Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - February 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(7/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(7/1/2)-(4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-2   WIN (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/2)-(7/1/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/2)-(7/1/2/3)-(7/1/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/1/2)-(4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2)-(4/5)-(3/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-3   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/3/5/8/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/3/5/8/7)-(4/3/5/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(3/6/4)-(7/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-4   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4/7/5)-(3/6/4/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(7/5)-(8/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-5   WIN (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/5)-(7/5/6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5)-(7/5/6/8)-(7/5/6/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/5)-(8/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (7/5)-(8/5)-(9/2/8/7/4) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
MVR-6   WIN (8/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/5)-(8/5/6/3/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/5)-(8/5/6/3/1)-(8/5/6/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5)-(9/2/8/7/4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (8/5)-(9/2/8/7/4)-(3/8/6) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
MVR-7   WIN (9/2/8/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/2/8/7/4)-(9/2/8/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/2/8/7/4)-(9/2/8/7/4)-(9/2/8/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/2/8/7/4)-(3/8/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
MVR-8   WIN (3/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/6)-(3/8/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/8/6)-(3/8/6/4)-(3/8/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   02/02/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  KRAMDEN Jan10 Dec18 Dec02 Nov26 Nov12 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 1.60 46% 1.20    
SCR  COSMIC TREASURE Jan17 Dec29 Dec03 Nov08 Oct14 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 1.60 ★    
2  ALGORIX Jan17 Dec29 Nov29 Nov07 Oct19 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00 ★    
SCR  LUCKY JUNIOR Jan17 Dec28 Dec13 Nov29 Nov14 (poole c)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  ISTILLGOTIT Dec13 Nov07 Oct13 Sep22 Sep12 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 124 3.00 19% 4.40    
5  GILES Jan03 Nov14 Nov08 Nov02 Oct25 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.50 8% 12.10    
6  PERFETTO Jan17 Dec12 Nov07 Oct25 Oct02 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 6.00    
 
MVR-2   02/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPICE IT UP Dec19 Nov15 Oct24 Sep26 Aug30 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 8.00 17% 5.00    
2  SIERRA DIAMOND Jan04 Dec06 Nov19 Nov09 Oct25 (casalinova tina)PEREZ E 126 5.00 11% 8.50    
3  SHELLEY'S GEM Jan09 Dec08 Nov30 Oct25 Oct10 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 1.60 ★    
SCR  AFERDITA Dec19 Nov09 Oct14 Sep20 Aug31 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 2.50 26% 2.80    
5  TAPALONG Jan28 Oct05 Jun02 May14 Mar11 (londono j)VIGIL NOEL 124 15.00    
6  CEVICHE Jan04 Dec07 Nov22 Nov01 Oct11 (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 8.00    
7  CONTENT (IRE) Dec06 Nov15 Nov01 Oct09 Sep26 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 23% 3.30    
 
MVR-3   02/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUCKEYE RUCKUS Nov28 Nov03 Oct12 Sep27 Sep12 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 6.00    
2  CADILLAC RIDE Jan17 Oct27 Sep08 Aug24 Jun25 (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 126 12.00    
3  THIS MAN CAN Jan17 Jan04 Dec27 Dec06 Nov22 (gonzalez )CORREA L 126 5.00 ★    
4  REANIMATE Jan16 Dec27 Nov19 Oct29 Jul13 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 1.40 63% 0.60    
5  JUDGE HEAD Sep08 Jul25 Jun27 May31 May02 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 4.00 6% 15.80    
6  CAPTAIN RILEY Jan17 Nov03 Jun27 May25 Apr27 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 10.00    
7  THE MAN CAN Jan17 Dec12 Nov28 Nov03 Oct10 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 126 15.00 ★    
8  BLUE MONARCH Jan11 Dec20 Nov28 Nov10 Oct10 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 126 8.00 ★    
 
MVR-4   02/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BEAT THE DEALER Dec20 Dec06 Nov15 Oct31 Sep29 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 12.00    
2  PRIVATE DRIVE Jan10 Dec27 Dec01 Nov07 Oct25 (rone penny)RIVERA R 126 10.00    
3  LITTLE BLAKER Dec27 Dec12 Jan04     (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.00 58% 0.70    
4  RONNI'S STORM Jan16 Dec31 Dec11 Nov26 Nov13 (ramos franci)ROSARIO L 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  HANSENATION Sep01 Aug18 Aug02 Jul19 Jun30 (juarez )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 15.00 ★    
6  GOLDEN MONEY Dec12 May03 Apr15 Mar24 Mar07 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 126 2.00 14% 6.30    
7  MIDNIGHT MIKEY Jan16 Dec12 Jun30 Jun09 May19 (ruberto louis )HOUGHTON D 126 3.50 ★    
8  DYNAMITE CLOUD Jan16 Dec29 Oct29 Sep29 Aug25 (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 15.00    
SCR  PECKS NOT BAD Jan16 Dec01 Nov12 Sep28 Sep01 (schuster robi)CEDILLO MAURO 126 20.00    
 
MVR-5   02/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAM PRIZES Sep12 Sep01 Aug13 Aug04 Jul13 (yoder d)YARANGA Y 124 10.00    
SCR  HONOR THE D Dec30 Dec12 Oct10 Sep20   (bates l)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 12.00 ★    
3  KISSINGER Dec21 Nov28 Nov10 Oct26 Oct14 (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00    
4  ROLLIN ON TEQUILA Jan04 Dec06 Aug24 Aug09 Jul06 (brown t)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00    
5  BIG OHIO Jan11 Dec21 Dec06 Nov19 Oct29 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  ROSCO P. COLTRANE Jan26 Dec12 Nov19 Oct29 Oct11 (romero jo)CORREA L 124 5.00 ★    
7  MANNFORD Jan16 Dec27 Nov07 Sep01 Jul18 (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 2.00 74% 0.40    
8  IT'S A MANS WORLD Nov03 Oct11 Jul07 Jun06 May10 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 ★    
9  JACK BE FAST Jan04 Dec21 Dec06 Nov12 Oct12 (hernandez r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00    
 
MVR-6   02/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOES A ROCKIN Jan17 Dec30 Dec12 Nov12 Nov03 (hernandez r)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 2.00 ★    
SCR  NAMBITI Jan17 Dec30 Dec06 Nov28 Nov03 (juarez)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 20.00    
3  C K'S LUCKY DUCK Jan17 Aug25 Jul26 Jun08 May24 (poole m)AVILES YAN 121 4.50 ★    
4  JUST CHESTER Jan17 Dec12 Oct10 Sep22 Sep07 (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 20.00    
5  OHIO CAUSE Jan04 Dec06 Sep01 Aug02 Jun27 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 126 5.00 8% 12.30    
6  FOREIGN Jan16 Dec20 Nov17 Nov10 Sep02 (diehl candace)DIAZ I 126 6.00 ★    
7  PLATE IT UP Jan28 Jan11 Dec30 Dec21 Dec12 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 126 20.00    
8  BOOT LEGGER Jan04 Dec06 Nov12 Oct12 Sep26 (londono odin)TAPARA BRANDON 126 2.50 58% 0.70    
 
MVR-7   02/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AREYOUTALKINGTOME Jan24 Dec06 Nov23 Nov13 Oct31 (welsh r)VIGIL NOEL 124 20.00    
2  HARD N'SWEET Dec29 Nov30 Nov08 Oct22 Sep27 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 2.00 30% 2.40    
3  GET HAMMERED Jan17 Jan03 Dec14 Dec08 Oct25 (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50    
4  PIONEER DANCER Nov14 Oct31 Oct11 Oct02 Sep18 (logston chri)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  KING ANDRES Jan05 Dec14 Nov29 Nov12 Oct27 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
SCR  O CIGANO Jan18 Dec21 Sep27 Sep01 Aug12 (andrade hugo)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00    
7  GOTSOMEMOJO Jan17 Dec29 Dec14 Nov29 Aug08 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 5% 18.50    
8  LOOKS GOOD N A TUX Jan23 Sep13 Aug24 Aug04 Jul27 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 9% 10.50    
9  GIZMO JONES Jan16 Nov08 Oct24 Oct14 Aug31 (urieta jo)CORREA L 124 2.50 30% 2.30    
 
MVR-8   02/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG BAD BEAST Jan16 Dec13 Nov06 Sep23 Aug28 (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 124 12.00    
2  PRIVATE CONNIE Jan16 Dec16 Nov09 Oct12 Aug28 (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
3  SCRATCHOFF Jan17 Dec30 Nov10 Sep15 Aug13 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.00 33% 2.00    
4  WICKED CHANCE Jan17 Dec06 Jul10 Mar15   (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 124 12.00 ★    
5  TONKAWA SPRINGS Jan17 Aug03 Jul05 Jun22 May30 (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.00    
6  NITROMAN Oct12 Sep07       (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 116 6.00 13% 7.00    
SCR  ROSE'S PEPINO Dec22 Nov27 Oct04     (johnson jenn)GONZALEZ KEVIN 116 8.00 ★    
8  R CARDINAL PRINCE Dec22 Oct27       (dacosta jason)RIVERA R 116 3.00 30% 2.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.