Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Tuesday - May 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-1   WIN (5/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/7)-(5/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/7)-(5/4/3/7)-(5/4/3/7) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/3/7)-(4/6/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-2   WIN (4/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/1/2)-(4/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/1/2)-(4/6/1/2)-(4/6/1/2) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/1/2)-(5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1/2)-(5/4/6)-(3/7/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-3   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(3/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6)-(3/7/5)-(1/5/4/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-4   WIN (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/5)-(3/7/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/7/5)-(3/7/5/4)-(3/7/5/4) 18 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (3/7/5)-(1/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-5   WIN (1/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/7)-(1/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/4/7)-(1/5/4/7)-(1/5/4/7) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/4/7)-(4/1/2/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-6   WIN (4/1/2/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/2/6/3)-(1/4/2/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/2/6/3)-(1/4/2/6/3)-(1/4/2/6/3) 60 $1.00 $30.00 
    DD (4/1/2/6/3)-(1/5/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2/6/3)-(1/5/10/6)-(6/8/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
FL-7   WIN (1/5/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/10/6)-(1/5/10/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/5/10/6)-(1/5/10/6/3)-(1/5/10/6/3) 48 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/5/10/6)-(6/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-8   WIN (6/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/3)-(6/8/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/8/3)-(6/8/3)-(6/8/3) 6 $1.00 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   05/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R BOY BODE Apr29 Apr15 Feb09 Aug08 Jul22 (thompson)DAVIS A 122 10.00    
DUCK POND ROAD Nov16 Oct18 Sep19 Sep07 Aug29 (ronen assaf)ALVARADO R 122 10.00    
CAVARADOSSI Jan12 Dec16       (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 2.50 15% 5.80    
MAGNIFICENT CHROME Apr15 Mar30 Feb02 Jan19 Aug14 (lyn)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
PREFERRED OUTCOME Apr19 Mar31 Dec31 Dec07 Nov23 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 5.00 28% 2.50    
BOWING SNOWMAN Apr24 Nov09 Oct17 Oct03 Sep19 (muller thom)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 3.50    
DOUBLE VISION Nov14 Oct18 Oct04 Aug30 Aug17 (d'alessandro ra)DIAZ J 112 6.00 8% 12.30    
 
FL-2   05/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WESWORLD Nov22 Oct25 Oct12 Sep13 Aug17 (ficarella bro)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.50 9% 10.10    
DYNAMIC STORM Feb15 Jan27 Jan07 Oct17 Sep26 (dixon k)COA J 119 3.00 5% 19.00    
SHE SPEAKS WELL Dec28 Dec14 Nov23 Nov09 Oct17 (maver eduardo)PEREZ E 124 15.00    
M. C. DOUBLE R Apr23 Mar18 Feb11 Jan21 Dec17 (rodriguez r)GOMEZ O 119 2.50 35% 1.90    
PER KEY D P Jan23 Jan05 Dec14 Oct17 Sep21 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 10.00    
BUCK'S LUCK Apr24         (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 5.00 22% 3.50    
ROBIN'S EMPIRE Apr10 Mar05 Feb20 Jan24 Dec26 (smith tr)DAVIS A 124 6.00    
 
FL-3   05/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($24.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETTY'S SMILE Mar05 Feb18 Jan13 Nov08 Oct17 (grusmark)DAVIS A 122 5.00    
SWEET SHALLOTS Nov14 Nov02 Oct19 Sep21 Aug29 (breed a)GOMEZ O 122 6.00    
SHE'S A BIG DEAL Sep06 Jul30 Jul07 Jun15 May25 (all)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.00    
TOOLCAT Oct26 Oct12 Sep19 Aug15 Aug03 (miller-saul be)COA J 122 4.00 29% 2.50    
ISLE STORM Oct26 Oct18 Oct04 Sep20 Aug29 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
SARATOGA BEAUTY Mar27 Jan08 Jul11 Jun06 May09 (englehart jef)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00 7% 12.70    
 
FL-4   05/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INVALUABLE WILL Nov23 Nov09 Nov01 Sep19 Sep05 (breed a)DIAZ J 112 10.00    
SON OF DARKNESS Apr24 Mar22 Dec16 Nov09 Oct18 (sells rachel)SONE Y 122 10.00    
CANDY ZIP Mar08 Feb13 Jan10 Dec13 Nov07 (smith troy)COA J 122 3.00 44% 1.30    
HORN OF PLENTY Apr24 Apr04 Feb12 Jan21 Dec18 (jac)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 4.00    
DROSEL DIEM Apr24 Nov22 Nov14 Nov01 Oct18 (sabine mic)DE EMANUEL 122 5.00 11% 8.10    
CAN'T BEAT ME Apr01 Mar11 Feb19 Feb09 Dec31 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 6.00    
EXPENSIVE STYLE Mar24 Nov23 Sep29 Jul27 Jun24 (englehart jef)DAVILA R 122 3.50 23% 3.40    
LABAN M MO Dec09 Nov01 Sep28 Sep14 Aug08 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 12.00    
 
FL-5   05/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEENS DANCER Nov02 Oct03 Sep19 Aug26 Aug09 (dixon li)DAVIS A 121 3.50 46% 1.20    
SHE'S GOT GAME Jan15 Dec30 Dec10 Nov07 Oct14 (ron)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 15.00    
DARN THAT SONG Apr06 Feb11 Jan21 Dec30 Dec09 (sells rachel)HARKIE K 121 6.00    
GUNS BLAZING Aug14 Jul21 Jun26 Apr22 Apr07 (sells rachel)SONE Y 121 4.00 10% 8.70    
NO CHALK Mar15 Sep02 Aug15 Jul04 May27 (iorio jr)PEREZ E 121 5.00 13% 6.60    
TODO SOLA Mar24 Dec14 Nov15 Oct06 Sep07 (beattie cody)GOMEZ O 121 8.00    
A MAIZE ZING DOTIE Apr25 Dec11 Nov19 Nov03 Oct09 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 3.00 10% 9.20    
LEFT LEANING LUCY Apr13 Mar24 Mar05 Feb18 Jan12 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 8.00    
 
FL-6   05/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRACI'S GIRL Apr25 Nov09 Oct26 Oct10 Sep28 (sparling wayne )ROHENA JR 122 3.00 10% 8.70    
1A  MAGNIFICENT MAGS Apr25 Nov23 Nov09 Oct26 Oct10 (sparling e)GOMEZ O 122 3.00    
TOOTSIE'S SONG Nov09 Oct10 Sep27 Aug30 Jun20 (ash)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 6.00 8% 12.10    
PALS ALLY Apr25 Nov15 Nov07 Oct04 Sep20 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 15.00 7% 14.20    
LEMONADE LADY Nov23 Nov08 Oct25 Oct11 Sep27 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
CENTRAL CAPITAL Nov23 Nov15 Nov02 Oct11 Sep19 (rivera d)DAVIS A 122 6.00    
YES YOUR HONOR Nov09 Sep14 Aug31 Aug16 Jul18 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 4.00 7% 12.80    
RENNINAS ROSE Nov23 Nov09 Oct26 Oct12 Sep28 (falk jacquelin)COA J 122 15.00    
BETTY RUBBLE Nov23 Nov09 Oct26 Oct10 Oct03 (bond br)NAVARRO J 122 12.00    
 
FL-7   05/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOBBY RIDE Apr25 Mar19 Aug23 Jul26   (grusmark)DAVIS A 120 3.00 36% 1.70    
SCR  HARDLY WORKING Apr25 Nov21 Oct04 Sep21 Aug30 (lopez rober)CAMILO D 124 20.00    
TREVOR BARDETTE Apr01 Feb26 Feb12 Jan21 Jan12 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 6.00    
ARE YOU HAPPY Dec17 Nov26 Nov12 Oct06 Sep08 (sparling wayne )ROHENA JR 124 15.00    
DEE'S WISEGUY Apr24 Mar11 Feb24 Feb01 Jul16 (ferraro anth)COA J 120 6.00 29% 2.50    
PERSISTENT DANGER Apr25 Feb23 Feb05 Jan13 Dec29 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 5.00 6% 14.40    
N Y RIESLING Jul26 Jun03       (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 12.00    
SHANTY SHACK Oct18 Sep28 Jul25 Jul04 Jun21 (mil)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 10.00    
GONNA BE DANCING Nov09 Sep26 Aug17 Jul27 Jun29 (breed jr)GOMEZ O 124 10.00    
10  GOT THE GOLD Apr25 Apr01 Mar18 Feb19 Jan13 (sells rachel)SONE Y 124 4.00 8% 11.60    
 
FL-8   05/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVER'S LEAP Nov14 Oct25 Oct04 Sep21 Aug03 (tasso mark)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00    
HOORAY FOR HARVEY Apr25 Dec13 Nov04 Oct11 Sep23 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 20.00    
GRIT AND GLORY Nov14 Oct31 Oct04 Sep07 Aug22 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 20.00 5% 17.90    
SCR  DEVIOUS BANKER Apr25 Feb15 Feb02 Jan13 Nov21 (grusmark)DAVIS A 122 4.50 7% 13.20    
BLUES CITY Apr25 Nov23 Nov14 Oct31 Oct17 (dominguez car)DAVILA A 122 12.00    
SMOKIN' ALONE Apr25 Nov23 Nov08 Oct31 Oct19 (sabine mic)DE EMANUEL 122 3.00 39% 1.60    
HOLY COWBOY Apr25 Nov16 Oct31 Oct17 Oct03 (breed a)GOMEZ O 122 8.00    
YOUR AWESOME BOSS Apr25 Nov22 Nov09 Jul26 Jul11 (morales samu)HARKIE K 122 8.00 20% 4.00    
MARGARITA SUNRISE Nov22 Oct31 Oct19 Sep13 Aug30 (tasso mark)ALVARADO R 122 4.00    
10  TWO STEP SLEW Aug31 Aug16 Aug03 Jul26 Jul05 (maver eduardo)PEREZ E 122 15.00    
SCR  O K GAME ON Feb02 Jan18 Dec20 Nov30 Nov08 (vasquez ramon)ROHENA M 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.