Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - November 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(3/1)-(1/3/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-2   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/1)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(1/3/6)-(4/3/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-3   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(4/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(4/3/5)-(2/4/1/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(2/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(2/4/1/7)-(4/7/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-5   WIN (2/4/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/7)-(2/4/1/9/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/7)-(2/4/1/9/7)-(2/4/1/9/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/4/1/7)-(4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1/7)-(4/7/2)-(7/3/5/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-6   WIN (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/2)-(4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/2)-(7/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2)-(7/3/5/1)-(5/2/7/1/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-7   WIN (7/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/5/1)-(5/2/7/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5/1)-(5/2/7/1/8)-(8/5/1/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-8   WIN (5/2/7/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/7/1/8)-(5/2/7/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/7/1/8)-(5/2/7/1/8)-(5/2/7/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/7/1/8)-(8/5/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
AQU-9   WIN (8/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/1/7)-(8/5/3/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/5/1/7)-(8/5/3/1/7)-(8/5/3/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   11/22/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONETARY MONARCH Jan05 Nov19 Oct12     (lugovich lisa )LUZZI J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of HER MAJESTY'S OWN by BELONG TO ME)
2  GRANADILLA Oct25 Aug02 Jun16 May11 Apr06 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 1.80    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of GRACILIA by MR. GREELEY)
3  CATCHPHRASE         (walden william)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.40 27% 2.70    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of GRACE'S TREASURE by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
4  LONCHURA Oct20 Jul05 Jun06 Feb11 Jul09 (barrera osc)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 20.00    
  (by TONALIST out of MADOFFWITHTHECASH by DIXIE UNION)
5  BLUE SUEDE SUE Oct20 Aug02       (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of BLUEGRASS FLAG by BLUEGRASS CAT)
6  CAPITAL SPENDING Aug25 Jul27 Jun21 May25 Apr25 (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50 27% 2.80    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of SANDY BELLE by MORE THAN READY)
 
AQU-2   11/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPTAINSDAUGHTER Oct27 Oct06 Aug16 Jun23 Oct29 (cash russell)CASTELLANO J 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STONEWALL STAR Oct27 Aug25 Jul26 Jun09 Mar24 (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50    
3  ST. BENEDICTS PREP Nov03 Sep01 Aug03 Jun30 May24 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 1.80 39% 1.60    
4  CHI TOWN LADY Aug24 Jul26 Jun22 May04 Feb10 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 121 1.60    
5  MOVIE MOXY Nov03 Aug03 Jul26 Apr14 Mar30 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.50    
 
AQU-3   11/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S COOL Oct20 Aug11 Jun28 May31 Apr19 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.80 58% 0.70    
2  MOONLIT WEEKEND Oct26 Sep19 Aug07 Jun27 May17 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 8.00    
3  FIVE TO TWO Oct20 Sep27 Aug02 Jul06 Jun30 (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50 19% 4.30    
SCR  PAM PAM Oct06 Aug30 Jul22 Jul04 Jun12 (rice linda)SILVERA RUBEN 120 1.60    
5  SAUCY SIX Oct27 Sep29 Aug03 Jul21 Jun28 (keithan rachael)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00    
6  SHEHANAH Sep27 Jul24 Jul05 Jun20 May04 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-4   11/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SPIRIT DRAGON         (kimmel joh)RIVERA R 119 4.00    
2  PREMIER CRU Nov04         (sanchez-)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 20.00    
3  BOBBY BOB         (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 6% 14.50    
4  WESTERN WOLF Oct24 Sep28       (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 119 1.00 68% 0.50    
5  HENRY'S HOPE         (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PAZZ THE SOY SAUCE         (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 119 3.00    
7  MAX N FIFO Oct03 Aug29       (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 15.00    
 
AQU-5   11/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONEY IN THE BANK Oct06         (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 20% 4.10    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of HOMERUN HONEY by FREUD)
2  FOREVER TO GO Oct26 Sep02       (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 2.50 35% 1.90    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of FORGET IT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  PHONECALLTOHEAVEN Oct25         (miceli michael)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of RAINBOW'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  LOTTIE MARGARET         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 22% 3.60    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of PASSIONATE DIVA by STREET CRY (IRE))
5  HOWLING WIND         (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 119 8.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of TYPHOON TERI by STORMY ATLANTIC)
6  PRINCESS MISCHIEF Oct25 Sep23 Aug22     (englehart chri)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of PRINCESS CONSORT by DIXIELAND BAND)
7  DYNAMITENDIAMONDS Oct25 Sep19       (sanchez-)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of LITERARY LADY by BIRDSTONE)
8  TWIRLING LULU Oct26 Aug04       (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of MISS HOT STONES by BUSTIN STONES)
9  WILD MISCHIEF Oct26 Sep02 Aug04     (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.00 ★    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of WILD BILL'S GIRL by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
AQU-6   11/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOEY THE FISH Nov08 Oct10 Jul25 Jun21 May24 (persaud )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 20.00    
2  CARBON Nov07 Oct10 Sep29 Jul20 Feb19 (samsu)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  APRIL ANTICS Oct10 Sep13 Aug16 Jul05 Apr04 (barrera oscar)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50    
4  TRADE SECRET Oct20 Aug16 Jul05 Jun21 May25 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 1.60 38% 1.70    
SCR  JOLLY MISS JILL Nov08 Oct10 Sep15 Jul25 Jun21 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 121 10.00    
SCR  WHISTLER'S STYLE Oct19 Sep13 Aug16 Jul04 Jun15 (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 125 2.50    
7  HAZARDOUS HUMOR Oct20 Sep13 Aug29 Aug03 Jul11 (potts wayne)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.00 29% 2.50    
 
AQU-7   11/22/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPIRIT OF ESTHER Sep22 Aug18 Aug02 Jun28 Jun06 (martin car)RIVERA R 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  SCARLET'S DREAM Jul24 Jul07 May25 Apr20 Mar03 (giddin)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00    
3  MY MAGIC WAND Sep27 Aug02       (sacco gregory)VELAZQUEZ R 120 1.40 30% 2.30    
4  CAROL T Nov01 Sep19 Aug02 Jul07 Jun09 (jimenez l)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00    
5  AUNT YOLA Oct26 Sep26 Aug23 Jul19 May24 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 15% 5.50    
6  GREGORIAN SOLO Oct20 Sep14 Aug02 Jul07 Jun16 (lugovich lisa )LUZZI J 118 20.00    
7  GEOPOLITICS Oct17 Aug24 Aug02 Jul19 Jun14 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 120 1.60 34% 2.00    
 
AQU-8   11/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BREW PUB Oct23 Oct01 Sep17 Aug01 Jun27 (englehart )RIVERA R 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  BOURBON CHASE Oct24 Sep28 Aug25 Feb17 Dec30 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.50 34% 2.00    
3  CABLE READY Nov08 Sep27 Sep15 Aug15 Jul18 (dixon k)RUIZ ELISEO 120 20.00    
4  COLLOQUY Oct12 Aug18 Aug04 May26 Apr26 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 6.00    
5  SHADOW DRAGON Sep28 Aug01 Jun27 May26 Dec07 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 3.00 34% 1.90    
6  TWO'S A CROWD Oct24 Sep28 Aug29 Jul28 Jul14 (ryan s)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00    
7  MIGHTY ATLAS Sep28 Aug30 Jun27 May27 May04 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 125 2.50 11% 8.20    
8  ALLURE OF MONEY Oct24 Sep23 Jul08 May27 Nov15 (baker ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  ENGINEER EMPIRE Oct24 Dec17 Nov18 Mar26 Feb26 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 121 10.00    
 
AQU-9   11/22/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WIND DANCER Nov07 Sep13 Aug15 Jul26 Jun30 (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  ALLOFASUDDENLEE Nov07 Apr26       (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50    
3  MAGIC BEACH Oct27 Sep03       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 5.00 ★    
4  BIG RICH Oct27 Aug28 Aug15 Mar31 Jan31 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50    
SCR  JUDGE RULES Oct24 Sep27 Aug11 Jul26 Jun28 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.00 24% 3.20    
6  BRACA Nov02 Sep19 Aug16 Jul31 Jul18 (barrera osc)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 10.00    
7  SWEET TONE Nov07 Sep27 Aug11 Jul26 Jun22 (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  BIG EGO Nov02 Sep22 Aug28 Jun09 May11 (rodriguez gust)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00 52% 0.90    
9  TRIPLE WORD SCORE Oct25 Sep22 Sep01 Aug11 Jul24 (bernardini)RIVERA R 122 20.00    
10  ISOMARSHALL Nov15 Oct24 Sep26 Aug28 Jul26 (keithan rachael)DAVIS KATIE 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.