Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Thursday - February 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (10/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/9/1)-(10/9/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (10/9/1)-(10/9/1/6)-(10/9/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (10/9/1)-(5/8/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/9/1)-(5/8/7/9)-(8/1/9/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-2   WIN (5/8/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/7/9)-(5/8/7/9/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/8/7/9)-(5/8/7/9/10)-(5/8/7/9/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/8/7/9)-(8/1/9/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/8/7/9)-(8/1/9/7)-(7/8/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-3   WIN (8/1/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/9/7)-(8/1/9/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/1/9/7)-(8/1/9/7/6)-(8/1/9/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/1/9/7)-(7/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/9/7)-(7/8/6)-(4/7/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TP-4   WIN (7/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/6)-(7/8/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/8/6)-(7/8/6/4)-(7/8/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/8/6)-(4/7/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/8/6)-(4/7/10)-(4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TP-5   WIN (4/7/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/10)-(4/7/10/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/10)-(4/7/10/6/3)-(4/7/10/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/7/10)-(4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/7/10)-(4/7)-(1/2/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TP-6   WIN (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/7)-(4/7/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7)-(4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/7)-(1/2/5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/7)-(1/2/5/6)-(6/11/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TP-7   WIN (1/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6/9)-(1/2/5/6/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/2/5/6)-(6/11/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TP-8   WIN (6/11/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/11/8)-(6/11/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/11/8)-(6/11/8)-(6/11/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   02/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS GETTY UP Jan26 Dec15 Aug21 Jun28 May06 (girten tim)RAMOS D 123 8.00 7% 13.40    
2  MERRY OF SOUL Jan26 Dec15 Oct11 Aug24 Jul27 (thomas mark)MACHADO LUAN 123 15.00    
3  MOON PARTY Jan13 Dec09 Oct28 Oct08 Sep05 (esquivel)RODRIGUEZ A 118 8.00    
SCR  NIFF Jun10 Jun03 May07 Apr24 Jan23 (vanden britt)FELIX E 123 10.00    
SCR  DEISE DELIGHT (IRE) Jan25 Dec21 Nov30 Oct30 Aug28 (lyster steph)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 3.00 26% 2.80    
6  ALMADRINA (GB) Jan20 Dec15 Dec01 Sep22 Sep14 (west etha)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 8.00 ★    
7  WEEKEND FUN Dec01 Oct15 Aug28 Aug11 Jun26 (leitch )DE CRUZ 123 6.00    
8  DEEP DISH Jan26 Dec15 Nov23 Oct24 Oct04 (richardville)BURGOS ALBERTO 123 15.00    
9  AWESOME LAWSON Jan25 Nov13 Oct27 Aug31 Aug14 (vesty clark)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 12.00 12% 7.50    
10  MIMAJOON Jan09 Dec01 Jan08     (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 123 2.50 26% 2.90    
 
TP-2   02/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS NINA Jan04 Dec07 Sep22 Aug22 Aug06 (ger)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 12.00    
2  A REAL HERO Jan04 Dec17 Dec02 Oct20 Sep13 (wong jonatha)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 3.50    
3  MIRTH 'N MERRIMENT Jan19 Dec07 Nov15 Oct28 Aug19 (bush george)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 5.00    
4  HOLDONTOYOURTIARA Jan25 Nov21 Oct24 Sep12 Aug19 (esquivel )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 20.00    
5  QUARTERFLASH Feb03 Jan20 Dec28 Dec16 Nov22 (girten tim)RAMOS D 123 3.00 31% 2.20    
6  LA TOURISTA Feb01 Jan04 Dec03 Nov24 Nov06 (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 115 8.00    
7  COMPLETE Feb03 Jan04 Dec17 Dec03 Nov23 (cano mun)CANNON DECLAN 120 5.00 16% 5.40    
8  RICHIES NOBLE GIRL Jan25 Dec29 Nov12 Oct22 Sep17 (d'angelo j)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 18% 4.40    
9  TALK RADIO Dec08 Nov01 Oct10 Sep22 Aug25 (smith larry)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00 7% 13.00    
10  ADDISON Feb03 Jan13 Aug23 Aug09 Jul26 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 12.00 ★    
 
TP-3   02/16/2023 6600ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VINTAGE YEAR Dec31 Dec17 Nov11 Sep10 Aug10 (arnold )DE CRUZ 126 3.00 30% 2.30    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of MEADOW ROSE by GHOSTZAPPER)
2  IM A MODEST MAN Jan13 Dec29       (kinmon keith)ELLIOTT JANE 118 20.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of PISH POSH by MUTAKDDIM)
3  SELF RULE Jan25 Dec31 Nov30 Nov02 Oct06 (preston randy)LEZCANO ABEL 126 12.00    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of TEMPERENCE GIFT by KINGMAMBO)
4  MANCHESTER Jan26         (engler jeff)FELIX E 126 8.00    
  (by CURLIN out of CAVALIA by KIRIDASHI)
5  FLUTE MASTER Jan25 Nov27 Sep05 Aug10 Jun26 (asmussen ste)RAMOS D 126 8.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of PERFECT FLUTE by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
6  QAADER Jan25 Dec31 Nov11 Aug30 Aug25 (trujillo)RODRIGUEZ A 121 3.50 ★    
  (by NIGHT OF THUNDER out of REDINHA by DANSILI (GB))
7  TRICOLOUR Jan28 Jan12 Dec29 Dec09 Oct19 (mil)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of WAVE THE FLAG by EMPIRE MAKER)
8  FOREIGN RELATIONS Jan25 Dec17       (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 126 2.50 32% 2.20    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of QUEST by MR. SIDNEY)
9  MIRACLE ON ICE Jan25 Nov30 Oct05 Sep01 Aug16 (hughes g)SANJUR SANTO 126 5.00 9% 9.80    
  (by DIALED IN out of MAGICAL VICTORY by VICTORY GALLOP)
 
TP-4   02/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEL ARIA Feb02 Jan11 Dec16 Oct24 Sep08 (foster eric)BECKMAN ALICE 117 30.00    
2  KENDAL GRACE Dec21 Oct22 Oct13 Jul04 Jun22 (acevedo israel)MOJICA JR 124 20.00    
3  HASHTAG WINNER Jan04 Dec02 Oct11 Sep25 Aug06 (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 119 10.00    
4  CENTER STAGE Feb02 Dec21 Oct27 Sep17 Aug13 (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 124 6.00 ★    
5  TREATY OF PARIS Feb01 Aug20 Mar12 Feb16   (hamilton sara)GILLIGAN JACK 124 30.00    
6  FIRESIDE KITTEN Aug10 Jul18 Jun27 May11   (hammond k)BERMUDEZ E 124 20.00 13% 6.50    
7  WITH BELLS ON Jul23 Jun25 May28 Apr30   (mckeever a)CORRALES GERARDO 124 3.50 43% 1.30    
8  DE JORIA Dec10 Oct29 Sep22     (cas)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 5.00 19% 4.40    
9  AMAZON QUEEN Jan14 Dec21 Nov19 Sep01 Aug10 (delacour arna)CANNON DECLAN 124 12.00    
10  SHE'S KEEN Nov20 Oct02 Aug20 Jul28 Jun23 (arnold )DE CRUZ 124 2.50    
SCR  ELLE OF THE BALL Dec31 Nov25 Nov03 Jun22 May15 (sharp joe)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 4.00 ★    
 
TP-5   02/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3 F PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAT'S PALACE Nov23 Oct20 Aug10     (greenhill je)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 15.00    
2  NOW HERES THE PLAN Jan18         (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00    
3  FIRST HILL Jan13 Oct30       (medina rober)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 6.00 ★    
4  ALWAYS LAUGHING Jan18 Dec15 Oct13 Sep17 Aug14 (walsh brenda)RAMOS D 120 2.50 39% 1.60    
5  MISS GOODBAR Feb02 Jan11       (davis d)MOJICA O 118 15.00    
6  GRACIE MANSION Dec22         (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00 ★    
7  OH POLLYANNA Feb02 Dec31 Nov10 Sep14 Jul31 (shirer mat)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
8  IT FACTOR Jan01         (anderso)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
9  PIGALLE Jan18         (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 120 6.00    
10  SATIS Jan25 Dec07       (beck rowe)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 6.00 6% 14.90    
 
TP-6   02/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($74K) 3 F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TANGO ZULU Jan13 Nov23       (devaux cherie)MACHADO LUAN 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  MALAWNIA Jan12 Dec03 Sep17 Aug13 Jul01 (tomlinson m)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 20.00    
3  CHIQUITA MOSCA Jan26 Dec14 Nov20 Oct30 Sep03 (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 30.00    
4  FLASHY GEM Aug14 Jul15       (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 2.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  MIGHTY MADISON Dec21 Nov23 Oct20 Sep25   (bauer phil)CORRALES GERARDO 118 1.80 49% 1.10    
6  GONNA CUT IT Jan12 Dec14 Nov17 Jun29 Jun08 (mcpeek kenneth )ACHARD ALEX 122 8.00 ★    
7  TIKI BAR Jan12 Dec09 Sep13 Aug16 Jul26 (stidham )RODRIGUEZ A 113 5.00 12% 7.50    
 
TP-7   02/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($78K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IDIOMATIC Jan04 Dec07 May06 Apr02   (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 1.40 38% 1.70    
2  POLKA POLENTA Jan19 Dec22 Dec08 Oct31 Oct13 (davis j)DE CRUZ 124 6.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  DISCREET KITTY Jan12 Oct13 Sep13 Aug16 Jun21 (brumley willia)ELLIOTT JANE 124 30.00    
4  TREASURE OF WAR Jan26 Dec17 Oct31 Sep06 Jul24 (dev)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 8.00    
5  MAYBE LATER Jan14 Jan05 Dec07 Oct20 Sep22 (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 124 4.50 6% 16.70    
6  KING'S LEGACY Jan19 Dec21 Oct13 Aug08 Jun10 (van thomas)MOJICA O 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  KIMBERLEY DREAM Nov27 Oct31 Oct09 Sep28 Sep12 (winston d)OUZTS W 124 30.00    
8  GEORGETOWN ROAD Dec22 Oct05 Sep15 May26 Apr27 (mccarthy mich)CANNON DECLAN 124 12.00    
9  TEXAS MAGIC Feb01 Jan04 Dec21 Oct21 Sep30 (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 119 5.00 ★    
10  TELLER TO SING Jan19 Nov12 Oct26 Oct09 Aug22 (brownfield c)RAMOS D 124 30.00    
11  COMMANDERS PALACE Feb02 Jan05 Dec01 Sep21 Jun04 (rider m)MACHADO LUAN 124 20.00    
 
TP-8   02/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAY IN THE COUNTRY Feb02 Jan05 Nov14 Oct31 Oct10 (meredith ch)CHIRINOS ROIMES 123 30.00    
2  EAST OF INDIA Feb02 Dec14 Oct19 Jul09 Jun18 (howard mary)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 8.00    
3  LUCKY LAUREN Nov16 Oct06 Aug18 Jul22 Jun10 (newton troy)FELIX E 118 20.00    
4  TAPIT SAM Feb03 Dec30 Dec10 Nov27 Nov12 (reavis )DE CRUZ 126 8.00    
5  VALLEY VISTA Jan05 Dec02 Nov18 Oct09 Sep25 (campbell joel)MOJICA O 123 15.00    
6  SENSE SHINES Jan11 Sep03       (cano mu)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 2.00 37% 1.70    
7  MY BOY BLUE Feb02 Oct25 Oct11 Oct03 Sep20 (bogle fergus)HEARD TYLER 123 15.00    
8  FUNKY MUSIC Jan12 Nov03 Oct11 Sep19 Sep07 (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
9  CHIEF HOWCOME Jan05 Dec07 Nov09 Sep30 Aug31 (mcpeek g)OUZTS W 123 8.00    
10  GOTTSACKER Feb02 Oct20 Oct09 Aug16 Jul11 (bailey jo)BERMUDEZ E 123 20.00    
11  RED MULE Dec22 Dec01 Oct13 Sep18 Jul09 (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 123 4.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  KEEP SCROLLING Jan21 Dec11 Oct18 Sep15 Aug31 (walsh d)MCENTEE GRACE 118 20.00    
SCR  TOHUI Jan01         (jur)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 12.00 7% 14.10    
SCR  DIAMOND STATE Dec22 Jun01 Apr16     (smith larry)MACHADO LUAN 123 10.00 6% 17.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.