Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Wednesday - March 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-3   Win (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-4   Win (2/8/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-5   Win (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-6   Win (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-7   Win (8/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-8   Win (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-9   Win (2/3/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-3   03/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
METAROSE Feb26 Feb12 Jan30 Dec11 Nov14 (hernandez migu)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
ORATORY GLORY Feb26 Apr02 Mar26 Mar06 Feb19 (ybarra rudy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00    
SCR  LILLY CHROME Feb19 Nov07 Oct16 Sep11 Aug22 (wolf ashlee)CORBETT W 124 6.00    
SCR  PANDEMIC GIRL Feb18 Jan28 Dec30 Nov26 Nov04 (fuentes ruben)PENA BRYAN 124 2.00    
SCR  PIPER ROSE Feb26 Dec18 Oct14 Sep16 Aug24 (woolley b)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50    
DANSMETOTHENDOFLOV Feb29 Feb19 Dec19 Dec12 Nov21 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 36% 1.80    
 
TUP-4   03/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH FASHION LADY Feb28 Feb07 Dec12 Dec02 Nov16 (silva jos)BRAVO MISAEL 119 5.00    
MIDNIGHT SUSI Mar07 Feb07 Jan05 Dec04 Oct27 (cappellucci dick)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
REALREALGOOD Mar05 May06 Mar14 Feb01 Jan04 (fearon joh)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 15.00    
BEA MISCHIEF Mar04 Feb15 Nov25 Nov05 Oct22 (silv)DA FAUSTO 122 4.00    
SEE YOU AT THE TOP Mar05 Feb15 Feb05 Jan12 Dec05 (torres-casas )MORALES ROBERTO 122 10.00 8% 10.90    
A THOUSAND DREAMS Mar05 Feb21 Sep23 Aug12 Jul19 (williams dewey)RADKE K 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SPRING SPINNING Feb24 Mar17 Mar03 Dec09 Nov26 (fuentes rube)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 2.50    
SCR  HERSABIGGIRL Mar04 Jan28 Jan07 Nov10 Sep09 (chambers mike)CORBETT W 122 4.50 30% 2.30    
 
TUP-5   03/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($32.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIG MAMA THORNTON Feb29 Oct13 Oct06 Sep17 Sep10 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 10.00    
WE ALL AGREE Feb29 Sep27 Sep11 Aug27 Aug05 (barrio sergio)CRUZ M 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
LARIMAR Aug20 Aug05 Jul16 Jun28 Jun07 (bourdieu ma)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00    
BLESSED ANGEL Mar11 Feb19 Dec08 Nov02 Apr10 (belvoir vann)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 2.50 58% 0.70    
SWEET SONNY Feb29 Feb14       (uranga jesus)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 4.50 7% 13.70    
EMILY SMILES Feb29 Dec20 Nov21 Nov13 Oct07 (silv)DA FAUSTO 122 3.00    
TWELVE STARS Mar05 Feb01 Dec19 Dec05 Nov13 (martinez esteban)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50    
 
TUP-6   03/20/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE JUJU Feb28 Feb12 Jan12 Dec16 Nov10 (bean a)CRUZ M 118 10.00    
ARREST Feb16 Feb03 Jan07 Dec17 Nov26 (dollase craig)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 1.20    
LEGALLY REDDY Feb15 Dec04 Nov14 Oct29 Oct01 (hone bart)CORBETT W 124 3.00 63% 0.60    
AX 'S SHORE Oct08 Sep24 Sep09 Aug10 Jul30 (dennis clif)IRONEYES R 119 20.00    
MANDELA EFFECT Feb27 Dec18 Nov13 Oct29 Sep04 (bratcher rya)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
THE RONALD Feb15 Dec04 Oct28 Oct01 Jul22 (barraza s)PENA BRYAN 124 8.00 12% 7.20    
READY TO STORM Mar06 Feb27 Jan29 Jan12 Nov23 (gleason m)LOPEZ KARLO 118 10.00    
MALMO Feb23 Jan26 Dec18 Oct01 Sep16 (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00    
 
TUP-7   03/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARMANT E Feb26 May06 Mar04 Feb12 Feb07 (mccartney ja)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 12.00 5% 17.60    
KIRA FEVER Feb26 Feb01 Sep13 Jul30 Jul19 (kenney ryan)PENA BRYAN 122 5.00    
ZOE'S PRIDE Feb04 Jan26 Jan14 Jan01 Dec01 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 6.00    
MICKEY DOBBS Feb26 Mar28 Mar05 Jan17 Dec22 (martinez )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 10.00    
EYES FOR GOLD Mar12 Feb20 Dec20 Nov25 Nov14 (eikleberry kev)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 4.00 24% 3.30    
COCKTAIL PRINCESS Mar04 Feb20 Jan05 Nov24 Dec11 (chambers mike)RADKE K 122 3.00 9% 10.40    
TOBY'S CANDY Jun11 May29 Apr17 Mar19 Feb18 (silva-martin)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 6.00    
KO OLINA Mar04 Dec15 Oct27 Oct15 Sep01 (ferguson la)VALENZUELA A 122 4.50 41% 1.40    
 
TUP-8   03/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JIN TONG Sep17 Sep03 Aug20 Aug13 Jul16 (toye joe)RADKE K 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
KID AZTECA Jan05 Nov18 Oct01 Sep03 Aug06 (miller peter)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 3.00    
SAULS CALL Feb10 Nov12 Oct14 Sep23 Aug11 (fuentes rube)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 6.00    
MEANT FOR ME Feb27 Dec20 Nov10 Oct20 Sep02 (evans justin)REYES R 122 4.00    
STONE CARVER Oct08 Sep24 Aug25 Aug04 Jun28 (anderson gonz)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00 18% 4.60    
COASTAL KID Aug20 Jul23 Jun25 May27 Apr24 (silva-marti)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00 60% 0.70    
MEDIMPACT Feb20 Jan25 Jan11 Oct29 Oct01 (person a)PENA BRYAN 122 10.00    
SCR  TACTICAL ATTACK Feb14 Feb01 Jan05 Dec20 Nov28 (sepich f)CORBETT W 122 5.00    
BRADY BOY Feb20 Feb12 Jan01 Aug18 Jul28 (valerio g)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
 
TUP-9   03/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWIVEL HIPS May05 Jan07       (perkins fra)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00    
SASSY TINKERBELL Feb22 Jul09 Apr24 Mar27 Mar07 (belvoir vann)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 6.00 39% 1.50    
BITCOIN BURGLAR Feb22 Jan31 Nov14 Sep19   (zimm)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 32% 2.10    
BETSY IS THE CODE Mar05 Feb22 Jan06 Nov23 Oct15 (silva jos)BRAVO MISAEL 119 3.50    
HARBOR LASS Feb24 Feb04       (perez sergio)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 8.00    
GETAWAY DAY Mar04 Feb06 Dec20 Nov13   (eikleberry kev)CONTRERAS LUIS 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
DOOZY Mar05 Dec02 Aug31     (powell leonard)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 3.00 7% 13.60    
LUCKY VEGAS Feb18 Jan15 Dec10 Dec02 Mar19 (chambers mi)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00    
SCR  ANOTHER TEN Aug26 Aug12 Jul30 Jul07 May29 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 6.00    
10  DIVINE GIFT Mar05 Feb13 Jan26 Dec26   (lucarelli frank)RADKE K 118 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.