Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - February 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5/1/2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/5/1/2/3)-(4/5/1/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5)-(5/4/3/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(5/4/3/1)-(1) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
MVR-2   WIN (5/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/1)-(5/4/3/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/1)-(5/4/3/1/2)-(5/4/3/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/4/3/1)-(1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3/1)-(1)-(2/1/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-3   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/5/4/2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1)-(1/5/4/2/6)-(1/5/4/2/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1)-(2/1/4) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (1)-(2/1/4)-(1/8/6/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-4   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/3/4/5)-(2/1/3/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(1/8/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(1/8/6/3)-(8/6/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-5   WIN (1/8/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/6/3)-(1/8/6/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/8/6/3)-(1/8/6/3/4)-(1/8/6/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/8/6/3)-(8/6/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/8/6/3)-(8/6/1/7)-(3/5/7/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-6   WIN (8/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/1/7)-(8/6/1/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/6/1/7)-(8/6/1/7/5)-(8/6/1/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/6/1/7)-(3/5/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/6/1/7)-(3/5/7/2)-(5/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-7   WIN (3/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/7/2)-(3/5/7/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/5/7/2)-(3/5/7/2/6)-(3/5/7/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/5/7/2)-(5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3/1/4)-(5/2/3/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   02/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POLISHED GEM Jan28 Jan03 Nov04 Oct21 Oct14 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 ★    
2  PERFECTINGTHEVIEW Jan10 Dec30 Nov30 Nov12 Oct26 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 6.00 ★    
3  LIBERTY BELLE Jan28 Dec21 Dec02 Nov17 Nov02 (londono odin )CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00 ★    
4  SOMUCHSUGAR Jan19 Jan03 Dec03 Apr12 Mar26 (rone penny)GONZALEZ A 126 2.00 39% 1.50    
5  STARSHIP MACYS Jan03 Dec15 Nov15 Oct13 Sep29 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 3.00 34% 1.90    
6  FLAXEN Jan03 Dec15 Nov30 Nov10 Oct18 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124 8.00    
 
MVR-2   02/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY TO HAVE ME Nov21 Nov09 Oct23 Oct12 Jul25 (hernandez ric)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 13% 6.70    
2  JOLIE RULER Dec31 Dec18 Dec03 Nov13 Oct22 (ramos franci)ROSARIO L 124 6.00 ★    
3  PRINCESS HALIME Jan11 Dec22 Dec07 Nov17 Nov02 (yoder d)RIVERA R 124 4.50 15% 5.90    
4  COWGIRL KIMMIE Jan09 Dec08 Nov11 Oct25 Sep20 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 1.60 22% 3.60    
5  ORBIT MARS Dec30 Dec08 Nov15 Nov01 Oct14 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.40 29% 2.50    
6  LIVE IT UP Jan13 Aug25 Jul13 Jun28 May11 (shifflett che)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 12.00    
 
MVR-3   02/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEEKENDING Dec27 Dec13       (gorham robert )DIAZ I 118 1.00    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of CAPE FOG by CAPE TOWN)
1A  ROARING GINGER Dec27         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 1.00 73% 0.40    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of I RUN FOR DAN by FORMAL DINNER)
2  BROKEN JEWEL Jan10 Dec29       (yoder d)AVILES YAN 121 3.50 ★    
  (by PROFESSOR FATE out of MISS POSSE by POSSE)
3  DOZZA Jan26 Dec29       (bernardini ja)CEDILLO MAURO 121 15.00    
  (by ADDED EDGE out of CITY BEAUTIFUL by STORM CAT)
4  PUNCHCORN         (bayley randy)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 6.00 ★    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of PUNCHLINE STORY by TWO PUNCH)
5  CREME DE MAIS         (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 5.00 ★    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of VAN GOGO GIRL by VAN NISTELROOY)
6  CANELA FINA Dec27 Dec13       (langley j)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 118 10.00 ★    
  (by CORFU out of BEAUTIFUL LATINA by SPRING AT LAST)
7  UNEXPECTEDVALENTYN Sep14 Aug31       (bird dann)CORREA L 118 15.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of FLARING STAR by TAP DAY)
 
MVR-4   02/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON A TOUR Dec31 Dec04 Nov13 Oct28 Oct14 (hughes w)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00 23% 3.40    
2  INCESSANT Jan03 Dec19 Nov15 Nov01 Oct05 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
3  WINDY LU WHO Jan18 Dec28 Nov28 Oct26 Oct04 (anderson susa)BRACHO A 124 1.80 ★    
4  HAPPY BEE Dec28 Nov19 Aug09 Jul27 Jul04 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 5% 17.60    
5  BLAZING ZENNA Dec19 Nov09 Oct04 Aug24 Aug09 (mahan p)DIAZ I 124 8.00 ★    
6  SHE'S CRAFTY Jan18 Dec28 Nov28 Nov15 Oct29 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124 3.00    
 
MVR-5   02/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARGAREE Jan19 Dec28 Dec08 Oct10 Sep19 (zirche)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 58% 0.70    
1A  OUT ATTHE SPEEDWAY Jan19 Sep23 Sep09 Aug19 Aug03 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 3.50    
2  LA MUNECA Jan19 Dec20 Dec08 Nov02 Sep27 (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 4.50    
3  FANCY EMPRESS Jan19 Dec28 Dec16 Nov25 Sep23 (campbell joel)BRACHO A 124 4.00 6% 16.90    
4  ORBETTE Jan02 Dec08 Nov27 Oct23 Oct16 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 15.00 ★    
5  PRINCESS CONSUELA Jan19 Jan11 Dec17 Dec03 Nov26 (sanchez oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 20.00    
6  FLOWZANO Jan19 Nov30 Nov19 Oct25 Oct10 (romero jo)CORREA L 124 5.00 7% 13.80    
7  ESPECIALLY YOU Nov24 Oct07 Sep23 Sep08 Aug23 (shifflett che)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 2.50    
8  MISS OVER THERE Jan11 Jan03 Dec08 Oct03 Sep07 (mann)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 8.00 7% 12.90    
 
MVR-6   02/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPECIAL ASSISTANT Jan09 Nov22 Nov09 Oct17 Oct06 (diehl can)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 6.00 18% 4.60    
2  SOULSTONE Jan09 Dec15 Nov30 Nov18 Oct21 (bernardini ja)CEDILLO MAURO 121 10.00    
3  LUNA MIA Dec07         (londono o)CORREA L 126 10.00    
4  DANCING FOR MONEY Jan12 Dec28 Dec09 Nov11   (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 126 15.00    
5  I MATTER Jan12 Dec28 Nov23 Oct27 Sep19 (gorham robert)BRACHO A 126 8.00 ★    
6  TIME FOR CUPID Dec30 Dec15 Nov11 Sep16 Aug27 (delacr)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.50 25% 3.00    
7  IRON WILMA Jan30 Jan09 Dec28 Dec21 Nov23 (erwin andrew)DIAZ I 126 4.00 7% 13.60    
8  LEMONSANDDIAMONDS Dec15 Oct11 Sep07     (hamm timothy)REYES FRANK 126 3.00 27% 2.70    
 
MVR-7   02/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PASION AZTECA Jan23 Dec20 Dec02 Nov10 Oct22 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 124 12.00    
2  PRETTY LOUD Jan23 Jan11 Dec20 Dec11 Nov28 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 10.00 9% 10.30    
3  EL SICARIO Jan23 Jan12 Aug29     (sondej amy)TAPARA BRANDON 124 2.50 35% 1.90    
4  JOE BRRRR Jan19 Dec31 Oct30 Sep14 Aug17 (poole joe)CORREA L 124 6.00    
5  OLD FORTY FIVE Jan11 Dec13 Nov30 Oct30 Oct18 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 3.00 20% 4.10    
6  AUTOPOLIS Dec31 Nov29 Oct25 Sep25 Aug05 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 1.80 ★    
7  BAHAMIAN BEAT Jan30 Jan02 Dec06 Oct12 Oct05 (londono odin )CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 9% 9.70    
 
MVR-8   02/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUSHI Q Jan17 Jan03 Oct05 Sep12 Aug23 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 2.50 ★    
2  I GOT HOPE Jan19 Dec06 Nov09 Oct25 Oct13 (romero jo)CORREA L 124 6.00 20% 4.00    
3  NICEASAKITTENSEYES Jan19 Dec30 Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50 18% 4.60    
4  LUCKY PENNY ROSE Jan17 Dec30 Dec20 Nov16 Oct05 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 3.50 ★    
5  QUEEN HIGH (NZ) Dec20 Nov16 Oct05 Aug25 Jun20 (galloway khade)DIAZ I 124 3.00 30% 2.30    
6  CAUSE OF LOVE Jan19 Dec30 Dec07 Nov22 Jun30 (haehn r)HOUGHTON D 124 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.