Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Saturday - July 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(1/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(1/4/5/2)-(5/3/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-2   WIN (1/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/5/2)-(1/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/2)-(1/4/5/2)-(1/4/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5/2)-(5/3/6/1)-(2/4/8/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
BTP-3   WIN (5/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/6/1)-(5/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/6/1)-(5/3/6/1)-(5/3/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6/1)-(2/4/8/5)-(3/1/5/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
BTP-4   WIN (2/4/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/8/5)-(2/4/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/8/5)-(2/4/8/5)-(2/4/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/8/5)-(3/1/5/6)-(7/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-5   WIN (3/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5/6)-(7/5/3)-(1/9/6/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
BTP-6   WIN (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/3)-(7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3)-(1/9/6/7/8)-(4/2/7/10/1) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
BTP-7   WIN (1/9/6/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/9/6/7/8)-(1/9/6/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/9/6/7/8)-(1/9/6/7/8)-(1/9/6/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
BTP-8   WIN (4/2/7/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/7/10/1)-(4/2/7/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/7/10/1)-(4/2/7/10/1)-(4/2/7/10/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (4/2/7/10/1)-(1/3/2)-(4/9/3/5/1) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
BTP-9   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(4/9/3/5/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
BTP-10   WIN (4/9/3/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/9/3/5/1)-(4/9/3/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/9/3/5/1)-(4/9/3/5/1)-(4/9/3/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   07/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TASSIUS         (waltz brian)AVILES YAN 125 6.00 12% 7.60    
RAMBLIN CHROME Jul01 Jun23 Jun07 May20 May06 (sherman a)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 3.00 18% 4.50    
GO LITTLE ROCKSTAR May24 Oct23 Jul15     (faircloth av)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 5.00    
PERFECT THUNDER Jun16 May11 Apr23 Mar19   (esquivel )CORREA L 120 1.80 47% 1.10    
HECTOR B Jul02 Jun19 Feb04     (ramos rafael)REYES R 125 3.50    
HICKORY BILL Jul06 Jun21 Jun04 May23 May07 (rodak geraldi)LEBRON VICTOR 125 6.00    
 
BTP-2   07/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAYNTED Jul08 Jun17 May31 Dec28 Nov02 (cannon s)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 2.00 51% 1.00    
NO HANG CHARLIE Jul07 May05 Mar31 Mar03 Jan29 (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 4.50 5% 17.70    
SCR  ELI Jun29 Jun16 May19 Apr29 Mar23 (macias ad)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 12.00    
HIGH POWERED Jul07 Jun08 May25 Apr29 Mar24 (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 122 4.00 13% 6.60    
HPNOTIQ RHYTHM Jul01 May16 Apr02 Feb19 Jan26 (west m)OUZTS W 120 6.00 9% 10.60    
RUBINSTEIN Jul01 Jun07 May19 Apr29 Apr15 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
HOLIDAY DANCER Jul08 Jun03 Apr29 Dec14 Dec06 (march wil)CORREA L 120 5.00    
CALL PAPA Jun17 May25 Apr13 Apr04 Feb22 (aguirre juan )CANUTO THIAGO 120 12.00    
 
BTP-3   07/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOTOWN MISSILE Jun15 May12 Mar19 Feb24 Jan20 (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
HASTY STRIKE Jun30 May12 Apr28 Mar23   (thornbury jeff)MCKEE J 122 5.00    
ELIZA'S HONOR Jun16 May13 Mar17 Feb14 Jan06 (cowans william)COLON H 117 3.00 31% 2.20    
ANDY WALKS WITH ME Jul07 Jun17 Jun10 May24 May11 (salcedo ramon)MOJICA JR 122 15.00    
OVERLY D'ORO Jul06 Dec28 Nov20 Oct11 Sep28 (bahena isma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 117 2.50 36% 1.80    
STIRDATPOT Jul06 Apr29 Jun19     (londono genevi)MILLER CHASE 124 4.00 8% 11.60    
SPECIAL A Jul01 Jun15 May11 Aug30   (alvarez nery)CRUZ JUAN 122 6.00    
 
BTP-4   07/22/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ MORNING LIGHT Jul05 Oct04 Sep21     (howard d)REYES R 122 8.00    
BETTER HALF Jun30 Jun07 May11 Apr05 Nov30 (hamm ti)DE CRUZ 115 2.00 45% 1.20    
THE LAST APPLE Jun17 Jun07 Dec03 Oct31 Oct10 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 4.50    
CHANEL SPIRIT Mar23 Mar02 Feb20 Dec15 Dec01 (cline robert )JIMENEZ ALBIN 115 3.50 12% 7.30    
YOU NAME IT Jun30 Jun07 Dec12 Nov28 Nov12 (gorham ro)CORREA L 122 12.00 8% 11.50    
DELIGHTFUL CAT Oct05 Sep23 Aug26 Jul22   (thomas mark)MCKEE J 120 6.00    
SORORITY SISTER May25 Apr27 Apr10 Feb23 Jan23 (hamm timothy)TORREALBA JG 115 20.00    
LEMON MOUSSE Jun30 Jun02 May11 Apr05 Mar20 (gorham m)PEREZ E 115 5.00 9% 10.30    
 
BTP-5   07/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Hoover Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUFFIN Jun05         (waltz brian)AVILES YAN 118 4.50 25% 3.10    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of OHIO GOLD by WILBURN)
SHADOWY Jun03         (hamm timo)CORREA L 116 12.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of FEELING ETHEREAL by UNION RAGS)
HOTTIE SPOTTIE Jun20 Jun05       (hamm timothy)TORREALBA JG 118 2.00 26% 2.80    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of SPOTSHOT by BERNARDINI)
MR. REDLEGS Jun30 Jun16       (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 118 6.00    
  (by CORFU out of IVORY TREASURE by SIR IVOR)
SPELLCAST Jun23         (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 118 3.50 15% 5.70    
  (by TOURIST out of ORIENTATE TO LUV by ORIENTATE)
GOLDEN FLAG Jun16         (hamm timo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 12.00 11% 8.30    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of SPUN FROM GOLD by HARD SPUN)
VILLIAN Jul06 Jun05       (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 4.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of CALLISTO by MALIBU MOON)
RUN RED RUN Jun30         (cline robert )JIMENEZ ALBIN 116 20.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of MAGGIE'S PLEASURE by EAVESDROPPER)
 
BTP-6   07/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUSTANG WILLIE Jul08 Jun22 May15 Dec12 Nov22 (calderon en)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 12.00    
RAVEN MOON Jul08 Jun02 Oct29 Aug13 Jun02 (hobson doug)CANUTO THIAGO 120 10.00    
THEDAYOFTHEGREY Jul05 Jun02 May23 May06 Apr04 (cline rob)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 6.00 11% 8.10    
IT'S OFFICIAL Jul10 Jun27 May03     (juarez lore)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 120 4.50    
LUCKY STREAK Jun24 May11 Apr26 Apr13 Mar28 (gorham m)PEREZ E 120 5.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  MO DONT NO Jun26 Jun06 May10 Apr04 Jan10 (johnson l)MCKEE J 120 3.50    
HENRY MAC Jul05 Jun13 Nov28 Oct29 Aug31 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 1.80 33% 2.10    
 
BTP-7   07/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Horizon Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONTROLLER Jun09 May11 Apr27 Apr12 Oct29 (hamm ti)DE CRUZ 116 3.50    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of BOURGEOIS by AWESOME AGAIN)
1A  EXCITEMENT Jun14 Nov30 Oct29 Sep23 Aug13 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 116 3.50    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of ELATED by BLUSHING JOHN)
1B  HIDDEN ACCESS Jun02 May11 Apr12 Dec30 Nov30 (hamm timo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 3.50    
  (by MOBIL out of PRESERVATION HALL by DIXIELAND BAND)
1X  CASUAL ATTIRE Jun24 Jun14 May31 Dec30 Oct29 (hamm timo)CORREA L 116 3.50 67% 0.50    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of MISS EMMA MARIA by TIZNOW)
OUR BUCKWHEAT Jul04 May25       (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 116 4.00    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of AIDE by ARCH)
INDY CARR Apr12 Mar29 Mar13 Feb23 Feb14 (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 116 12.00    
  (by INDY WIND out of MISS CARRERA by MEMO (CHI))
ANIMO ROBERTO Jun27 May31 May23 Mar29 Mar14 (tumblin and)SEVERINO VICTOR 116 20.00    
  (by ANIMO DE VALEROSO out of FOUR FLOURISHES by DONERAILE COURT)
SCR  FLAG RAISER Jul04 Jun14 Apr27 Mar29 Mar06 (gorham m)PEREZ E 116 6.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of PRINCESS ADELYN by TALE OF THE CAT)
SMOOCHER May11 Mar14 Feb27 Jan12 Nov30 (gorham robert)JIMENEZ ALBIN 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of KISSY SUZUKI by SUMMER BIRD)
OKLAHOMA JOE Jun27 May26 Dec30 Nov30 Nov14 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of BE MIND PHIL by PHILANTHROPIST)
AWESOMELY INSPIRED Jun27 Jun02 Apr27 Aug02   (rone mike)RIVERA R 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AWESOME PATRIOT out of BOSSY GIRL by STREET BOSS)
FACTISIMFLASHY Jun30 Jun17 Jun02 May25 May11 (antonuik jerr)JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 2.50 12% 7.50    
  (by CORFU out of LIGHTNING LUCY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  LITTLE TOY GUNS Jul04 Feb16 Dec30 Dec14 Nov30 (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 116 8.00    
  (by AWESOME PATRIOT out of FORMAL PLAN by FORMAL GOLD)
SCR  FACTUM'S STAR Jul13 Jun29 Jun14 May18 Aug25 (kerr n)CANUTO THIAGO 116 15.00    
  (by FACTUM out of APHRODISIAC by ARCH)
SCR  BRONZE KETTLE Jun14 May10 Apr12 Mar02 Feb14 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 116 8.00    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of PRINCESS CLAIRE by FREE THINKING)
SCR  MAMAS HOME COOKING Jun24 Jun14 Apr29 Jul10 Jun11 (cline rob)CORREA L 116 20.00    
  (by CORFU out of TACTICAL WARNING by TACTICAL CAT)
 
BTP-8   07/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAT CORN Oct10         (thomas mark)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of HAP CAT by VAN NISTELROOY)
COUNTRY MUSIC         (krummen monica)COLON H 124 12.00 16% 5.10    
  (by MUSIC CITY out of MENE by HOLY BULL)
SCR  GRAND ZHOUL Jun29 May29       (bennett rober)PANAIJO JORGE 124 6.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of CHICKIE by SLEW CITY SLEW)
GRAY DAY Jul13 Jun29 May26 May11 Feb21 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 2.50 25% 3.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of SHELTOWEE'S GAL by PAYNTER)
PAYMASTER GENERAL Jul05 Jun01 May18 Apr25 Mar09 (barker scott)MARCANO Y 114 3.50    
  (by FORT LARNED out of OCTOBER SONG by BERNSTEIN)
SAMURAI WAY May25 May04 Apr06     (baez serg)CORREA L 124 5.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of TEXAS AGGIE by NALEES MAN)
STORMED OUT         (cline rob)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 10.00 16% 5.10    
  (by RACE DAY out of TRUE STORM by FUTURE STORM)
SCR  A K A FIBBER MCGEE Mar13 Feb16 Jan04 Sep21 Sep07 (skeens jere)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 10.00    
  (by LIGHTNIN N THUNDER out of JOAQUINA by HOLY BULL)
LIAM'S ROCKET MAN Aug13 Jul12       (reed r)MCKEE J 119 20.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of GREAT DAY by ACTION THIS DAY)
10  DISCO MUSIC         (krummen monic)CANUTO THIAGO 124 20.00 16% 5.10    
  (by MUSIC CITY out of MENE by HOLY BULL)
 
BTP-9   07/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Jim Morgan Memorial Tah Dah Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARTISTIC LANEY Jun29         (west m)LEAHEY HANNAH 118 3.00 39% 1.50    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of ARTISTIC LICENSE by HEART OF THE STORM)
BRIEF ENCOUNTER Jun15         (hamm timo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of GRAND MERE by BOB AND JOHN)
CITY SCENE Jun24 Jun05       (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 118 2.50 37% 1.70    
  (by DOMINUS out of NAVA by EVEN THE SCORE)
LESOTHO         (cline robert )JIMENEZ ALBIN 116 6.00    
  (by MITOLE out of FEISTY TOMBOY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
TWISTED JUSTICE Jun29 Jun15       (smith larry)OUZTS W 116 3.50    
  (by BIONDETTI out of TOUR FOR LOVE by EXPRESS TOUR)
GOLD HONEY Jun24         (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 116 4.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of RUSH TO WAR by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
 
BTP-10   07/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Vivacious Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFECTINGTHEVIEW Jun07 Apr27 Apr05 Mar14 Feb06 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of VICKI JO by MERCER MILL)
WINDY LU WHO Jun23 Jun07 May11 Apr05 Mar14 (anderson susa)BRACHO A 125 6.00    
  (by JUSTIN PHILLIP out of WINDSAIL by GRAND APPOINTMENT)
WORTHERWEIGHTNGOLD Jun21 May17 Oct31 Oct05 Aug26 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of GATHERING DREAMS by MERCER MILL)
I RECALL Jun19 May22 Oct29 Oct19 Sep19 (bourke john)STANLEY O 125 2.50 55% 0.80    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of REAL DISTINCTIVE by WITH DISTINCTION)
BUCKEYE BLING Jun23 Jan19 Dec15 Oct29 Sep29 (greenhill jeff)OUZTS W 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of GOT BLING by LANGFUHR)
LEDGENDARY KITTEN Jun15 May26 Nov12 Sep23 Sep07 (bush s)BUSH V 121 20.00    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of LEDGE'S MONARCHOS by MONARCHOS)
STAR RULES Jul01 May20 Apr27 Nov12 Sep23 (huffman g)MCKEE J 125 12.00    
  (by MOBIL out of STAR OF ATTICUS by ATTICUS)
PARFAIT Jun15 May12 Apr12 Oct29 Sep23 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 123 12.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of MISS EMMA MARIA by TIZNOW)
SOFT TALK Jun02 Apr27 Mar23 Nov15 Oct29 (sharp joe)RIVERA R 120 4.00 20% 4.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SMALL SECRET by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
SCR  GOODNESS SAKES May11 Apr27 Oct10 Sep23 Aug12 (gorham m)PEREZ E 125 5.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of SWEETNESSNGOODNESS by CUVEE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.