Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - January 28, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (3/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/6)-(3/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/6)-(3/7/4/6)-(3/7/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/4/6)-(1/5/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4/6)-(1/5/7/2)-(3/1/5/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-2   WIN (1/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/2)-(1/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/2)-(1/5/7/2)-(1/5/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/7/2)-(3/1/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7/2)-(3/1/5/8)-(2/4/5/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-3   WIN (3/1/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/8)-(3/1/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/8)-(3/1/5/8)-(3/1/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/5/8)-(2/4/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5/8)-(2/4/5/1)-(4/3/7/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-4   WIN (2/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/5/1)-(2/4/6/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/4/5/1)-(2/4/6/5/1)-(2/4/6/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/4/5/1)-(4/3/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5/1)-(4/3/7/2)-(8/3/6/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-5   WIN (4/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/2)-(4/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/2)-(4/3/7/2)-(4/3/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/7/2)-(8/3/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7/2)-(8/3/6/5)-(1/7/9/5/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-6   WIN (8/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/6/5)-(8/3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/6/5)-(8/3/6/5)-(8/3/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/6/5)-(1/7/9/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/3/6/5)-(1/7/9/5/2)-(5/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-7   WIN (1/7/9/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/9/5/2)-(1/7/9/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/9/5/2)-(1/7/9/5/2)-(1/7/9/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/7/9/5/2)-(5/7/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/7/9/5/2)-(5/7/3)-(4/5/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-8   WIN (5/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/3)-(5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/3)-(4/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-9   WIN (4/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/2/3)-(4/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/2/3)-(4/5/2/3)-(4/5/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKES SENSE TO ME Jul04 Jun17 May06 Apr25 Apr13 (zielinski ri)AYALA J 126 5.00    
2  LIGHT HEARTED Dec19 Nov26 Nov03 Oct21 Oct09 (ccamaque)FERNANDEZ R 126 20.00    
3  HOT CAROL Dec19 Dec04 Sep04 Dec30 Jul21 (haehn te)MARTINEZ A 126 3.50 40% 1.50    
4  KINGSTON TIME Dec19 Nov11 Oct27 Oct09 Sep23 (spiess m)DIAZ I 126 10.00 10% 9.40    
5  PERFECTINGTHEVIEW Jan13 Dec16 Sep17 Aug19 Jun25 (urieta joh)WEATHERLY BAILEY 126 2.50    
6  ACT LIKE A LADY Dec19 Sep15 Aug27 Feb19 Jan30 (skelton t)STOKES J 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  BAREBACK FUN Dec19 Aug14 Jul22 Jul03 Jun11 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 2.00 28% 2.60    
 
MVR-2   01/28/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARKHAMIAN Jan13 Dec28 Dec10 Oct13 Sep30 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 2.00 32% 2.10    
2  RANSEUR Jan07 Aug21 Aug07 Jul17 Jul01 (mcconvil)MARTINEZ A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  MOON OVER DUBAI Jan13 Dec28 Dec10 Nov20 Nov07 (poole jami)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 20.00    
4  RAY'S GONE ASTRAY Jan10 Dec04 Nov19 Nov12 Oct16 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 124 3.00    
5  DR SCHUSTER Dec08 Nov12 Oct30 Oct20 Oct07 (corder)RODRIGUEZ A 119 6.00 18% 4.40    
6  WILD TIME Jan13 Dec08 Nov25 Oct29 Oct10 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00    
7  FLAWLESS CAT Dec28 Dec11 Nov25 Oct28 Sep18 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 3.50 13% 6.80    
 
MVR-3   01/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ INDEPENDENCE Jan15 Dec23 Dec03 Nov19 Sep26 (skerrett jeffrey)STOKES J 126 4.50 29% 2.50    
2  QUARANTINA Jan08 Dec27 Nov19 Oct21 Sep30 (casalinova)WEATHERLY BAILEY 126 20.00    
3  RENO TOUCH Dec27 Dec10 Nov19 Sep26 Aug13 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 126 3.50 35% 1.80    
SCR  TESHIMA Nov30 Nov09 Oct19 Sep28 Sep10 (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 126 6.00    
5  HALF BIRTHDAY Jan08 Oct22 Sep10 Sep04 Jul30 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 126 8.00 14% 6.30    
6  CEVICHE Jan08 Dec27 Nov19 Oct21 Aug15 (casalinova tina)VEGA L 126 10.00    
7  FOREVER UNCAPTURED Dec18 Nov18 Oct29 Oct14 Sep23 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 126 1.60    
8  MISS SHADY Jan09 Dec27 Nov27 Nov10 Jul15 (trevino steph)BRACHO A 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-4   01/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOMINIQUE'S NIGHT Jan08 Nov06 Sep30 Aug28 Nov07 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  MIZZEN THE POINT Jan08 Dec02 Nov06 Dec20 Nov28 (overholt )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 4.00 42% 1.40    
3  THIRTY SOMETHING Jan08 Dec02 Nov06 Oct19 Oct01 (morale)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00    
4  A P'S RUNAWAY DIVA Jan08 Dec18 Dec02 Nov05 Oct23 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 124 3.50 31% 2.20    
5  DANCE DRAMA Jan13 Dec02 Nov06 Oct08 Sep16 (flores c)MARTINEZ A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  BUCKEYE ROSE Jan08 Dec23 Dec04 Apr11 Feb24 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 124 3.00 ★    
SCR  SAVESOMEFORME Dec18 Nov06 Sep19 Aug29 Jul25 (bates l)AVILES YAN 124 15.00    
8  C MORE PRIDE Jan08 May07 Apr03 Mar04 Jan31 (faulkner c)STOKES J 124 20.00    
9  OFFICE CHATTER Jan08 Dec18 Dec02 Nov19 Nov06 (vlaun )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00    
10  OPIE'S GIRL Jan08 Dec02 Nov04 Oct05 Sep18 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
11  MARGARITA CINCO Jan08 Jul25 Nov09 Oct23 Oct04 (castro r)FERNANDEZ R 124 20.00    
12  RUBY LAYNE Jan08 Dec18 Nov24 Oct29 Oct14 (o)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 124 6.00    
 
MVR-5   01/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON AND ICE Jan09 Dec28 Dec10 Nov27 Oct25 (farrio)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00    
2  DYRDEK Dec10 Nov20 Nov03 Oct07 Sep04 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 8.00 15% 5.60    
3  BAD LITTLE BEAST Dec26 Dec12 Nov27 Nov12 Oct09 (winters mich)HALDAR J 124 4.00 19% 4.40    
4  FRONTLINER Dec26 Nov19 Nov04 Oct19 Jul30 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.50 25% 2.90    
5  CALL ME GUSTO Sep03 Aug12 Jul21 Jul01 Jun17 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 5.00    
6  BIG BUCKSALOT Jun22 Jun06 May03 Apr12 Mar20 (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 124 6.00    
7  UBIQUITOUS Jan13 Dec26 Dec02 Nov12 Oct24 (urieta j)MARTINEZ A 124 8.00 17% 4.80    
8  THAT KHENNY Sep10 Feb10 Jan01 Dec09 Nov17 (castillo jab)AYALA J 124 10.00    
 
MVR-6   01/28/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOLLOW THE SIGNS Dec26 Oct14 Sep16 Aug20 Jul17 (sweeting craig)PEREZ E 124 20.00    
2  BROADWAY JONES Nov19 Oct22 Sep09 Aug13 Jul08 (hurley l)TOLEDO S 124 10.00    
3  HOUSEBUILDER Dec02 Nov12 Oct22 Oct07 Sep26 (bernardini jay )TAPARA LUIS 124 6.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  KOSCIUSZKO Nov19 Nov02 Oct09 Sep12 Aug29 (brown glenroy)SIMPSON JASON 124 10.00    
5  GILLIGAN Dec02 Nov12 Oct28 Oct09 Sep24 (m)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  MONTEREY PENINSULA Dec17 Dec02 Nov14 Sep08 Aug04 (poole m)BRACHO A 124 5.00 8% 10.90    
7  ROTARY DIAL Dec28 Dec07 Nov04 Oct16 Sep17 (reid davi)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 4.00    
8  OUTKISSED Jan02 Dec05 Nov21 Oct24 Sep29 (farrior )MARTINEZ A 124 2.00 38% 1.70    
9  ONE RED CENT Dec12 Nov21 Oct15 Sep18 Sep07 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00    
 
MVR-7   01/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIERCE ASSAULT Jan07 Dec20 Dec07 Nov04 Oct07 (eggleston tim)AVILES YAN 124 2.00 25% 3.00    
2  MSHINDI Jan13 Dec27 Nov20 Nov07 Oct23 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  EL BANDIDO Dec28 Dec05 Nov25 Nov07 Oct28 (tumbli)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00    
4  ON HIS TOES Jan06 Dec11 Oct28 Oct03 Aug27 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 124 20.00    
5  CAPTURE MI Dec28 Dec11 Nov07 Oct28 Oct01 (vlaun )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 5% 17.30    
6  AURA OF GOLD Jan13 Dec28 Nov25 Nov07 Oct19 (madrigal)FERNANDEZ R 124 8.00    
7  BUEHLER'S DAY OFF Jan07 Dec12 Nov07 Jul25 Jun13 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
8  WRITEITONTHEICE Jan17 Dec20 Sep06 Aug23 Aug15 (zook w)LEON A 124 15.00    
9  MOON CHARGER Sep19 Aug31 Aug23 Aug07 Jul25 (short w)STOKES J 124 4.50 20% 3.90    
 
MVR-8   01/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TURKODANCER Jul29 Jul22 Jul01 Jun12 May29 (langley jo)WEATHERLY BAILEY 126 20.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of SMALL TOWN FLIRT by PURGE)
2  SKUNK APE Dec10 Nov21 Nov02 Oct11 Sep30 (loudin-smith )TOLEDO S 126 20.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of QUEEN YELLENA by TOCCET)
3  MOONSHINE JOE Jan09 Dec26 Dec10 Nov02 Oct22 (r)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 126 12.00 7% 14.10    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of MOONSHINE PROMISE by WILL HE SHINE)
4  INDY'S HOPE Dec26 Nov21 Oct22 Oct11 Sep30 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 126 1.60    
  (by INDY WIND out of WITHALITTLEHOPE by HOLD ME BACK)
5  P J'S BOY         (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 118 4.50 38% 1.70    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of THUNDERTAP by TAPIZAR)
SCR  VERNON'S BEST Dec26 Dec10 Nov02 Oct22 Oct11 (urieta j)MARTINEZ A 126 1.20    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of MIDNIGHT BEAUTY by PROSPECTOR'S BID)
7  LUCKY KATER         (casalinova tina)VEGA L 126 15.00 28% 2.60    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of SHOW CAT by OXBOW)
 
MVR-9   01/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUDE THE LEGEND Jan09 Dec26 Sep16 Aug07   (urieta johanna)STOKES J 126 20.00    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of LEDGE'S MONARCHOS by MONARCHOS)
2  BLUE BLOOD COWBOY Jan15 Dec28 Dec12 Nov27 Nov13 (dacosta )FERNANDEZ R 118 12.00 10% 9.00    
  (by ONE SIDED out of COWBOY'S PRINCESS by COWBOY CAL)
3  WHO CAN'T WAIT Jan09 Oct11 Sep05 Aug18 Aug02 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INDIAN EXPRESS out of WHO ON FIRST by DANCE BRIGHTLY)
4  WEEKEND RETREAT Oct07 Sep16 Aug29 Aug07 Jul22 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 1.20 50% 1.00    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of AFTERNOON PRAYER by MEADOW PRAYER)
5  FORMYBOYS Jan09 Dec26 Nov21 Oct11 Sep30 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 126 6.00 14% 6.10    
  (by TAPIDOR out of NIPPY'S VENTURE by MAUK FOUR)
6  EVANS WORLD Dec26         (juarez-mendoza re)PEREZ A 126 15.00    
  (by LOUIE VILLAIN out of PAIGES WORLD by WORLD ORDER)
7  WANDALOU'S PRIDE Dec26 Dec10       (vlaun )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 20.00    
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of DEPUTY WANDA by WANDO)
8  HIDDEN HEART Dec26 Dec10 Nov21 Oct11 Sep30 (skerrett j)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 1.60    
  (by ANIMO DE VALEROSO out of PRECOCIOUS by EXPLOIT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.