Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - January 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (1/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/3)-(1/5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/4/3)-(1/5/4/3)-(1/5/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/4/3)-(6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4/3)-(6/4/7)-(3/10/11/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-2   WIN (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/7)-(6/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/7)-(6/4/7)-(6/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/7)-(3/10/11/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7)-(3/10/11/4)-(7/4/5/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-3   WIN (3/10/11/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/10/11/4)-(3/10/11/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/10/11/4)-(3/10/11/4)-(3/10/11/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/10/11/4)-(7/4/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/10/11/4)-(7/4/5/1)-(9/8/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-4   WIN (7/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/1)-(7/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/1)-(7/4/5/1)-(7/4/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/5/1)-(9/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5/1)-(9/8/2)-(7/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-5   WIN (9/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/8/2)-(9/8/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/8/2)-(9/8/2)-(9/8/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/8/2)-(7/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (9/8/2)-(7/4/3)-(5/8/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-6   WIN (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/3)-(7/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/3)-(7/4/3)-(7/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/3)-(5/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (5/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/1)-(5/8/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/8/1)-(5/8/1/4)-(5/8/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   01/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAYWING Sep05 Aug01 Jul17 May02 Mar30 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 3.00 46% 1.20    
2  PERSISTENT DANGER Dec08 Nov14 Oct10 May24 May09 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.00    
3  DON'T LOSEMYMONEY Dec28 Dec08 Nov17 Nov03 Sep20 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  PUTTHEGLASSDOWN Nov17 Sep20 Aug25 Aug04 Jul24 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00 10% 9.00    
5  GENGHIS Jan08 Dec19 Dec11 Nov07 Oct04 (polachek janet)CORREA JULIO 120 2.50 11% 8.30    
6  ZIP IT SCOTTY Jan02 Nov08 Oct18 Aug26 Aug09 (linder louis )OCASIO M 118 8.00    
7  STARLITE WALKER Jan10 Nov21 Nov07 Oct10 Sep18 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50    
 
PEN-2   01/25/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NANCY SPAIN Jan08 Dec15 Oct18 Aug31 Dec31 (lynch cathal)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00    
2  BIG SIS NIC Dec27 Dec06 Oct26 Oct12 Sep13 (murtough st)INIRIO J 120 12.00    
3  SIMPLE SOUVENIR Dec16 Nov04 Oct03 Sep19 Sep07 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50    
4  TRUE BLUE PEARL Dec31 Dec08 Nov12 Oct13 Sep02 (mcmahon demel)ROJAS MARTINA 115 3.00 25% 3.10    
SCR  TEXAS TANGIE Jan11 Nov17 Feb07 Dec14 Oct24 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00    
6  NAIL POLISH Dec28 Dec08 Oct27 Oct11 Sep08 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.00 46% 1.20    
7  WILL OR WON'T Dec08 Nov22 Oct29 Oct14 Sep14 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 5% 18.60    
 
PEN-3   01/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HASHTAG WINNING Dec21 Nov22 Oct25 Aug30 Aug02 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 4.50    
2  TOUCHDOWN MONTAGE Dec26 Nov27 Oct18 Oct07 Sep16 (simoff an)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
3  DEE BO Dec27 Dec04 Nov07 Oct25 Sep28 (soto- martinez)CORREA JULIO 120 4.00 28% 2.50    
4  DONTINVADEMYSPACE Dec21 Nov25 Nov15 Oct16 Sep28 (brooks e)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RED DEVOLUTION Dec28 Dec12 Dec05 Nov09 Oct25 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 5.00    
SCR  NIMBLE BEAST Dec27 Dec06 Nov08 Oct17 Sep26 (kirby joh)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00    
SCR  JUMP SHOT Jan08 Dec29 Nov01 Oct25 Sep26 (diaz jorge)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 30.00    
SCR  LUCKY AS A SEVEN Jan08 Dec26 Dec05 Nov22 Oct25 (diaz jorge)ROJAS MARTINA 115 20.00    
9  HIDE THE RANSOM Dec13 Nov29 Nov15 Oct17 Sep19 (padill)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 115 10.00    
10  LONGTAIL Dec28 Dec13 Nov29 Sep25 Aug17 (o'callahan car)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.50 24% 3.10    
11  I ONCE STOOD ALONE Nov24 Sep28 Sep04 Aug27 Aug14 (brooks gera)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 24% 3.10    
 
PEN-4   01/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAVID'S TUITION Jan12 Dec14 Nov23 Oct20 Aug15 (grusmark ka)INIRIO J 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  DIAMOND HEIST Jan12 Dec10 Dec03 Nov19 Oct10 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50    
3  NORTHWOODS Jan12 Dec13 Nov08 Sep25 Sep01 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00    
4  JUMPING RAINBOWS Dec14 Nov17 Oct27     (caiazzo c)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50 14% 6.00    
5  BANJO Jan11 Dec07 Oct27 Sep22 Sep01 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 6.00 11% 8.00    
6  GAMERUN Dec26 Dec04 Nov22 Oct31 Oct18 (padilla-pre)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 4.00    
7  MONCRIEF Nov30 Nov12 Oct13 Sep02 Jul19 (allen ferris)MENA E 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
 
PEN-5   01/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LADY YELLEN Jan03 Dec27 Nov29 Nov15 Oct25 (padilla-precia)CORREA JULIO 120 5.00    
2  UNFETTERED DIVA Dec29 Dec01 Nov01 Jul21 Jul01 (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CEDAR VALLEY Dec27 Nov29 Nov09 Oct16 Sep25 (linder louis )OCASIO M 120 12.00    
4  STEPHANIE MY LOVE Dec30 Dec01 Nov16 Oct18 Oct09 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 4.50    
SCR  MRS BELL Sep22 Sep08 Aug25 Aug04 Jul14 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 120 15.00    
6  ASHLEE'S RING Jan06 Dec22 Nov17 Oct28 Sep30 (sullivan el)INIRIO J 124 3.50    
7  MOON POOL Dec09 Nov24 Nov03 Oct19 Sep28 (beattie sande)ROJAS MARTINA 115 6.00    
8  LONDON LADY Dec15 Dec01 Nov16 Nov01 Oct08 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 10.00 22% 3.50    
9  DOWSER Oct27 Sep22 Jan12 Dec28 Nov30 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 48% 1.10    
 
PEN-6   01/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREAT KISSER         (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of FOREVERINMYHEART by CRAFTY DUDE)
SCR  IT'S SAUL GOODMAN         (galligan )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of IT'S A TREND by BELLAMY ROAD)
3  NIGHTSCAPE Aug16         (lynch cat)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MIDNIGHT HOOT by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
4  OUR ETHAN CHARLES Dec14         (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 4.00 35% 1.90    
  (by BANDBOX out of ANOFFICERANDALADY by OFFICER)
5  PENTATONIC Dec14 Nov10 Oct26 Oct10 Sep15 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.50    
  (by WEIGELIA out of HARMONIC MISS by SUBORDINATION)
6  AURORA KUMA Nov10 Aug25 Aug05     (houghton th)INIRIO J 122 5.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of RUMBAUA by BERNSTEIN)
7  DUBAI FIRE Dec01 Oct28 Sep29 Sep08   (beecher mark)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by FRIESAN FIRE out of E DUBAI'S HUMOR by E DUBAI)
 
PEN-7   01/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADIOS DINERO Oct10 Sep20 Jul29 Jun30 Jul23 (grusmark ka)INIRIO J 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CONNECTING Dec27 Nov27 Nov06 Oct14 Oct04 (castillo )HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00    
SCR  CARPE ALL DAY Dec27 Oct18 Sep26 May10 Apr10 (vega richard)RANGEL JOEZER 122 4.00    
4  STORMY FIRE Dec15 Nov23 Nov08 Oct28 Oct06 (demario charle)TORRES JOMAR 122 6.00 ★    
5  MAX FOSTER Jan02 Dec10 Nov22 Oct30 Oct02 (englehart jeffr)BEATO INOEL 122 2.00 40% 1.50    
6  MR. COWBOY BRADLEY Nov30 Nov15 Oct27 Oct14 Sep29 (deiter kelly)HALLIDAY VINCE 122 20.00    
7  BRANTLEYS BIG GUN Dec22 Dec08 Nov24 Oct26 Sep30 (bobadilla f)CORA D 122 30.00    
8  LOCO Dec27 Dec13 Nov22 Oct30 Oct05 (hetrick k)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
9  STEVIE T Dec20 Dec05 Nov22 May31 May03 (diaz jorge)ROJAS MARTINA 117 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.