Handicappers' Racing Form

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Thistledown
Wednesday - June 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-2   Win (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-3   Win (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-4   Win (7/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-5   Win (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-6   Win (6/8/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-7   Win (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-8   Win (3/4/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TDN-1   06/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACOPA BAY Mar08 Jun30 May12     (ibarra m)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00 48% 1.10    
LADYBUGGIN Jun05 May15 Apr12 Mar16 Mar08 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50    
CRYPTONIC CATWALK Jun05 Oct24 Oct06 Aug10 Jul11 (brown t)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 12.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  PATTI LOU Jun05 May16 Apr27 Apr03 Mar08 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 1.80    
BUSYBEING FABULOUS Jun05 May16 Apr27 Apr03 Mar08 (johnson l)TORREALBA JG 114 2.00    
WELLOILEDCAT May16 Dec19 Oct24 Sep27 Aug22 (casalinova tina)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-2   06/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUARANTINA Feb20 Jan24 Jan10 Dec07 Nov22 (casali)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 12.00    
INDY PRINCESS KOKO May30 Feb15 Jan28 Dec30 Dec07 (tumblin andrew)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00 17% 4.70    
FLOWZANO May30 May16 Apr25 Apr10 Mar15 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.00 36% 1.70    
WORTHERWEIGHTNGOLD May17 Oct31 Oct05 Aug26 Jul25 (rone mike)RIVERA R 121 1.60    
AUJARA Jun01 May20 May10 Apr26 Mar16 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00    
WHOVILLE May02 Mar07 Feb16 Jan11 Jan02 (castillo jabdie)GUERERE ANGEL 119 6.00 18% 4.50    
 
TDN-3   06/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEY SACH May20 May09 Apr11 Feb20 Feb01 (casali)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 6.00    
LEXATOGA Jan18 Dec27 Dec15 Nov23 Nov02 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 3.00    
JOHNNY U May20 May03 Nov22 Oct24 Sep20 (johnson l)TORREALBA JG 118 1.20 53% 0.90    
POWERFUL MOON Dec08 Nov14 Oct27 Sep27 Sep13 (ray kevin)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
BULLION Jun07 May20 Feb27 Jan02 Dec12 (castillo jabdie)GUERERE ANGEL 123 2.50 20% 3.90    
BRYCE'S ANGEL Jun07 May20 Sep06 Aug02 Jul05 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 15.00    
 
TDN-4   06/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAT DADDY May31 May16 May02 Nov28 Nov10 (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 121 3.50 15% 5.50    
TRAGICALLY QUEWICK Jun01 May16 Apr25 Feb20 Jan23 (spiess s)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 8% 12.10    
BREEZY MONEY Jun05 Dec20 Nov28 Oct22 Jul27 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 12.00    
LAZARUS PROJECT Jun13 May31 May16 May08 Dec05 (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00    
SHADOW TRACER Jun07 May08 Apr25 Sep01 Aug16 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 123 3.00 24% 3.20    
AMIGO'S AFFAIR Jun01 May16 May03 Apr25 Mar28 (johnson l)TORREALBA JG 116 4.50    
THRU THE VINE May29 May10 May02 Apr15 Mar27 (johnson l)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 24% 3.10    
 
TDN-5   06/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAY BEAU Jun12 May29 May20 May03 Apr07 (morale)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 10.00    
MEET THE BEAUTY May30 Mar22 Feb22 Dec21 Nov27 (meyers shane)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.00 56% 0.80    
LEWD Jun06 May30 Dec01 Nov02 Oct05 (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 3.50    
PEARLINTHEROUGH Apr30 Apr07 Mar05 Aug14 Jul22 (schuster r)FERNANDEZ R 119 4.50    
ALSANAH May26 May10 Apr11 Mar23 Mar07 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.50 11% 7.90    
FIONA May31 May06 Apr05 Feb20 Jan05 (erdel jo)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 6.00 6% 14.50    
 
TDN-6   06/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COURTLY Nov03 Oct04 Sep20 Aug16 Aug01 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00 16% 5.10    
MISS OVER THERE Jun01 May06 Apr11 Mar22 Mar01 (manning richard )HOUGHTON D 119 15.00    
SCR  SHELLEY'S GEM May06 Apr24 Feb02 Jan09 Dec08 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00    
MAGICGIRL May22 May15 Mar19 Mar01 Feb10 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 8.00    
SCR  SABELLE May22 May02 Apr15 Feb27 Feb14 (castro)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 15.00    
LOADED ONCE MORE May22 May09 May02 Apr11 Mar16 (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 121 4.50 27% 2.60    
GRAN MAMIBELLA Jun01 May02 Apr10 Mar22 Feb27 (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 119 10.00    
RADIANTRITHYM Jun01 May22 May06 Apr24 Mar02 (johnson l)TORREALBA JG 116 3.00 26% 2.90    
DIVINE MARTHA May30 May06 Apr24 Mar28 Mar15 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.50 10% 8.80    
 
TDN-7   06/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSE KNOWS Jan28 Jan09 Dec13 Nov14 Oct26 (skerrett )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 8.00    
FABRICATE Apr16 Sep21 Aug20 Jul31 Jun29 (fadlovich megan)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 31% 2.30    
TWILIGHT VISION May25 May10 Apr25 Oct05 Sep13 (jackson r)FELICIANO R 123 2.50 15% 5.50    
MISS BETTY May30 Apr25 Sep15 Aug25 Jul27 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 121 4.00    
SKY Apr10 Mar07 Feb14 Jan28 Jan09 (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
CHAI TEA Jun04 May19 Apr21 Mar19 Mar04 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.00 15% 5.80    
 
TDN-8   06/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEVER DREAM         (rotunno s)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00    
TOYI Jun06 May23 May03 Apr21 Mar23 (schuster robin)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 12.00 5% 17.40    
MORE LOVE May29         (jackson r)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 54% 0.90    
CITY OF CLOUDS Jun06 May17 Apr21     (hamm timothy)TORREALBA JG 114 4.50 13% 6.70    
SOPHIA'S PRINCE Apr30 Apr12 Mar15 Oct17   (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.50    
SCR  HEART OF AN ANGEL         (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 3.50    
NAPA DUDE Jun06 May06 Apr05 Mar22 Mar01 (casali)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 15.00    
AURA OF GOLD May29 May11 Apr25 Mar22 Feb22 (madrigal rodrigo)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.