Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Saturday - February 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (1/2/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/8/9)-(1/2/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/8/9)-(1/2/8/9)-(1/2/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/8/9)-(3/5/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/8/9)-(3/5/6/1)-(3/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-2   WIN (3/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/6/1)-(3/5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/6/1)-(3/5/6/1)-(3/5/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/6/1)-(3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6/1)-(3/2/5)-(12/8/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TP-3   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5/7)-(3/2/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(12/8/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(12/8/9)-(9/8/5/2/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TP-4   WIN (12/8/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (12/8/9)-(12/8/9/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (12/8/9)-(12/8/9/6/5)-(12/8/9/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (12/8/9)-(9/8/5/2/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (12/8/9)-(9/8/5/2/7)-(6/1/8/5/3) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
TP-5   WIN (9/8/5/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/5/2/7)-(9/8/5/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/5/2/7)-(9/8/5/2/7)-(9/8/5/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/8/5/2/7)-(6/1/8/5/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/8/5/2/7)-(6/1/8/5/3)-(6/5/4) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
TP-6   WIN (6/1/8/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/8/5/3)-(6/1/8/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/8/5/3)-(6/1/8/5/3)-(6/1/8/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/1/8/5/3)-(6/5/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/1/8/5/3)-(6/5/4)-(11/8) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
TP-7   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4/8/2)-(6/5/4/8/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(11/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TP-8   WIN (11/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (11/8)-(11/8/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (11/8)-(11/8/5)-(11/8/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   02/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAIRY CAKES (GB) Feb10 Jan20 Dec31 Nov30 Nov09 (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 124 4.50 35% 1.80    
2  MS MERRABEL Feb10 Dec31 Dec11 Oct27 Oct11 (wells jo)RODRIGUEZ A 119 4.50 15% 5.50    
3  ZAWADI Jan28 Dec29 Oct06 Aug19 Jul26 (hill f)CANUTO THIAGO 124 15.00    
4  VIVE EL MOMENTO Jan28 Jan06 Dec11 Nov23 Nov15 (gotera juan)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 30.00    
5  BELLE OF ST. JOHN Dec29 Dec11 Sep28 Sep06 Aug18 (kahles )DE CRUZ 124 6.00    
6  TENAKEE Jan28 Nov09 Sep20 Sep07 Aug17 (alessi james)HESS SARA 124 50.00    
7  NOTREALLYNOTREALLY Jan28 Jan07 Dec11 Nov09 Sep27 (grubbs l)FELIX E 124 8.00    
8  GOLDEN OLDIE Jan28 Jan07 Oct03 Sep21 Aug05 (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 124 3.50 11% 8.50    
9  READY AT MIDNIGHT Jan28 Dec21 Nov11 Oct23 Aug17 (young r)SANJUR SANTO 124 3.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  SWIFT TEMPLE Jan20 Jan06 Dec22 Nov14 Oct12 (wisner trace)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 10.00 ★    
 
TP-2   02/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAIG POINT Feb02 Jan21 Dec28 Sep28 Sep01 (maker m)DE CRUZ 124 2.50 8% 11.70    
2  OUT WORK'N Jan06 Dec30 Dec08 Nov25 Nov15 (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 124 20.00    
3  MUCHO MOJO Jan28 Dec09 Oct05 Aug12 Jul10 (foster eric)BECKMAN ALICE 120 4.00 32% 2.20    
4  CHASIN CHARLIE Feb11 Jan07 Dec14 Nov17 Nov03 (richardson )MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 30.00    
5  AVIANO Jan19 Oct09 Aug20 Jul01 May06 (asmussen)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.50 20% 3.90    
6  JUULSTONE Feb11 Jul15 Jun16 May27 May05 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 124 4.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  TUANIS Feb09 Jan21 Dec28 Nov23 Oct26 (wong jonatha)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 10.00    
8  EL FRANCO Jan20 Dec30 Nov25 Nov03 Oct12 (norris mike)MACHADO LUAN 124 20.00    
SCR  GOLQUIST Jan28 Dec04 Oct20 Oct01 Sep04 (bogle fergus)HEARD TYLER 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  BRIT'S WIT Jan02 Nov27 Oct15 Aug07 Jul22 (ortiz joh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 10.00    
 
TP-3   02/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAQAMAT Feb11 Jan28 Jan19 Jan04 Dec21 (cano mu)BURGOS ALBERTO 126 15.00    
2  FAITHFUL RULER Jul29 May31 Apr15 Mar16 Feb23 (wat)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 6.00 8% 10.80    
3  ROCKET DAWG Jan07 Dec02       (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 123 2.00 37% 1.70    
4  MASTER LEA Feb03 Jan12 Dec17 Oct26 Sep27 (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 30.00    
5  LOOT THE MOON Dec31 Nov19 Feb11     (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 123 3.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  AMSDEN         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 118 3.00 28% 2.60    
7  GOLDEN SURVIVOR Jan19 Dec31 Dec07 Oct17 Oct03 (wong jonatha)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 10.00 ★    
8  MY GRASS IS BLUE Jan28 Jan06 Dec13 Nov09 Sep20 (pitts c)MCENTEE GRACE 123 15.00    
9  MR CLINE Dec16 Nov22 Oct27 Sep14 Jun07 (richard)DE CRUZ 123 20.00    
10  WIMOWEH Jan28 Jan07 Dec07 Oct27 Oct06 (gorostieta c)HALDAR J 123 15.00    
 
TP-4   02/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANCY CABER NEIGH Dec23         (sha)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 10.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of FANCY POINT by POINT GIVEN)
2  MEET IN SECRET         (brafford miche)ELLIOTT JANE 120 15.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of POLA'S PLACE by OUT OF PLACE)
3  SILENT REVENGE Jan05         (dyer john)FELIX E 120 20.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of SILENCER by QUALITY ROAD)
4  MIDSUMMERNITEDREAM         (greenhill)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of KAT ZIPPITY by CITY ZIP)
5  MISCHIEVOUS DOLL Feb01 Jan11 Dec07 Nov02   (lobo pau)RODRIGUEZ A 115 5.00 ★    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of AMERICAN DOLL by TIZNOW)
6  WEEHAWKEN Jan13 Dec14 Oct22 Sep03 Jul29 (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00 ★    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of WILDCAT GOLD by FOREST WILDCAT)
7  FRACING LUCKY         (reed r)MCKEE J 120 15.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of SKYLUCK by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
8  POPNFIZZ Jan21 Jan01       (hamilton sara)CANNON DECLAN 120 6.00 24% 3.10    
  (by HARD SPUN out of CURVYMISSMILLER by ARCH)
9  CUTE KHLOE Jan25 Nov24 Oct22     (wong jonatha)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 4.00 18% 4.60    
  (by HARD SPUN out of AMBER ROMANCE by BAHAMIAN BOUNTY (GB))
10  LIAM'S GIFT         (bergin tom)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 20.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of UP AT DAWN by UNCLE MO)
SCR  BURLAP PRINCESS         (corrigan jim)MCENTEE GRACE 120 20.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of HIGH FINANCE (IRE) by ENTREPRENEUR (GB))
12  PLAYLIST Jan22 Nov18 Aug25     (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 32% 2.20    
  (by UNCLE MO out of BON JOVI GIRL by MALIBU MOON)
 
TP-5   02/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DELFT BLUE Feb04 Jan07 Dec16 Nov26 Oct19 (rod)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 12.00    
2  BLANKET OF ROSES Feb04 Dec29 Dec11 Oct09 Aug26 (hernandez rey)LEZCANO ABEL 120 5.00 8% 11.10    
3  STEWARDS RULES Jan27 Jan14 Dec15 Nov09 Oct24 (holden ja)BERMUDEZ E 123 15.00    
4  EL CHEAPO Feb04 Jan11 Dec29 Jul15 Jun01 (jarvis kathy)MOJICA O 120 30.00    
5  AWESOME D J Jan11 Dec29 Aug24 Aug05 Jul19 (cannon steve)OUZTS W 120 6.00 11% 8.10    
6  LORD REVELSTOKE Feb04 Dec28 Dec14 Dec03 Nov09 (corrigan jim)ELLIOTT JANE 120 4.50    
7  BAKENEKO Jan01 Sep30 Aug13 Jul30 Jul03 (d'angel)DE CRUZ 120 3.00 6% 16.90    
8  SNAKE BITE Jan25 Jan11 Dec16 Dec07 Jul20 (cano juan)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 8.00 21% 3.80    
9  NOT SO EASY Feb01 Jan06 Dec16 Dec07 Oct18 (wong jonat)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  SAVING MAMA Feb04 Jan18 Jan07 Dec16 Nov03 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 50.00    
SCR  DUDLEY Jan05 Nov17 Nov08 Oct19 Oct04 (douaihy michel)AYALA ISAIAS 120 20.00    
12  SEMI CHARMED DAY Feb10 Jan27 Jan07 Dec15 Oct27 (anderson l)FELIX E 120 20.00    
SCR  LIZZY'S LURE Jan27 Jan14 Sep22 Sep08 Aug25 (locker timo)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 30.00    
 
TP-6   02/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEATBOX Jan27 Dec17 Apr02 Feb19 Jan16 (dev)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 6.00 18% 4.50    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of MAGICAL WORLD by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  MEJTHAAM Feb01 Jan14 Dec08 Nov18 Oct07 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 115 30.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of MUFAJAAH by TAPIT)
3  LINCOLN CITY Jan28 Dec21 Oct22 Sep10 Jul28 (lyster st)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 30.00 6% 15.80    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MAGIC SCHOOL by IN EXCESS (IRE))
4  HARLAN ESTATE Jan28 Nov06 Sep19 Aug21 Jul23 (beckman whi)CANNON DECLAN 120 10.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of ARCHERETTE by ARCH)
5  FANCY LIQUOR Jan04 Dec01 Sep24 Feb19 Jan29 (maker j)MOJICA O 120 12.00 8% 11.30    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of BRANDYS SECRET by SECRET ROMEO)
6  PRICE TALK Jan21 Dec17 Sep25 Aug06 Jul11 (cox bra)DE CRUZ 120 2.50 26% 2.90    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of MAYAKOBA by WAR CHANT)
7  OCEAN ATLANTIQUE Jan21 Dec28 Nov19 Oct27 Oct02 (maker mi)RODRIGUEZ A 122 10.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of TARE GREEN by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
8  CAMP HOPE May21 Apr20       (mcpeek kenne)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 6.00 13% 6.90    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of PRAISING by PULPIT)
9  IN LOVE (BRZ) Dec17 Nov13 Oct15 Sep01 Jun11 (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 124 2.00    
  (by AGNES GOLD (JPN) out of LAST BET by KNOW HEIGHTS (IRE))
10  ACCREDIT Jan27 Dec17 Dec01 Oct14 Sep14 (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00    
  (by FLATTER out of BERNCREDIT by BERNSTEIN)
 
TP-7   02/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAST GISELLE Jan28 Dec22 Nov28     (galindo-torres )ACHARD ALEX 123 5.00    
2  LEGERITY Jan05 Dec08 Nov25 Oct21 Oct02 (foster eric)BECKMAN ALICE 116 15.00 ★    
SCR  ROYAL COUNTY Jan12 Nov30 Oct17 Aug08 May30 (reed r)MCKEE J 123 4.00    
4  RICHIES GREAT GIRL Jan12 Dec09 Oct16 Sep21 Aug22 (cano juan)ULLOA JOAN 123 8.00 13% 6.80    
5  HEY THERE Jan21 Jul20 Jun24 May21 Apr27 (cox bra)DE CRUZ 126 2.50 21% 3.90    
6  LAUGH AND PLAY Jan11 Dec21 Dec01 Oct19 Sep08 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 123 3.50 41% 1.40    
SCR  WINWARD FLO Jan26 Dec30 Dec01 Apr15 Mar19 (wong jonathan)FELIX E 123 12.00    
8  STORMING LADY Jan29 Dec02 Oct21 Sep04 Aug14 (miller p)RODRIGUEZ A 118 6.00 ★    
9  KRISPY RICE Jan25 Mar03 Feb18 Jan14   (walsh rya)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 30.00    
 
TP-8   02/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3 F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VIVI BRASS Oct26 Oct11 Sep16     (bahena ismael)CANUTO THIAGO 120 20.00    
SCR  SAUNTER         (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  ONE MORE SISTER Nov30 Aug23 Aug10     (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 120 8.00    
4  FAR'S LAST ONE Jan26 Jan01 Nov23 Sep28 Sep12 (fontenot )BERMUDEZ E 120 30.00    
5  SHEZADADDYSGIRL         (anderson l)FELIX E 120 10.00 ★    
6  MARTZ CREEK MUSIC Jan26 Jan05 Dec11 Nov17 Nov10 (platt noah)ELLIOTT JANE 120 50.00    
7  ONE STORMY LADY Jan05 Oct04 Aug28 Apr29 Apr10 (hancock a)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00    
8  PINKY TUSCADERO Jan11 Dec07       (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 4.00 29% 2.50    
9  ALL ROSES         (west etha)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 10.00    
10  MIDNIGHT XO Jan26 Jan11 Dec11 Nov22 Sep26 (hancock dan)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 8.00    
11  HONEYBELL         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 115 3.00 41% 1.40    
12  ONTOTHENEXT Jan26 Jan11 Dec29 Dec11 Sep23 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 5.00    
SCR  HEBRIDES         (sherman alan)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.