Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - March 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (6/2/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/8/3)-(6/2/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/8/3)-(6/2/8/3)-(6/2/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/8/3)-(7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/8/3)-(7/5/3)-(9/1/8/6/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PEN-2   WIN (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/3)-(7/5/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/5/3)-(7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/5/3)-(9/1/8/6/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3)-(9/1/8/6/2)-(7/1/3) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PEN-3   WIN (9/1/8/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/8/6/2)-(9/1/8/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/8/6/2)-(9/1/8/6/2)-(9/1/8/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/1/8/6/2)-(7/1/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/1/8/6/2)-(7/1/3)-(3/4/8/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PEN-4   WIN (7/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/3)-(7/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/3)-(7/1/3)-(7/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/3)-(3/4/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3)-(3/4/8/6)-(2/5/6/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-5   WIN (3/4/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/8/6)-(3/4/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/8/6)-(3/4/8/6)-(3/4/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/8/6)-(2/5/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/8/6)-(2/5/6/4)-(6/3/4/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PEN-6   WIN (2/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/4)-(2/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/4)-(2/5/6/4)-(2/5/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/6/4)-(6/3/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-7   WIN (6/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/5)-(6/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/5)-(6/3/4/5)-(6/3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   03/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FINANCIAL STRENGTH Jan08 Dec19 Dec04 Nov22 Nov01 (rodriguez mi)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 6.00    
2  WASABI BOY Feb09 Jan18 Dec28 Nov30 Oct26 (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 29% 2.50    
3  ROAN FOR THE ROSE Jan31 Nov30 Nov02 Sep21 Aug31 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  BRODIX May18 Mar30 Feb23 Jan31   (merryman )HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00    
5  ROCKIN THE PALACE Jan31 Jan12 Dec16 Nov29 Sep19 (stites w)CORA D 120 6.00    
6  BROTHER SHOWTYME Oct26 Sep27 Sep16 Aug24 Jul19 (sanchez-piner)ROJAS MARTINA 115 5.00 41% 1.50    
7  SUNSHINE HARRY Jan31 Nov24 Nov08 Aug30 Aug10 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 6.00    
8  COUNTERFEITCURENCY Jan24 Nov26 Nov16 Nov03 Sep09 (montoya mary)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 4.50 8% 11.80    
 
PEN-2   03/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIONIC KAT Feb07 Jan24 Jan09 Dec20 Dec06 (geist da)DAVIS A 122 10.00    
SCR  ROSES ARE FREE Feb07 Dec07 Nov10 Oct13 Sep21 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 10.00    
3  SWEEPING PASSION Feb12 Jan24 Dec14 Nov30 Nov02 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  B B QUEEN Jan19 Dec15 Nov30 Nov02   (wolfe jr)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 10.00    
5  WARRIOR'S MISS Jan11 Nov16 Oct24 Oct09 Sep20 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 32% 2.20    
6  DUST BUNNY Nov02 Sep14 Apr21 Mar30 Mar09 (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.50 ★    
7  FIREBALL EXPRESS Nov01         (albright r)CORA D 122 4.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  MOONSHINE WARRIOR Jan11 Nov30 Nov02 Sep06 Jan27 (murillo ric)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.00    
 
PEN-3   03/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUNT JO Feb09 Nov04 Sep23 Sep07 Jul31 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
2  SENSIBLE MARRIAGE Feb07 Jul26 Jun16 Feb08 Jan20 (lucas bonnie)TORRES JOMAR 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  SHORT OF DINERO Dec27 Dec15 Nov17 Oct25   (deiter kelly)HALLIDAY VINCE 124 10.00    
4  WINNING MOON Jan19 Sep24 Sep12 Jul18   (crook-demas)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 5.00    
5  NO COMMON CENT Feb07 Dec27       (shea lydee)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 8.00    
6  VIROLOGIST Feb09 Dec23 Nov30 Oct25 Sep30 (bentley fe)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124 4.00 6% 14.50    
7  UPTOWN CHARLY GIRL Jan19 Dec27 Dec15 Nov30 Nov17 (stowers miche)TUNON JORDANO 124 12.00    
8  WARRIOR'S DEFENSE         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 6.00 15% 5.50    
9  NEVA'S GIRL Feb24         (stites w)AGUILAR M 124 4.50 33% 2.00    
 
PEN-4   03/01/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR) Feb08 Jan18 Dec21 Dec07 Nov17 (bobadilla f)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 22% 3.50    
2  CRITICAL THINKING Jan19 Dec13 Dec01 Nov08 Sep14 (shea lydee)CORA D 120 8.00    
3  MR. EINSTEIN Dec27 Nov15 Oct30 Oct04 Sep18 (linder jr)RUIZ ELISEO 113 5.00 8% 12.10    
4  SHACKLED LOVE Feb16 Jan28 Nov04 Oct19 Apr07 (capuano gary )ROJAS MARTINA 115 3.50    
SCR  JACK SLYE Feb16 Jan26 Dec21 Dec07 Nov03 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 6.00    
6  SPINNING MUSICIAN Dec28 Dec07 Nov09 Oct27 Oct09 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 118 6.00    
7  REBEL RULER Dec27 Nov09 Oct26 Sep21 Aug31 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 29% 2.40    
 
PEN-5   03/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRIT'S CANDYMAN Feb02 Jan19 Dec08 Nov22 Nov02 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 120 5.00    
2  EAGLES CRY Feb09 Jan18 Dec15 Nov30 Nov17 (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00    
3  MEET ME AT MUNDIS Feb09 Dec08 Oct28 Sep01 Jul01 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 4.00 56% 0.80    
4  GAGETOWN Dec30 Nov15 Oct10 Mar24 Feb10 (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00 7% 13.90    
5  POWERFULLY BUILT Jan31 Dec07 Nov07 Oct16 Oct02 (abrams jack)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 8.00    
6  DALTON Feb19 Jan02 Aug22 Jul17 Jul05 (betancourt eli)CORREA JULIO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  INDIAN LAKE Nov26 Nov04 Oct19 Sep22 Aug20 (allen f)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50    
8  GENGHIS Jan25 Jan08 Dec19 Dec11 Nov07 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-6   03/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TROPHY ROOM Feb20 Dec18 Nov20 Oct27 Oct05 (iannotti t)ROWLAND MADELINE 118 4.50    
2  BAYOU SHACK Feb09 Dec28 Dec06 Nov16 Oct07 (ramirez r)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 59% 0.70    
3  FREEDOM'S START Feb08 Jan31 Jan12 Dec22 Dec06 (albright)DAVIS A 120 6.00    
4  DORSODURO Feb01 Jan18 Dec21 Dec08 Nov24 (rideout rona)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  HE IS BAD Jan24 Dec22 Dec08 Nov08 Sep20 (salvaggio v)CORA D 122 3.50 12% 7.20    
6  ORASHI Feb16 Nov30 Nov16 Sep13 May31 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  HARVEY SPECTER Jan24 Dec27 Nov08 Aug24 Jul21 (geist )SMITH DANIEL 115 4.00    
 
PEN-7   03/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY DANCER Feb05 Nov22 Sep11 Aug18   (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 3.00    
2  SILK PRINCE Feb16 Jan10 Dec20 Dec01 Jul26 (rose orlando)BEATO INOEL 124 5.00    
3  SYLVIA I AM Feb16 Dec07 Nov08 Sep07 Aug24 (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 4.00 26% 2.90    
4  QUACKENBUSH Mar10 Jan19 Jan01 Dec03   (martin char)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00 6% 14.60    
5  HE'S FANCY FREE Jul19 Jun28 May26 May05 Apr19 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 124 12.00 6% 15.90    
6  SPORTING THE GOLD Feb16 Feb02 Jan12 Dec22 Aug31 (houghton thomas)CORA D 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
7  CAUTELOSO Jan24 Dec13 Nov29 Oct16 May27 (castillo )RODRIGUEZ R 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.