Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Monday - May 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4/7) 9 $2.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5/7)-(1/4/5/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(1/3/10/2/4) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
MNR-2   WIN (1/3/10/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/10/2/4)-(1/3/10/2/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (1/3/10/2/4)-(1/3/10/2/4)-(1/3/10/2/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (1/3/10/2/4)-(3/4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (1/3/10/2/4)-(3/4)-(6/2/4) 30 $2.00 $60.00 
MNR-3   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $2.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (3/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MNR-4   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4/1)-(6/2/4/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(6/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MNR-5   WIN (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/3)-(6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (5/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/4)-(5/8/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/4)-(5/8/4)-(5/8/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/8/4)-(2/4)-(3/5/9/1/8) 30 $2.00 $60.00 
MNR-7   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/3/6) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (2/4)-(3/5/9/1/8) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
MNR-8   WIN (3/5/9/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/9/1/8)-(3/5/9/1/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (3/5/9/1/8)-(3/5/9/1/8)-(3/5/9/1/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   05/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN TO DAYLIGHT Apr01 Jan27 Jan06 Nov19 Oct08 (runco j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 2.50 57% 0.70    
2  BIKO May07 Oct30 Oct18 Sep05 Aug23 (treharne dav)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 20.00    
3  EDUARD May01 Dec07 Nov23 Oct19 Sep05 (kocijan marcus)DIAZ I 120 12.00    
4  CATFISH May16 Jan20 Dec14 May05 Apr20 (shuler r)VIGIL NOEL 120 3.50 7% 12.80    
5  ROSE'S PEPINO Mar06 Feb23 Dec22 Nov27 Oct04 (johnso)ENRIQUEZ JR 119 6.00 13% 6.70    
6  SOUTHERN SENSE May09 Apr30 Mar15 Feb04 Jan01 (barker)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00    
7  MANCHESTER Apr27 Mar16 Mar02 Feb16 Jan26 (bright derr)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 1.80 ★    
 
MNR-2   05/22/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUT FOR MYSELF May15 Apr08 Mar22 Feb10 Dec10 (gotera juan )TERRAZA GERMAN 109 1.20 32% 2.10    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of RENEE'S CAT by COWTOWN CAT)
2  LUNA MIA May08 Apr13 Feb06 Dec07   (montano wilf)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 5.00 8% 11.50    
  (by GLOBAL RESPONSE out of ULTRA EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
3  MY SUNSHINE POWER         (baird j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00 23% 3.30    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of COBRA GIRL by BADGE OF SILVER)
4  EVENING BIRD         (ewell devan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 10.00 8% 11.80    
  (by BIRD SONG out of EVENING PRIZE by PURE PRIZE)
5  WOMP Nov20         (pease harry)LEON A 116 20.00    
  (by VERRAZANO out of JASMINE JEWEL by MR. GREELEY)
6  SECRET SEDUCTION Oct05 Sep14       (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 20.00    
  (by PERFECT CIRCLE out of SEDUCTIVEENJOYMENT by QUIET ENJOYMENT)
7  PACKIN Apr15 Apr05 Mar21 Feb14 Jan12 (norris stephani)WHITACRE B 123 30.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of FULLY EQUIPPED by MORE THAN READY)
8  SHEZ FIRED UP May07 Aug22 Aug10 Jul27   (decker an)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 10.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of A LITTLE GOLD by LORD CARSON)
9  NOGRATZ May08 Apr05 Mar08 Aug26 Aug11 (fiesman rob)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 30.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of NO ACRONYMS by MILWAUKEE BREW)
10  OUR LADY NELSON Sep30 Sep14 Aug30     (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50 8% 10.80    
  (by LORD NELSON out of IN MY GLORY by HONOUR AND GLORY)
 
MNR-3   05/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE SKY PAINTER Jun08 May21 May13 Apr18 Mar26 (delong ben)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 10.00    
SCR  MISTER RANSOM May02 Dec11 Dec05 Nov29 Oct11 (meals lois)VEGA L 123 3.00    
3  KANTPAYTHETOLL May04 Mar09 Feb09 Jan14 Dec16 (delong)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.00 44% 1.30    
4  MONEY FOR MISCHIEF Apr13 Mar20 Mar01 Feb21 Jan18 (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 3.50 30% 2.40    
5  EPIC WEST May01 Dec04 Nov22 Nov09 Oct11 (meals lois)WHITACRE B 120 20.00    
SCR  SUPPLY CHAIN Mar05 Feb10 Jan15 Jan07 Dec04 (bernar)ENRIQUEZ JR 120 2.50    
 
MNR-4   05/22/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3 ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUTHPOINT May01 Mar31 Mar17 Feb22   (gerich frank)WHITACRE B 118 6.00 ★    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of ABSATOOTLY by MINESHAFT)
2  HOPPERNESS May01 Feb17 Jan14 Nov27 Nov11 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 118 3.50 19% 4.40    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of FLEXIBLE ETHICS by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
3  F F READY OR NOT May01 Nov21       (baird michael)PAUCAR E 118 20.00    
  (by MAWTHOOQ out of F F SILENT SONG by SIGNORETTO (FR))
4  DENNIS'S PRIDE         (ewell )BATISTA ALBERTO 118 20.00 13% 6.60    
  (by MOBIL out of SWEET ENERGY by UNBRIDLED ENERGY)
5  MACHO CASH Dec04 Nov21 Oct26 Oct16 Oct04 (sipp k)LEON A 118 12.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of SILENT CASH by SILENT NAME (JPN))
6  DON'T CROSS JACK Feb14 Dec30 Dec09 Jun29   (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 118 1.20 39% 1.60    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of AQUITANIA by SLEW THE KNIGHT)
7  SCREAMING JEREMY May15 May01 Apr05 Mar02 Feb14 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 3.00    
  (by NIAGARA CAUSEWAY out of SURELY SENSIBLE by STREET SENSE)
 
MNR-5   05/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FREE DANCER Apr30 Apr06 Mar04 Feb02 Jan14 (farrior)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 2.00    
2  ACCOLADES GALORE Apr30 Jan09 Dec06 Nov01 Oct18 (walker ch)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 115 12.00    
3  SIR AGGRAVATOR Apr02 Mar18 Feb19 Jan22 Jan04 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  CZECHMIGHT Mar04 Feb02 Jan03     (eidschun gregory)YARANGA Y 120 15.00    
5  JUST U AND ME KID Dec11 Oct24 Oct09 Sep27 Sep07 (cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 120 12.00    
6  GATES OF HEAVEN Mar27 Mar05 Jan26 Dec13 Nov19 (eidschun gregory)CCAMAQUE M 120 2.50 43% 1.30    
7  BACK ALLEY CAT Jan03 Dec11 Nov28 Nov02 Oct24 (bernardini jay )VEGA L 120 6.00 21% 3.80    
8  TRIGZ TOO May08 Mar30 Mar09 Mar02 Jan30 (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 4.50    
 
MNR-6   05/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RAD PAISLEY Apr29 Apr16 Mar24 Feb20 Jan16 (farrior anthony)AVILES YAN 120 2.00    
2  DARK OAK May02 Feb28 Feb08 Dec31 Nov06 (davidovich a)TERRAZA GERMAN 116 3.50    
3  ESCAPE VELOCITY May08 Mar13 Nov23 Nov17 Oct26 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 4.00    
4  HIGH ROLLING DUDE Sep04 Aug06 Jul25 Jul10 Jun26 (reed r)RAMGEET R 120 12.00 13% 6.90    
5  GIANT PAYDAY Mar12 Feb08 Jan09 Dec27 Dec01 (eidschun gregory)YARANGA Y 120 10.00 19% 4.20    
6  PEACE OF EKATI Apr02 Mar25 Mar18 Dec14 Dec01 (si)DA FAUSTO 120 6.00    
SCR  LIGHT CRUISER Mar07 Feb25 Feb09 Jan30 Jan07 (eidschun gregory)CCAMAQUE M 120 12.00    
8  RAISE A SPEIGHTS May05 Apr08 Mar01 Feb18 Feb01 (farrior)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 6.00 17% 4.90    
 
MNR-7   05/22/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($23.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PETTIGO GIRL Mar07 Feb15 Jan31 Jan12 Dec27 (norris steph)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 15.00    
2  SPICE IT UP May09 Mar15 Feb02 Dec19 Nov15 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 3.50 60% 0.70    
3  ROYAL COUNTY Jan12 Nov30 Oct17 Aug08 May30 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 2.50 ★    
4  MY LOVELY GIRL May06 Mar01 Feb02 Jan12 Dec16 (farrior)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 2.00 9% 10.30    
5  RATTRAPANTE Apr27 Mar30 Sep23 Aug20 Aug08 (delong)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 6.00    
6  SHOW ME THE BEST Apr30 Nov28 Nov06 Oct17 Sep14 (jenkins a)PAUCAR E 120 8.00 ★    
SCR  GOT YOUR NUMBER Feb10 Jan28 Jan07 Dec08 Nov02 (tobin l)WHITACRE B 120 30.00    
8  SHORE OF EDEN Aug29 Aug13 Jun29 Jun14 Jun01 (spiess m)DIAZ I 120 10.00    
 
MNR-8   05/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PALACE PRINCE May08 Apr01 Mar13 Mar04 Jan31 (silva pabl)LEON A 120 3.50 9% 10.40    
2  BEYOND GONE Dec14 Dec04 Nov13 Oct30 Oct05 (zook w)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 8.00    
3  SEMINOLE JUSTICE Apr24 Feb27 Jan30 Jan18 Jan03 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50 27% 2.70    
4  SOUL OF DISCRETION May15 Dec14 Dec05 Nov21 Oct24 (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 12.00    
5  HONOR LIFE Feb09 Dec12 Dec06 Nov13 Oct09 (cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 120 3.00 18% 4.50    
6  AREYOUTALKINGTOME Mar15 Feb21 Feb02 Jan24 Dec06 (welsh r)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00    
7  SELLING OUT Jan05 Dec14 Dec04 Nov16 Oct31 (welsh r)DIAZ I 120 20.00    
8  COLOMBARD May02 Jan23 Jan03 Dec21 Nov17 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 12.00 9% 10.70    
9  KNOWN May08 May02 Feb04 Aug27 Aug05 (eidschu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 5.00 14% 6.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.