Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Friday - February 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
OP-1   WIN (3/6/4/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/4/2/1)-(3/6/4/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/4/2/1)-(3/6/4/2/1)-(3/6/4/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/6/4/2/1)-(4/6/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
OP-2   WIN (4/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/8)-(4/3/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/6/8)-(4/3/6/8)-(4/3/6/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/6/8)-(5/2/7/4/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/6/8)-(5/2/7/4/9)-(1/9/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
OP-3   WIN (5/2/7/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/7/4/9)-(5/2/7/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/7/4/9)-(5/2/7/4/9)-(5/2/7/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/7/4/9)-(1/9/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7/4/9)-(1/9/6/10)-(9/7/2/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
OP-4   WIN (1/9/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/6/10)-(1/9/6/10/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/9/6/10)-(1/9/6/10/3)-(1/9/6/10/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/9/6/10)-(9/7/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/9/6/10)-(9/7/2/3)-(4/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
OP-5   WIN (9/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/2/3)-(9/7/2/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/7/2/3)-(9/7/2/1/3)-(9/7/2/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/7/2/3)-(4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/7/2/3)-(4/5/6)-(11/2/9/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
OP-6   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(11/2/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(11/2/9/4)-(4/1/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
OP-7   WIN (11/2/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/2/9/4)-(11/2/9/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/2/9/4)-(11/2/9/4/7)-(11/2/9/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (11/2/9/4)-(4/1/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (11/2/9/4)-(4/1/6/5)-(6/12) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
OP-8   WIN (4/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/5)-(4/1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/5)-(4/1/6/5)-(4/1/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/6/5)-(6/12) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
OP-9   WIN (6/12) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/12)-(6/12/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/12)-(6/12/5/7)-(6/12/5/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   02/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUMBLEBEE Jan14 Dec08 Nov12 Oct24 Oct13 (mcknight norm)CABRERA DAVID 123 6.00 8% 11.30    
2  SILENT SCARLET Jan14 Nov17 Oct13 Sep01 Jul28 (moysey chelsey )ZIMMERMAN R 123 4.50 13% 6.80    
3  LIL'S TURN Dec11 Nov03 Oct15 Sep18 Sep04 (mcknight norma)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 4.00 24% 3.20    
4  DORITA'S HEART Feb03 Jan22 Jan07 Dec18 Nov21 (hewitt michael)QUINONEZ S 123 2.00 14% 6.20    
5  WICKED CHOCOLATE Feb03 Dec09 Oct27 Aug26 Aug12 (loy dewaine)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 20.00    
6  HISSY MISSY Feb03 Dec30       (hornsby tamm)JORDAN R 118 3.50 19% 4.10    
7  CAGED BEAR Jan27 Jan07 Nov15 Sep25 Aug08 (jackson ri)MICHEL MICKAELLE 123 8.00    
 
OP-2   02/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LEGALLY LUCKY Nov14 Oct01 Sep07 Jul02   (calhoun w)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 2.00 52% 0.90    
2  FIRST RATE ROMANCE Jan28 Dec09       (stuart sh)RODRIGUEZ A 118 30.00    
3  SWEET TRUFFLES Jan07 Nov17 Oct19 Sep16 Aug12 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 125 2.50 ★    
4  WINDY BAY Jan27 Dec31 Dec01 Oct26 Sep18 (ortiz ale)ROSARIO JOEL 120 1.60 13% 6.80    
5  I GOT A NAME Jan20         (morse randy )MEDELLIN ERICK 113 20.00    
6  POUT Oct19 Aug12       (zito p)BEJARANO R 125 8.00 6% 16.20    
7  SAENGER STAR Dec30 Nov03 Oct20 Aug30 Aug03 (moysey chels)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 20.00    
8  REAUX BINA Jan28 Dec09 Nov17     (dixon tim)BAILEY CHEL-C 115 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
OP-3   02/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ST ANDREWS Feb04 Jan08 Dec17 Nov02 Oct08 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 125 4.00    
2  MASTER OF ARMS Sep24 Jul08 Jun18 Jun05 May07 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 125 5.00 23% 3.40    
3  BIGTIME TEGRIDY Feb03 Jun10 May07 Apr22 Mar19 (broberg k)TORRES A 125 12.00    
4  PENETRATOR Jan27 Dec17 Nov02 Sep23 Aug22 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 125 10.00 10% 8.70    
5  VOBISCUM Jan22 Apr23       (barkley jaso)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 4.50 23% 3.30    
6  TOUCH CODE Feb04 Jan14 Dec17 Nov27 Nov06 (vance r)GARCIA MARTIN 125 6.00    
7  PISTOL OR SHOTGUN Jan15 Dec18 Nov04 Oct22 Sep17 (moysey e)JUAREZ NIK 125 3.50 12% 7.30    
8  RUM 'N TONIC Jan14 Dec17 Nov09 Oct16 Sep03 (moysey c)SANTANA JR 125 6.00    
9  OTTOMAN EMPIRE Dec17 May16 Apr15 Mar06 Feb11 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 125 12.00 7% 13.20    
 
OP-4   02/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING DOODLE Feb03 Nov13 Oct12 Aug04 Jun17 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 125 3.00 43% 1.30    
2  MOON OVER DUBAI Dec31 Oct30       (peitz dan )ERAMIA E 119 20.00    
3  PERIPATETIC Jan21 Dec18 Nov19 Oct28 Oct02 (litfin nevad)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00 ★    
4  MENDELSSOHN JOY Sep14 Jul24 Jun27     (litfin nevada)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 20.00    
5  ALL IN GOOD TIME Jan21 Dec18 Jan01     (martin timoth)CABRERA DAVID 120 30.00    
6  EL GEMAR Jan14 Jun05 Apr16 Mar19 Feb21 (broberg k)TORRES A 125 3.50 10% 9.10    
SCR  MATTFOLEYVANMAN Jan20 Dec07 Nov05     (moquett e)BEJARANO R 116 30.00    
SCR  HOWL YEAH May08 Apr10 Mar13     (wilson m)SANTANA JR 120 30.00    
9  GOLDEN BANDIT Jan15 Oct28 Oct07     (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.60 20% 4.00    
10  UNCLE RAY Feb03 Sep22 Sep01 Aug19 Jul31 (loy dewain)JORDAN R 125 5.00 6% 16.70    
11  PIKACHU Feb04 Jan06 Dec11 Sep26 Sep11 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 30.00    
 
OP-5   02/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($104K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SQUILLIONS Jan28 Dec07 Nov11 Oct22 Oct06 (broberg k)TORRES A 122 5.00 ★    
2  BYZANTINE Jan21 May04 Apr02 Feb19 Jan14 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 120 20.00 16% 5.30    
3  CHILLAXIFICATION Dec17 Nov21 Nov03 Oct12 Sep21 (stewart dallas)JUAREZ NIK 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AALIYAH EZRI Dec30 Oct27 Sep01 Aug06 Jul08 (divito p)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 12.00    
5  COASTAL CHARM Nov18 Oct23 Sep16 Jul29 Apr15 (hobby steve)BAZE C 120 3.50    
6  I FEEL THE NEED Jan28 Dec18 Apr02 Mar06 Jan08 (mcbride burl )BAILEY CHEL-C 120 20.00    
7  BRITTLE AND YOO Jan18 Dec21 Nov27 Oct10 Sep22 (hess b)BEJARANO R 122 4.50 25% 3.00    
8  LADY COMMANDER Jan22 Dec30 Nov06 Sep17 Jun19 (fires h)COURT K 124 10.00    
9  LET'S DUET Jan28 Dec18 Nov18 Oct27 Oct13 (mcpeek ke)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 1.40 31% 2.20    
 
OP-6   02/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($51K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LORD DRAGON Jan20 Jan08 Nov06 Sep11 Aug18 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 121 5.00 34% 1.90    
2  TWO BY TWO Jan28 Nov25 Oct21 Sep07 Jul31 (ortiz ale)ROSARIO JOEL 121 12.00    
3  WINDCRACKER Jan27 Dec30 Oct12 Sep03 Aug06 (compton g)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 117 20.00    
4  SILK TRADE Jan28 Nov27 Nov05 Sep25 Aug20 (casse no)SANTANA JR 118 3.50 16% 5.40    
5  SHADOW MATTER Jan14 Nov17 Oct15 Sep23 Sep03 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 10.00 10% 9.40    
6  MOJO MAN Jan07 Dec11 Oct29 Jun11 Apr16 (divito p)BOWEN ROCCO 118 30.00 6% 16.00    
SCR  JERRY'S EIGHTY Feb10 Jan15 Nov02 Sep26 Jun11 (smith p)CABRERA DAVID 118 30.00    
8  RED KNOBS Jan27 Nov10 Sep25 Aug20 Aug01 (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 2.00    
9  SILVER DUST Jan07 Dec17 Nov24 Nov02 Oct20 (vance d)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 4.50    
SCR  ALVAARO Feb05 Dec02 Nov14 Oct21 Sep25 (diodoro roberti)ZIMMERMAN R 121 6.00 6% 15.20    
 
OP-7   02/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUALITY RUN Jan15 Oct11       (martin willia)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 30.00    
2  FAMILY TRADITION (IRE) Feb04         (sharp joe)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 8.00 11% 8.20    
3  MYSTIFIER Jan08 Nov12 Sep23 Sep04 Aug27 (rosin w)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 4.50    
4  MIDNIGHT MAJESTY Jan14 Dec04 Nov05 Oct28 Oct15 (miller p)SANTANA JR 120 3.50 6% 15.00    
5  SCHMOOZE Jan13 Jul04 Jun19 May21 May08 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 123 12.00    
6  PAID IN FULL Dec18 Nov25 Nov02 Oct12 Sep24 (hartlage gary)BAILEY CHEL-C 123 15.00    
7  ROUNDER Dec07 Nov15 Oct26 Sep15 Aug31 (van berg )DE CRUZ 123 12.00 ★    
8  NAMESAKE Jan13 Dec10 Oct05 Sep15 Jun16 (swearingen tom )BOWEN ROCCO 123 30.00    
9  QUICK TO BLAME Jan15 Dec16 Sep17 Jul29 Jun19 (diodoro r)TORRES A 123 5.00 8% 10.90    
10  CONSPIRACY FACT Jan15 Dec16 Nov25 Nov13 Oct12 (compton g)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 10.00    
11  MINT Dec30 Nov23 Nov02 Oct16 Sep18 (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.00 51% 0.90    
 
OP-8   02/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($108K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NECKER ISLAND Oct07 Sep17 Aug16 Jul24 Jul02 (hartman chris)JUAREZ NIK 120 3.50 18% 4.50    
SCR  ROTKNEE Jun29 May30 Apr02 Mar13 Feb11 (maker mic)TORRES A 120 12.00    
SCR  SKY AND SAND Sep14 Aug14 Jul17 Jun05 May14 (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 20.00    
4  C Z ROCKET Nov05 Oct01 Aug27 Jul23 Jan14 (miller p)SANTANA JR 120 1.40 32% 2.20    
5  MORELLO (NZ) Dec30 Oct29 Oct08 Jun11 Apr09 (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 120 10.00 6% 15.90    
6  EDGE TO EDGE Jan08 Dec11 Nov11 Sep25 Apr02 (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 3.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  HEART RHYTHM Jan14 Dec26 Nov24 Oct19 Sep15 (ortiz alexa)BEJARANO R 120 4.50 13% 6.80    
 
OP-9   02/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3 ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CADILLAC COWBOY Dec31         (sharp joe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of RUDY'S EDGE by ADDED EDGE)
2  EMPYREAL SHADOW Dec31         (villafranco m)CABRERA DAVID 119 30.00    
  (by SHUPANGA out of SHE'LLKISSTHEBOYS by PLENTYOFIT)
3  OUTLAW RUN Jan15 Dec10       (cline n)HARR KELSI 119 30.00    
  (by ORDAINED out of ZANZU by ZANJERO)
4  TRAFFIC BOSS         (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 30.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of TAKE ME HOME TOO by CAME HOME)
5  LAKE HAMILTON Dec11         (broberg k)TORRES A 119 10.00 ★    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of KOMBAT LAKE by MEADOWLAKE)
6  CHUPAPI MUNYAYO Dec31         (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 3.00 29% 2.50    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of NO NO KITTY KITTY by TACTICAL CAT)
7  IKE WAZOWSKI         (green ike)JORDAN R 119 12.00 ★    
  (by PAYNTER out of MEGALICIOUS by SONGANDAPRAYER)
8  K J'S LEGACY Jan15 Dec31 Dec10     (garcia genar)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 30.00    
  (by COMMANDER'S SHOES out of K J'S GIRL by BIG PISTOL)
9  READY SHOES Jan13 Dec31       (wilson m)SANTANA JR 119 3.50    
  (by PROM SHOES out of MORE THAN CRAFTY by MORE THAN READY)
10  MADMARTIGAN         (witt ii)BOWEN ROCCO 119 20.00    
  (by LAURIE'S ROCKET out of PLAER'S TRUMP by SHAWKLIT PLAYER)
11  RUDIANO Jan13 Dec11 Nov22 Aug08 Jul29 (loy dewaine)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 50.00    
  (by MO FOR THE MONEY out of PICK ME UP by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
12  THIRD WATCH (GB) Jan13         (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.60 27% 2.70    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of SANTORINI MOON by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  WICKED PRINCE Jan15 Dec10       (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 20.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of BUTTERFLY PRINCESS by WAVERING MONARCH)
SCR  FOUR DICE Jan15         (soto fermin)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 20.00 21% 3.70    
  (by TEXAS CHROME out of HALO'S MAJESTY by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.