Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Friday - January 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
OP-1   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/5/3/6)-(2/5/3/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/5)-(2/1/4/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
OP-2   WIN (2/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/5)-(2/1/4/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/5)-(2/1/4/5/6)-(2/1/4/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/4/5)-(4/2/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4/5)-(4/2/7/5)-(3/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
OP-3   WIN (4/2/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/7/5)-(4/2/7/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/2/7/5)-(4/2/7/5/3)-(4/2/7/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/2/7/5)-(3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/7/5)-(3/2/6)-(6/1/9/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
OP-4   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6/5/1)-(3/2/6/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(6/1/9/8/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(6/1/9/8/4)-(10/2/7/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
OP-5   WIN (6/1/9/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/9/8/4)-(6/1/9/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/9/8/4)-(6/1/9/8/4)-(6/1/9/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/1/9/8/4)-(10/2/7/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/1/9/8/4)-(10/2/7/11)-(3/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
OP-6   WIN (10/2/7/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/2/7/11)-(10/2/7/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/2/7/11)-(10/2/7/11)-(10/2/7/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/2/7/11)-(3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/2/7/11)-(3/5/1)-(2/8/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
OP-7   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1/7/8)-(3/5/1/7/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(2/8/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(2/8/3/5)-(3/7/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
OP-8   WIN (2/8/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/3/5)-(2/8/3/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/8/3/5)-(2/8/3/5/6)-(2/8/3/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/8/3/5)-(3/7/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
OP-9   WIN (3/7/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/10)-(3/7/10/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/10)-(3/7/10/8/4)-(3/7/10/8/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   01/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($33K) 3 F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANARY NATION Nov10         (anderson dou)JORDAN R 120 20.00    
2  SHAKE RATTLE NROLL         (diodoro r)TORRES A 120 3.50 16% 5.20    
3  FIRST HILL Oct30         (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 2.50 ★    
4  NELLY TOO Dec30 Dec16 Sep15 Aug28   (cline n)HARR KELSI 120 15.00    
5  ABBREVIATION         (mott riley)BAZE C 120 20.00 7% 13.40    
6  PEACEFUL MOMENT Dec30 Dec03 Nov06 Oct13 Sep24 (mcpeek ke)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 3.00 ★    
SCR  JANE BOND Dec16         (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 120 4.00 48% 1.10    
8  PERFECTLY GOLDEN Dec09 Nov10       (calhoun william )JUAREZ NIK 120 4.50    
 
OP-2   01/13/2023 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($31K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEADER OF MEN Dec17 Oct27 Oct02 Aug02 Jun29 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 120 3.50 18% 4.70    
2  COACH ADAMS Dec01 Nov03 Sep03 Aug15 Jul29 (hollendor)RODRIGUEZ A 120 5.00 40% 1.50    
3  PRIMER DIMER Dec17 Nov19 Oct23 Sep04 Aug06 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 120 15.00    
4  FLATOUT WINNER Dec17 Nov19 Nov04 Aug21 Aug14 (litfin nevada)CABRERA DAVID 124 6.00 15% 5.70    
5  FREDONIAN Dec17 Dec01 Nov21 Nov02 Oct15 (broberg k)TORRES A 122 10.00 5% 17.60    
6  COLOSI Dec17 Nov04 Oct27 Oct06 Sep15 (petalino joe)MOJICA O 124 3.00 ★    
7  TIGER MOON Dec16 Nov25 Apr07 Mar04 Feb18 (schultz lindsay)JUAREZ NIK 124 2.50    
8  TAKE CHARGE GENT Dec09 Sep05 Aug08 Jul11 May31 (mcknight nor)MEDELLIN ERICK 113 15.00    
 
OP-3   01/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($51K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD PENNY Dec16 Nov16 Jul07 Jun04 Apr09 (asmussen )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 2.00    
2  ENCHANTED NILE Dec18 Nov16 Sep28 Jul07 Jun01 (hartman chris)ZIMMERMAN R 120 5.00 18% 4.50    
3  GIANNA'S GIFT Dec16 Nov16 Oct23 Aug27 Jul07 (contreras)DE CRUZ 120 3.00 ★    
4  BIG BAD DIVA Dec22 Nov16 Oct28 Sep21 Jul23 (simms ma)SANTANA JR 124 2.50 38% 1.70    
5  SHEZZ KOLDAZICE Dec16 Nov25 Nov03 Oct13 Sep21 (brennan terr)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 8.00 6% 15.20    
6  BLESSED AGAIN Aug06 Jul08 Jun10 Apr24 Mar18 (chleborad lynn)JUAREZ NIK 120 15.00    
7  BOBBIN TAIL Sep29 Jun10 May06 Apr24 Mar18 (smith p)CABRERA DAVID 120 15.00 13% 6.80    
 
OP-4   01/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAR POSE Oct26 Sep28 Aug07 Jul09 Jun19 (lukas wayne)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 ★    
2  KEEN CONTENDER Dec17 Nov06 Sep30 Aug07 Jul18 (anderson dou)JORDAN R 125 4.50 8% 11.70    
3  DOOZY BATZ Dec17 Oct13 Sep16 Jun09 Apr27 (litfin nevada)BAZE C 125 3.00 66% 0.50    
4  THE X FACTOR Dec17 Oct11 Sep28 Sep05 Aug08 (martin wil)MICHEL MICKAELLE 125 8.00    
5  ALITA Oct24 Oct10 Sep12 Aug24 Aug04 (puhl kim)DE CRUZ 125 12.00 ★    
6  QUALITY CHROME Jun09 May25 May08 Mar31 Mar06 (mason ingrid)WALES T 125 4.00 6% 16.50    
7  AMERICAN BAND Sep17         (ortiz al)CABRERA DAVID 125 5.00    
8  BARGAIN HUNTER Dec16         (divito p)BOWEN ROCCO 118 12.00    
SCR  ROWDY DAISY Dec17         (smith p)MOJICA O 125 6.00    
 
OP-5   01/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLOW TORCH Aug27 Jul16 Jul01 May22 May07 (broberg karl)CASTILLO ISAAC 126 4.50 22% 3.60    
2  MOURVEDRE Oct22 Sep25 Aug27 Aug06   (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 126 4.00    
3  MAJESTIC FLAG Dec18 Nov02 Sep18     (ortiz al)CABRERA DAVID 126 6.00    
4  BENISSIMO Nov12 Sep30 Sep10 Jul29 Jul08 (keithan rachael)ZIMMERMAN R 126 12.00 7% 13.70    
5  CHROME RUN Dec16 Oct20 Sep26 Sep10 May22 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 20.00    
6  CYCLONE Dec18 Nov23 Nov06 Jul03 Jun05 (sharp joe)SAEZ GABRIEL 126 3.00 32% 2.10    
7  LIL BRO COOP Nov25 Sep30 Aug25 Jun18 May01 (hartman chris)JUAREZ NIK 126 3.50    
8  PIZZA CHARLIE Jul11 Jun02 May17 Apr08 Mar11 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 126 15.00 8% 12.10    
9  HEIR TO GREATNESS Oct19 Sep01 Jul24 Jun17   (compton g)TORRES A 126 10.00 9% 10.30    
10  TOAST TO COAST Oct30 Oct09       (lukas wayne)GARCIA MARTIN 118 30.00    
 
OP-6   01/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LANSDOWNE (GB) Dec09 Nov19 Oct28 Sep22 Jul22 (hornsby t)ARRIETA FRANCISCO null      
2  UPTOWN HUSTLER Oct26 Oct12 Jun18 Apr23   (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 121 3.50 15% 5.50    
3  ACEHIGH ROYAL Dec09 Oct22 Sep30 Jun19 May22 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 124 6.00    
4  G T THREE FIFTY Sep29 Sep13 Aug11     (mason ingrid)WALES T 121 20.00    
SCR  ZAP MOTION Dec17 Oct19 Oct08 Aug22 Jul24 (durham danele)MOJICA O 121 20.00    
6  DRIFTER Dec17 Oct27 Oct03 Aug31 Aug15 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 121 20.00    
7  NAMESAKE Dec10 Oct05 Sep15 Jun16 May31 (swearingen to)BAILEY CHEL-C 121 4.50 5% 18.50    
8  IMMORAL Apr29 Apr02 Jan14     (puhich mike)BAZE C 121 15.00    
SCR  HANKS Dec17 Apr15 Mar24 Feb12 Jan07 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 121 5.00 9% 10.30    
10  VICTORY MARCH Dec18 Nov27 Nov03 Oct02 Jan09 (calhoun w)TORRES A 124 3.00 42% 1.40    
11  SCHMOOZE Jul04 Jun19 May21 May08 Mar17 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
OP-7   01/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOWN BRANCH Dec17 Nov19 Nov03 Sep18 Jul03 (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 3.50 13% 7.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of TYBURN BROOK by BERNARDINI)
2  MAGNIFICUS Jul24 May30 Apr30 Mar19 Feb26 (moquett ronal)CABRERA DAVID 125 12.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of OLATHE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
3  PLAUSIBLE DENILE Dec16 Oct29 Jun12 May20 Apr23 (divito p)BAZE C 125 3.00 39% 1.60    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of KID SILVER by SILVER GHOST)
4  READY SHOES Dec31         (wilson me)TORRES A 113 30.00    
  (by PROM SHOES out of MORE THAN CRAFTY by MORE THAN READY)
5  LIFE ON THE NILE Apr16 Mar19 Feb26 Jan29   (hollendorfer )GARCIA MARTIN 125 2.50 26% 2.90    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of LIFE IS SWEET by STORM CAT)
6  SHUFFLE DANCE         (asmussen)SANTANA JR 118 8.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of USHUAIA by CAPE CANAVERAL)
7  KINGMAKER Aug11 Jun05 Apr24 Mar19 Feb12 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 125 4.50 ★    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of HEYKITTYKITTYKITTY by TACTICAL CAT)
8  CRONUS May07 Mar25 Mar04 Feb12 Jan09 (contreras)DE CRUZ 125 15.00 ★    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of RED MOON GIRL by MALIBU MOON)
9  ROYAL KING Jan29         (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 125 15.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of R FROSTY ONE by SOUTHERN SUCCESS)
 
OP-8   01/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($104K) 3 F PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISS ADDIE LYNN Nov03 Sep22 Aug06 Jul15 Jun23 (lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 20.00    
2  KLASSY BRIDGETTE Dec11 Nov04 Sep18     (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 2.00 39% 1.60    
3  U GLOW GIRL Oct24 Sep25 Aug17 Jul20   (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.00 14% 6.10    
4  CRACKALACKING Oct07 Sep15 Aug14 Jul04 Apr21 (shorter aaron)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00    
5  SHE'S STORMING Dec09         (hewitt micha)JORDAN R 117 20.00 10% 9.40    
6  HOLIDAY DECISION Sep15 Aug14 Jul01 Jun10   (amoss m)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 ★    
7  JUNIORS JOANIE Aug28 Aug07       (smith p)CABRERA DAVID 118 8.00    
8  CONDENSATION Dec26 Nov19 Nov03 Sep16   (hartman chris)JUAREZ NIK 122 2.50 17% 5.10    
9  CHARLEE MAE Dec31 Nov10 Oct12 Aug29   (milligan)SANTANA JR 120 15.00    
 
OP-9   01/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LOBO IRISH Dec11 Nov09       (moysey che)GALLARDO EDUARDO 118 30.00    
  (by DOUBLE IRISH out of BRIGHT HOPE by HESABULL)
2  SHAKE UP Dec10 Nov19 Sep24     (calhoun william )JUAREZ NIK 118 20.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of I KNOW YOU KNOW by OFFICER)
3  STREET COMMANDER Dec16 Oct20 Jan09     (cates al)HARR KELSI 125 3.00 30% 2.40    
  (by STREET STRATEGY out of VUITTON TOO by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  THIRD WATCH (GB)         (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.50 ★    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of SANTORINI MOON by MALIBU MOON)
5  MR. COMMANDER         (garcia genaro)CABRERA DAVID 118 20.00    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of MISS ATTRACTIVE by RUNNING STAG)
6  CLASSY SOCKS Dec16 Oct13       (vance d)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 10.00    
  (by NORTHERN AFLEET out of CLASSY CORINTHIAN by CORINTHIAN)
7  EV'S SHERMAN Dec17 Nov27 Apr30 Apr09 Mar26 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 125 2.50 24% 3.20    
  (by DA STOOPS out of AMANDA'S ICE BOX by ICE BOX)
8  SKYPED Dec16 Apr30 Apr03 Mar11 Feb13 (borel renay)BOREL H 125 4.00 ★    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of SKYANNE by JOHANNESBURG)
9  STORM STRATEGY Dec16         (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 20.00    
  (by STREET STRATEGY out of TENSAS TRIESTE by STORM DAY)
10  CAMPISI Dec11 Nov07       (von hemel)TRIANA JR 118 15.00 23% 3.40    
  (by FLAT OUT out of IMMUNE TO GLOOM by CITIDANCER (IRE))
11  CHROME CANDY         (pish danny)BAZE C 118 30.00    
  (by TEXAS CHROME out of COUNTRY CANDY by INTIMIDATOR)
12  RUDIANO Dec11 Nov22 Aug08 Jul29   (loy dew)TORRES A 118 30.00    
  (by MO FOR THE MONEY out of PICK ME UP by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
13  HACKER Dec09 Jan22       (martin timot)JORDAN R 125 20.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of MAMA'S MAD MONEY by SAVE BIG MONEY)
SCR  ROYAL DE BE Dec18 Nov22 Oct21 Oct12 Sep26 (williams )RODRIGUEZ A 125 30.00    
  (by DECIBEL out of ROYAL ACCEL by CHAPEL ROYAL)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.