Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Saturday - February 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FG-1   WIN (5/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/7)-(5/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/7)-(5/6/1/7)-(5/6/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/1/7)-(5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1/7)-(5/6)-(4/2/8/6) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
FG-2   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/6)-(4/2/8/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(4/2/8/6)-(2/9/6/1/7) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
FG-3   WIN (4/2/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/8/6)-(4/2/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/8/6)-(4/2/8/6)-(4/2/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/8/6)-(2/9/6/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/2/8/6)-(2/9/6/1/7)-(8/5/3/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-4   WIN (2/9/6/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/6/1/7)-(2/9/6/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/6/1/7)-(2/9/6/1/7)-(2/9/6/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/9/6/1/7)-(8/5/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/9/6/1/7)-(8/5/3/1)-(3/8/5/11/1) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-5   WIN (8/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/3/1)-(8/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/3/1)-(8/5/3/1)-(8/5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/3/1)-(3/8/5/11/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/5/3/1)-(3/8/5/11/1)-(6/10/8/3/5) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-6   WIN (3/8/5/11/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/5/11/1)-(3/8/5/11/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/5/11/1)-(3/8/5/11/1)-(3/8/5/11/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/8/5/11/1)-(6/10/8/3/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/8/5/11/1)-(6/10/8/3/5)-(1/2/5/3) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-7   WIN (6/10/8/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/10/8/3/5)-(6/10/8/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/10/8/3/5)-(6/10/8/3/5)-(6/10/8/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/10/8/3/5)-(1/2/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/10/8/3/5)-(1/2/5/3)-(1/4/7/3/2) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-8   WIN (1/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/5/3)-(1/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/5/3)-(1/2/5/3)-(1/2/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/5/3)-(1/4/7/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FG-9   WIN (1/4/7/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/3/2)-(1/4/7/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/3/2)-(1/4/7/3/2)-(1/4/7/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   02/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($59K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAMBOURINE STAR Jan20 Dec07 Aug04 Jul14 Mar25 (wilson shane)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00 16% 5.40    
DUVEE Jan19 Dec29 Dec07 Mar10 Feb02 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 3.50    
CAJUN AMI Jan18 Dec09 Nov18 Nov02 Jul29 (landry all)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00    
BIG BOO Jan19 Dec29 Dec07 Nov23 Sep11 (singh s)SINGH R 121 6.00    
THE BOSS SOSS Jan20 Jan04 Dec13 Nov24 Nov02 (landry ra)LANERIE J 121 2.50 32% 2.10    
MANLY DEEDS Jan13 Dec13 Nov24 Nov02 Aug11 (chatter)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 3.50 19% 4.30    
PESO PESADO Jan19 Dec21 Aug21 Jun08 May11 (schwandt emile)MCMAHON J 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-2   02/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($59K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOUISIANA LIBERTY Jan11 Dec14 Nov17 Oct06 Aug05 (castille carrol)MELANCON G 120 8.00    
CANADA'S CUSTOMS Jan15 Dec22 Nov25 Oct05 Aug22 (claire alexi)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.00    
SCR  MISS PRIORITY Jan15 Dec22 Dec09 Nov17 Oct19 (duhon paul)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 6.00    
CAJUN NINJA Jan11 Dec14 Nov02 Sep28 Aug05 (silva )GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.00    
FOURALIVIA Jan15 Dec14 Aug03 Jun23   (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 2.50 69% 0.40    
ROYAL O'HAIGAIN Jan15 Dec22 Nov17 Aug05 Jun18 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-3   02/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS KENNEDY Jan15 Dec22 Dec01 Aug29 Aug05 (duke steve)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00    
DROP DEAD SEXY Jan15 Nov25 Sep10 Jul24 Jun17 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.50 18% 4.40    
OURS AND THEIRS Jan15 Dec22 Dec03 Mar18 Feb26 (schmidt deni)MURRAY M 121 12.00    
COUNTRY LADY Jan15 Dec22 Nov25 Sep10 Aug04 (forster t)GRAHAM J 121 3.00 36% 1.70    
MO BLING Dec30 Aug05 Jun03 Mar26 Feb11 (balderas )PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 8.00    
GALAXY THIRTYSIX Jan15 Dec22 Nov25 Jun10 May13 (ney john)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 10.00 6% 15.40    
HALF PAGE Jan15 Dec02 Oct11 Aug12 Jun10 (rubin donald)MELANCON G 121 10.00    
ISOLATION Jan15 Dec15 Oct14 Aug26 Jun16 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 4.00 12% 7.70    
 
FG-4   02/10/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RILEY JEAN Jan13         (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 125 4.00 8% 12.30    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of IF NOT FOR HER by NOT FOR LOVE)
CANDY BAR Jan13 Dec14 Sep02 Aug06 Jul09 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SUGAR BABE by QUIET AMERICAN)
LYNNA Jun02 Mar12       (cohn g)GRAHAM J 125 20.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of CORINTHIAN'S LARK by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
FIESTA BESTA Jan13 Dec14 Aug01     (felks jose)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of FIESTA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
ART DECO (ARG) Jan01 Mar01       (stall m)MCMAHON J 125 10.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of GLAMORISTA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
RUBIA Nov26 Oct28 Apr22 Dec31   (asmussen steven)LANERIE J 125 5.00 13% 6.90    
  (by TAPITURE out of WHISP O' SPRING by DA STOOPS)
GOLDYS LOCK May14         (lovell )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of A LITTLE GOLD by LORD CARSON)
STEPHS COAST Jan18         (gelner sco)WELLINGTON KYLIE 112 15.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of AQUA REGIA by GOLD MERIDIAN)
MS. LILIBET Jan01 Dec03 Nov08 Sep17 Aug29 (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 6.00 26% 2.90    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of LA MALAGUENA by DIABLO)
SCR  I AM BEAUTIFUL Aug19         (leonard i)PARKER L 117 8.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of SALT BAE by PAYNTER)
 
FG-5   02/10/2024 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY BARILEY Jan05 Dec29 Dec16 Nov23 Oct13 (leonard i)PARKER L 124 3.00 8% 11.50    
FABLED RULER Jan26 Jan13 Dec17 Nov24 Sep12 (hargrave kenneth)RIQUELME J 122 12.00    
HOODLUM Jan05 Dec14 Nov12 Feb25 Feb15 (stall alber)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.50 12% 7.40    
ROOSTER RUN Dec14 Nov23 Aug21 Jun24 May20 (munoz yov)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00    
SUPER CURIOSO (ARG) Dec20 Nov03 Sep15 Aug04 Jul16 (sanchez )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 4.50 13% 6.60    
YES POINT Jan05 Oct04 Sep02 Aug04 May25 (mckeever a)ALBERT S 120 10.00    
BLURT Jan21 Dec29 Oct31 Oct17 Sep30 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 120 12.00    
NORDIC LIGHT Jan25 Dec16 Nov10 Oct20 Sep27 (cox h)LANERIE J 120 3.50 46% 1.20    
 
FG-6   02/10/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RONIC Jan19 Nov17 Oct21 Sep23 Sep07 (duhon paul)WELLINGTON KYLIE 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
UNDER SURVEILLANCE Jan19 Dec07 Nov12 Oct22 Aug13 (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00    
BILLY'S GOT ISSUES Dec29 Dec07 Jul26 Jun15 May14 (handal raymo)TORRES A 122 4.00 33% 2.00    
MONJID Jan15 Dec07 May19 Apr27 Mar01 (mckeever andrew)CURTIS BEN 122 5.00    
MAURITIUS Jan19 Jun25 May26 Apr22 Mar10 (morley thomas)COHEN DAVID 122 6.00 7% 12.90    
PROFESSOR HIGGINS Jan15 Nov24 Apr18 Aug20   (roussel lo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 5.00    
HE GOTS TO GO Jan19 Dec29 Dec07 Oct25 Sep23 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 12.00    
LIQUID ADDICTION (IRE) Dec29 Dec07 Sep18 Sep04 Jun24 (breaux samuel)GRAHAM J 122 10.00 30% 2.30    
Z Z'S PRINCE Jan07 Dec15 Dec01 Jan19 Dec26 (zeringue j)MELANCON G 122 20.00    
10  FIRST CLASS HARLOW Jan19 Dec30 Nov21 Aug13 Jul10 (courville ricky)LANERIE J 122 12.00    
11  GLUCKSTADT Dec30 Dec16 Jul29 Jun24 May25 (sanchez c)MCMAHON J 122 6.00 7% 14.00    
SCR  JOINT VENTURE Jan21 Dec15 Nov01 Oct18 Oct05 (leonard george )COHEN DAVID 125 20.00    
SCR  LOOKIN AT BETTY Jan21 Dec07 Oct25 Sep02 Aug19 (charles jonatha)MCMAHON J 122 20.00    
 
FG-7   02/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57K) 3 F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRABIQ Jan18         (felks jose)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of COSMIC EMERGENCY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
SCR  DELIGHTFUL HALO Dec10         (duke steven)MURRAY M 120 20.00    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of LOST MY HALO by FOREST CAMP)
A MISS DEAMEANOR Jan18 Dec10 Nov18 Sep10   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50 9% 10.30    
  (by CALIBRACHOA out of A RUNNIN POP by SCREEN IDOL)
SISTER ELLA Jan18 Nov16 Oct06     (asmussen stev)MORALES EDGAR 120 5.00    
  (by MITOLE out of PRINCESS KATE by ORIENTATE (GB))
GIRL LIKES BLING Nov04 Oct07 Aug05 Jul07 Jun25 (camejo m)HERNANDEZ K 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of MOONLIT BAYOU by MR. GREELEY)
ABOUT TO SET SAIL Jan18 Jan01 Nov18     (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.50 29% 2.50    
  (by RACE DAY out of BEDAZZLE SEATTLE by GILDED TIME)
MOION Jan19 Dec10 Nov18 Jul01 Jun03 (scherer gary)GEROUX FLORENT 120 12.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of AS THE SNOW FLIES by MALIBU MOON)
TENSAS LUCY Jan01         (alonzo )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 5.00 18% 4.50    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of MISCHIEVOUS BELLE by INTO MISCHIEF)
JET ROCKET Jan19 Nov30 Nov04     (roberts roy)MCMAHON J 120 12.00    
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of HOT ROCKET by LEMON DROP KID)
10  STEPHANIE'S MARIA Jan01         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00 21% 3.80    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of ROSALBA MARIA by UNCLE MO)
 
FG-8   02/10/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57K) 3 ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARSTUDDED AFFAIR Jan18 Dec14       (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00 50% 1.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of KING'S GHOST by GHOSTZAPPER)
KING MENDELSSOHN Jan21 Dec31 Dec02     (mcpeek kenneth )COHEN DAVID 120 6.00 21% 3.80    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CROWN ROYAL QUEEN by TALE OF THE CAT)
BEAN MACHINE Jan05         (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of LITTLE NELLIE by MIZZEN MAST)
SCR  IRISH RANSOM Dec31 Nov10       (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of ROSIE'S RANSOM by MARQUETRY)
EL ALACRAN Jan13 Nov25 Sep03 Aug04   (camejo jos)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.00 8% 11.50    
  (by FAST ANNA out of DOOWOP SHEDOO by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  BISATE Dec23         (bauer philip)TORRES A 120 6.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SAM'S SISTER by SAMARID)
PEARL OF ACLAIM (GB) Dec15         (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 120 8.00    
  (by ACLAIM out of PEARL OF MANAMA by SCAT DADDY)
INDURINGHOPE         (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
  (by BLAME out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SHIRE'S END         (walsh bre)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 10.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of LAYREEBELLE by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  SUMMER IN ADRIANE Jan18 Dec15 Nov09     (morley thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.50    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of ROBI JO by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  BLOOD BROTHER         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.50    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of PINE NEEDLES by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  JUSTIFREAK Dec23 Nov12 Oct18     (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 120 4.50    
  (by JUSTIFY out of THE SCHVAGEN by MATTY G)
SCR  FUNNYFLAME Jan20 Dec23 Nov23 Nov02 Aug29 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of FUNNY PROPOSITION by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  HIGGINS BOAT Jan20 Jun01       (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of BETTY DRAPER by STREET CRY)
 
FG-9   02/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN DOLLARS Jan26 Jan01 Dec17 Oct18 May15 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 2.50 49% 1.00    
GOBOT Jan11 Dec14 Nov02 Oct14 Aug05 (mouton chadwick )CURTIS BEN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
LIL WOADIE Jan11 Dec30 Dec02 Mar26 Mar11 (schmidt deni)MURRAY M 122 6.00 6% 15.90    
DOUBLE ON THE RED Jan01 Dec07 Nov18 Jul29 Jul08 (zenon s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 6.00 12% 7.30    
TRUE CRIMSON Nov15 May26 May12 Mar22   (gelner sco)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 12.00    
INFINITESIMAL Jan26 Jan01 Nov30 Sep12 Aug28 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 4.00    
STIFF DRINK Jan04 Dec09 Jul03 Jun18 May15 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.50 8% 12.20    
PUNCHIE Jan12 Dec17 Dec01 Sep09 Aug05 (duhon jos)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 10.00    
COCAL Jan26 Jan01 Dec14 Nov18 Oct14 (blanchet chris)MELANCON G 122 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.