Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - March 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (3/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/8)-(3/6/4/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/6/8)-(3/6/4/8)-(3/6/4/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/6/8)-(1/7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/8)-(1/7/4/5)-(3/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-2   WIN (1/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/4/5)-(1/7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/4/5)-(1/7/4/5)-(1/7/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/4/5)-(3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4/5)-(3/6/1)-(2/7/5/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-3   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1/7/4)-(3/6/1/7/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(2/7/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(2/7/5/9)-(1/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-4   WIN (2/7/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/9)-(2/7/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/9)-(2/7/5/9)-(2/7/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/5/9)-(1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5/9)-(1/5/3)-(2/7/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-5   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(2/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(2/7/6/3)-(3/7/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-6   WIN (2/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/3)-(2/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/3)-(2/7/6/3)-(2/7/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/6/3)-(3/7/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6/3)-(3/7/8/2)-(9/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-7   WIN (3/7/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/8/2)-(3/7/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/8/2)-(3/7/8/2)-(3/7/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/8/2)-(9/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-8   WIN (9/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/7/6)-(9/7/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/7/6)-(9/7/6/3)-(9/7/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   03/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PORTAL ONE Feb29 Jan24 Jan08 Dec06 Nov15 (montford lesl)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00    
2  TOWN'S WARRIOR Feb07 Jan19 Dec10 Oct22 Oct07 (chircop steven)BOCACHICA O 120 10.00    
3  CAMULUS Feb07         (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 49% 1.10    
4  GOT THUNDER Mar10 Mar02 Feb09 Nov12 Oct26 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.00 ★    
SCR  WASABI BOY Mar01 Feb09 Jan18 Dec28 Nov30 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 124 5.00    
6  MAGIC SPIN Feb07 Dec27 Nov30 Nov02 Sep20 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 26% 2.80    
7  ONEOFTHEGOODGUYS Sep08 Aug03 Jul21 Jun30   (salvaggio mark )BEATO INOEL 120 6.00    
8  NOBLE JON Mar07 Feb02 Jan12 Dec29 Dec13 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-2   03/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSS HOLIDAY Mar06 Jan24 Dec08 Oct05 Aug30 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
2  COUNTRY CHARLIE Dec14 Nov09 Oct19 Sep28 Aug17 (deiter kel)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 20.00    
SCR  CONNECTING Mar11 Feb19 Feb06 Dec27 Nov27 (castillo )RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00    
4  HOLY CITY Dec08 Nov24 Nov09 Oct26 Oct04 (o'callahan ca)ROJAS MARTINA 117 8.00 14% 6.10    
5  WICKED IRISHMAN Jan24 Dec22 Dec08 Nov24 Nov09 (wolfe jr)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 12.00 7% 13.90    
6  COWBOY JIM Feb19 Jan29 Dec27 Dec05 Nov27 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.50    
7  MIGHTY MINION Mar06 Jan31 May25 Apr21 Apr07 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 16% 5.40    
8  O T C WIZ Mar06 Jan31 Dec29 Dec01 Nov04 (demario charles)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00    
 
PEN-3   03/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIDIA'S PRAYER Mar06 Oct07 Sep28 Sep16 Aug31 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  OVER THE BORDER Dec22 Nov24 Oct25 Oct08 Sep08 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 15.00    
3  MUTTLEY Sep05 Aug10 Jul09 Sep19 Aug02 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 46% 1.20    
4  BOOK MARKER Mar06 Jan24 Dec27 Dec20 Nov06 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00 ★    
5  ABBY'S SPIRIT Mar06 Jan31 Dec27 Dec13 Nov22 (stites f)DAVIS A 122 12.00    
6  LET'S GET CRAZY Jan19         (kravet)SMITH DANIEL 117 6.00 33% 2.00    
7  SPELLED WELL Mar06 Jan24 Dec22 Dec08 Nov16 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122 12.00 ★    
8  STORMY FIRE Mar06 Jan25 Dec15 Nov23 Nov08 (demario charle)TORRES JOMAR 122 10.00    
SCR  WARRIOR'S WAY OUT Jan31 Dec27 Nov08 Oct17 Sep19 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 3.00    
10  BRANTLEYS BIG GUN Mar06 Jan25 Dec22 Dec08 Nov24 (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 122 20.00    
SCR  STEVIE T Mar11 Feb28 Feb06 Jan25 Dec20 (diaz j)RODRIGUEZ A 112 12.00    
 
PEN-4   03/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HASHTAG WINNING Feb16 Jan25 Dec21 Nov22 Oct25 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 6.00    
2  SUTTON BREEZE Feb07 Jan12 Dec08 Nov21 Oct30 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.00 60% 0.70    
SCR  REDEEM EDDIE Mar08 Feb22 Feb09 Jan19 Dec22 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 15.00    
4  DON'T LOSEMYMONEY Feb23 Feb02 Jan25 Dec28 Dec08 (moreno-ba)RODRIGUEZ R 122 15.00    
5  DR RAGS Mar07 Feb09 Dec22 Dec08 Nov12 (synnefias pana)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.50 8% 12.00    
SCR  DONTINVADEMYSPACE Jan25 Dec21 Nov25 Nov15 Oct16 (padilla-precia)CORREA JULIO 122 15.00    
7  TOMMY THE TORCH Feb29 Feb02 Jan19 Nov22 Nov14 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 5.00 9% 9.90    
8  SPOOKY ONE Mar08 Feb16 Jan11 Dec21 Dec08 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 122 15.00    
9  DIXIE CANNONBALL Feb29 Feb08 Jan12 Dec07 Nov15 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  ROMANTIC GAMBLE Feb23 Feb02 Dec15 Aug04 Jun10 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50    
 
PEN-5   03/21/2024 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEPING IT COUNTRY Feb29 Feb07 Jan11 Dec15 Nov24 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 124 1.80 67% 0.50    
SCR  YES SIR COLONEL Feb19 Jan29 Dec26 Dec05 Nov06 (mosco robert)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 1.60    
3  CAJUN OCCASION Feb29 Feb16 Jan19 Dec21 Dec01 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GIROLAMO'S ATTACK Feb16 Jan29 Dec13 Nov04 Oct20 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
5  LORD WINSALOT Feb22 Feb02 Jan19 Jan19 Dec27 (fields ke)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 10% 9.20    
6  HONORABLE AVENUE Feb29 Feb09 Jan19 Dec27 Nov21 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 15.00    
7  FORLOVEOFCOUNTRY Jan26 Dec29 Dec10 Nov19 Oct12 (murtough step)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00    
 
PEN-6   03/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKIN THE PALACE Mar01 Jan31 Jan12 Dec16 Nov29 (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 122 5.00    
2  SPENDOLINI Feb27 Dec06 Nov01 Oct02 Sep21 (beattie m)AGUILAR JEAN 110 4.00 27% 2.60    
3  MILLBANK MAN Mar13 Feb08 Jan26 Jan10 Dec08 (cooper stacey)AGUILAR M 120 30.00 8% 12.30    
4  LLOYD Mar13 Jan26 Jan12 Dec08   (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00    
5  BRONX TALE Mar06 Feb19 Jan29 Dec27 Nov27 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 8.00    
6  FREEDOM'S START Mar01 Feb08 Jan31 Jan12 Dec22 (albright)DAVIS A 120 10.00 11% 8.40    
7  BACK EAST Mar06 Jan31 Jan12 Dec20 Dec06 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.50 24% 3.10    
8  NECCO Mar06 Jan12 Dec21 Nov24 Nov03 (murtough st)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00    
SCR  TROPHY ROOM Mar01 Feb20 Dec18 Nov20 Oct27 (iannotti thoma)ADORNO ABNER 120 3.00    
 
PEN-7   03/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3 F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOST UNUSUAL DAY Mar06         (kravets b)HERNANDEZ A 123 12.00    
2  WOODLAND GLADE Mar06 Feb21       (albright)DAVIS A 123 3.00 5% 19.00    
3  FLEETING EMBER         (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 123 3.50 34% 1.90    
4  REZQUIA Mar06 Feb01       (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 12.00    
5  ENSUING GRACE Mar07 Nov01 Sep11     (zalalas m)RODRIGUEZ R 123 10.00    
6  LASTCHANCE ROMANCE Mar06         (stowers michelle)AGUILAR M 123 12.00    
7  BULLITINA         (lucas bonnie)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 4.00 24% 3.10    
8  SOL EMPERATRIZ Mar07 Feb22 Jan18 Dec16 Oct01 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 123 2.50 17% 4.90    
 
PEN-8   03/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GIA'S FUEGO Mar11 Mar04 Feb19 Feb05 Nov27 (diaz j)RODRIGUEZ A 114 8.00    
SCR  MISS ALEX Mar13 Feb28 Feb06 Jan24 Jan08 (chacon g)DAVIS A 124 20.00    
3  HIGHWAY QUEEN Feb23 Feb14 Jan31 Jan12 Dec28 (miller marlin)ROJAS MARTINA 119 10.00 ★    
4  DAILY BRIEFING Feb22 Feb07 Jan18 Dec22 Dec07 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 124 20.00    
5  SCOREBOARD LILY Mar13 Jan31 Jan12 Dec28 Dec14 (kravet)SMITH DANIEL 119 20.00    
6  KATY THE CAT Feb29 Jan31 Jan10 Dec07 Nov15 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  HELLO GRACIE Feb09 Jan24 Dec21 Nov22 Nov01 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 124 3.00 14% 6.30    
8  ROSES FROM HEAVEN Feb29 Jan24 Dec21 Oct27 Sep27 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 12.00    
9  SHATTER ME Feb22 Jan26 Dec29 Nov15 Oct27 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00 62% 0.60    
SCR  TAKE CHARGE ERICA Feb26 Feb06 Jan02 Sep26 Sep12 (crowell l)RUIZ ELISEO 119 6.00    
SCR  BAHAMA PEARL Mar11 Feb07 Dec27 Nov22 Nov07 (soto- martine)OCASIO M 124 3.50    
SCR  ASTONISHING ANABEL Mar13 Feb07 Jan24 Jan08 Dec19 (pino michae)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.