFUL BOLT Feb22 Jan25 Dec30 Nov26 Oct28 (ruis sr)CEDILLO ABEL 126 4.50    
3  DEFAULT Mar06 Feb18 Feb01 Dec31 Nov23 (vaccarezza ca)CANNON DECLAN 124 20.00    
4  SENSIBLE CHOICE Mar06 Feb08 Jan10 Nov07 Oct19 (greenhill jeff)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00    
5  BETTER JUSTICE Jan18 Dec30 Oct26 Sep03 Aug11 (leitch d)RODRIGUEZ A 126 15.00    
6  QUEEN OF THE DANCE Mar16 Feb03 Jul09 Jun12 May24 (stidham mic)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 3.50 21% 3.80    
7  FROTHY Feb24 Jan11 Nov08 Sep09 Jul31 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  NOBLE BERNADETTE Mar10 Feb18 Feb01 Jan01 Nov09 (sharp joe)CORRALES GERARDO 124 6.00 7% 13.50    
SCR  MISS SUSAN B         (hughes byron )TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00    
10  ISOLA (IRE) Jan14 Dec17 Sep21 Aug17 Jul15 (sisterson ja)BESCHIZZA ADAM 126 3.00 34% 1.90    
11  TERRITORIALITY Mar16         (gowan willi)PETERSON FERRIN 126 10.00 14% 6.20    
 
TP-3   03/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJOR WAGER Mar06 Jan05 Dec21 Nov13 Sep13 (wisner tracey)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 6.00 9% 10.50    
SCR  P H FACTOR Mar13 Feb09 Dec21 Nov16 Aug18 (foster eric)FUENTES ERICK 113 4.00    
3  SOULMATE Mar07 Feb16 Nov12 Oct08 Sep04 (pino michael)MORALES JOSHUA 120 4.50 11% 7.80    
SCR  DOWAGIAC CHIEF Feb25 Jan01 May21 Apr22 Sep14 (amoss m)CEDILLO ABEL 120 3.50    
5  JOE PHILLIPS Mar07 Feb10 Jan25 Dec16 Dec02 (west aaron )CONCEPCION AXEL 120 12.00    
6  CHAMBERS BAY Mar07 Feb22 Feb08 Jan11 Sep19 (guerrero sal)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 15.00    
7  KENTUCKY COOL Aug05 Jul19 Jun21 Jun06 Mar31 (fernandez edward)MCKEE J 120 15.00 41% 1.50    
8  TIZ OF THEE Nov03 Aug28 Jul23 Jun10 Mar17 (kubinova)RODRIGUEZ A 120 5.00    
9  AKAMAI Feb16 Jan05 Dec08 Oct26 Sep19 (dobbsjr rober)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 8.00 13% 6.80    
10  SILENT SUNDAY Feb11 Jan12 Nov11 Sep24 Aug31 (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 120 20.00    
SCR  WRITEITONTHEICE Mar15 Feb17 Jul13 May25 May12 (fernandez ed)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 30.00    
SCR  READY TO ROLL (IRE) Feb28 Dec15 Oct13 Aug26 Jun16 (van thoma)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00    
 
TP-4   03/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN MEMORIES Mar08         (pino micha)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00 30% 2.30    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of WINTER MEMORIES by EL PRADO (IRE))
2  SAND PIPES Feb23 Jan26 Dec22     (lobo h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00 8% 11.80    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of BIRKENHEAD by MIZZEN MAST)
3  PHREDDIE MAC Mar08 Feb23 Jan26 Nov25 Oct12 (asmussen s)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of FINANCIAL RECOVERY by STREET CRY (IRE))
4  CONTEMPLATION Mar01         (stidham micha)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 15.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of TOO COMPLICATED by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  ENHANCED SCAT Feb16 Jan26       (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of HEAVENLY TAP by TAPIT)
6  TWO BEERS BY TEN Mar01         (maker michael )CONNER TYLER 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of BAHAMA BABE by POINT OF ENTRY)
7  AUSTIN STRONG Dec08 Nov10       (beckman whi)GARCIA MARTIN 120 20.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of IMPAZIBLE WOMAN by MISSION IMPAZIBLE)
SCR  PUBLIUS Jan18 Jan06 Nov25 Oct28 Aug31 (foster eric)FUENTES ERICK 110 20.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SHARP INSTINCT by AWESOME AGAIN)
9  ARMY OFFICER Mar08 Feb09 Aug28     (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of WORTH A CHANCE MO by UNCLE MO)
10  LOU'S LEGACY Mar16 Nov25 Nov04 Aug28 Jun01 (andrade hugo)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 6.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of BIOGIO'S GIFT by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
SCR  SARDIS Feb25 Jan28 Nov17     (maker michael )CEDILLO ABEL 120 8.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ENDLESS CHAT by BERNARDINI)
 
TP-5   03/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAST FURNACE Aug19 May13 Apr27     (devaux cherie)CEDILLO ABEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of ALIQUIPPA by NATIVE ALLIANCE)
2  STONKS Mar07 Feb21 Feb03 Dec09 Nov22 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 125 5.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of HOW UNUSUAL by UNUSUAL HEAT)
3  ACCIDENT Mar16 Feb17 Feb03 Jan06 Dec09 (short th)RODRIGUEZ A 125 12.00 6% 16.50    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of NOT JAVA by NOT BOURBON)
4  DREAMING BRO         (davis joseph)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 20.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of COIRA by CARPE DIEM)
5  MAN WITH THE MOVES Mar07 Jul01 Apr01     (swingley duwayne)MCKEE J 125 6.00 7% 12.90    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of DELIGHTED CAT by STORM CAT)
6  BAD BOY FOR LIFE Jan06 Nov18       (wilkes r)CONNER TYLER 125 30.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of WORLD PEACE by READY'S IMAGE)
7  ROCKY JOY Feb17 Jan06       (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 125 4.00 30% 2.30    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of COLORADO GIRL by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
8  WOODSPOINT         (stidham mic)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 8.00    
  (by FROSTED out of REGENT'S HOUSE by STREET CRY (IRE))
9  SCHNITTKER         (ward a)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 3.00 30% 2.30    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SECRET QUALITY by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  CAT ON TIME         (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 125 10.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BIG CAT WALKS LATE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  FALDERAL         (mackey wayne)ARAGON ROLANDO 118 20.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of SHELLEY ANN by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
12  TAPIT FOR THE WIN         (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00    
  (by TAPIT out of BET SHE WINS by FIRST SAMURAI)
SCR  SOUTH DECATUR Mar14 Nov09 Oct18 Sep20 Jul09 (galindo-torr)TERRAZA GERMAN 120 20.00    
  (by PALACE out of ALLAIRE by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
SCR  SIDE EYE Mar02 Feb17 Apr23 Mar19 Dec17 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 125 3.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of QUANAH COUNTY by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
 
TP-6   03/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Serena's Song Purse ($125K) 3 F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PINOTSLILGIRL Mar01 Feb21 Jan26 Dec23 Nov25 (contreras cipr)CONNER TYLER 120 15.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of PINOT by INTO MISCHIEF)
2  THESE APPLES Feb21 Jan31 Dec20     (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of DIVINE TRICK by DIVINE PARK)
3  SWEET GAL OF MINE Feb14 Nov24 Oct21 Sep16   (mccarthy m)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 ★    
  (by DIALED IN out of SO SWEETITIZ by GRAND SLAM)
4  J RIVERS Mar07 Dec06 Oct26     (delacour arnau)MACHADO LUAN 122 5.00 28% 2.60    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of DON'T STOP TO SHOP by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  KACHOW Dec11 Oct21 Sep06     (howey quinn)ASHTON GAVIN 120 30.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of AURA ROSE by UNCLE MO)
6  PIPIT Feb10 Dec23 Nov04 Oct08 Jul16 (walsh brend)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of BROWSE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
7  GOLD DEL MAR Mar01 Feb15 Jan31 Dec30 Dec06 (sala)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 12.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of DEL MAR BABE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
8  NICE AS PIE Feb10 Jan26 Jan03 Aug02   (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 0.80 44% 1.30    
  (by TAPITURE out of HOW NICE by TALINUM)
9  MY GIRL GINGER Mar07 Feb22 Jan10 Dec23   (hernandez rey)ROCCO S 120 30.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of REVELSTOKE by MONASHEE MOUNTAIN)
 
TP-7   03/30/2024 6600ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHANTRY FLATS Mar01 Jan28 Dec07 Nov02 Mar30 (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 124 12.00 6% 14.90    
2  AVENUE Feb17 Dec23 Nov23 Nov02 Feb05 (mccarthy micha)MACHADO LUAN 124 1.60 30% 2.40    
3  COLBALOAF Mar20 Mar02 Feb09 Dec21 Nov18 (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 12.00    
4  MUTAKATIF (IRE) Feb28 Jan31 Jan05 Nov07 Oct24 (brown h)ELLIOTT JANE 124 20.00    
5  COMMON BOND Feb17 Jan25 Jul02 Apr15 Mar11 (wittek karyn)MCKEE J 124 6.00    
6  SILVER QUARTERS Mar07 Feb16 Jan05 Sep30 Sep04 (manley steve)CEDILLO ABEL 124 15.00    
7  MALTHAEL Mar16 Jan05 Dec14 Dec01 Jun03 (west aaron )CONCEPCION AXEL 124 20.00    
8  ENGLISH CHALLENGE Mar21 Mar07 Feb09 Jan26 Jan04 (estvanko richa)CONNER TYLER 124 20.00 11% 8.40    
9  REALLY GOOD Feb17 Dec23 Nov15 Sep03 Jul15 (maker michael)GARCIA MARTIN 124 5.00 13% 7.00    
SCR  FEBRUARY SON Mar07 Feb17 Dec23 Nov02 Sep01 (granitz anth)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 15.00    
11  VALUE ENGINEERING Feb28 Jan27 Dec24 Nov30 May13 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 124 5.00 19% 4.20    
12  BIRD KING Feb17 Dec09 Nov10 Oct19 Sep27 (londono genevi)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 30.00    
 
TP-8   03/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($29K) 3 F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLT ON THE ROCKS Mar01         (ruis sr)GARCIA MARTIN 120 12.00 8% 12.20    
2  SHE'S ALWAYS ROSIE Feb28 Dec06       (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
3  MITOLE MAGIC Jan14 Dec16 Nov05 Sep16   (davis christop)CEDILLO ABEL 120 4.00 20% 3.90    
4  PLEASESTOPTALKING         (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  KITTEN'S TEMPER Mar06 Feb21 Jan10 Sep11   (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 120 30.00    
6  CITY OF GLITTER         (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 12.00    
7  BEAUTIFUL SUMMER Jan03 Nov27 Oct16     (waltz brian)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 15.00 13% 6.90    
8  MORNING MIRACLE Feb25         (maker michael )CONNER TYLER 120 10.00    
SCR  CALADIUM Feb22 Jan18 Jan03 Dec16 Nov18 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.50    
10  ROSE ALABAMA         (drury tho)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00    
SCR  MIRANDA Mar06 Dec20 Nov23     (wilkes r)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 15.00    
12  SHARPER GAL Feb21 Dec29 Aug05     (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 15.00    
13  COZY GAL         (davis joseph)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 15.00    
SCR  TROUBLE WITH SUGAR Feb22 Jan27 Oct12     (kubinova elisk)ROMAN A 120 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.