Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - February 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/7)-(2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/7)-(5/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7)-(5/1/2/3)-(5/6/3/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (5/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/3)-(5/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/3)-(5/1/2/3)-(5/1/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/2/3)-(5/6/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/3)-(5/6/3/9)-(5/2/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-3   WIN (5/6/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/9)-(5/6/3/9/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/9)-(5/6/3/9/7)-(5/6/3/9/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/6/3/9)-(5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3/9)-(5/2/4)-(6/7/5/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-4   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4/1)-(5/2/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(6/7/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(6/7/5/9)-(11/1/4/2/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-5   WIN (6/7/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/9)-(6/7/5/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/9)-(6/7/5/9/1)-(6/7/5/9/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/7/5/9)-(11/1/4/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5/9)-(11/1/4/2/6)-(10/1/9/4/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-6   WIN (11/1/4/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/1/4/2/6)-(11/1/4/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/1/4/2/6)-(11/1/4/2/6)-(11/1/4/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/1/4/2/6)-(10/1/9/4/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (11/1/4/2/6)-(10/1/9/4/3)-(3/7/5) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TAM-7   WIN (10/1/9/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/1/9/4/3)-(10/1/9/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/1/9/4/3)-(10/1/9/4/3)-(10/1/9/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/1/9/4/3)-(3/7/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/1/9/4/3)-(3/7/5)-(7/4/3) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-8   WIN (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/5)-(3/7/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/5)-(3/7/5/4/2)-(3/7/5/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/7/5)-(7/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TAM-9   WIN (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/3)-(7/4/3/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/3)-(7/4/3/2/9)-(7/4/3/2/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   02/09/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT-12:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH BROW Jan20 Dec24 Dec16 Nov24 Nov01 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 123 2.50    
2  JUST PLAIN ORNERY Jan26 Dec16 Nov24 Nov01 Oct12 (arriagada)MALDONADO GABRIEL 116 1.60 38% 1.70    
3  VINTNER Dec01 Sep07 Aug25 Aug11 Jul21 (yanez r)ALLEN D 117 15.00    
4  STREET GLIDE Jan27 Sep15 Aug04 Jun30 Apr19 (manning dennis )CENTENO E 119 4.50 26% 2.90    
5  LEAD OFF Jan28 Jul19 Jun20 May28 May08 (morales guil)BATISTA A 119 30.00    
SCR  DANVILLE Jan10 Oct15 Aug16 Jul23 Jun29 (campbell joe)ARROYO S 119 4.00    
7  SEICHE Jan19 Dec22 Oct31 Oct03 Sep20 (posadas pedr)MENESES MARCOS 119 10.00 11% 8.40    
 
TAM-2   02/09/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYLASTREDCENT May06 Apr19 Apr01 Mar01 Feb08 (rarick lynn)ALLEN D 118 4.00 20% 4.10    
2  RITAAN Jan20 Jan06 Dec16 Nov22 Oct08 (dini mike)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 5.00 16% 5.40    
3  DANCE STEP Jan20 Jan06 Dec23 Dec06 Nov15 (simone michael)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.00 10% 9.30    
4  DOWNTON TABBY Jan24 Jan11 Nov11 Oct13 Aug03 (campbell joe)ARROYO S 118 20.00    
5  DIVISIBILITY Jan20 Jan03 Dec20 Mar29 Mar03 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 118 2.50 21% 3.80    
6  LIL ANNIE ROSE Jan17 Dec23 Nov24 Oct08 Aug06 (hayford jenn)MENESES MARCOS 118 6.00    
7  MIGHTY GIN GIN Jan17 Dec31 Dec16 Nov24 Sep28 (carrascoj)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 6.00    
8  SIGN AND SEAL Dec29 Oct10 Sep26 Aug28 Jul04 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 118 15.00    
 
TAM-3   02/09/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAMILY STASH Jan14 Dec16 Nov29 Oct20   (dobber arnoud )HIRALDO JOHN 122 30.00    
2  DESTIN FOR DRAMA Dec31 Oct23 Jul04 Jun10   (hayford jenn)MENESES MARCOS 122 15.00    
3  MONEY ON ICE         (ubide max)LUGO D 122 15.00 18% 4.40    
4  D CITY GIRL Jan21 Dec31 Dec22 Nov03 Oct01 (dobber arnoud)IORIO MELISSA 115 8.00    
5  GOOD VALUE Jan10 Dec13 Nov17 Apr27 Apr01 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 122 0.80 36% 1.80    
6  HURRY UP DEAR Jan21 Jan12 Sep09 Aug18 Jul21 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 122 5.00 19% 4.40    
7  AMOR SALVAJE Jan21 Dec31 Dec13 Nov25 Aug17 (ochoa gerard)BATISTA A 122 10.00 ★    
8  FONE YOUR MOM Dec30 Dec06 Jul01 Jun16 May28 (santillana fr)SOSA LAUREANO 122 30.00    
9  PARTY DREAM Dec15 Aug03 Jul08 May06 Apr30 (barbazoniii)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 8.00 5% 17.20    
10  LUCKY GIRL COCO Jan26 Sep25 May26     (morales g)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 15.00    
 
TAM-4   02/09/2024 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RITZ ON BROADWAY Jan13 Jan03 Dec02 Nov22 Oct18 (potts way)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 4.00 ★    
2  ANNAMARIA Jan24 Dec08 Nov10 Oct12   (ortiz jo)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 19% 4.30    
3  CAJUN GAL Jan05 Dec23       (paragallo je)BATISTA A 120 20.00    
4  JASSAI Jan31 Jan13 Dec31 Oct18 Aug31 (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
5  PRINCESS BU CHERRO Jan17         (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00 55% 0.80    
6  CREATIVPERFORMANCE Jan31 Jan12 Nov18     (bennett ger)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 10.00    
7  GULF COAST GIRL Jan13 Jan03 Sep02 Jul14   (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 113 20.00    
8  JESS'S MOMENT Jan21 Dec15 Oct20     (alvarez laza)ARROYO S 120 12.00    
 
TAM-5   02/09/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIGHTY MADI Jan12 Dec15 Sep13 Aug30 Aug17 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 122 5.00 ★    
2  APPLE LOVER Oct12 Sep09 May14 Apr23 Mar31 (carvajal lu)VILLASMIL EDGAR 122 30.00    
3  LIVELY REMARK Jan14 Jan05 Dec08 May06 Apr23 (wasiluk peter)IORIO MELISSA 115 6.00    
4  MORENA DANCER Dec31 Dec22 May03 Apr15 Apr01 (marrero nestor)MENDEZ KEVIN 122 15.00    
5  ALGARCA Dec31 Mar16 Mar02 Feb18   (amaya gustavo)LUGO D 122 8.00 5% 18.40    
6  FROSTY SECRET Aug24 Aug17 Jul21 Jul01 May05 (manning d)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 2.50 60% 0.70    
7  LUCKY IN LOVE Jan26 Dec31 Nov17 Sep01 Jul29 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 122 2.00 9% 9.80    
8  NO MORE FIRE Dec31 Jun30 Jun04 May05 Apr26 (yanez reynaldo)MARIN SAMUEL 122 30.00    
9  FAR ABOVE Jan13 Dec31 Oct08 Sep23 Sep09 (dobber arnoud )CEDENO CAROL 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
10  DELIZIOSA Dec31 Jul27 Jul13 Feb05 Jan14 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 122 30.00    
SCR  RITAMARLEY Jan10 Dec29 Oct13 Sep17   (dobles s)GALLARDO A 122 8.00    
 
TAM-6   02/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IM STILL BRAVE Jan27 Jan13 Dec29 Dec08 Oct16 (torres r)FERRER C 122 5.00 14% 6.10    
2  INSIDE         (hayford je)ALONSO LUIS 122 10.00 8% 11.30    
3  INSTIGATING Jan13 Dec20 Nov22 Oct25 Oct12 (spanabel ke)VILLASMIL EDGAR 122 30.00    
4  GRAY ENOUGH         (cook devin)SUAREZ ANTHONY 117 12.00 12% 7.20    
5  SPUNKY BOY Dec24 Nov22 Oct20     (dobber arnoud)IORIO MELISSA 115 30.00    
6  FIRELANE Jan20 Dec16 Sep25 Sep09 Aug26 (lusk r)SOSA LAUREANO 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  GRAND FESTIVAL Jan13 Dec13 Oct28 Oct19 Mar16 (campbell )RODRIGUEZ A 122 30.00    
8  SEMINOLE AUSTIN Oct31 Sep11 Jul20 Jun24 Jun10 (fisher david)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00    
SCR  ESCAPE KEY Jan26 Jan04 Dec10 Oct28   (aguayo r)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 120 2.00    
10  OUR DARK COURAGE Jan17 Dec20 Dec08 Aug25 Aug10 (wasiluk peter )LINDSAY CHAD 122 30.00    
11  VICTORY LINE Jan07 Mar23 Feb10 Jan12 Dec17 (morey wil)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 2.50 43% 1.30    
 
TAM-7   02/09/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULL NELSON Dec31 Nov12 Nov03 Sep29 Aug19 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 26% 2.80    
2  NINJA STAR Jan14 Dec31 Dec08 Nov03 Oct17 (rice kev)GALLARDO A 118 4.50    
3  OISHI Dec24 Dec02       (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GENERAL BATTLE AXE Dec31 Dec08 Oct07 Sep09 Jul23 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 10.00 9% 9.90    
5  MI DINERO Sep09 Aug11       (munoz )ROJAS EDUARDO 118 30.00    
SCR  TUSCAN RULER Jan14 Dec20 Sep22 Aug26 Jul30 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00    
7  INCHON Dec08 Nov11 Oct11 Aug16 Jul26 (motion graham)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 8.00    
8  GRATED COCONUT Dec31 Oct22 Oct14 Aug25 Aug05 (smith craig )ARROYO S 118 30.00    
9  GOTTS GOT IT Dec20 Dec02 Oct15 Sep26 Aug16 (potts g)CEDENO CAROL 118 6.00 12% 7.50    
10  WALLEY WORLD Nov19 Oct13 Sep02     (brown cha)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 1.40 31% 2.20    
 
TAM-8   02/09/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  POSEIDONS MYTH Jan21 Jan06 Dec22 Aug05 Jul01 (ubide max)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 20.00    
2  CALZONE Jan26 Jan06 Dec27 Sep13 Aug27 (rarick lynn)ALLEN D 118 12.00 ★    
3  FROSTY THE SOLDIER Jan10 Dec22 Dec06 Nov25 Aug26 (richards renal)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00 51% 1.00    
4  FUNNY MAN Jan21 Jan06 Nov01 Oct13 Sep25 (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 118 8.00 ★    
5  SIDNEY'S BID Jan26 Jan10 Dec06 Nov22 Nov04 (mcgoey monic)BATISTA A 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  BAD HENRY Jan26 Jan06 Dec09 Nov22 Oct20 (wasiluk peter )CEDENO CAROL 118 15.00    
7  GABBYSONHOLIDAY Jan17 Dec16 Nov29 Nov03 Jun04 (morey wi)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 24% 3.10    
8  TRAVEL GUIDE Jan21 Jan06 Dec09 Nov24 Nov11 (garcia pedro)MORELOS E 118 20.00    
9  HOLLYWOOD CLOSEUP Jan21 Jan12 Dec20 Nov22 Oct18 (potts way)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 10.00    
10  RULE IT Jan06 Nov29 Nov12 Oct22 Sep24 (orseno joseph )CASTANON L 118 3.50    
11  HELLO SUCKER Jan21 Dec27 Dec13 Nov24 Jul01 (mcgoey monic)MENESES MARCOS 118 20.00    
 
TAM-9   02/09/2024 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($54K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOEL'S ANGEL Dec06 Oct06 Sep13 Sep02 Jul30 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 118 20.00    
2  COVENANT LADY Dec06 Oct26 Sep12 Aug23 Jul19 (granitz anthon)CASTANON L 118 6.00 ★    
3  SOL HOPE Jan01 Dec06 Oct20 Sep30 Aug18 (lightner)GALLARDO A 118 3.00 5% 19.00    
4  BAHAMIAN MOON Jan19 Dec06 Nov12 Oct06 Sep17 (smith g)CEDENO CAROL 118 3.50 11% 8.50    
5  MERCY WARREN Jan13 Dec23 Nov04 Sep30 Aug28 (o'connor r)SANCHEZ J 118 15.00    
6  JUMEIRAH Jan13 Dec16 Nov21 Oct25 Sep27 (romero rafae)MENESES MARCOS 118 30.00    
7  CADENCIA Jul19 Jun11 Apr28 Mar31 Jun04 (morey william )CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.00 61% 0.60    
8  ITSAKEYPER Jan13 Nov17 Oct29 Sep17 Aug31 (albertrani )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 8.00    
9  TRACY ANN'S LEGACY Jan14 Dec06 Aug13 Jul15 May20 (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 118 10.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.