Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - January 27, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(7/2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(7/2/4/1)-(5/7/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-2   WIN (7/2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/1)-(7/2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/4/1)-(7/2/4/1)-(7/2/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/4/1)-(5/7/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/4/1)-(5/7/1/2)-(2/3/5/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-3   WIN (5/7/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/2)-(5/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/2)-(5/7/1/2)-(5/7/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/1/2)-(2/3/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1/2)-(2/3/5/6)-(3/2/5/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-4   WIN (2/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/6)-(2/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/6)-(2/3/5/6)-(2/3/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/5/6)-(3/2/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5/6)-(3/2/5/6)-(1/6/7/2/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-5   WIN (3/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/5/6)-(3/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/5/6)-(3/2/5/6)-(3/2/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/5/6)-(1/6/7/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5/6)-(1/6/7/2/5)-(6/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-6   WIN (1/6/7/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/2/5)-(1/6/7/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/2/5)-(1/6/7/2/5)-(1/6/7/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/6/7/2/5)-(6/5/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7/2/5)-(6/5/4)-(7/4/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-7   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(7/4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(7/4/6/5)-(6/2/7/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-8   WIN (7/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/6/5)-(7/4/2/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/4/6/5)-(7/4/2/6/5)-(7/4/2/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/4/6/5)-(6/2/7/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
MVR-9   WIN (6/2/7/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/2/7/4/1)-(6/2/7/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/2/7/4/1)-(6/2/7/4/1)-(6/2/7/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIFT OF OAK Dec17 Nov21 Oct29 Oct11 Sep17 (haehn r)GONZALEZ A 124 3.50    
2  MEDIA DARLING Jan16 Dec17 Apr29 Apr01 Feb28 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 2.50 66% 0.50    
SCR  BUCKEYE RED Jan16 Dec19 Oct30 Sep26 Apr02 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.50    
4  GOOD MUSIC Dec17 Nov19 Oct29 Sep26 Aug28 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 124 4.00    
5  PALACE TEMPTATION Jan13 Dec17 Nov21 Oct26 Oct03 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 124 3.00 9% 10.00    
6  STRIKE ONE Dec19 Aug28 Aug17 Jul17 Jun20 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-2   01/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOSEY POWER Dec17 Oct27 Apr04 Mar25 Mar06 (spiess sha)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  LITTLE TOY GUNS Dec17 Aug30 Jul10 Jun22 May23 (poole m)BRACHO A 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
3  HARTSTEIN Jan13 Aug22 Aug01 Jul23 Jul04 (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00    
4  ROLL ON BIG O Dec17 Nov21 Oct29 Oct01 Sep04 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 124 2.00 11% 8.50    
5  GOTTOMAKEITHAPPEN Sep12 Aug19 Jul29 Jul01 May29 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 5.00    
6  LIL RICKYS JEWEL Dec17 Nov21 Nov07 Oct23 Sep28 (corriveau j)NUNEZ Y 124 10.00    
7  FLAG RAISER Dec17 Dec03 Jun05 May08 Mar18 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
 
MVR-3   01/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DICHOTOMY Nov20 Oct28 Sep17 Aug15 Jul25 (poole jami)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 10.00 12% 7.50    
2  MARIANNA QUEEN Jan03 Dec11 Dec02 Nov19 Oct28 (inirio o)LEON A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  LUCKY PHOENIX Jan01 Aug08 Jul18 Jun18 May30 (paye jose)BERMUDEZ E 124 2.50    
4  ELIKA Jan08 Dec12 Dec03 Nov18 Nov05 (bailey ric)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 8.00    
5  WICCA WISDOM Jan06 Dec16 Nov13 Oct13 Jul14 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.80 40% 1.50    
6  SUFFERIN SUCCOTASH Jan02 Nov27 Nov10 Oct23 Oct15 (inirio carlo)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 6.00    
7  SPECIAL BEACH Jan08 Dec27 Sep30 Sep04 Aug20 (mahan jo)FERNANDEZ R 124 4.00 22% 3.50    
 
MVR-4   01/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELKO Jan06 Dec16 Nov27 Nov12 Oct30 (v)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 126 3.50    
2  MARY KATHERINE Jan09 Dec18 Nov27 Nov10 Oct24 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 2.50 55% 0.80    
3  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN Jan09 Dec18 Dec04 Nov14 Nov04 (faulkner c)STOKES J 124 4.50 22% 3.60    
4  QUEEN LEXI Jan09 Dec26 Nov04 Oct04 Sep27 (sh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00    
5  BYTHENUMBERS Jan09 Dec10 Nov19 Oct29 Oct09 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  RUMOURS FLY Dec18 Dec04 Nov14 Oct22 Sep23 (buttigieg kevi)DIAZ I 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  TORREY STREET Jan09 Dec16 Nov27 Nov12 Jul04 (rivera ne)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 3.00    
8  MANGORITA Jan09 Dec18 Dec04 Nov13 Sep23 (vlaun )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00    
 
MVR-5   01/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOGICO Dec28 Dec11 May21 Apr09 Mar19 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 1.60    
2  ROSE'S PEPINO Jan08 Dec12 Nov20 Nov06 Oct24 (pappada a)STOKES J 124 4.50 22% 3.70    
3  ATKINS Jan08 Dec05 Nov02 Oct24 Oct13 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 6.00 35% 1.90    
4  ROYAL DRAGOON Jan08 Dec19 Nov05 Oct22 Oct11 (urieta johanna)PEREZ E 124 20.00    
5  DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR Jan08 Dec02 Nov13 Oct23 Oct01 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 126 8.00 12% 7.40    
6  GEAUX YOSHKA Jan09 Sep18 Aug28 Jul25 Jun27 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  ONE TEN Jan08 Dec18 Nov25 Oct28 Oct11 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50    
 
MVR-6   01/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KRUG Dec02 Nov11 Oct27 Oct01 Sep08 (lopez e)VEGA L 124 3.50 29% 2.50    
2  FIRST CITIZEN Jan13 Dec28 Dec12 Nov27 Nov12 (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 126 4.00 11% 8.10    
3  ENDLESS SUNSET Dec28 Nov22 Nov01 Oct04 Sep24 (buttigieg ke)AYALA J 124 15.00    
4  CAMBIASO Jan07 Jul01 Jun08 May23 May04 (juarez-mendo)HALDAR J 124 20.00    
5  JARLIAN Dec26 Dec16 Dec05 Nov05 Sep25 (vlaun manuel)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  CORONA GRANDE Dec16 Nov12 Oct16 Sep17 Sep05 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 21% 3.90    
7  SLIPPERY WHEN WET Dec16 Nov20 Oct02 Sep25 Sep10 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 11% 7.90    
8  DANVILLE Dec18 Oct24 Oct10 Sep26 Aug11 (candelas )BERMUDEZ E 124 10.00    
9  LAUTREC Nov27 Nov11 Oct14 Oct01 Sep09 (pappada julie)BRACHO A 124 20.00    
 
MVR-7   01/27/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LOVE THE SAUCE Jan07 Dec13 Nov16     (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.20    
2  BELLAVALENCIA Dec02 Aug05 Apr22 Apr04 Mar20 (flores chris)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
3  PINK PARTY PANTS Dec27 Nov20 Nov04 Sep02 Aug19 (johnso)RODRIGUEZ A 119 12.00    
4  ALTER THE STARS Jan09 Dec27 Nov27 Oct22 Oct07 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  HEBRIDES Dec27 Oct22 Oct14 Sep28 Sep18 (norris stephani)PAUCAR E 124 15.00 11% 8.10    
6  QUICK RECOVERY Jan09 Dec23 Dec04 Nov19 Nov02 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 2.50 65% 0.50    
7  LIVING IN STYLE Jan09 Dec09 Nov20 Nov04 Oct21 (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 8.00    
SCR  KACHOW Jan18 Dec12 Oct12 Sep25 Sep06 (curtsi)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 124 6.00    
 
MVR-8   01/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARTY OF NO Dec08 Dec01 Nov19 Nov05 Oct15 (inman robert )CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00    
2  DEVIL VISION Jan07 Dec11 Dec02 Nov19 Nov06 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 124 3.50 ★    
3  IRISH UNITY Jan16 Dec10 Nov26 Oct02 Sep11 (rivera ne)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 6.00    
4  CENTSOFWANDER Jan07 Oct21 Sep19 Aug29 Jul22 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 4.00 5% 19.00    
5  TWO COOKIE RULE Jan07 Dec02 Nov06 Oct13 Sep29 (norris stephani)REYES FRANK 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  THE RED MAN Dec16 Dec03 Nov12 Oct28 Sep30 (szczepanski emily)PEREZ A 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  MY TWO AUNT JOANS Jan07 Dec23 Dec02 Nov14 Nov02 (vecchi)RODRIGUEZ A 119 4.50 73% 0.40    
8  K P SILVER BULLET Dec12 Nov20 Nov04 Oct19 Oct07 (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 124 8.00    
9  SEE SPOT RUN Dec12 Nov20 Oct15 Oct01 Sep18 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00    
 
MVR-9   01/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEEKING FREEDOM Jan09 Dec27 Dec10 Jan18 Jan02 (faulkner c)STOKES J 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  GUESS AGAIN Jan09 Dec27 Oct26 Oct09 Aug15 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 124 2.50 30% 2.40    
3  EARL'S STORMY WIND Jan09 Nov11 Oct26 Sep20 Sep06 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 10.00    
4  KENNEDY'S CAMELOT Dec27 Dec10 Oct26 Sep19 Aug15 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 6% 14.90    
5  FORT GRANDE Jan09 Dec27 Dec10 Nov11 Oct22 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 8.00    
6  STRIKE PLATE Jan09 Dec27 Dec10 Nov26 Nov11 (langley jo)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 3.00 31% 2.30    
7  SO CO MANHATTAN Dec26 Nov21       (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 124 6.00 6% 14.70    
8  WHY KENNY WHY Jan07 Nov12 Oct21 Sep26 Sep04 (casalinova ti)SIMPSON JASON 124 20.00    
9  JAC'S EMPIRE Jan09 Dec19 Nov12 Oct10 Sep25 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 116 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.