Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - November 26, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(4/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(4/5/3)-(3/2/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-2   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(3/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(3/2/5)-(5/7/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(5/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(5/7/4/3)-(2/3/8/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-4   WIN (5/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/3)-(5/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/3)-(5/7/4/3)-(5/7/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/4/3)-(2/3/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4/3)-(2/3/8/5)-(7/6/3/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-5   WIN (2/3/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/8/5)-(2/3/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/8/5)-(2/3/8/5)-(2/3/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/8/5)-(7/6/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/8/5)-(7/6/3/1)-(2/7/6/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-6   WIN (7/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/3/1)-(7/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/3/1)-(7/6/3/1)-(7/6/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/3/1)-(2/7/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3/1)-(2/7/6/5)-(3/4/1/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-7   WIN (2/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/5)-(2/7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/5)-(2/7/6/5)-(2/7/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/6/5)-(3/4/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MVR-8   WIN (3/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/6)-(3/4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/6)-(3/4/1/6)-(3/4/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   11/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAZZBERRY RIPPLE         (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 8.00 19% 4.20    
  (by GORMLEY out of RAZZLEDAZZLE ME by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
2  CREDIT CHECK         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 6.00 19% 4.20    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of CREDIT ANALYST by CENTRAL BANKER)
3  A THOUSAND PRAYERS Nov13         (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 122 12.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of PRAY BABY PRAY by VIOLENCE)
4  COMPLEXITY GIRL Nov13 Oct26 Oct09 Sep16 Aug28 (rivera r)FELICIANO R 122 1.60 23% 3.30    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of ARTISTIC LICENSE by HEART OF THE STORM)
SCR  ELECTRIC MELODY Oct26         (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 122 4.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of THISSONGSFORBAILEE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  SECRET VALENTINE Nov13 Oct26 Sep16 Aug28 Jun26 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 122 2.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of BETROTHED by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
MVR-2   11/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARQUITOS M Nov11 Oct26 Oct09 Sep19 Sep05 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 124 1.60    
2  BUCKEYE MIKE Oct21 Oct11 Jul01 Jun12 May29 (crumley jevon)FELICIANO R 122 8.00    
3  HAPPY TAKEOVER Nov11 Oct29 Apr11 Mar27 Feb24 (ccamaque marc)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  NATIONAL STORY Nov11 Oct09 Aug31 Jul31 Jul18 (jensen justin )GILBERT KYLE 124 4.00 30% 2.40    
5  STRIKE PLATE Nov11 Oct26 Sep26 Sep09 Aug28 (langley joshu)ZONETT KEYNER 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
6  BIG TIME FLIRT Oct09 Sep26 Sep05 Aug19 Jul25 (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 124 5.00    
 
MVR-3   11/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND ZHOUL Nov12 Oct21 Oct02 Sep14 Aug31 (tumblin andr)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 12.00    
2  GLOBAL HYSTERIA Nov07 Oct21 Sep26 Sep16 Aug19 (miller arizona)HOUGHTON D 124 3.50 26% 2.80    
3  RAY'S EMPIRE Nov12 Oct29 Aug21 Jul31 Jul15 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 5.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  GRAY DAY Nov13 Sep26 Sep14 Aug31 Aug15 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 124 8.00    
5  SAMURAI WAY Nov12 Oct21 Sep26 Aug31 Aug15 (barton amanda )DIAZ I 124 10.00 8% 11.90    
6  PARTY POOPER Nov02 Oct05 Aug22 Aug03 Jul20 (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 6.00    
7  ROLLIN MY WAY Nov12 Oct21 Sep11 Aug16 Jul31 (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 122 4.00    
SCR  IVORY SKY Aug05 Jul15 Feb07 Dec16 Dec09 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 124 3.00    
 
MVR-4   11/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUCKET LIST Oct29 Oct09 Sep18 Sep04 Jul16 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.50    
2  SAGE RUNNER Nov07 Oct23 Oct10 Sep23 Sep16 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00    
3  OUTA JAIL ON BAIL Nov11 Oct10 Sep23 Aug26 Jun25 (erdel john)DIAZ I 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  HECHICERO Sep30 Aug30 Aug19 Jun30 May18 (rom)GIRON ALEJANDRO 122 3.00 6% 14.50    
5  GRAND BEY Nov07 Oct23 Oct09 Sep25 Sep13 (poole m)CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.00 44% 1.30    
6  MANSION PARTY Nov07 Oct23 Oct05 Sep11 Aug16 (short thomas)PEREZ A 122 6.00    
7  IMPOSTER SYNDROME Nov07 Oct14 Sep26 Sep02 Aug19 (huffman can)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.50 25% 2.90    
 
MVR-5   11/26/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE MOJITO Oct30 Oct01 Jul29 Jul01 May27 (crumley jevon)FELICIANO R 124 20.00    
2  PARLAY CHARLIE Nov06 Feb28 Feb07 Jan24 Jan10 (radosevich jus)DIAZ I 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
3  OLYMPIC WINGS Nov06 Oct21 Oct07 Sep23 Aug28 (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  JUSTWORTHASHOT Oct30 Oct07 Sep23 Aug28 Aug10 (schuster robin)PEREZ A 124 12.00    
5  SUPER SCAMP Oct30 Sep27 Sep13 Aug21 Jul03 (cline c)HERMAN NOEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  WHATDID I BUY Aug10 Jun18 May29 Apr01 Mar14 (flores christia)NEGRON LUIS 124 20.00    
7  APPALACHIAN SPIRIT Oct30 Oct07 Sep27 Sep13 Aug28 (overholt g)DIAZ R 126 10.00    
8  SHES A STORM         (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  COUNTRY STYLE Jun18 Jun03 Apr08 Feb22 Jan31 (bird dan)FERNANDEZ R 126 4.50    
SCR  RIVERS RUN RED Nov20 Oct30 Oct01 Sep05 Aug26 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 20.00    
11  MY DEAR VALENTINE Oct21 Sep27 Aug21 Aug09   (salcedo ramon)REYES FRANK 126 15.00    
 
MVR-6   11/26/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOCTOR WU Oct22 Oct07 Aug22 Jul24 Jul03 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  CLASS ACTOR Nov12 Oct30 Oct09 Sep16 Aug27 (castillo jabd)ZONETT KEYNER 124 3.50    
3  GAME BOY BENNY Nov06 Oct28 Oct19 Sep30 Sep10 (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 124 4.50 12% 7.60    
4  QUANTUM THEORY Feb01 Jan02 Dec11 Nov16 Nov02 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00    
5  MAKING ME CRAZY Oct19 Sep19 Aug22 Jul23 Jul02 (mahan jo)FERNANDEZ R 124 3.00    
6  OTIS OTIS OTIS Oct09 Sep24 Sep10 Aug26 Aug06 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 124 8.00 21% 3.70    
7  DAVID'S GEM Oct27 Sep17 Aug12 Jul15 Jun24 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 5.00 31% 2.20    
8  IRISH UNITY Oct02 Sep11 Aug22 Aug06 Jul24 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 6.00    
 
MVR-7   11/26/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEPPER PIKE Nov14 Oct30 Sep18 Sep05 Jul03 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 6.00    
2  SMASH Nov06 Oct21 Oct07 Sep23 Aug28 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 31% 2.20    
3  AULD LANGE SYNE Nov13 Oct23 Oct08 Aug29 Aug12 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 10.00    
4  BREEZY MONEY Nov13 Oct20 Sep18 Aug20 Jul30 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50    
5  OILER Nov06 Oct21 Oct01 Sep03 Aug17 (faulkner c)PEREZ A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  BROADWAY SKY Nov06 Oct21 Oct01 Sep10 Aug20 (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50 22% 3.50    
7  ICE BLAST Aug05 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 May09 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 124 4.00 23% 3.40    
8  MILLARD'S SMILE Nov02 Oct13 Oct03 Sep15 Sep01 (calderon ivan)NEGRON LUIS 124 10.00    
 
MVR-8   11/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL MARRO Apr01 Mar11 Feb21 Jan02 Dec13 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  SERENDIPITOUS Oct26 Oct07 Sep17 Aug26 Aug13 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 124 5.00    
3  RECKLESS L J Oct30 Oct07 Sep17 Aug29 Jul16 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.60 52% 0.90    
4  WILDCAT EXPRESS Oct30 Oct07 Sep17 Aug29 Jul16 (poole m)BRACHO A 124 4.00 21% 3.70    
5  RAISE THE PURSES Oct07 Sep17 Sep04 Aug26 Aug12 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 124 20.00    
6  BISCUITS AND GRITS Nov18 Nov04 Oct07 Sep10 Aug20 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  CORNER OFFICE Oct26 Sep17 Aug20 Jul25 Jun26 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 124 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.