Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Friday - January 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
OP-1   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/8/7/6/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1)-(1/8/7/6/5)-(1/8/7/6/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1)-(8/1/5/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
OP-2   WIN (8/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/5/6)-(1/8/5/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/1/5/6)-(1/8/5/6/7)-(1/8/5/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/1/5/6)-(8/2/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/1/5/6)-(8/2/6/9)-(5/10/1/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
OP-3   WIN (8/2/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/6/9)-(8/2/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/6/9)-(8/2/6/9)-(8/2/6/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/6/9)-(5/10/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/2/6/9)-(5/10/1/3)-(6/2/7/9) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
OP-4   WIN (5/10/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/10/1/3)-(5/10/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/10/1/3)-(5/10/1/3)-(5/10/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/10/1/3)-(6/2/7/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/10/1/3)-(6/2/7/9)-(9/7/6/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
OP-5   WIN (6/2/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/7/9)-(6/2/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/7/9)-(6/2/7/9)-(6/2/7/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/7/9)-(9/7/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7/9)-(9/7/6/2)-(1/5/6/2/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
OP-6   WIN (9/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/6/2)-(9/7/6/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/7/6/2)-(9/7/6/2/5)-(9/7/6/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/7/6/2)-(1/5/6/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/7/6/2)-(1/5/6/2/7)-(9/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
OP-7   WIN (1/5/6/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/6/2/7)-(1/5/6/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/6/2/7)-(1/5/6/2/7)-(1/5/6/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/5/6/2/7)-(9/1/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6/2/7)-(9/1/4)-(2/4/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
OP-8   WIN (9/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/1/4)-(9/1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/1/4)-(9/1/4/5)-(9/1/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/1/4)-(2/4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
OP-9   WIN (2/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/6)-(2/4/1/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/6)-(2/4/1/6/3)-(2/4/1/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   01/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($26K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARPE HORSESHOE Nov19 Oct07 Sep18 Aug11 Jul14 (mcknight nor)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 1.60 69% 0.40    
1A  CRYSTAL CRESCENT Nov26 Nov10 Aug25 Jul15   (mckni)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 115 1.60    
2  JERI DAWN Aug14 Jun26 Jun13 May23 May06 (martin ti)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 117 12.00    
3  GUEST IN MY HEART Dec11 Nov08 Oct11 Jun30 Jun01 (garcia genaro)CABRERA DAVID 117 6.00    
SCR  G MONEY LIV Dec16 Oct11 Sep20 Aug27 Aug13 (jansen kenny)HIRALDO JOHN 122 20.00    
5  BIG ON BROADWAY Mar27 Mar13 Jan30 Jan08   (martin timot)JORDAN R 117 5.00 ★    
6  TORCH OF HONOR Dec16         (borel renay)BOREL H 122 20.00 ★    
7  JODEAN Sep03 Aug12 Jul30 Jul22 Jul15 (broberg k)TORRES A 122 2.50 ★    
8  ESSENTIAL BELLA Dec16 Jul11 Jun26 Jun09 Apr22 (mcbride burl )BAILEY CHEL-C 122 8.00 ★    
 
OP-2   01/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOE BILL Dec11 Dec01 Nov05 Sep29 Sep12 (smith p)CABRERA DAVID 125 8.00 ★    
1A  DRAG MALIBU Dec11 Nov30 Nov03 Sep24 Sep12 (smith p)CABRERA DAVID 123 8.00 23% 3.30    
2  KRUSIN ROCKET Feb13         (martin wi)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
3  SHAKEDOWN STREET Dec09 Nov13 Oct12 Sep25 Jul15 (schultz lind)CASTILLO ISAAC 125 3.50    
4  TEQUILA REVOLUTION Dec11 Nov22 Jul14 Jun28 May21 (mason ingrid)BAILEY CHEL-C 125 20.00    
5  PIKACHU Dec11 Sep26 Sep11 Aug30 Apr23 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 118 5.00 21% 3.90    
6  SHOTGUN UP Nov25 Oct22 Sep30 Sep14 Feb24 (petalino joe)QUINONEZ S 125 8.00 9% 10.20    
7  LITTLE FRAPPUCINO Dec09 Jul26 Jul03 Jun21 May29 (broberg k)TORRES A 125 6.00 ★    
8  KOSELIO Dec18 Oct11       (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 1.40 25% 3.00    
 
OP-3   01/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($27K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COURTNEY FAY Aug27 Jul10 May28 May01 Apr07 (durham danele)MOJICA O 120 12.00    
2  TAILORBESWIFT Dec17 Sep25 Sep08 Aug04 Jul02 (broberg k)TORRES A 120 5.00 25% 3.00    
3  PROUD VICTORIA Sep06 May28 Apr29 Apr15 Mar11 (milligan alle)CABRERA DAVID 120 10.00    
4  FLOWERSFORSHANTELL Sep19 Aug28 Jul16 Jun13 Apr29 (mcbride b)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
5  FIVE QUEENS Dec02 Nov03 Sep14 Sep02 Aug20 (mcbride d)BOWEN ROCCO 120 8.00    
6  HALE'S ANGEL Nov30 Nov12 Oct20 Jun06 May18 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 124 4.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  TIGER BAIT Jul03 Jun11 May19 Apr29 Apr15 (rosin cot)RODRIGUEZ A 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  RICHNESS Mar05 Jan30 Jan09     (swearingen to)BAILEY CHEL-C 120 2.00 27% 2.70    
9  WICKED STREET Dec17 Jul24 Jul02 May17 Apr24 (hornsby tammy)BOREL H 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  TRULY A ROCKET Nov23 Nov05 Sep25 Sep04 Aug21 (altamirano e)MEDELLIN ERICK 113 6.00    
 
OP-4   01/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAME IT         (martin timot)JORDAN R 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  FLOOR IT Dec11 Sep04       (cline n)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 20.00    
3  SPARKIN         (cates al)BAILEY CHEL-C 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SMALL SAILOR Dec09 Nov11 Oct13 Sep26 Sep06 (garcia genaro)CABRERA DAVID 120 30.00    
5  COLOR FIELD Nov27 Oct19 Sep22 Aug30 Aug06 (amoss m)BEJARANO R 120 1.60 26% 2.90    
SCR  FUNNY UNCLE Nov13 Oct30 Oct02 Aug29   (vance d)COURT K 120 2.00 24% 3.20    
7  MALORIE'S BIG BOY Dec11         (morse l)QUINONEZ S 120 20.00    
8  UPTOWN SOCIAL Dec11 Jun26 Apr08     (barkley jaso)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 15.00    
9  STORM APPROACHING Dec11         (anderson )DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
10  G T FIVE HUNDRED Dec11 Oct13 Sep21 Aug06   (mason ingrid)WALES T 120 6.00 20% 4.00    
 
OP-5   01/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANALYZER Dec09 Nov18 Nov06 Oct16 Oct02 (mcknight )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 5.00    
2  TRUMPENCE Nov08 Sep28 Aug26 Jun21   (diodoro r)TORRES A 120 3.50 8% 11.40    
3  SAHM TEQUILA Dec16 Oct30 Sep15 Sep07 Aug17 (litfin nevada)ZIMMERMAN R 120 30.00    
4  NORTH SIDE Dec16 Jul17 Jun24 May24 May07 (broberg karl)BOWEN ROCCO 120 15.00    
5  COOL RUNNINGS Dec16 Nov09 Oct22 Oct04 Sep12 (vance d)COURT K 120 20.00    
6  ROCK N JUNE BUG Nov27 Nov09 Oct25 Oct04 Sep13 (ortiz al)CABRERA DAVID 124 3.00 13% 6.60    
7  RELEASED Dec16 Nov09 Oct16 Sep21 Aug16 (diodoro )SANTANA JR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  CRIMSON ZIP Dec10 Feb18 Feb04     (broberg karl)MOJICA O 120 12.00    
9  POP'S BISCUIT Dec17 Dec08 Nov25 Nov15 Oct21 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DRENA'S STAR Dec10 Nov09 Sep23 Jun10 May12 (duncan trisha)COURT J 120 4.50 45% 1.20    
11  SHANGHAI POINT Dec09 Nov26 Sep20 Aug23 Aug12 (rosin cot)RODRIGUEZ A 120 8.00    
12  EVEN THUNDER Nov13 Oct27 Oct11 Sep29 Sep14 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 122 15.00    
 
OP-6   01/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($104K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUMAYAZ Nov16 Oct16 Sep11 Aug12 Jul04 (peitz dan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 6.00    
2  TAPIT'S SPIRIT Dec10 Nov09 Oct17 Sep22 Aug02 (shirer a)BEJARANO R 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  DON'T FORGET Dec10 Nov12 Oct15 Sep21 Aug26 (shorter a)TORRES A 120 20.00    
4  MR. THUNDERSTRUCK Nov25 Oct28 Sep11 Jul11 Jun27 (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 15.00    
5  CLASSIC MOMENT Nov09 Oct14 Mar27 Feb27 Jan29 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 120 3.00 ★    
6  PEACEFUL STREET Jan01         (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 120 5.00 21% 3.80    
7  CONGRESSMAN May07 Jan29       (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.50 21% 3.70    
8  ULTIMATE Oct15 Aug07 Jul08 Jun25 May21 (martin timot)JORDAN R 120 15.00    
9  MISTER MMMMM Nov07 Oct15 Sep03     (catalano wayn)CABRERA DAVID 120 4.50 28% 2.60    
 
OP-7   01/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOON CONNECTION Oct22         (litfin nevada)BAZE C 120 5.00 21% 3.70    
2  TEXAS TED         (barkley jason)HIRALDO JOHN 120 20.00 7% 13.60    
3  SIX WHIPS Dec10 Oct29       (moysey chels)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 12.00    
4  BOLT ABOVE Oct27 Sep30 Sep01     (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 20.00    
5  PRINCE OF ROSES Dec18 Nov25 Oct20 Sep25 Aug09 (garcia genaro)GARCIA MARTIN 120 2.00 21% 3.70    
6  BRILLIANT COLORS Dec02 Nov17 Oct02 Jul17   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 4.00 18% 4.60    
7  THINKINGNDRINKING         (martin timoth)CABRERA DAVID 120 20.00 5% 17.70    
SCR  CAMBIASO Dec18 Dec11 Nov23 Nov09 Sep28 (garcia genar)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 2.50    
9  SANTINO'S FANTASY Dec11 Oct27 Sep24     (shorter aaro)JORDAN R 120 15.00    
SCR  LIMA ZULU Sep18 Sep04       (stidham m)TORRES A 120 20.00    
 
OP-8   01/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($104K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VULCAN Dec18 Jun15 Jun01 May20 Apr15 (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 5.00 20% 4.10    
2  EMPERADOR Oct14 Jan22       (hiles rick)JUAREZ NIK 120 20.00    
SCR  TORONTOTORO Dec13 Nov13 Oct26 Oct07 Sep15 (mcentee paul)BEJARANO R 124 4.00 17% 5.00    
4  GOLDEN HORNET Dec10 Nov21 Nov06 Oct01 Aug13 (rivelli larry)BAZE C 120 8.00 5% 18.70    
5  TIZHOTNDUSTY Dec11 Dec03 Nov02 Sep10 Aug21 (diodoro r)TORRES A 124 10.00 ★    
6  IGNITIS Dec10 Nov16 Oct14 Sep17 Jul29 (lukas wayne)GARCIA MARTIN 120 20.00    
SCR  SPARTY SENSE Nov17 Oct14 Apr08 Mar17 Feb12 (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 30.00    
8  DIAMOND CITY Dec10 Aug19 Jul17     (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 120 30.00    
9  KNOCKER DOWN Nov21 Nov12 Oct28 Oct14 Sep09 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 124 0.80 38% 1.70    
 
OP-9   01/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($107K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TUT'S REVENGE Nov22 Oct27 Sep14 Aug07 Jul24 (stuart shea)JUAREZ NIK 120 8.00 6% 15.00    
2  NOBODY LISTENS Nov23 Oct31 Oct05 Sep06 Jun29 (eggleston ti)RAMOS D 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
3  SEVEN NATION ARMY Nov02 Sep01 Aug06 May28 May08 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 120 8.00 ★    
4  KAVOD Dec10 Nov13 Sep21 Aug26 May07 (hartman chris)CABRERA DAVID 120 4.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  CHIEF RON Oct27 Oct06 Sep23 Aug17 Jul14 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 122 20.00    
6  HE'SMYHONEYBADGER Nov23 Sep23       (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 10.00 6% 16.20    
7  TEJANO TWIST Nov21 Oct14 Sep21 Sep10 Aug07 (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 2.50    
8  LYKAN Oct01 Jul24 Jun25 May08 Apr15 (mason ingrid)WALES T 120 20.00    
9  CANADIAN PRIDE Nov04 Oct15 Apr29 Mar05 Feb04 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 120 20.00    
10  CHATTALOT Dec10 Nov24 Oct19 Mar09 Feb10 (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.