Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - January 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/7)-(3/7/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/7)-(3/7/1)-(3/7/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/7)-(6/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/7)-(6/7/8)-(10/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-2   WIN (6/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/8)-(6/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/8)-(6/7/8)-(6/7/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/8)-(10/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/7/8)-(10/7)-(6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-3   WIN (10/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (10/7)-(10/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (10/7)-(6/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (10/7)-(6/3)-(7/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-4   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/3)-(7/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(7/2/1)-(7/2/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-5   WIN (7/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/1)-(7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/1)-(7/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1)-(7/2/3)-(8/4/9) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-6   WIN (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/3)-(7/2/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/2/3)-(7/2/3/4)-(7/2/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/2/3)-(8/4/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (8/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/9)-(8/4/7/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/4/9)-(8/4/7/9)-(8/4/7/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   01/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOK RUNNER Nov24 Nov03 Sep15 Aug23 Aug02 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 15.00 ★    
  (by MINESHAFT out of SHE'S HOT STUFF by NOT FOR LOVE)
SCR  LEGENDAIRE Nov26 Oct08 Sep09 Jun14 May04 (perkins jr)CORA D 124 4.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of SERENE QUEEN by EXPLICIT)
3  TOWN'S WARRIOR Dec10 Oct22 Oct07 Sep24 Aug10 (chircop s)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00 49% 1.10    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of CODE WARRIOR by SOCIETY'S CHAIRMAN)
4  ROCK ANNA ROLL Apr28 Mar31 Mar17 Feb10 Jan25 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 124 6.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of DECO ROCKS by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
SCR  CAMULUS         (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 124 8.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of PARTICIPATE by INCLUDE)
SCR  AMERICAN SYMPHONY Jun06         (schoenthal p)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 15.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of KINDLE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
7  BAZINGA D Dec14 Oct13       (beattie m)TORRES JOMAR 124 5.00 23% 3.30    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of BAZINGA B by LION HEARTED)
8  BRADY Nov17 Oct24 Oct12 Oct05 Sep04 (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 15.00    
  (by BRETHREN out of TIZ BOA by TIZNOW)
SCR  BOLD TALK Nov26 Sep09       (alvarado diane)ROSADO JOHAN 124 6.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of WONTOO by MONTBROOK)
 
PEN-2   01/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PYLON Jan10 Dec19 Dec11 Nov27 Aug12 (caban carlo)RAMOS C 122 12.00    
2  CARGO SHIP Dec08 Oct27 Sep07 Aug08 Jul20 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00    
3  MARTINKELLY Dec22 Nov22 Nov01 Oct12 Sep22 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00    
SCR  BOURBON CURRENCY Dec22 Dec08 Oct28 Oct07 Sep22 (wolfe j)INIRIO J 120 12.00    
5  COOL COMEDIAN Dec27 Nov29 Nov08 Oct04 Sep14 (o'callaha)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00    
6  LORD WINSALOT Jan19 Dec27 Nov23 Nov01 Oct12 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.50 42% 1.40    
7  TOMMY THE TORCH Nov22 Nov14 Oct17 Sep19 Sep05 (albright amy)CORA D 120 6.00 21% 3.80    
8  BRIT'S CANDYMAN Dec08 Nov22 Nov02 Aug30 Aug08 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 7% 12.60    
SCR  TWO BIT KID Jan15 Dec13 Nov29 Nov15 Dec13 (hetrick krista )BEATO INOEL 122 4.50    
 
PEN-3   01/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GIROLAMO'S ATTACK Dec13 Nov04 Oct20 Sep26 Aug26 (mosco ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 3.50    
2  NICK PAPAGIORGIO Dec27 Nov10 Oct14 Sep15 Aug23 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50    
SCR  CURLINGTON Dec13 Apr29 Apr06 Feb25 Jan28 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 120 12.00    
SCR  COLONEL MOORHEAD Dec28 Nov01 Oct07 Aug31 Jul26 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
SCR  RUBY BLEU Nov30 Nov08 Sep08 Aug18 Jul26 (synnefias panagio)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00    
SCR  PETULANT DELIGHT Jan01 May24 May10 Apr25 Mar01 (caban carlo)VASQUEZ WILFRED 120 12.00    
7  GRAB THE GOLD Dec22 Nov03 Sep20 Sep07 Aug23 (rideout ron)INIRIO J 120 10.00 21% 3.90    
8  CAJUN OCCASION Dec21 Dec01 Nov10 Sep15 Aug10 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 12.00    
SCR  GOODLUCKCHUCK Dec27 Dec08 Oct20 Oct06 Aug26 (lawrence )CARRASCO R 120 6.00    
10  HONORABLE AVENUE Dec27 Nov21 Oct23 Oct09 Sep18 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00 36% 1.70    
SCR  HANALEI'S HOUDINI Dec27 Nov29 Nov19 Nov01 Oct21 (mcmahon demel)ROJAS MARTINA 115 2.50    
SCR  GRAN ANDREWS Dec08 Nov13 Oct06 Sep15 Aug26 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 3.00    
 
PEN-4   01/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY SASSY VALENTINE Dec23 Oct26       (alvarado dia)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 4.00    
SCR  SHORT OF DINERO Dec27 Dec15 Nov17 Oct25   (deiter kelly)HALLIDAY VINCE 124 4.50    
3  WINNING MOON Sep24 Sep12 Jul18     (crook-demas)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 4.50 34% 2.00    
4  UPTOWN CHARLY GIRL Dec27 Dec15 Nov30 Nov17   (stowers miche)TUNON JORDANO 124 12.00    
SCR  VIROLOGIST Dec23 Nov30 Oct25 Sep30 Aug28 (bentley fe)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124 3.00    
6  CRYSTAL THE PISTOL Dec14 Nov30 Nov11 Jul16 Jun25 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 41% 1.40    
7  B B QUEEN Dec15 Nov30 Nov02     (wolfe j)INIRIO J 124 6.00    
 
PEN-5   01/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRIBAL NOTION Dec13 Dec01 Nov16 Oct25 May31 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 2.50 24% 3.10    
2  STYNER Dec13 Dec01 Oct17 Sep06 Aug25 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 27% 2.70    
3  REDEEM EDDIE Dec22 Dec07 Nov04 Aug31 Aug04 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 5.00    
4  COPPERHEAD CREEK Dec28 Dec13 Dec01 May31 May10 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00    
SCR  HURRICANE HIGHWAY Jan09 Jan01 Dec05 Nov20 Oct30 (penaloza migu)RIVERA D 120 4.50    
6  CRITICAL THINKING Dec13 Dec01 Nov08 Sep14 Aug16 (shea lydee)INIRIO J 118 15.00    
7  KAZ SWEET HEIST Dec21 Nov15 Oct25 Aug27 Jul23 (synnefias dimi)TORRES JOMAR 124 3.50 28% 2.60    
 
PEN-6   01/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3 ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAST LEARNER Dec06 Nov02       (simoff andrew)ROJAS MARTINA 117 3.50    
2  WORK FROM HOME Dec20 Nov29 Nov03 Sep13 Aug19 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 23% 3.30    
3  PUTT         (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00 12% 7.70    
4  BIG SMILE Dec20 Nov29 Nov03     (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00 ★    
5  COXZY Dec28         (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 122 5.00    
6  CUTADAY Dec20         (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 122 10.00    
7  MOKKI Jan03 Dec06 Aug05 Jul09 Jun25 (padilla o)BOWMAN ADAM 122 3.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  WARRIOR AT BAT Dec20 Nov15 Nov03 Sep06   (smith )SMITH DANIEL 117 10.00    
 
PEN-7   01/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOODNIGHTNGODBLESS Dec14 Nov25 Nov04 Oct07   (grusmark ka)INIRIO J 122 6.00    
  (by ENTICED out of J AND J O'SHEA by SKY MESA)
2  PYROTECHNICS Dec29         (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of FIVE GRAND GIRL by FIVE STAR DAY)
3  EUROPEAN MODEL         (shuman mark)ROJAS MARTINA 117 15.00    
  (by ALGORITHMS out of HARDRAINSGONNAFALL by HARD SPUN)
4  STACY'S RARE FIND         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 11% 7.90    
  (by AIROFORCE out of MOUNTAINOFMUNNY by MUNNINGS)
SCR  MADDIE TEN Dec29         (russell b)CARRASCO R 122 5.00    
  (by MITOLE out of BLUE UNION RAGS by UNION RAGS)
SCR  LITTLE LAMB CHOP Dec13         (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 122 15.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of TWO WONDERS by THREE WONDERS)
7  CLOUD IN THE WIND Nov09 Oct16 Sep27 Sep06 Jul17 (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 122 2.50 ★    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of WENT WITH THE WIND by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
8  BACK FORTY Dec13 Nov22 Oct25     (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.00 65% 0.50    
  (by PAYNTER out of RAGING SMOKE by MORE SMOKE)
9  LAUGHING FIT Dec13         (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of LINE OF BEST FIT by TRAJECTORY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.