Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - November 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/4)-(4/5/2/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(4/5/2/8)-(2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-2   WIN (4/5/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/2/8)-(4/5/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/2/8)-(4/5/2/8)-(4/5/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/2/8)-(2/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2/8)-(2/4)-(1/11/5/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TAM-3   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/4)-(1/11/5/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(1/11/5/4)-(4/1/2/9/3) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
TAM-4   WIN (1/11/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/11/5/4)-(1/11/5/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/11/5/4)-(1/11/5/7/4)-(1/11/5/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/11/5/4)-(4/1/2/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/11/5/4)-(4/1/2/9/3)-(3/8/1/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (4/1/2/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/2/9/3)-(4/1/2/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/2/9/3)-(4/1/2/9/3)-(4/1/2/9/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/1/2/9/3)-(3/8/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2/9/3)-(3/8/1/2)-(12/2/3/4/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-6   WIN (3/8/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/1/2)-(3/8/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/1/2)-(3/8/1/2)-(3/8/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/1/2)-(12/2/3/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/8/1/2)-(12/2/3/4/6)-(6/11/8/5/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-7   WIN (12/2/3/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/2/3/4/6)-(12/2/3/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/2/3/4/6)-(12/2/3/4/6)-(12/2/3/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (12/2/3/4/6)-(6/11/8/5/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (12/2/3/4/6)-(6/11/8/5/1)-(8/7/4) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TAM-8   WIN (6/11/8/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/11/8/5/1)-(6/11/8/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/11/8/5/1)-(6/11/8/5/1)-(6/11/8/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/11/8/5/1)-(8/7/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TAM-9   WIN (8/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/4)-(8/7/1/12/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/4)-(8/7/1/12/4)-(8/7/1/12/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   11/29/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NOBLE HERO         (dobber a)GALLARDO A 121 15.00    
SCR  HOLLYWOOD HERO Feb01 Jan12 Dec02 Oct23 Oct09 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 121 20.00    
3  RULE IT Nov12 Oct22 Sep24 Sep10 Aug13 (orseno joseph )CASTANON L 121 1.60 42% 1.40    
4  PERFECT MOON Oct23 Sep07 Aug25 Aug02 Jul13 (cascallares )MORELOS E 121 6.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  FINAL DESTINATION (NZ) Oct06 Sep02       (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00    
6  SIR AUSTIN Oct28 Oct08 Sep17 Aug18 Jul22 (fisher david)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 6.00    
7  UNXPECTED TIGER Nov02 Oct04 Aug26 Aug16 Jun23 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 121 3.00    
8  KADAR INDY Oct22 Oct08 Sep24 Jun30 Jun09 (gonzalez ja)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 12.00    
 
TAM-2   11/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($28.5K) 2 F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DERBY GIFT Nov05 Sep10       (de ce)GALLARDO A 118 8.00    
2  CARSONSTRONG Oct18         (lopez mario)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 15.00 13% 6.90    
3  FLORINDIA Nov11 Sep09 Aug13 Jul29 Jun02 (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ MAIKOL 111 10.00    
4  LADY PROSPECT Nov22 Nov03 Oct07 Aug13   (ness jamie)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 1.80 41% 1.40    
5  GIRVIN'S PRINCESS Sep29 Sep03       (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 1.60 18% 4.60    
6  R FASHIONABLY LATE Sep19 Aug25 Jul29 Jul14   (wilson tony)ALLEN D 118 20.00    
7  LIVING IN STYLE Oct25 Sep20 Aug24 Jul13   (arriagada j)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 10.00    
8  KHO KHO Oct28 Sep24 Sep01     (fisher david)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00 6% 16.80    
 
TAM-3   11/29/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($53K) 2 F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FACTORBELLA Sep04 Aug13 Jul15     (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 118 12.00    
2  INDEPENDENCEAVENUE Sep07 Aug17       (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 118 1.20 54% 0.90    
3  SUMMER'S COMIN Nov10 Oct06 Sep04 Aug27 Jul21 (dini mike)CEDENO CAROL 122 4.50    
4  RED WREN Sep25 Sep05 Aug23     (harty eo)GALLARDO A 118 10.00 13% 6.80    
5  D'LIGHTFUL SUMMER Oct13 Sep20 Aug20 Jul29   (bennett gera)MENESES MARCOS 118 6.00    
SCR  GRANNY BUDGIE (GB)         (morey willi)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 2.50    
 
TAM-4   11/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELISSA JOE Nov03 Sep22 Sep02 Aug05 Dec28 (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 122 1.40 55% 0.80    
2  REAL MIKEY Oct04 Sep07 Sep01 Aug17 Jul21 (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 122 12.00    
3  DIAMOND STARDUST Jul01 Feb04       (gurrola georg)FUENTES MARIO 124 30.00    
4  WOW LADY Oct26 Oct12 Sep27 Sep12   (spanabel kelly)EVANS CECILY 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  LUNA AMARILLA Aug17 Jul27 Jul13 Jun30 Mar12 (ma)SCALDAFERRI ROSANA 124 6.00 8% 12.00    
6  FAMILY STASH Oct20         (dobber w)LOPEZ E 124 20.00    
7  ALLIE'S HALO Oct28 Sep30 Sep22 Aug23 Aug09 (lopez mario)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 8.00 ★    
8  RAIN OF BLESSING Oct19 Sep27 Aug30 Jul27 Jun24 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 124 12.00    
9  JOYOUS FAIRY TALE Jul01 Apr05 Mar19 Mar04 Feb17 (jones dou)HERRERA R 124 10.00    
10  EMPIRE GIRL Oct08 Sep22 Sep02 May26 May05 (romero rafae)MORELOS E 122 8.00    
11  THIRSTY DATE Dec26 Dec11       (mendieta al)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 6.00 16% 5.30    
 
TAM-5   11/29/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALLYHOOLY Oct26 Aug31 Aug24 Aug04 Jun23 (nagle sa)GALLARDO A 121 6.00 14% 5.90    
2  INFLUENTIALOUS Sep10 Aug11 Jun30 Jun02 May03 (wilson to)VARGAS A 118 5.00 12% 7.40    
3  UNWHIRLED Oct03 Aug19 Jul25 May31 Mar24 (orantes yoni )SANTOS ADEMAR 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  CAN'T COMPLAIN Sep22 Sep03 Aug11 Jun30 May24 (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 118 1.80 41% 1.40    
SCR  JEWEL OF DENIAL Sep09 Aug26 Mar20 Feb27 Feb06 (perkinson cc)SOSA LAUREANO 114 12.00    
6  BAND SWEETHEART Sep30 Aug06 Jul09 May20 Apr21 (cudworth paul)LOPEZ E 121 15.00    
7  MYSTIC DREAMS Oct06 Sep10 Aug11 Jul15 Jun30 (nunn douglas)FERRER C 121 8.00    
8  AMORE MOON Aug17 Aug02 Jul15 Apr26 Apr08 (ochoa gerard)BATISTA A 121 10.00    
9  TRICK HAT Sep06 Aug19 Jun10 May25 Mar15 (engler jeff)MORALES PABLO 121 10.00 6% 16.20    
10  QIA Oct19 Sep22 Aug26 Aug04 Jul06 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 118 12.00    
SCR  HEARTBURN Oct17 Sep30 Sep06 Aug11 Jul15 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 121 12.00    
SCR  NEW WAYS TO DREAM Oct18 Oct06 Sep22 Aug29 Aug02 (kintz matthew)MARTINEZ W 121 6.00    
13  SHEZANARCTICQUEEN Nov01 Oct17 Sep20 Sep06 Aug08 (ferraro ant)IORIO MELISSA 111 20.00    
SCR  SIGN AND SEAL Oct10 Sep26 Aug28 Jul04 Jun14 (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 121 15.00    
 
TAM-6   11/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WATERWORKS Nov03 Oct06 Sep20 Sep06 Aug24 (potts wayne)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 6.00 11% 8.40    
2  LUCY'S LOOKIN LEFT Aug20 Aug06 Jul20 Jun22 Apr22 (clay pat)GALLARDO A 120 6.00 10% 9.30    
3  OUR FANTASY Oct21 Sep25 Aug17 Jul15 Jun21 (arriagada juan)HIRALDO JOHN 120 3.00 29% 2.40    
4  DOMINEERING Sep22 Sep01 Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 (perkinson cc)FERRER C 120 12.00    
5  TRUE ATKA Nov02 Oct19 Oct05 Sep21 Aug24 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 8.00    
6  AFERDITA Nov03 Oct06 Sep06 Aug23 Jul22 (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 120 4.00    
7  WICCA WISDOM Nov02 Oct10 Aug22 Jun16 May12 (orantes yon)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 8.00    
8  SASSY CHARLEE Sep25 Apr19 Mar31 Mar10 Feb18 (o'connell kat)SOSA LAUREANO 113 3.50 19% 4.20    
 
TAM-7   11/29/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPECTACULAR GAL Apr20 Mar29 Mar08 Feb25 Dec31 (mcgoey monic)MORELOS E 121 30.00    
2  SLIME QUEEN Jul30 Jun03 Apr21 Mar25 Feb19 (arriagada j)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 5.00 14% 6.30    
3  INANNA'S QUEST Nov10 Sep09 Jul27 Jul13 Jul07 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 121 4.50 13% 6.60    
4  DREAMING BIZ Sep02 Aug03 Jul13 Jul03 Jun07 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 121 10.00 5% 17.20    
5  SHABAM Oct13 Sep02 Aug05 Jul20 Oct14 (robertson mcle)CEDENO CAROL 121 20.00    
6  CHICA BOOM Sep03 Aug24 Jul09 Jun03 Apr21 (rhone bernell)FERRER C 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LEA RO Oct05 Aug31 Jul27 Jun21 Jun01 (campbell micha)CASTANON L 121 5.00    
8  CHARLOTTE THE BRIT Oct23 Oct04 Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 121 8.00    
9  HIGH VIBES Aug31 Aug09 Jul22 Jun01 Apr23 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 121 12.00    
SCR  SUWANNEE CHICK Sep09 Aug17 Aug04 Jul01 May03 (parra)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 30.00    
11  NICOLAR Nov17 Oct14 Sep17 Aug13 Jul14 (potts wayne)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 6.00    
12  SING SCAT Nov10 Oct14 Sep04 Aug24 Jul16 (ness jamie)MORALES PABLO 118 3.50 39% 1.60    
13  STARRY HOPE Sep09 Aug24 Jul27 Jul05 Jun10 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 121 30.00    
 
TAM-8   11/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG BUCKSALOT Oct27 Sep29 Sep08 Aug05 Jul29 (gatis chris)FERRER C 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EL GUAPO Feb09 Dec07 Nov12 Sep06 Aug22 (munoz car)RODRIGUEZ A 120 20.00    
3  HESTON Oct07 Sep27 May26 May04 Mar30 (engler jeff)ALLEN D 120 5.00    
4  AWKWARD PAUSE Nov04 Oct21 Sep20 May05 Apr19 (mcgoey)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 30.00    
5  FABRICATOR Oct19 Sep25 Aug31 Aug13 Jul23 (campbell joel)CASTANON L 120 6.00 7% 12.80    
6  SHASTREE Nov05 Oct14 Aug25 Jul15 Jul07 (pompa)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.00 28% 2.60    
7  GUEST CHECK Sep04 Aug14 Jul29 Jun24 Apr25 (perkinson cc)BATISTA A 120 20.00    
8  MOON CONNECTION Nov01 Oct18 Jul30 Jul02 May28 (robertson mcle)CEDENO CAROL 118 5.00 10% 8.90    
9  THE BEARRISH ONE Nov04 Oct27 Oct18 Oct07 Aug04 (simone micha)ARROYO S 118 10.00    
10  CITI CREEK Oct27 Oct14 Sep28 Aug30 Aug10 (sillaman richar)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 8.00    
11  MIDNIGHT GETAWAY Nov17 Nov05 Oct13 Sep02 Aug12 (d'angelo fr)RIVERA JON 111 6.00 25% 3.00    
 
TAM-9   11/29/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SANDY LANE KITTEN Aug06 Jul22 May29 Apr16 Mar25 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 121 6.00 ★    
SCR  BORGOBYTHESEA Aug19 Aug04 Jun15 May06 Apr14 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 121 5.00    
3  BIG RED ROCKS Oct13 Aug26 Aug11 Jul22 Jun24 (wilson tony)SOSA LAUREANO 114 30.00    
4  BIRD'S EYE VIEW Oct13 Aug19 Jul22 Jun24 Jun04 (dini mike)CEDENO CAROL 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  ULTIMATE IRONY Oct14 Sep22 Aug26 Jun24 Jun04 (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 121 15.00    
6  ARTEMUS BRIDGE Oct27 Sep22 Aug31 Jul27 Mar26 (klesaris steve)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 6.00    
7  FLY NIGHTLY Aug27 Aug03 Jul20 Jun29 Mar04 (clay pat)CASTANON L 121 5.00 37% 1.70    
8  JUSTINTIMEFORWINE Oct13 Sep09 Jul22 Jun24 Apr08 (delgado h)FERRER C 121 4.50 38% 1.60    
9  ERIC THE SALESMAN Sep30 Sep21 Sep03 Aug24 Jul27 (roque elis)LOPEZ E 121 30.00    
SCR  PERFORMING ARTS (IRE) Nov10 Oct27 Dec10 Sep07 Jul19 (david car)MALDONADO GABRIEL 114 15.00    
11  CHESS'S DREAM Sep15 Aug11 Jul01 Apr22 Apr08 (lilly jam)HERRERA R 121 30.00    
12  OCEANS MAP Sep30 Jul28 Jun17 Jan18 Dec17 (sacco gregory)MORALES PABLO 121 3.50 ★    
SCR  CREATIVE CLOUD Nov22 Nov04 Oct26 Oct13 Sep15 (posadas ped)MARIN A 121 30.00    
SCR  OFFICER COUNTRY Oct07 Sep15 Aug24 Aug18 Aug11 (mcgoey)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.