Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - January 05, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(6/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(6/5/4/7)-(2/3/5/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-2   WIN (6/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/4/7)-(6/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/4/7)-(6/5/4/7)-(6/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/4/7)-(2/3/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4/7)-(2/3/5/7)-(1/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-3   WIN (2/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/7)-(2/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/7)-(2/3/5/7)-(2/3/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/5/7)-(1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5/7)-(1/4/7)-(3/2/7/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-4   WIN (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/7)-(1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/7)-(3/2/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7)-(3/2/7/9)-(8/6/2/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-5   WIN (3/2/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/9)-(3/2/1/7/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/9)-(3/2/1/7/9)-(3/2/1/7/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/2/7/9)-(8/6/2/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7/9)-(8/6/2/9)-(7/3/8/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-6   WIN (8/6/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/2/9)-(8/6/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/2/9)-(8/6/2/9)-(8/6/2/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/2/9)-(7/3/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/6/2/9)-(7/3/8/6)-(7/3/10/4/11) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-7   WIN (7/3/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/8/6)-(7/3/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/8/6)-(7/3/8/6)-(7/3/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/8/6)-(7/3/10/4/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
AQU-8   WIN (7/3/10/4/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/10/4/11)-(7/3/10/4/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/10/4/11)-(7/3/10/4/11)-(7/3/10/4/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   01/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($74K) 4UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  D C BOY'S Dec01 Aug15 Jul11     (levine bruce)CANCEL ERIC 122 3.50    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of JUDGE LEE by STREET CRY)
2  VITALIZE Dec29 Dec01 Nov07 Oct27 Sep26 (donk david)LUZZI J 122 4.50    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of TAKE IT ALL BACK by FLASHBACK)
3  LEO'S REWARD Dec29 Jul27       (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 34% 2.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of FUTURE REWARD by EMPIRE MAKER)
4  BARON OF SEALAND Dec01         (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of TO A FRIEND by SCAT DADDY)
5  FAST AMENDMENT Nov26         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of GOLD ANKLET by LEMON DROP KID)
6  VAN VOLLENHOVEN Dec01 Oct25       (duggan dav)RIVERA R 122 3.00 32% 2.20    
  (by BIG BROWN out of DUCASA by DISCREET CAT)
 
AQU-2   01/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($42K) 3 ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REVIVALISM Dec15 Nov15 Sep21 Aug01   (weaver george)CIVACI SAHIN 120 4.00    
2  TWOHONESTMISCHIEF Dec14 Nov23 Nov03 Oct19 Sep22 (ferraro w)DAVIS KATIE 120 2.50    
3  MONOMOYS PARTNER Sep28         (chichakly amir)COA J 120 15.00    
4  SOLAR GLARE Dec07 Nov01 Oct18 Sep02   (synnefias d)RAMOS O 120 8.00 19% 4.40    
5  JUST LICORICE Nov15 Nov03 Sep22     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 23% 3.40    
6  CHASING COLTON Nov17 Oct18 Sep14 Aug21 Jul19 (david carlos )FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 31% 2.20    
7  UNCLE BARRIE Dec07 Nov17 Oct18 Oct06   (metivier rich)OLVER MADISON 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-3   01/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN Dec14 Jun21 May10 Apr21 Mar30 (figueroa carlo)LUZZI J 121 15.00    
2  IT TAKES HEART Nov21 Oct20 Aug29 Aug11 Jul20 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.60 41% 1.40    
3  APRIL ANTICS Nov22 Oct10 Sep13 Aug16 Jul05 (falcone)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 1.40 27% 2.80    
4  RAW POWER Dec14 Nov26 Nov12 Oct30 Oct14 (sells rachel)DAVIS KATIE 123 20.00    
5  CONDIMENT GIRL Dec14 Nov07 Oct10 Sep15 Aug14 (potts wayn)RIVERA R 121 8.00 8% 11.50    
6  JOLLY MISS JILL Dec14 Nov08 Oct10 Sep15 Jul25 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00    
7  SISTER LINDA Dec08 Nov08 May25 May10 Mar22 (schettino dom)FRANCO MANUEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-4   01/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($74K) 3 F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOTTIE MARGARET Nov22         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 58% 0.70    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of PASSIONATE DIVA by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCR  AIBELL Nov02         (reynolds)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 115 8.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of QUEEN OF ENGLAND by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
3  GABBY'S LEGACY Dec14 Oct20       (morley thomas)SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.50    
  (by MCKINZIE out of FOURSCOREANDSEVEN by COLONEL JOHN)
4  LADY WISDOM Dec01 Oct20 Aug08     (morey william )LUZZI J 120 8.00 14% 6.20    
  (by SOLOMINI out of MYSELF by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  OBSERVER Dec07         (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of BEDSIDE POSSE by POSSE)
6  PRETTY MAGICAL Dec14 Nov16 Aug22     (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of STOLEN STAR by CAT THIEF)
7  UNWOKE Dec07 Oct25       (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of TIME WARP by CAIRO PRINCE)
 
AQU-5   01/05/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAM ALLIANCE Dec12 Nov30 Aug05     (delau)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 6.00    
1A  FIRST TRUMPET Dec14 Nov29 Oct03 Sep19 Sep02 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00 ★    
2  LIMITS OF POWER Nov24 Oct01       (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 15% 5.60    
3  WAJDA Nov07 Oct03 Sep01 Aug10 Nov17 (brown c)LUZZI J 122 2.50 59% 0.70    
4  NOBLE ONE Dec14 Nov21 May12 Mar28 Feb25 (pregman jr)RUIZ ELISEO 122 30.00    
5  LCGOLUCKY Dec14 Nov07 Sep28 Sep19 Sep01 (ferraro )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 20.00    
SCR  SCOTTISH STORM Oct20         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00    
7  PRAIRIE DUNES Nov24 Nov01 Sep28 Aug24 Aug15 (sciacca)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  NILRUC Nov21 Nov01 Sep26     (brown r)CIVACI SAHIN 122 20.00    
9  AWESOME LIFE Aug24 May18       (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  DANGEROUS DRIVER Dec14 Nov21 Nov01 Oct05 Aug24 (jimenez l)DAVIS KATIE 122 12.00    
 
AQU-6   01/05/2025 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  NATURAL HARBOR Nov15 Oct05 Aug28 Jul27 May18 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.50    
SCR  PRESIDENT Z Nov20 Nov02 Feb09 Jan13 Jan04 (dutrow ric)RIVERA R 121 4.50    
2  SMILE MON Nov14 Oct19 Sep21 Sep01 Aug17 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 17% 5.00    
3  FOR SOME REASON Nov14 Oct24 Sep15 Aug22 Jul28 (donk david)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00    
SCR  SIN NOMBRE Dec06 Nov24 Nov09 Oct12 Sep14 (romero j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 50.00    
5  MONTEBELLO Dec08 Nov14 Oct08 Sep14 Aug18 (figueroa carl)SILVERA RUBEN 123 15.00    
6  CRITICAL THREAT Nov16 Sep01 Aug01 Jul19 Apr05 (falcone)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 3.50 20% 4.00    
7  DOT'S DOLLAR Nov01 Sep27 Aug10 Jul25 Jun23 (rodriguez gusta)CANCEL ERIC 121 15.00    
8  COMMERCE COMET Dec27 Nov15 Oct19 Sep21 Aug22 (dutrow richard)LUZZI J 123 4.50 27% 2.80    
9  GIROOVIN Dec13 Nov14 Sep27 Aug28 Dec29 (schaue)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 8.00 15% 5.90    
 
AQU-7   01/05/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PATRICIA ANN Nov29 May04 Mar28 Feb24 Dec30 (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 6.00    
2  EQUUS Nov14 Sep19 Sep04 Jun23 Jun15 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00    
3  KID'S LAST LAUGH Nov17 Oct04 Mar28 Feb24 Jan04 (dutrow richard )CARMOUCHE K 123 4.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  GOLDEN DEGREE Dec01 Oct04 Aug10 Jun22 May16 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.50    
SCR  I'M BUZZY Dec12 Nov16 Sep22 Aug03 Jul17 (baker charlton)RUIZ ELISEO 121 20.00    
6  GOODNIGHTNGODBLESS Nov30 Oct22 Sep17 Aug14 Jul20 (grusmark karl)DAVIS KATIE 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  HEADLINE NUMBERS Oct26 Aug22 Jul04     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 38% 1.60    
8  KHALI MAGIC Nov23 Nov03 Oct06 Jun20 May12 (ferraro james)SILVERA RUBEN 121 12.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  PROUD FOOT Dec12 Aug04 Jun09 Apr25 Mar17 (dutrow)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 8.00    
10  COURBE Dec01 Oct12 Aug24 Jul12 Oct15 (pletcher todd )CIVACI SAHIN 121 8.00    
 
AQU-8   01/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOLCE SERA Dec12 Nov17 Oct12 Sep28 Aug14 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 12.00    
2  FIND YOUR JOY Dec12 Nov17 Oct18 Aug26 Jul30 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 5.00    
3  DASHING DELLA Dec08 Nov30 Nov01 Oct18 Aug10 (arenas )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 4.50 9% 10.40    
4  BOOK OF WISDOM Dec12 Nov09 Oct12 Sep28 Sep16 (potts wayne)COA J 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  STARRY MIDNIGHT Dec12 Nov26 Nov09 Oct24 Oct12 (ferrar)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 10.00    
6  KAREN'S HONOR Dec12 Nov17 Sep28 Aug16 Aug07 (jimenez jose )FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00    
7  STREET JAM Dec12 Nov09 Sep28 Oct14 Sep29 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50 58% 0.70    
8  MYSARIA Dec12 Aug02 Jul07 Jun09 Apr27 (hills a)DAVIS KATIE 123 6.00    
9  SUN AND WIND Nov19 Nov03 Oct03 Sep04 Jul28 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 30.00    
10  MY ROYAL VOW Nov26 Nov18 Oct09 Sep16 Jul26 (barrow paul)LUZZI J 123 15.00 7% 13.20    
11  WILL BE FAMOUS Jul18 Jun22 May12 Apr07 Mar24 (toscano t)CANCEL ERIC 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.