Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Thursday - March 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
OP-1   WIN (2/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/6)-(2/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/6)-(2/1/4/6)-(2/1/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/4/6)-(3/7/1/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
OP-2   WIN (3/7/1/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/5/10)-(3/7/1/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/7/1/5/10)-(3/7/1/5/10)-(3/7/1/5/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/7/1/5/10)-(8/5/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1/5/10)-(8/5/1/2)-(8/5/11/3/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
OP-3   WIN (8/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/1/2)-(8/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/1/2)-(8/5/1/2)-(8/5/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/1/2)-(8/5/11/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/5/1/2)-(8/5/11/3/7)-(2/8/1/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
OP-4   WIN (8/5/11/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/5/11/3/7)-(8/5/11/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/5/11/3/7)-(8/5/11/3/7)-(8/5/11/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/5/11/3/7)-(2/8/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/5/11/3/7)-(2/8/1/7)-(3/2/8/12/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
OP-5   WIN (2/8/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/1/7)-(2/8/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/1/7)-(2/8/1/7)-(2/8/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/1/7)-(3/2/8/12/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/8/1/7)-(3/2/8/12/7)-(6/4/10/7/1) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
OP-6   WIN (3/2/8/12/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/8/12/7)-(3/2/8/12/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/8/12/7)-(3/2/8/12/7)-(3/2/8/12/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/2/8/12/7)-(6/4/10/7/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/2/8/12/7)-(6/4/10/7/1)-(10/9/1/12) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
OP-7   WIN (6/4/10/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/10/7/1)-(6/4/10/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/10/7/1)-(6/4/10/7/1)-(6/4/10/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/4/10/7/1)-(10/9/1/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/4/10/7/1)-(10/9/1/12)-(7/2/3/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
OP-8   WIN (10/9/1/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/9/1/12)-(10/9/1/12/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/9/1/12)-(10/9/1/12/11)-(10/9/1/12/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/9/1/12)-(7/2/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
OP-9   WIN (7/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/4)-(7/2/3/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2/3/4)-(7/2/3/4/9)-(7/2/3/4/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   03/07/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHELSEA DAGGER Feb18 Jan26 Nov24 Nov10 Oct13 (mcknight nor)BARBOSA CARLOS 110 3.00 16% 5.10    
2  PRODIGIOUS BAY Jun01 Mar31 Feb10 Jan22 Oct15 (moquett ro)ASMUSSEN J 120 1.40 53% 0.90    
3  RACKATAPTAP Jan26 Dec29 Dec08 Oct13 Sep18 (ward dan)TORRES A 120 2.50    
4  VINCENZINO Feb18 Jan26 Jan12 Nov10 Sep23 (mcknight )BEALMEAR C 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  GALACTIC EMPIRE Feb10 Jan26 Dec29 Dec09 Nov03 (martin timothy )ZIMMERMAN R 120 10.00    
6  CHISHOLM TRAIL Jan01 Dec15 Oct08 Aug28 Aug07 (anderson dou)FUENTES A 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  RED DEVIL Feb18 Nov18 Sep29 Sep08 Jul24 (petalino )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 20.00    
 
OP-2   03/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 2:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEST COAST HARBOR Feb19         (puhich mike)BOWEN ROCCO 122 8.00 7% 13.50    
2  SPACITYGAL         (vance tho)BEALMEAR C 115 10.00    
3  BUSINESS AS USUAL Feb11 Jan12 Nov22 Oct25 Sep13 (brisset )SANTANA JR 122 2.00 40% 1.50    
4  MISS CLASSIFIED Aug13         (von ke)BARBOSA CARLOS 115 12.00    
5  SHE'S NOT A JOKE Feb19 Jan26 Dec09 Jun26   (martin timo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  MISS TERRE         (milligan allen)QUINONEZ S 122 15.00    
7  JUST AN OPINION Feb16 Nov15 Apr26     (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 1.80 26% 2.80    
8  ST. OLAF ROSE Feb16         (morse ran)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 6.00    
SCR  THE BIG CALHOUNA Jan26 Dec16       (santamaria carlo)JUAREZ NIK 122 20.00    
10  DEVIOUS DIVA Feb10 Dec08 Nov09 Sep23 Aug18 (caster boyd)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
OP-3   03/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  BAYRON Dec16 Dec01 Nov02 Oct06 Sep14 (ward dan)BEALMEAR C 110 8.00 10% 9.20    
SCR  SPOTTED BULL Jan25 Dec15 Oct28 Oct18 Oct06 (ward dan)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 8.00    
2  LAMUTANAATTY Feb25 Feb04 Dec09 Nov03 Sep29 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  WILDWOOD MINISTRY Dec16 Nov18 Oct28 Oct17 Sep02 (becker scott)FUENTES A 120 12.00    
4  STRINGS Feb19 Dec16 Sep23 Aug11 Jul17 (broberg k)TORRES A 124 3.50    
5  RAYMOND Feb17 Jan05 Nov10 Oct19 Sep13 (diodoro robe)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 3.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  BASEBALL POLITICS Aug26 Aug01 May09 Apr22 Apr06 (manley st)LEPAROUX R 117 15.00    
7  GOOD HEART Feb16 Jan05 Oct12 Sep02 Aug11 (gibson jo)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 2.50    
8  PROVOST Jan27 Dec28 Dec08 Nov08 Sep09 (rufino eusebio )VAZQUEZ A 120 4.00 40% 1.50    
 
OP-4   03/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. BENNY Jan13 Dec29 Jul17 Jun24   (chleborad lynn)CHUAN MARTIN 119 20.00    
2  CRIME ZONE Dec09         (mason ing)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
3  YOUNG JONESBORO Feb18 Jan12 Aug06 Jul24   (hornsby tammy)WALES T 125 15.00 14% 6.20    
4  BET ALL THE GOLD Feb19 Dec09       (soto fermin)BARBOSA CARLOS 112 12.00    
5  MONEYSTRIKE Jan13 Jan01 Sep11 Aug21 Aug06 (wilson melton)VAZQUEZ A 125 2.50 15% 5.50    
6  WELCOMETOARKANSAS Feb19 Jan01 Nov16 Nov16   (cates al)DE CRUZ 125 20.00    
7  LITTLE BISCUITS         (milligan allen)QUINONEZ S 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  ZIPPY MARK         (diodoro r)TORRES A 119 4.00 23% 3.40    
9  PERSCRIPTURE         (brennan terr)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 8.00    
10  DALTON'S RUTROW Feb18 Jan26 Dec30 Apr30 Apr07 (swearingen to)BAILEY CHEL-C 125 3.50    
11  STILLBILLY         (moquett ro)ASMUSSEN J 119 6.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  CLEAR ECHO         (stuart sh)BEALMEAR C 112 20.00    
SCR  GET AWAY WITH IT (IRE) Feb23 Jan12       (martin kevi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 30.00    
14  WON NINETY Feb23         (green ike)COURT K 119 30.00    
 
OP-5   03/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD SCOUT Feb19 Jan28 Dec17 Aug07 Jun17 (hornsby t)DE CRUZ 124 15.00 15% 5.60    
2  ETERNALLY GRATEFUL Feb16 Jan05 Dec15 Nov04 Oct17 (becker scott)FUENTES A 119 2.50 35% 1.80    
3  STELLAR TAP Jan26 Aug29 Jul29 Jun24 Apr28 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 12.00    
4  LARRY'S LEGEND Jan05 Nov17 Oct07 Sep10 Aug05 (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 4.00    
5  IAN GLASS Feb02 Jan05 Dec16 Nov14 Oct14 (shorter aaron)CHUAN MARTIN 119 15.00    
6  JUNIOR BUG Feb16 Jan05 Dec02 Nov04 Oct11 (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.00    
7  BLOW TORCH Feb16 Jan05 Sep04 Aug23 Jul19 (rosin w)VAZQUEZ A 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  OPTIMAL COURAGE Feb13 Jan25 Dec30 Dec02 Nov02 (silva mig)TORRES A 124 2.00 19% 4.40    
 
OP-6   03/07/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRASSE Feb16 Aug06       (lukas wayne)JUAREZ NIK 118 20.00    
2  GOLDEN DIVERSION Feb25 Feb09 Jan27 Dec30   (witt erni)TORRES A 118 1.40 16% 5.40    
3  MO MOVES Feb11 Dec16 Nov09 Oct15 Sep22 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 125 1.80 49% 1.00    
4  LUCKY IS MY NAME Feb11 Dec15 Aug19     (milligan allen)QUINONEZ S 118 30.00    
5  LUCKY SUPER NOVA Jan12 Dec30 Dec16     (espinoza e)ANDERSON MCKENNA 120 50.00    
6  MANSOURA Feb18 Dec22       (fires h)COURT K 113 30.00    
7  PRINCE IS MY BOY Feb11 Oct26 Aug27 Aug06   (rosin w)BARBOSA CARLOS 111 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  ABBY'S ENCORE Dec29 Dec09       (cates al)BAILEY CHEL-C 113 8.00 8% 11.50    
9  STRICKLAND Feb11 Jan12 Dec16 May12 Mar23 (brennan terr)LANDEROS CHRIS 125 5.00    
10  BUBBY BOY Feb25 Feb24       (swearingen tom )BOWEN ROCCO 120 20.00    
11  DEVIL'S SHADOW Feb25 Feb09 Sep11     (loy dewaine)PUSAC ALBERTO 113 50.00    
12  BIG ANDY MORT Feb09 Jan26 Dec09     (divito ja)BEALMEAR C 106 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KENTUCKY ICE Jan28 Dec08 Nov17 Oct07 Sep14 (cravens ron)HERNANDEZ HARRY 125 4.50    
 
OP-7   03/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($125K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKETEIGHTYEIGHT Jan28 Dec31 Nov25 Oct28 Sep03 (mott riley)FUENTES A 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  MONEYSHOT Dec15 Nov04 Oct11 Sep21 Aug05 (puhich mike)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00    
3  JUST BE HAPPY Sep02         (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00    
4  GAME KEEPER Feb16 Jan27 Nov16 Oct21 Aug24 (lukas wayne)JUAREZ NIK 125 3.00 16% 5.20    
5  MANFREDI Feb03 Dec15 Nov19 Oct22   (hartman c)BEALMEAR C 112 20.00    
6  TOP OF THE STREET Feb18 Jan27 Dec31 Nov25 Jul01 (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 2.50 43% 1.30    
7  MILITANT         (cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 119 8.00 6% 16.50    
SCR  MELT WITH YOU Feb11 Dec08 Oct20     (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 10.00    
9  MR SCATTER Jan12 Dec08       (correas )SANTANA JR 119 20.00    
10  CHUN MONEY Dec31 Dec08 Nov12     (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 15% 5.80    
11  BRAVEN Feb16         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 20.00    
 
OP-8   03/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($140K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAM STREAK Feb10 Jan06 Aug15 Jul13 Jun10 (rosin coty )HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  TYRONA Feb02 Dec30 Dec08 Oct11 Sep28 (schultz lind)BARBOSA CARLOS 111 20.00    
SCR  AMERICAN BAND Jan12 Dec15 May04 Mar11 Jan27 (haran joh)DE CRUZ 121 2.50    
4  MAKEMEBELIEVE Dec29 Nov04 Oct04 Sep15 Jul22 (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 118 20.00    
5  PARIS STYLE (FR) Jan27 Dec16 Nov16 Oct19 Sep24 (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 121 6.00    
6  TOO PRETTY Feb04 Jul23 Jul01 May04 Mar17 (peitz dan)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 113 20.00    
7  MY MY Nov21 Nov09 Oct27 Jun26 Feb08 (rufino eusebi)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 30.00    
8  GHAALEB'S RANGER Dec29 Nov14 Oct21 Sep23 Aug29 (becker scott)FUENTES A 118 20.00    
9  INSENSITIVE Feb11 Dec29 Oct28 Oct07 Jun24 (anderson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.50 10% 8.70    
10  XYLOPHONE Feb18 Dec02 Oct25 Aug15 May11 (mcbride burl )BAILEY CHEL-C 121 5.00 63% 0.60    
11  FLASHY LASS Feb11 Jan27 Dec02 Oct22 Aug28 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 6.00 ★    
12  MY GOOD FORTUNE Feb11 Dec02 Oct25 Sep29 Jul26 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TRIPLE L'S CUTTER Feb19 Jan13 Nov28 Nov18 Oct25 (hewitt mi)BEALMEAR C 114 30.00    
SCR  LACIE BE GOOD Feb16 Dec30 Nov22 Oct25 Aug04 (amoss tho)TORRES A 121 4.00    
 
OP-9   03/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAFETY         (gonzalez jai)BARBOSA CARLOS 112 20.00    
2  PREACHER'S KID Feb25 Feb04 Dec30     (compton g)TORRES A 125 3.00 18% 4.50    
3  SUNDAY SPIRIT Feb09 Dec09       (moquett ro)ASMUSSEN J 119 2.50 17% 4.80    
4  CLASSIC CINEMA         (brennan terr)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  TOMMY TRI Feb04 Jan12 Feb19 Dec18   (soto fermi)ANDERSON MCKENNA 125 50.00    
6  SWIFT KEY         (chleborad lynn)CHUAN MARTIN 119 20.00    
7  AMAZING SUCCESS Feb23 Feb09       (hornsby t)DE CRUZ 119 2.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  BET ON TIZ Jan13         (cates al)QUINONEZ S 119 20.00    
SCR  RUSTIC AFFAIR         (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 30.00 ★    
10  DICEY WAGER Aug12         (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 15.00    
11  PREPAREDNESS Feb18 Feb04 Dec08     (cline n)ZIMMERMAN R 125 30.00    
12  GREAT BARRIER Feb09 Dec30 Jul30 Oct23   (asmussen)SANTANA JR 125 6.00    
SCR  BERRYVILLE BULLET Feb23 Feb04       (dixon tim)BARBOSA CARLOS 112 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.